Mercyhurst vs FDU Volleyball: FDU Wins 3-1 (Oct 3, 2026)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 65.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-1 (21-25, 25-22, 25-15, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. FDU's Mila Samardzija led with 14 kills, and Madeline Joyce added 24 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERCYH	25	22	15	23	1
FDU	21	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

7 aces from Madeline Joyce, and FDU needed each of them.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are FDU's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave FDU 65% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Mercyhurst 21–21 FDU
4 straight Mercyhurst points broke a 21–21 tie and made it 25–21. The match swung to Mercyhurst.
FDU 63% → 44%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Mercyhurst 19–20 FDU
3 straight Mercyhurst kills turned a 19–20 deficit into a 22–20 lead.
FDU 85% → 67%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Mercyhurst 22–22 FDU
FDU won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.
FDU 79% → >99%

FDU above 50Mercyhurst belowMax swing 10.9%

MercyhurstFDU

Sideout %: Mercyhurst 49.5·FDU 55.8
Break %: Mercyhurst 44.2·FDU 50.5
Hitting: Mercyhurst .116·FDU .157
Longest run: Mercyhurst 4·FDU 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · Mercyhurst below

Biggest swing: 10.9% to FDU — set 4, MERCYH 23-24 FDU. Julia Shepherd stuffed by Ava DeGuzman & Alessia Zampieri. FDU win probability 79% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 33.1%66.9% FDU

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

6.6%

3-1

11.8%

3-2

14.7%

FDU wins

3-0

21.2%

3-1

25.7%

3-2

20.0%

MERCYH break %: 43.5% vs this opp
FDU break %: 46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ava DeGuzman&Alessia ZampieriBlock+10.9%
Julia Shepherd stuffed by Ava DeGuzman & Alessia Zampieri
Set 4 · MERCYH 23-24 FDU · FDU 79% → 90%
02
Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezKill+10.2%
Kill by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez (set by Isabella Scarfone)
Set 4 · MERCYH 23-25 FDU · FDU 90% → 100%
03
Julia ShepherdKill+7.5%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · MERCYH 23-22 FDU · MERCYH 21% → 28%
04
Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezKill+7.3%
Kill by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez (set by Isabella Scarfone)
Set 4 · MERCYH 22-22 FDU · FDU 72% → 79%
05
Sydney ForchtBad set+7.1%
Bad set by Sydney Forcht
Set 4 · MERCYH 23-23 FDU · FDU 72% → 79%
06
Roslyn GuerraKill+6.7%
Kill by Roslyn Guerra (set by Julia Shepherd)
Set 4 · MERCYH 22-20 FDU · MERCYH 26% → 33%
07
Julia ShepherdKill+6.6%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · MERCYH 21-20 FDU · MERCYH 19% → 26%
08
Alessia ZampieriAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Alessia Zampieri
Set 1 · MERCYH 23-21 FDU · MERCYH 42% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mercyhurstaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Julia ShepherdOPP	4	11	8	30	.100	2	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	12
23Ava CarneyMB	4	11	4	20	.350	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	12
13Mia MattinglyMB	4	3	2	18	.056	1	1	0	6	0	1	2	2	6
8Madison MinerOH	4	4	4	35	.000	0	0	1	12	5	1	1	1.5	5.5
26Anna LoganDS	4	0	1	5	-.200	0	3	2	5	4	0	0	0	3
21Alyssa KrauseDS	4	0	0	3	.000	22	2	2	10	0	0	0	0	2
1Roslyn GuerraOH	4	9	3	24	.250	0	0	0	7	0	0	2	1	10
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	3	0	0	14	2	0	0	0	0
4Aliyah AngeliciS	4	0	0	1	.000	13	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
9Payton MelinOPP	3	7	5	16	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
16Sarah BarnumMB	2	0	0	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Trinity TatupuOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
7Kalyani OliveOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Erin RobbinsMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	27	164	.116	43	6	6	77	12	3	8	7	85

FDUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	4	13	8	42	.119	3	3	1	7	0	2	1	17
14Mila SamardzijaOH	4	14	6	43	.186	0	2	2	13	2	1	0.5	16.5
12Alessia ZampieriMB	4	10	3	24	.292	0	0	0	5	0	7	3.5	13.5
1Isabella ScarfoneS	4	3	2	12	.083	36	0	1	7	0	3	1.5	4.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	4	2	0	11	.182	1	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
4Nina JasieckaOH	1	1	1	5	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	4	7	1	24	3	0	0	7
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	4	5	3	19	.105	1	0	0	16	1	3	1.5	6.5
5Kayla GreenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	23	159	.157	46	12	6	73	6	20	10	96

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercyhurst vs FDU

Season series · FDU leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Mercyhurst at FDU · FDU won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Mercyhurst at FDU · FDU won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERCYH · FDU 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MERCYHFDU 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHFDU 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHFDU 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHFDU 3

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%10/23	58%11/19
2	64%9/14	44%7/16
3	36%8/22	40%6/15
4	41%7/17	27%3/11
5	70%7/10	42%5/12
6	67%6/9	46%6/13
All	49%47/95	44%38/86

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	33%4/12
2	50%9/18	58%14/24
3	73%8/11	50%8/16
4	67%8/12	64%14/22
5	64%7/11	42%5/12
6	40%6/15	33%3/9
All	56%48/86	51%48/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#	MERCYH-FDU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCYH	FDU×4	Attack err	Anna Logan		+1.8
2	0-2	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.0
3	0-3	FDU	FDU×4	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka	+1.9
4	0-4	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Ava Carney		+1.8
5	1-4	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.4
6	2-4	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.9
7	2-5	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Nina Jasiecka	+1.7
8	3-5	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
9	3-6	MERCYH	FDU	Bad set	Madison Miner		+1.7
10	4-6	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+1.6
11	4-7	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+1.7
12	5-7	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.7
13	6-7	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.3
14	6-8	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.0
15	7-8	FDU	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.0
16	8-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Mila Samardzija	blk Payton Melin, Ava Carney	+2.6
17	9-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+2.8
18	10-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.8
19	10-9	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Madeline Joyce	+2.2
20	11-9	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+2.5
21	11-10	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.3
22	11-11	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Ava Carney		+2.9
23	12-11	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.6
24	12-12	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.5
25	12-13	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.0
26	13-13	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
27	13-14	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
28	13-15	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Madeline Joyce	+3.0
29	14-15	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
30	14-16	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
31	15-16	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+2.5
32	16-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Isabella Scarfone		+3.5
33	16-17	MERCYH	FDU	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Angela Marchetto, Mila Samardzija	+3.1
34	16-18	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Payton Melin		+3.5
35	17-18	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.8
36	17-19	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.1
37	17-20	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+3.3
38	18-20	FDU	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.2
39	19-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Mila Samardzija	+3.6
40	20-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+4.7
41	21-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Nina Jasiecka	blk Ava Carney, Roslyn Guerra	+5.4
42	21-21	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+4.4
43	22-21	FDU	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+5.2
44	23-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri		+6.3
45	24-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+4.9
46	25-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.2
Set 2
1	1-0	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
2	1-1	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Ava DeGuzman	+2.2
3	2-1	FDU	MERCYH	Blocked	Ava DeGuzman	blk Julia Shepherd	+2.3
4	2-2	MERCYH	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Ava Carney	+2.2
5	2-3	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+2.6
6	2-4	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.5
7	2-5	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU	aced Anna Logan	+2.4
8	3-5	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.9
9	4-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
10	4-6	MERCYH	FDU×5	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.2
11	4-7	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.5
12	4-8	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU	aced Anna Logan	+2.3
13	4-9	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+2.0
14	4-10	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+1.6
15	5-10	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Sydney Forcht	+1.2
16	6-10	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Alessia Zampieri	blk Mia Mattingly, Roslyn Guerra	+1.7
17	6-11	MERCYH	FDU	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Alessia Zampieri, Isabella Scarfone	+1.7
18	7-11	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.5
19	8-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri		+2.2
20	8-12	MERCYH	FDU	Attack err	Payton Melin		+2.0
21	9-12	FDU	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.8
22	10-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.7
23	11-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
24	12-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Ava DeGuzman	+3.5
25	12-13	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.0
26	12-14	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.5
27	12-15	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.1
28	13-15	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
29	14-15	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madeline Joyce	+3.5
30	14-16	MERCYH	FDU×4	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.1
31	14-17	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU	aced Madison Miner	+3.4
32	14-18	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.8
33	14-19	FDU	FDU×4	Blocked	Ava Carney	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+2.2
34	15-19	FDU	MERCYH×3	Serve err	FDU		+1.3
35	16-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.2
36	17-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Mia Mattingly, Madison Miner	+3.1
37	17-20	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.2
38	18-20	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+2.6
39	19-20	MERCYH	MERCYH	Bad set	Mila Samardzija		+4.3
40	19-21	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+4.3
41	19-22	FDU	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+4.3
42	20-22	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.6
43	20-23	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.8
44	20-24	FDU	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+2.6
45	21-24	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.8
46	22-24	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.1
47	22-25	MERCYH	FDU	Attack err	Ava Carney		+3.7
Set 3
1	1-0	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
2	1-1	MERCYH	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.5
3	1-2	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.0
4	1-3	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.9
5	1-4	FDU	FDU×5	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+2.7
6	1-5	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Angela Marchetto	+2.5
7	2-5	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
8	2-6	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.1
9	3-6	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
10	3-7	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+2.1
11	3-8	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+2.2
12	3-9	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU	aced Anna Logan	+1.9
13	4-9	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+1.4
14	5-9	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.0
15	5-10	MERCYH	FDU×4	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.9
16	5-11	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Payton Melin		+1.9
17	5-12	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Madison Miner		+1.5
18	5-13	FDU	FDU×4	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman	+1.1
19	6-13	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.7
20	6-14	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
21	7-14	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.7
22	8-14	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mia Mattingly	+1.1
23	8-15	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Roslyn Guerra	+1.2
24	9-15	FDU	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.9
25	10-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.5
26	11-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+2.0
27	11-16	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.0
28	11-17	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.9
29	11-18	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Madeline Joyce	+1.3
30	12-18	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.7
31	12-19	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.0
32	13-19	FDU	MERCYH	Bad set	Isabella Scarfone		+0.6
33	14-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.2
34	14-20	MERCYH	FDU×5	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+1.4
35	14-21	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.0
36	14-22	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU	aced Sydney Forcht	+0.5
37	14-23	FDU	FDU×5	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman	+0.2
38	14-24	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU	aced Trinity Tatupu	+0.1
39	15-24	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Alyssa Krause	·
40	15-25	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	·
Set 4
1	1-0	FDU	MERCYH	Serve err	FDU		+2.3
2	1-1	MERCYH	FDU	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+2.2
3	2-1	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.3
4	2-2	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.3
5	3-2	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
6	3-3	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Madeline Joyce	+2.3
7	4-3	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Sydney Forcht	+2.4
8	4-4	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.4
9	4-5	FDU	FDU	Blocked	Mia Mattingly	blk Alessia Zampieri, Isabella Scarfone	+2.8
10	5-5	FDU	MERCYH	Blocked	Isabella Scarfone	blk Mia Mattingly	+2.4
11	5-6	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.4
12	5-7	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.8
13	5-8	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
14	6-8	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.1
15	7-8	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madeline Joyce	+2.8
16	7-9	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.5
17	7-10	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.8
18	8-10	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.2
19	8-11	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.3
20	9-11	FDU	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
21	10-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Mila Samardzija	+3.1
22	11-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Bad set	Isabella Scarfone		+3.4
23	12-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Madeline Joyce	+3.7
24	12-12	MERCYH	FDU×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.0
25	12-13	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.7
26	12-14	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU	aced Anna Logan	+3.5
27	13-14	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
28	13-15	MERCYH	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.0
29	13-16	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Isabella Scarfone, Alessia Zampieri	+3.3
30	13-17	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.8
31	14-17	FDU	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
32	15-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Alessia Zampieri	blk Madison Miner	+3.1
33	16-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Sydney Forcht	+3.8
34	16-18	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+3.6
35	17-18	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+3.3
36	17-19	MERCYH	FDU	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.8
37	18-19	FDU	MERCYH	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+3.5
38	19-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+5.2
39	19-20	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+4.6
40	20-20	FDU	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+4.7
41	21-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+6.6
42	22-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+6.7
43	22-21	MERCYH	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+4.5
44	22-22	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+7.3
45	23-22	FDU	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+7.5
46	23-23	MERCYH	FDU×3	Bad set	Sydney Forcht		+7.1
47	23-24	FDU	FDU×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Ava DeGuzman, Alessia Zampieri	+10.9
48	23-25	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+10.2

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

FDU def. Mercyhurst 3–1

7 aces from Madeline Joyce, and FDU needed each of them.