Mercyhurst vs FDU Volleyball: FDU Wins 3-0 (Oct 2, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 57.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. FDU's Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez led with 11 kills, and Madeline Joyce added 18 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MERCYH	17	20	17	0
FDU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FDU swept Mercyhurst, and no set was closer than 5 points.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.8 points, and Mercyhurst's high was 47% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave FDU 57% before first serve.

MercyhurstFDU

Break %+16.3 pts
41.858.1
On serve: 43/74 against 23/55 (Mercyhurst sideout 41.9%).
Hitting+.129
.045.174
34 kills, 15 errors vs 27 kills, 22 errors.
Longest run+2
57
FDU scored 7 straight in the first set to stretch an 11–9 lead to 18–9. Final score of the set: 25–17.

FDU above 50Mercyhurst belowMax swing 2.8%

MercyhurstFDU

Aces: Mercyhurst 1·FDU 9
Serve err: Mercyhurst 7·FDU 10
Blocks: Mercyhurst 4·FDU 71 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Mercyhurst 54·FDU 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · Mercyhurst below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to FDU — set 1, MERCYH 8-9 FDU. Payton Melin stuffed by Mila Samardzija & Alessia Zampieri. FDU win probability 57% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 33.1%66.9% FDU

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

6.6%

3-1

11.8%

3-2

14.7%

FDU wins

3-0

21.2%

3-1

25.7%

3-2

20.0%

MERCYH break %: 43.5% vs this opp
FDU break %: 46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mila Samardzija&Alessia ZampieriBlock+2.8%
Payton Melin stuffed by Mila Samardzija & Alessia Zampieri
Set 1 · MERCYH 8-9 FDU · FDU 57% → 60%
02
Alessia ZampieriKill+2.8%
Kill by Alessia Zampieri (set by Aliyah Angelici)
Set 1 · MERCYH 8-10 FDU · FDU 60% → 63%
03
Mia MattinglyAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Mia Mattingly
Set 2 · MERCYH 10-12 FDU · FDU 77% → 79%
04
Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez
Set 1 · MERCYH 7-6 FDU · MERCYH 42% → 45%
05
Ava DeGuzmanAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Ava DeGuzman
Set 2 · MERCYH 10-10 FDU · MERCYH 23% → 26%
06
Sydney ForchtAce+2.6%
Ace by Sydney Forcht on Mila Samardzija
Set 1 · MERCYH 6-6 FDU · MERCYH 40% → 42%
07
Mila SamardzijaKill+2.6%
Kill by Mila Samardzija (set by Isabella Scarfone)
Set 1 · MERCYH 8-11 FDU · FDU 63% → 65%
08
FDUAce+2.6%
FDU ace on Sydney Forcht
Set 2 · MERCYH 10-13 FDU · FDU 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mercyhurstaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Julia ShepherdOPP	3	10	4	21	.286	1	0	0	6	0	1	2	2	12
1Roslyn GuerraOH	3	7	6	26	.038	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
23Ava CarneyMB	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
13Mia MattinglyMB	3	3	3	13	.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
21Alyssa KrauseDS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
8Madison MinerOH	2	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	8	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
26Anna LoganDS	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	1
9Payton MelinOPP	3	0	2	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Kalyani OliveOH	2	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Trinity TatupuOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
2Erin RobbinsMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Mya ComerS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
16Sarah BarnumMB	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
4Aliyah AngeliciS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	22	111	.045	24	1	7	54	9	1	6	4	54

FDUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	8	6	35	.057	1	3	1	11	1	1	1	1.5	12.5
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	3	11	4	29	.241	0	0	3	3	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	5
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	3	3	4	16	-.063	0	1	3	13	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	2	0	5	.400	26	0	0	7	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
5Kayla GreenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	4
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	18	0	0	0	0	1
3Agnes ShakirovaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Sirma BayrakciS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Kaylie JensenMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		34	15	109	.174	32	9	10	57	1	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercyhurst vs FDU

Season series · FDU leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Mercyhurst at FDU · FDU won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Mercyhurst at FDU · FDU won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERCYH · FDU 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 MERCYHFDU 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHFDU 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHFDU 5

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	60%6/10
2	43%6/14	45%5/11
3	43%6/14	14%1/7
4	83%5/6	54%7/13
5	28%5/18	29%2/7
6	27%3/11	29%2/7
All	42%31/74	42%23/55

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%6/17	50%5/10
2	100%6/6	54%7/13
3	43%6/14	63%10/16
4	100%5/5	17%1/6
5	56%5/9	67%10/15
6	100%4/4	71%10/14
All	58%32/55	58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	MERCYH-FDU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.3
2	1-1	FDU	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
3	2-1	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Angela Marchetto	blk Julia Shepherd	+2.4
4	3-1	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.5
5	3-2	MERCYH	FDU	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+1.9
6	4-2	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.0
7	4-3	MERCYH	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.9
8	4-4	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.5
9	4-5	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.5
10	4-6	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.5
11	5-6	FDU	MERCYH×3	Serve err	FDU		+2.0
12	6-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Sydney Forcht	aced Mila Samardzija	+2.6
13	7-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.7
14	7-7	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Sydney Forcht		+2.2
15	8-7	FDU	MERCYH	Bad set	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.3
16	8-8	MERCYH	FDU×4	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.2
17	8-9	FDU	FDU×4	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Mila Samardzija, Alessia Zampieri	+2.8
18	8-10	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.8
19	8-11	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
20	9-11	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.0
21	9-12	MERCYH	FDU×7	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.2
22	9-13	FDU	FDU×7	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+2.4
23	9-14	FDU	FDU×7	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+2.0
24	9-15	FDU	FDU×7	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+1.6
25	9-16	FDU	FDU×7	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Mila Samardzija	+1.2
26	9-17	FDU	FDU×7	Ace	FDU		+0.8
27	9-18	FDU	FDU×7	Ace	FDU		+0.5
28	10-18	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.2
29	10-19	MERCYH	FDU	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+0.4
30	11-19	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.2
31	11-20	MERCYH	FDU×3	Bad set	Madison Miner		+0.3
32	11-21	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Angela Marchetto, Ava DeGuzman	+0.2
33	11-22	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Madeline Joyce	+0.1
34	12-22	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Sydney Forcht	·
35	12-23	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	·
36	12-24	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Ava Carney		·
37	13-24	FDU	MERCYH×5	Blocked	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Madison Miner, Ava Carney	·
38	14-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Blocked	Ava DeGuzman	blk Julia Shepherd, Mia Mattingly	·
39	15-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	·
40	16-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	·
41	17-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	·
42	17-25	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Anna Logan	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
2	2-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	set Julia Shepherd	+2.2
3	3-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
4	4-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.1
5	4-1	MERCYH	FDU×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.6
6	4-2	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.1
7	4-3	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.2
8	5-3	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.9
9	5-4	MERCYH	FDU×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.8
10	5-5	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.4
11	5-6	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU		+2.4
12	6-6	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
13	6-7	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Madeline Joyce	+2.0
14	6-8	FDU	FDU	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Alessia Zampieri	+2.4
15	7-8	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
16	7-9	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.0
17	7-10	FDU	FDU	Bad set	Mya Comer		+2.4
18	8-10	FDU	MERCYH×3	Serve err	FDU		+1.8
19	9-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+2.5
20	10-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.7
21	10-11	MERCYH	FDU×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.3
22	10-12	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+2.7
23	10-13	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.6
24	10-14	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Madeline Joyce	+2.3
25	11-14	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+1.6
26	11-15	MERCYH	FDU×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.9
27	11-16	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone	+1.9
28	11-17	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Angela Marchetto	+1.5
29	12-17	FDU	MERCYH×3	Serve err	FDU		+0.9
30	13-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.5
31	14-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd		+2.0
32	14-18	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.0
33	15-18	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
34	15-19	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.1
35	15-20	FDU	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.9
36	16-20	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Sydney Forcht	+1.0
37	17-20	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
38	17-21	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.1
39	18-21	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+1.4
40	18-22	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.1
41	19-22	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+1.3
42	19-23	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.0
43	19-24	FDU	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Madeline Joyce	+1.2
44	20-24	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+0.3
45	20-25	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
Set 3
1	0-1	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.3
2	0-2	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Ava Carney		+1.3
3	1-2	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+1.0
4	1-3	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.1
5	1-4	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU	aced Sydney Forcht	+1.3
6	2-4	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+1.0
7	2-5	MERCYH	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.0
8	2-6	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.2
9	2-7	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU		+1.1
10	2-8	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Mila Samardzija	+0.9
11	3-8	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.6
12	3-9	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
13	4-9	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+0.6
14	4-10	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
15	4-11	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Mia Mattingly	blk Isabella Scarfone, Alessia Zampieri	+0.7
16	4-12	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		+0.6
17	5-12	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+0.4
18	5-13	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.5
19	6-13	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+0.3
20	6-14	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.4
21	7-14	FDU	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.3
22	8-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.5
23	9-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd	+0.7
24	10-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.9
25	10-15	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
26	10-16	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Anna Logan		+0.9
27	10-17	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU	aced Sydney Forcht	+0.7
28	11-17	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.4
29	11-18	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.5
30	12-18	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+0.3
31	13-18	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Sydney Forcht	+0.6
32	13-19	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
33	14-19	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+0.4
34	14-20	MERCYH	FDU×5	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.6
35	14-21	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.5
36	14-22	FDU	FDU×5	Blocked	Mia Mattingly	blk Isabella Scarfone, Kaylie Jensen	+0.2
37	14-23	FDU	FDU×5	Bad set	Sydney Forcht		+0.1
38	14-24	FDU	FDU×5	Attack err	Sarah Barnum		·
39	15-24	FDU	MERCYH×3	Serve err	FDU		·
40	16-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Sarah Barnum	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	·
41	17-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		·
42	17-25	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	·

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

FDU def. Mercyhurst 3–0

FDU swept Mercyhurst, and no set was closer than 5 points.