Mercer def. North Dakota 3–1
Mercer won at North Dakota 3-1 (20-25, 25-23, 25-21, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Mercer's Avery Wilks and Brooklyn Palmer led with 13 kills each, and Aubri Martin added 21 digs.
Data through · final Sep 4
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCER | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NO DAK | 25 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.1% to Mercer — set 2, MERCER 25-23 NO DAK. Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin). NO DAK win probability 54% → 46%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Mercer wins
North Dakota wins
- MERCER break %
- 45.2% vs this opp
- NO DAK break %
- 44.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lara MattaKill+8.1%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin)
Set 2 · MERCER 25-23 NO DAK · MERCER 46% → 54%
- 02Avery WilksKill+4.7%
Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 16-14 NO DAK · MERCER 58% → 63%
- 03
- 04An de HamerAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by An de Hamer
Set 3 · MERCER 18-15 NO DAK · MERCER 63% → 68%
- 05Sammi BergjansAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Sammi Bergjans
Set 2 · MERCER 24-23 NO DAK · NO DAK 49% → 54%
- 06Brooklyn PalmerAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Brooklyn Palmer
Set 3 · MERCER 14-13 NO DAK · NO DAK 37% → 41%
- 07Brooklyn PalmerKill+4.0%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 17-15 NO DAK · MERCER 59% → 63%
- 08Avery WilksKill+3.9%
Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 15-14 NO DAK · MERCER 54% → 58%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 24 | .417 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | |
| 4 | 13 | 9 | 38 | .105 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 44 | .136 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 43 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -.222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 28 | 162 | .191 | 51 | 9 | 8 | 83 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 37 | .270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 31 | .065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 25 | .320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 14 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | .231 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 22 | 156 | .160 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 70 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 85 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Mercer vs North Dakota
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Fri, Sep 4, 2026Mercer at North Dakota · Mercer won 3-1This match
- Sat, Sep 5, 2026Mercer at North Dakota · North Dakota won 3-1Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-16
Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 14%1/7 |
| 2 | 43%6/14 | 63%10/16 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 40%4/10 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 60%9/15 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 57%36/63 | 49%34/69 |
North Dakota
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%6/13 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 55%6/11 | 60%9/15 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 14%1/7 |
| 4 | 46%6/13 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 40%6/15 | 14%1/7 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 51%35/69 | 43%27/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
180 rallies
| # | MERCER-NO DAK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +2.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund | +2.3 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Blocked | An de Hamer | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Blocked | Olivia Edlund | blk Avery Wilks | +2.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +2.8 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +2.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Skylar Darr | +2.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Skylar Darr | +3.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Lauren Perugini | +3.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.3 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Lara Matta | +2.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Avery Wilks | blk An de Hamer | +3.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.7 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +3.5 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 33 | 15-18 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 34 | 15-19 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NO DAK | MERCER | Blocked | Lilliana Montes | blk Avery Wilks | +1.9 |
| 36 | 16-20 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.5 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Andrea Zaric | +3.1 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +3.4 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 42 | 19-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund | +3.1 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.6 |
| 44 | 20-24 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | Haley Patton | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.8 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | MERCER | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 9–10 | 5-5 | MERCER · NO DAK | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.6 | |||
| 11 | 6-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Skylar Darr | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Haley Patton | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Olivia Edlund | +2.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +3.1 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.6 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | NO DAK | MERCER×7 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +3.4 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +2.8 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Ace | Mercer | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Blocked | Andrea Zaric | blk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer | +1.7 |
| 31 | 19-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.8 |
| 34 | 21-13 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.6 |
| 35 | 21-14 | MERCER | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +0.2 |
| 36 | 21-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Ace | Haley Patton | aced Aubri Martin | +0.8 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund, Ellee McIntosh | +2.1 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.5 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund | +3.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Aubri Martin | set Haley Patton | +3.8 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Sammi Bergjans | +4.5 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +8.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Ellee McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 4 | 4-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Ellee McIntosh | +2.8 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.4 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +3.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Haley Patton | +2.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +3.1 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | MERCER | MERCER | Blocked | Olivia Edlund | blk Ipek Ulukutlu, Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Lara Matta | +3.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +3.4 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +4.1 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +4.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.0 |
| 33 | 18-15 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +4.5 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +2.7 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.6 |
| 39 | 22-17 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +0.6 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +1.3 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 42 | 23-19 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | +0.8 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Aubri Martin | +1.5 |
| 44 | 24-20 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +1.1 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Blocked | An de Hamer | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +3.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Blocked | An de Hamer | blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta | +3.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Tessa Jacobson | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | MERCER×6 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Ace | Mercer | aced Skylar Darr | +3.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +3.1 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 15 | 10-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Ace | Mercer | aced Haley Patton | +2.1 |
| 17 | 11-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +1.4 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Lilliana Montes, Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 19 | 12-7 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Ipek Ulukutlu | blk An de Hamer | +2.7 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | +3.2 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.9 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.6 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +3.8 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.3 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.4 |
| 29 | 17-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Blocked | Andrea Zaric | blk Avery Wilks | +2.7 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.7 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 32 | 18-14 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.6 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 35 | 21-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +1.1 |
| 36 | 22-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 37 | 22-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.3 |
| 39 | 23-16 | MERCER | NO DAK | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Ellee McIntosh, Tessa Jacobson | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.2 |
| 41 | 25-16 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).