Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

Mercer def. North Dakota 3–1

Mercer won at North Dakota 3-1 (20-25, 25-23, 25-21, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Mercer's Avery Wilks and Brooklyn Palmer led with 13 kills each, and Aubri Martin added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
MERCER202525253
NO DAK252321161

Win probability

North Dakota above 50 · Mercer below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.1% MERCERrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.1% to Mercer — set 2, MERCER 25-23 NO DAK. Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin). NO DAK win probability 54% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCER 55.6%44.4% NO DAK

Mercer wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%

North Dakota wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%
MERCER break %
45.2% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lara MattaKill+8.1%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin)

    Set 2 · MERCER 25-23 NO DAK · MERCER 46% → 54%

  2. 02
    Avery WilksKill+4.7%

    Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 16-14 NO DAK · MERCER 58% → 63%

  3. 03
    Lara MattaAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Lara Matta

    Set 3 · MERCER 14-14 NO DAK · NO DAK 41% → 46%

  4. 04
    An de HamerAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by An de Hamer

    Set 3 · MERCER 18-15 NO DAK · MERCER 63% → 68%

  5. 05
    Sammi BergjansAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Sammi Bergjans

    Set 2 · MERCER 24-23 NO DAK · NO DAK 49% → 54%

  6. 06
    Brooklyn PalmerAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Brooklyn Palmer

    Set 3 · MERCER 14-13 NO DAK · NO DAK 37% → 41%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 17-15 NO DAK · MERCER 59% → 63%

  8. 08
    Avery WilksKill+3.9%

    Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 15-14 NO DAK · MERCER 54% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merceraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413324.4170103032418
413938.105031130010.516.5
412644.136212190031.514.5
411525.24000030031.512.5
4319.22243021000003
4000–0001100000
4103.3336212110003
3001.000022200002
2519.44400010010.55.5
2139-.222000000001
Team totals5928162.1915198831310895
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411137.27000082031.512.5
49731.0650006020211
411325.3200008000011
47314.28600030010.57.5
43013.2313701120010.53.5
34215.133000302237
4117.000000810001
4014-.2504101710001
4000–002540000
3149-.33300000010.51.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals4722156.160411370948885

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercer vs North Dakota

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MERCER · NO DAK 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 7 MERCERNO DAK 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 6 MERCERNO DAK 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
14%1/7
2
43%6/14
63%10/16
3
75%6/8
40%4/10
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
60%9/15
6
45%5/11
50%5/10
All
57%36/63
49%34/69

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
54%7/13
2
55%6/11
60%9/15
3
60%6/10
14%1/7
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
40%6/15
14%1/7
6
71%5/7
45%5/11
All
51%35/69
43%27/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#MERCER-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
20-2NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+2.4
30-3NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+2.4
40-4NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund+2.3
51-4NO DAKMERCER×3BlockedAn de Hamerblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+1.7
62-4MERCERMERCER×3BlockedOlivia Edlundblk Avery Wilks+2.3
73-4MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAn de Hamer+2.4
83-5MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.1
94-5NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
105-5MERCERMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
115-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.2
126-6NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.1
136-7MERCERNO DAK×3KillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+2.8
156-9NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errMikayla Miessler+2.7
167-9NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
177-10MERCERNO DAKAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+2.2
188-10NO DAKMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Aubri Martin+2.0
199-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Skylar Darr+2.8
2010-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Skylar Darr+3.0
2111-10MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Lauren Perugini+3.1
2211-11MERCERNO DAK×3Serve errMercer+2.5
2311-12NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errMikayla Miessler+3.2
2411-13NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+3.3
2512-13NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Lara Matta+2.5
2612-14MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
2713-14NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
2814-14MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.5
2914-15MERCERNO DAK×3BlockedAvery Wilksblk An de Hamer+3.0
3014-16NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+3.7
3114-17NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+3.5
3215-17NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
3315-18MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
3415-19NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
3516-19NO DAKMERCERBlockedLilliana Montesblk Avery Wilks+1.9
3616-20MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.5
3717-20NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
3818-20MERCERMERCERAttack errAndrea Zaric+3.1
3918-21MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+3.4
4019-21NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
4119-22MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
4219-23NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund+3.1
4319-24NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+1.6
4420-24NO DAKMERCERAttack errHaley Patton+0.3
4520-25MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.8
Set 2
10-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
21-1NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
32-1MERCERMERCERBad setReagan McIntosh+2.5
42-2MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.1
53-2NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
63-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.1
74-3NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
84-4MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
9–105-5MERCER · NO DAK
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
116-5MERCERMERCERAceMerceraced Skylar Darr+2.8
126-6MERCERNO DAKAttack errMikayla Miessler+2.3
137-6NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.3
147-7MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
157-8NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+3.0
168-8NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Olivia Edlund+2.4
179-8MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.0
189-9MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.5
1910-9NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
2011-9MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+3.1
2111-10MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
2212-10NO DAKMERCERKillSammi Bergjansset Reagan McIntosh+2.6
2312-11MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.5
2412-12NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Matta+3.4
2513-12NO DAKMERCER×7KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
2614-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errLilliana Montes+3.4
2715-12MERCERMERCER×7KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
2816-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errLilliana Montes+2.8
2917-12MERCERMERCER×7AceMercer+2.3
3018-12MERCERMERCER×7BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer+1.7
3119-12MERCERMERCER×7Attack errTessa Jacobson+1.1
3219-13MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntosh+0.6
3320-13NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.8
3421-13MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
3521-14MERCERNO DAK×5KillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+0.2
3621-15NO DAKNO DAK×5KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.5
3721-16NO DAKNO DAK×5AceHaley Pattonaced Aubri Martin+0.8
3821-17NO DAKNO DAK×5Bad setSammi Bergjans+1.3
3921-18NO DAKNO DAK×5BlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund, Ellee McIntosh+2.1
4022-18NO DAKMERCERBad setReagan McIntosh+2.5
4122-19MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.5
4222-20NO DAKNO DAKBlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Olivia Edlund+3.0
4323-20NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.7
4423-21MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
4524-21NO DAKMERCERKillAubri Martinset Haley Patton+3.8
4624-22MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.6
4724-23NO DAKNO DAKAttack errSammi Bergjans+4.5
4825-23NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+8.1
Set 3
11-0NO DAKMERCER×4KillSammi Bergjansset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
22-0MERCERMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
33-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Ellee McIntosh+3.0
44-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Ellee McIntosh+2.8
54-1MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMercer+2.1
64-2NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
74-3NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+3.1
84-4NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+3.4
95-4NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
105-5MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.8
116-5NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
127-5MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+3.5
137-6MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Haley Patton+2.7
147-7NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
158-7NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.0
168-8MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
179-8NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+3.1
1810-8MERCERMERCERBlockedOlivia Edlundblk Ipek Ulukutlu, Joselynn Sanjurjo+3.8
1910-9MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
2011-9NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Lara Matta+3.1
2112-9MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.7
2212-10MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
2313-10NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.0
2414-10MERCERMERCERAttack errEllee McIntosh+3.4
2514-11MERCERNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
2614-12NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.5
2714-13NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+4.1
2814-14NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Matta+4.6
2915-14NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.9
3016-14MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+4.7
3116-15MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
3217-15NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+4.0
3318-15MERCERMERCERAttack errAn de Hamer+4.5
3418-16MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
3519-16NO DAKMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.8
3620-16MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+3.8
3721-16MERCERMERCER×4Attack errLauren Perugini+2.7
3822-16MERCERMERCER×4KillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+1.6
3922-17MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+0.6
4022-18NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Haley Patton+1.3
4123-18NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
4223-19MERCERNO DAKKillReagan McIntosh+0.8
4324-19NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Aubri Martin+1.5
4424-20MERCERNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
4524-21NO DAKNO DAKAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.1
4625-21NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
Set 4
10-1MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+2.5
21-1NO DAKMERCERBlockedAn de Hamerblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+2.4
31-2MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.5
42-2NO DAKMERCER×3KillSammi Bergjans+2.5
53-2MERCERMERCER×3Attack errTessa Jacobson+3.1
64-2MERCERMERCER×3BlockedAn de Hamerblk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta+3.1
74-3MERCERNO DAKKillTessa Jacobsonset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
84-4NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Matta+3.2
95-4NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.6
105-5MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
116-5NO DAKMERCER×6KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.7
127-5MERCERMERCER×6AceMerceraced Skylar Darr+3.3
138-5MERCERMERCER×6Attack errTessa Jacobson+3.1
149-5MERCERMERCER×6KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.9
1510-5MERCERMERCER×6Attack errTessa Jacobson+2.5
1611-5MERCERMERCER×6AceMerceraced Haley Patton+2.1
1711-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+1.4
1811-7NO DAKNO DAKBlockedJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Lilliana Montes, Reagan McIntosh+2.2
1912-7NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
2012-8MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.8
2112-9NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedIpek Ulukutlublk An de Hamer+2.7
2212-10NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montes+3.2
2313-10NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+2.9
2413-11MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.6
2513-12NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+3.8
2614-12NO DAKMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.3
2715-12MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.8
2816-12MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.4
2917-12MERCERMERCER×4BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks+2.7
3017-13MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.7
3118-13NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
3218-14MERCERNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+1.6
3319-14NO DAKMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
3420-14MERCERMERCER×4KillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
3521-14MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Aubri Martin+1.1
3622-14MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
3722-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+0.2
3823-15NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
3923-16MERCERNO DAKBlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Ellee McIntosh, Tessa Jacobson+0.1
4024-16NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
4125-16MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjo·

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).