Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwaySUMMIT-LEAGUE

3:1

HomeMVC

Kansas City def. Evansville 3–1

(26-24, 23-25, 25-14, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
KC	26	23	25	25	3
EVANS	24	25	14	19	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

EVANS above 50 · KC below

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Evansville — set 1, KC 23-24 EVANS. Kill by Sabrina Ripple (set by Carsyn Kelley). EVANS win probability 28% → 37%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

KC 74.0%26.0% EVANS

Kansas City wins

3-0

26.2%

3-1

28.3%

3-2

19.5%

Evansville wins

3-0

4.7%

3-1

8.9%

3-2

12.4%

KC break %: 46.2% vs this opp
EVANS break %: 41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sabrina RippleKill+8.9%
Kill by Sabrina Ripple (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 1 · KC 23-24 EVANS · EVANS 28% → 37%
02
Wren JonesAttack error+8.2%
Attack error by Wren Jones
Set 1 · KC 25-24 EVANS · KC 70% → 78%
03
Ryanne WattreeKill+7.3%
Kill by Ryanne Wattree (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 1 · KC 26-24 EVANS · KC 78% → 86%
04
EVANS serverService error+7.0%
Evansville service error
Set 1 · KC 24-24 EVANS · KC 63% → 70%
05
Ryan ScheuKill+6.3%
Kill by Ryan Scheu (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 2 · KC 23-25 EVANS · EVANS 25% → 31%
06
Wren JonesKill+5.3%
Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 1 · KC 22-22 EVANS · EVANS 23% → 28%
07
Emry BrownKill+4.9%
Kill by Emry Brown (set by Coco Buschhorn)
Set 1 · KC 23-22 EVANS · KC 72% → 77%
08
Wren JonesKill+4.9%
Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 1 · KC 23-23 EVANS · EVANS 23% → 28%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Kansas Cityaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ryanne WattreeOH	4	19	2	35	.486	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	21
9Emry BrownOH	4	11	4	27	.259	0	1	0	10	1	0	0	0	12
20Mia WeaverOH	4	10	1	26	.346	1	1	3	12	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
11Stella SmithMB	4	9	1	18	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
22Savy RepinskiS	4	2	0	4	.500	28	2	3	7	0	0	0	0	4
16Hannah WaymentMB	4	0	2	5	-.400	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Madelyn BahnsenOH	4	3	2	15	.067	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	4
12Chloe KaminskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	24	3	0	0	0	1
7Dani BreyDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	1
6Megan LawsonDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
10Coco BuschhornS	4	0	0	0	–	18	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
19Gizem ErogluMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Clarke HenryOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		55	12	135	.319	53	7	10	73	7	1	10	6	99

Evansvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Wren JonesOH	4	14	6	36	.222	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
17Ryan ScheuOH	4	10	2	26	.308	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	11
18Makenzie MillerMB	4	8	3	20	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
7Lyla FisherOH	4	8	10	42	-.048	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	9
4Sabrina RippleMB	4	5	1	13	.308	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	8
2Carsyn KelleyS	4	2	0	7	.286	40	2	3	18	0	0	0	0	4
15Brooke HerdesOH	4	0	0	1	.000	0	2	3	4	1	0	0	0	2
6Lexi OwenS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
20Kendall AglerL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	0	4	22	2	0	0	0	0
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
21McKenzie LaubachMB	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
1Carlotta Pascual CentellesOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		49	22	153	.176	44	7	15	63	7	2	6	5	82

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 KC · EVANS 6

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 KCEVANS 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 KCEVANS 6

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 KCEVANS 2

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 KCEVANS 4

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Kansas City leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Kansas City

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	69%18/26
2	90%9/10	40%6/15
3	73%8/11	50%9/18
4	89%8/9	11%1/9
5	53%8/15	58%11/19
6	42%8/19	27%3/11
All	61%51/83	49%48/98

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%10/22	64%14/22
2	53%9/17	23%3/13
3	64%9/14	18%2/11
4	50%8/16	27%3/11
5	67%8/12	38%5/13
6	35%6/17	38%5/13
All	51%50/98	39%32/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#	KC-EVANS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.5
2	2-0	KC	KC	Ace	KC server	aced Lyla Fisher	+1.8
3	2-1	KC	EVANS	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree		+1.4
4	3-1	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+1.4
5	4-1	KC	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Ryanne Wattree, Stella Smith	+1.7
6	4-2	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+1.3
7	5-2	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.3
8	6-2	KC	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.5
9	6-3	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
10	6-4	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Madelyn Bahnsen	+1.7
11	7-4	EVANS	KC×4	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.4
12	8-4	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+1.6
13	9-4	KC	KC×4	Ace	KC server	aced Brooke Herdes	+1.3
14	10-4	KC	KC×4	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.1
15	10-5	KC	EVANS×3	Serve err	KC server		+0.7
16	10-6	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Wren Jones		+1.2
17	10-7	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.5
18	11-7	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.3
19	12-7	KC	KC	Ace	KC server	aced Kendall Agler	+1.4
20	12-8	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+0.9
21	12-9	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Hannah Wayment		+1.5
22	13-9	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.3
23	13-10	KC	EVANS×5	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
24	13-11	EVANS	EVANS×5	Attack err	Hannah Wayment	blk Sabrina Ripple	+2.0
25	13-12	EVANS	EVANS×5	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree	blk Ryan Scheu, Sabrina Ripple	+2.4
26	13-13	EVANS	EVANS×5	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Ryan Scheu	+2.8
27	13-14	EVANS	EVANS×5	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+3.1
28	14-14	EVANS	KC×3	Serve err	EVANS server		+2.3
29	15-14	KC	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+3.0
30	16-14	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Sabrina Ripple	blk Ryanne Wattree	+2.8
31	16-15	KC	EVANS	Attack err	Emry Brown		+2.1
32	17-15	EVANS	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.3
33	18-15	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+2.6
34	19-15	KC	KC×3	Kill	Savy Repinski	set Dani Brey	+2.0
35	19-16	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Sabrina Ripple	+1.2
36	19-17	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Dani Brey	+2.2
37	20-17	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.2
38	20-18	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Kendall Agler	+1.8
39	21-18	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.3
40	22-18	KC	KC	Kill	Madelyn Bahnsen	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.0
41	22-19	KC	EVANS×4	Serve err	KC server		+1.0
42	22-20	EVANS	EVANS×4	Ace	EVANS server	aced Chloe Kaminski	+2.1
43	22-21	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Stella Smith	blk Makenzie Miller	+3.5
44	22-22	EVANS	EVANS×4	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+5.3
45	23-22	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+4.9
46	23-23	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+4.9
47	23-24	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+8.9
48	24-24	EVANS	KC×3	Serve err	EVANS server		+7.0
49	25-24	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+8.2
50	26-24	KC	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+7.3
Set 2
1	1-0	KC	KC	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.5
2	1-1	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+1.2
3	2-1	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.2
4	2-2	KC	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
5	3-2	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+1.2
6	3-3	KC	EVANS	Attack err	Emry Brown		+1.3
7	4-3	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.2
8	4-4	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.3
9	5-4	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.3
10	5-5	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.3
11	6-5	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Mia Weaver	+1.3
12	6-6	KC	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.4
13	7-6	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.4
14	7-7	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.4
15	7-8	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Chloe Kaminski	+2.0
16	8-8	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.5
17	9-8	KC	KC	Attack err	Ryan Scheu	blk Gizem Eroglu, Mia Weaver	+1.9
18	9-9	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.5
19	10-9	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.5
20	11-9	KC	KC	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+1.8
21	11-10	KC	EVANS×3	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.4
22	11-11	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.1
23	11-12	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Makenzie Miller		+2.3
24	12-12	EVANS	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Ryanne Wattree, Stella Smith	+1.7
25	12-13	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.9
26	13-13	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.8
27	14-13	KC	KC	Kill	Madelyn Bahnsen	set Kendall Agler	+2.3
28	14-14	KC	EVANS×3	Serve err	KC server		+1.8
29	14-15	EVANS	EVANS×3	Bad set	Coco Buschhorn		+2.6
30	14-16	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Emry Brown		+2.8
31	15-16	EVANS	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.9
32	16-16	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Team	+2.7
33	17-16	KC	KC×3	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.7
34	17-17	KC	EVANS×6	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.1
35	17-18	EVANS	EVANS×6	Attack err	Madelyn Bahnsen	blk Wren Jones, Sabrina Ripple	+3.1
36	17-19	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	EVANS server	aced Emry Brown	+3.3
37	17-20	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+3.1
38	17-21	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.6
39	17-22	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.8
40	18-22	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.7
41	19-22	KC	KC	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.5
42	19-23	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+2.0
43	20-23	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+0.9
44	21-23	KC	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.1
45	21-24	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+3.0
46	22-24	EVANS	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.2
47	23-24	KC	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+3.4
48	23-25	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+6.3
Set 3
1	0-1	EVANS	EVANS	Bad set	Savy Repinski		+3.0
2	1-1	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.2
3	1-2	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.4
4	2-2	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+2.3
5	2-3	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.5
6	3-3	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.3
7	3-4	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.5
8	4-4	EVANS	KC×4	Serve err	EVANS server		+2.4
9	5-4	KC	KC×4	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+3.0
10	6-4	KC	KC×4	Kill	Emry Brown	set Chloe Kaminski	+2.8
11	7-4	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+2.6
12	7-5	KC	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.0
13	8-5	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.0
14	8-6	KC	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+2.0
15	9-6	EVANS	KC×6	Serve err	EVANS server		+2.1
16	10-6	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.4
17	11-6	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.0
18	12-6	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
19	13-6	KC	KC×6	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.2
20	14-6	KC	KC×6	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+0.8
21	14-7	KC	EVANS	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+0.5
22	14-8	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Kendall Agler	+0.9
23	15-8	EVANS	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+0.9
24	15-9	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
25	16-9	EVANS	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+0.8
26	17-9	KC	KC×3	Kill	Savy Repinski	set Megan Lawson	+0.7
27	18-9	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Sabrina Ripple	+0.4
28	18-10	KC	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
29	19-10	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+0.3
30	19-11	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+0.2
31	20-11	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
32	21-11	KC	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Madelyn Bahnsen, Stella Smith	+0.1
33	21-12	KC	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
34	22-12	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.1
35	22-13	KC	EVANS	Bad set	Coco Buschhorn		+0.0
36	22-14	EVANS	EVANS	Bad set	Coco Buschhorn		+0.1
37	23-14	EVANS	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.1
38	24-14	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.0
39	25-14	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced McKenzie Laubach	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	KC	KC×6	Ace	KC server	aced Kendall Agler	+2.3
2	2-0	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+2.1
3	3-0	KC	KC×6	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+2.0
4	4-0	KC	KC×6	Attack err	Ryan Scheu		+1.7
5	5-0	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.5
6	6-0	KC	KC×6	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+1.2
7	6-1	KC	EVANS	Attack err	Emry Brown		+0.9
8	7-1	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.0
9	7-2	KC	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.9
10	7-3	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.4
11	8-3	EVANS	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.2
12	8-4	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
13	9-4	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.2
14	9-5	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+1.1
15	10-5	EVANS	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.2
16	11-5	KC	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.3
17	11-6	KC	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
18	12-6	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.0
19	12-7	KC	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
20	13-7	EVANS	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.0
21	13-8	KC	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
22	13-9	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.4
23	14-9	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.3
24	15-9	KC	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Savy Repinski	+1.3
25	15-10	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
26	16-10	EVANS	KC×3	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.0
27	17-10	KC	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree		+0.9
28	18-10	KC	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+0.5
29	18-11	KC	EVANS	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
30	19-11	EVANS	KC	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.4
31	19-12	KC	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
32	20-12	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.3
33	21-12	KC	KC	Kill	Madelyn Bahnsen	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.2
34	21-13	KC	EVANS	Kill	Carsyn Kelley		+0.1
35	22-13	EVANS	KC	Kill	Clarke Henry	set Coco Buschhorn	+0.1
36	22-14	KC	EVANS×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
37	22-15	EVANS	EVANS×4	Ace	EVANS server	aced Chloe Kaminski	+0.1
38	22-16	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Madelyn Bahnsen	blk Makenzie Miller, Ryan Scheu	+0.2
39	22-17	EVANS	EVANS×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher		+0.4
40	23-17	EVANS	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Hannah Wayment, Madelyn Bahnsen	+0.6
41	24-17	KC	KC	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.2
42	24-18	KC	EVANS	Serve err	KC server		+0.0
43	24-19	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Mia Weaver	+0.1
44	25-19	EVANS	KC	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Kansas City first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.