Mercer def. North Dakota 3–1
(20-25, 25-23, 25-21, 25-16)| Set | 1 | 2* | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCER | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NO DAK | 25 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 1 |
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.0% to Mercer — set 2, MERCER 25-23 NO DAK. Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin). NO DAK win probability 59% → 51%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Mercer wins
North Dakota wins
- MERCER break %
- 45.0% vs this opp
- NO DAK break %
- 45.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Lara MattaKill+8.0%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin)
Set 2 · MERCER 25-23 NO DAK · MERCER 41% → 49%
- 02Avery WilksKill+4.8%
Kill by Avery Wilks (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 16-14 NO DAK · MERCER 53% → 58%
- 03An de HamerAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by An de Hamer
Set 3 · MERCER 18-15 NO DAK · MERCER 59% → 63%
- 04
- 05Sammi BergjansAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Sammi Bergjans
Set 2 · MERCER 24-23 NO DAK · NO DAK 55% → 59%
- 06Lara MattaKill+4.2%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 4 · MERCER 15-12 NO DAK · MERCER 83% → 87%
- 07Brooklyn PalmerKill+4.2%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 17-15 NO DAK · MERCER 54% → 59%
- 08Brooklyn PalmerAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Brooklyn Palmer
Set 3 · MERCER 14-13 NO DAK · NO DAK 42% → 46%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 24 | .417 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | |
| 4 | 13 | 9 | 38 | .105 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 44 | .136 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 43 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -.222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 28 | 162 | .191 | 51 | 9 | 8 | 83 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 37 | .270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 31 | .065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 25 | .320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 14 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | .231 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 22 | 156 | .160 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 70 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 85 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
20-25
Set 2*
25-23
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-16
Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 14%1/7 |
| 2 | 43%6/14 | 63%10/16 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 40%4/10 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 60%9/15 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 57%36/63 | 49%34/69 |
North Dakota
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%6/13 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 55%6/11 | 60%9/15 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 14%1/7 |
| 4 | 46%6/13 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 40%6/15 | 14%1/7 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 51%35/69 | 43%27/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
180 rallies
Rally log
| # | MERCER-NO DAK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +2.3 |
| 4 | 0-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund | +2.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Attack err | An de Hamer | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta | +1.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | blk Avery Wilks | +2.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +2.7 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +2.6 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +2.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Skylar Darr | +2.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Skylar Darr | +3.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Lauren Perugini | +3.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.2 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Lara Matta | +2.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | blk An de Hamer | +3.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.6 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +3.3 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 33 | 15-18 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 34 | 15-19 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | blk Avery Wilks | +1.8 |
| 36 | 16-20 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.4 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Andrea Zaric | +3.0 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +3.3 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.5 |
| 42 | 19-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund | +2.9 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.5 |
| 44 | 20-24 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | Haley Patton | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | MERCER | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Skylar Darr | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Haley Patton | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Olivia Edlund | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.1 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | NO DAK | MERCER×7 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +3.3 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.1 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +2.8 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +2.3 |
| 30 | 18-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Andrea Zaric | blk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer | +1.7 |
| 31 | 19-12 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 34 | 21-13 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.6 |
| 35 | 21-14 | MERCER | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +0.2 |
| 36 | 21-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Ace | NO DAK server | aced Aubri Martin | +0.8 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund, Ellee McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.5 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Olivia Edlund | +3.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Aubri Martin | set Haley Patton | +3.8 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Sammi Bergjans | +4.4 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +8.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Ellee McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 4 | 4-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Ellee McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.4 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +3.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Haley Patton | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | NO DAK server | +3.2 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | blk Ipek Ulukutlu, Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Lara Matta | +3.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +3.6 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +4.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +4.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.0 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.2 |
| 33 | 18-15 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | +4.7 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.0 |
| 36 | 20-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 39 | 22-17 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.7 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Haley Patton | +1.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | +0.9 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Aubri Martin | +1.7 |
| 44 | 24-20 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +1.2 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta | +2.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +3.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | An de Hamer | blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta | +3.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Tessa Jacobson | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.4 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | MERCER×6 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Skylar Darr | +3.6 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +3.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 15 | 10-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Tessa Jacobson | +2.9 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Haley Patton | +2.5 |
| 17 | 11-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Lilliana Montes, Reagan McIntosh | +2.5 |
| 19 | 12-7 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Ipek Ulukutlu | blk An de Hamer | +3.0 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | +3.5 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | NO DAK server | +3.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +4.1 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.8 |
| 29 | 17-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Andrea Zaric | blk Avery Wilks | +3.1 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 32 | 18-14 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Andrea Zaric | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 35 | 21-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +1.3 |
| 36 | 22-14 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.7 |
| 37 | 22-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.4 |
| 39 | 23-16 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Ellee McIntosh, Tessa Jacobson | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.2 |
| 41 | 25-16 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +0.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.