CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026
Mercer logo

AwaySOCON

3:1
North Dakota logo

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Mercer def. North Dakota 31

(20-25, 25-23, 25-21, 25-16)
Set12*34Sets
MERCER202525253
NO DAK252321161
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NO DAK above 50 · MERCER below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100NO DAKMERCERBiggest swing +8.0% MERCER · S2 25-23rally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Mercer — set 2, MERCER 25-23 NO DAK. Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin). NO DAK win probability 59%51%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MERCER 48.8%51.2% NO DAK

Mercer wins

3-0
12.0%
3-1
18.3%
3-2
18.5%

North Dakota wins

3-0
13.0%
3-1
19.2%
3-2
18.9%
MERCER break %
45.0% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Lara MattaKill+8.0%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin)

    Set 2 · MERCER 25-23 NO DAK · MERCER 41%49%

  2. 02
    Avery WilksKill+4.8%

    Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 16-14 NO DAK · MERCER 53%58%

  3. 03
    An de HamerAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by An de Hamer

    Set 3 · MERCER 18-15 NO DAK · MERCER 59%63%

  4. 04
    Lara MattaAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Lara Matta

    Set 3 · MERCER 14-14 NO DAK · NO DAK 46%51%

  5. 05
    Sammi BergjansAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Sammi Bergjans

    Set 2 · MERCER 24-23 NO DAK · NO DAK 55%59%

  6. 06
    Lara MattaKill+4.2%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 4 · MERCER 15-12 NO DAK · MERCER 83%87%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 17-15 NO DAK · MERCER 54%59%

  8. 08
    Brooklyn PalmerAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Brooklyn Palmer

    Set 3 · MERCER 14-13 NO DAK · NO DAK 42%46%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Merceraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413324.4170103032418
413938.105031130010.516.5
412644.136212190031.514.5
411525.24000030031.512.5
4319.22243021000003
40000001100000
4103.3336212110003
3001.000022200002
2519.44400010010.55.5
2139-.222000000001
Team totals5928162.1915198831310895
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411137.27000082031.512.5
49731.0650006020211
411325.3200008000011
47314.28600030010.57.5
43013.2313701120010.53.5
34215.133000302237
4117.000000810001
4014-.2504101710001
4000002540000
3149-.33300000010.51.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals4722156.160411370948885

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 MERCER · NO DAK 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 2*

25-23

Longest run 7 MERCERNO DAK 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 6 MERCERNO DAK 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
14%1/7
2
43%6/14
63%10/16
3
75%6/8
40%4/10
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
60%9/15
6
45%5/11
50%5/10
All
57%36/63
49%34/69

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
54%7/13
2
55%6/11
60%9/15
3
60%6/10
14%1/7
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
40%6/15
14%1/7
6
71%5/7
45%5/11
All
51%35/69
43%27/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#MERCER-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
20-2NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+2.4
30-3NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+2.3
40-4NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund+2.1
51-4NO DAKMERCER×3Attack errAn de Hamerblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+1.6
62-4MERCERMERCER×3Attack errOlivia Edlundblk Avery Wilks+2.2
73-4MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAn de Hamer+2.4
83-5MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.1
94-5NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
105-5MERCERMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
115-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.2
126-6NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.2
136-7MERCERNO DAK×3KillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+2.7
156-9NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errMikayla Miessler+2.6
167-9NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
177-10MERCERNO DAKAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+2.2
188-10NO DAKMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Aubri Martin+2.0
199-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Skylar Darr+2.7
2010-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Skylar Darr+3.0
2111-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Lauren Perugini+3.1
2211-11MERCERNO DAK×3Serve errMERCER server+2.5
2311-12NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errMikayla Miessler+3.2
2411-13NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+3.2
2512-13NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Lara Matta+2.5
2612-14MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
2713-14NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
2814-14MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.5
2914-15MERCERNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilksblk An de Hamer+3.0
3014-16NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+3.6
3114-17NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+3.3
3215-17NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
3315-18MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
3415-19NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
3516-19NO DAKMERCERAttack errLilliana Montesblk Avery Wilks+1.8
3616-20MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.4
3717-20NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
3818-20MERCERMERCERAttack errAndrea Zaric+3.0
3918-21MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+3.3
4019-21NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
4119-22MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+3.5
4219-23NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund+2.9
4319-24NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+1.5
4420-24NO DAKMERCERAttack errHaley Patton+0.3
4520-25MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.7
Set 2
10-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
21-1NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
32-1MERCERMERCERBad setReagan McIntosh+2.4
42-2MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
53-2NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
63-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.0
74-3NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
84-4MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
94-5NO DAKNO DAKFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.6
105-5NO DAKMERCERFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.1
116-5MERCERMERCERAceMERCER serveraced Skylar Darr+2.6
126-6MERCERNO DAKAttack errMikayla Miessler+2.1
137-6NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
147-7MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
157-8NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+2.8
168-8NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Olivia Edlund+2.3
179-8MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.9
189-9MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
1910-9NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
2011-9MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+3.0
2111-10MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
2212-10NO DAKMERCERKillSammi Bergjansset Reagan McIntosh+2.5
2312-11MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
2412-12NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Matta+3.1
2513-12NO DAKMERCER×7KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.7
2614-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errLilliana Montes+3.3
2715-12MERCERMERCER×7KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
2816-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errLilliana Montes+2.8
2917-12MERCERMERCER×7AceMERCER serveraced Team+2.3
3018-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer+1.7
3119-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errTessa Jacobson+1.2
3219-13MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntosh+0.6
3320-13NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.9
3421-13MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
3521-14MERCERNO DAK×5KillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+0.2
3621-15NO DAKNO DAK×5KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.5
3721-16NO DAKNO DAK×5AceNO DAK serveraced Aubri Martin+0.8
3821-17NO DAKNO DAK×5Bad setSammi Bergjans+1.3
3921-18NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund, Ellee McIntosh+2.0
4022-18NO DAKMERCERBad setReagan McIntosh+2.5
4122-19MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.5
4222-20NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund+3.0
4323-20NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.7
4423-21MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
4524-21NO DAKMERCERKillAubri Martinset Haley Patton+3.8
4624-22MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.6
4724-23NO DAKNO DAKAttack errSammi Bergjans+4.4
4825-23NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+8.0
Set 3
11-0NO DAKMERCER×4KillSammi Bergjansset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
22-0MERCERMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
33-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Ellee McIntosh+3.1
44-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Ellee McIntosh+2.9
54-1MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMERCER server+2.2
64-2NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
74-3NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+3.2
84-4NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+3.4
95-4NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
105-5MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.8
116-5NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.9
127-5MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+3.5
137-6MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Haley Patton+2.8
147-7NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
158-7NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
168-8MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
179-8NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+3.2
1810-8MERCERMERCERAttack errOlivia Edlundblk Ipek Ulukutlu, Joselynn Sanjurjo+3.9
1910-9MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
2011-9NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Lara Matta+3.3
2112-9MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.8
2212-10MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.8
2313-10NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
2414-10MERCERMERCERAttack errEllee McIntosh+3.6
2514-11MERCERNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.5
2614-12NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
2714-13NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+4.2
2814-14NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+4.6
2915-14NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+4.0
3016-14MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+4.8
3116-15MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+3.7
3217-15NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+4.2
3318-15MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+4.7
3418-16MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.3
3519-16NO DAKMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+4.0
3620-16MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+4.1
3721-16MERCERMERCER×4Attack errLauren Perugini+2.9
3822-16MERCERMERCER×4KillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
3922-17MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+0.7
4022-18NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+1.5
4123-18NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
4223-19MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntosh+0.9
4324-19NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Aubri Martin+1.7
4424-20MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
4524-21NO DAKNO DAKAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.2
4625-21NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
Set 4
10-1MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+2.6
21-1NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+2.6
31-2MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
42-2NO DAKMERCER×3KillSammi Bergjans+2.7
53-2MERCERMERCER×3Attack errTessa Jacobson+3.3
64-2MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAn de Hamerblk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta+3.3
74-3MERCERNO DAKKillTessa Jacobsonset Reagan McIntosh+2.6
84-4NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Matta+3.4
95-4NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.9
105-5MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
116-5NO DAKMERCER×6KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.9
127-5MERCERMERCER×6AceMERCER serveraced Skylar Darr+3.6
138-5MERCERMERCER×6Attack errTessa Jacobson+3.5
149-5MERCERMERCER×6KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
1510-5MERCERMERCER×6Attack errTessa Jacobson+2.9
1611-5MERCERMERCER×6AceMERCER serveraced Haley Patton+2.5
1711-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+1.7
1811-7NO DAKNO DAKAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Lilliana Montes, Reagan McIntosh+2.5
1912-7NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
2012-8MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
2112-9NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errIpek Ulukutlublk An de Hamer+3.0
2212-10NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montes+3.5
2313-10NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+3.3
2413-11MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
2513-12NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+4.1
2614-12NO DAKMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.7
2715-12MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.2
2816-12MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.8
2917-12MERCERMERCER×4Attack errAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks+3.1
3017-13MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
3118-13NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
3218-14MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
3319-14NO DAKMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
3420-14MERCERMERCER×4KillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
3521-14MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Aubri Martin+1.3
3622-14MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.7
3722-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+0.2
3823-15NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
3923-16MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Ellee McIntosh, Tessa Jacobson+0.1
4024-16NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
4125-16MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjo+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.