CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
Mercer logo

AwaySOCON

1:3
North Dakota logo

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

North Dakota def. Mercer 31

(21-25, 25-18, 25-22, 25-20)
Set1234*Sets
MERCER251822201
NO DAK212525253
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NO DAK above 50 · MERCER below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100NO DAKMERCERBiggest swing +5.6% NO DAK · S4 17-19rally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.6% to North Dakota — set 4, MERCER 17-19 NO DAK. Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo. NO DAK win probability 81%86%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MERCER 48.8%51.2% NO DAK

Mercer wins

3-0
12.0%
3-1
18.3%
3-2
18.5%

North Dakota wins

3-0
13.0%
3-1
19.2%
3-2
18.9%
MERCER break %
45.0% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 81%86%

  2. 02
    NO DAK serverAce+5.3%

    North Dakota ace on Sarah Frager

    Set 4 · MERCER 16-17 NO DAK · NO DAK 75%80%

  3. 03
    MERCER serverAce+5.1%

    Mercer ace on Haley Patton

    Set 4 · MERCER 16-15 NO DAK · MERCER 24%29%

  4. 04
    MERCER serverService error+5.1%

    Mercer service error

    Set 3 · MERCER 21-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 68%73%

  5. 05
    Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-20 NO DAK · NO DAK 86%91%

  6. 06
    An de HamerKill+4.8%

    Kill by An de Hamer (set by Reagan Mcintosh)

    Set 3 · MERCER 22-25 NO DAK · NO DAK 71%76%

  7. 07

    Kill by Lauren Perugini (set by Reagan Mcintosh)

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-18 NO DAK · NO DAK 76%81%

  8. 08
    NO DAK serverAce+4.6%

    North Dakota ace on TEAM

    Set 3 · MERCER 13-15 NO DAK · NO DAK 55%60%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Merceraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413635.20002311502116
410628.14311030212.513.5
410422.2730001004212
4204.5004124130010.54.5
42716-.31301050010.53.5
40000231010002
4517.571010000006
44115.200000200004
4113.000000000001
4004.00000000010.50.5
4001.000004320000
4000102800000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals4726135.15643916569210785
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413527.2960106002115
49017.52900010334.513.5
410138.237110101010.511.5
4348-.12513310233.59.5
4214.2503314900214
4023-.667000020000
47629.034320113010.59.5
40000121120001
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000510000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals4419126.19838995495121196

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MERCER · NO DAK 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 MERCERNO DAK 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 4*

20-25

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 6

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
54%7/13
2
88%7/8
42%5/12
3
46%6/13
33%3/9
4
38%6/16
40%4/10
5
71%5/7
54%7/13
6
50%5/10
38%3/8
All
51%36/71
45%29/65

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
60%9/15
2
86%6/7
30%3/10
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
50%6/12
45%5/11
5
60%6/10
54%7/13
6
45%5/11
55%6/11
All
55%36/65
49%35/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#MERCER-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NO DAKMERCER×4Attack errAn de Hamer+1.9
22-0MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
33-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Andrea Zaric+2.3
44-0MERCERMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
54-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+1.6
65-1NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
75-2MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+1.7
86-2NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+1.9
96-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+1.7
107-3NO DAKMERCER×3KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
118-3MERCERMERCER×3AceMERCER serveraced Haley Patton+2.1
129-3MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAndrea Zaric+1.8
139-4MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+1.2
1410-4NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Avery Wilks+1.5
1511-4MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
1611-5MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+1.0
1711-6NO DAKNO DAKAttack errIpek Ulukutlublk Reagan Mcintosh, Olivia Edlund+1.5
1812-6NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
1912-7MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+1.2
2012-8NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+1.8
2113-8NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.8
2213-9MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
2314-9NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
2414-10MERCERNO DAKBad setSammi Bergjans+1.5
2514-11NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.3
2615-11NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.2
2716-11MERCERMERCERAceMERCER serveraced Andrea Zaric+2.3
2816-12MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+1.5
2917-12NO DAKMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
3018-12MERCERMERCER×3AceMERCER serveraced Ellee Mcintosh+1.8
3119-12MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer+1.2
3219-13MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+0.6
3320-13NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+0.9
3420-14MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMERCER server+0.5
3520-15NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+1.0
3620-16NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee Mcintosh+1.5
3720-17NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Olivia Edlund+2.2
3821-17NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.5
3921-18MERCERNO DAK×3KillReagan Mcintosh+1.7
4021-19NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund+3.1
4121-20NO DAKNO DAK×3KillOlivia Edlund+4.3
4222-20NO DAKMERCER×3KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+4.6
4323-20MERCERMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.5
4424-20MERCERMERCER×3AceMERCER serveraced Lauren Perugini+2.7
4524-21MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+0.7
4625-21NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
Set 2
10-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.0
21-1NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.0
31-2MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.0
42-2NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
53-2MERCERMERCERAttack errOlivia Edlundblk Avery Wilks+2.5
63-3MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Lauren Perugini+2.0
74-3NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.1
85-3MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
95-4MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.0
105-5NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+2.6
115-6NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+2.7
126-6NO DAKMERCERKillSammi Bergjans+2.2
136-7MERCERNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.3
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNO DAK serveraced Lara Matta+2.7
156-9NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Lilliana Montes, Ellee Mcintosh+2.6
167-9NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
178-9MERCERMERCERAceMERCER serveraced Lauren Perugini+2.7
188-10MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.4
198-11NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.8
209-11NO DAKMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
2110-11MERCERMERCER×3Attack errLauren Perugini+2.9
2211-11MERCERMERCER×3Attack errOlivia Edlund+3.1
2311-12MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.7
2411-13NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNO DAK serveraced Lara Matta+3.2
2511-14NO DAKNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+3.0
2612-14NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.2
2712-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.6
2813-15NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.3
2914-15MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilks+3.3
3014-16MERCERNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+3.0
3114-17NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNO DAK serveraced Brooke Kaoui+3.4
3214-18NO DAKNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Olivia Edlund+2.9
3315-18NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
3415-19MERCERNO DAK×6KillAn de Hamerset Lauren Perugini+2.4
3515-20NO DAKNO DAK×6AceNO DAK serveraced Lara Matta+2.2
3615-21NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+1.5
3715-22NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+0.8
3815-23NO DAKNO DAK×6KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+0.3
3915-24NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errBrooklyn Palmerblk Lilliana Montes, Lauren Perugini+0.1
4016-24NO DAKMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.0
4117-24MERCERMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.0
4218-24MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+0.1
4318-25MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+0.1
Set 3
10-1NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
20-2NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+3.1
31-2NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
41-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.6
51-4NO DAKNO DAKAceNO DAK serveraced Brooke Kaoui+3.1
62-4NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.4
72-5MERCERNO DAK×3Serve errMERCER server+2.6
82-6NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+3.0
92-7NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.7
103-7NO DAKMERCER×3KillSammi Bergjansset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
114-7MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.7
125-7MERCERMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
135-8MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMERCER server+2.8
145-9NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montes+3.1
155-10NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNO DAK serveraced Lara Matta+2.8
165-11NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+2.4
176-11NO DAKMERCERAttack errEllee Mcintoshset Haley Patton+1.6
186-12MERCERNO DAKAttack errTaylor Timkoset Avery Wilks+2.0
197-12NO DAKMERCERAttack errOlivia Edlundblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Jasmine Calton+1.6
207-13MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintosh+2.0
218-13NO DAKMERCER×6Serve errNO DAK server+1.6
229-13MERCERMERCER×6Attack errOlivia Edlundblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+2.4
2310-13MERCERMERCER×6Attack errAn de Hamerblk Lara Matta, Joselynn Sanjurjo+2.9
2411-13MERCERMERCER×6KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.5
2512-13MERCERMERCER×6KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.0
2613-13MERCERMERCER×6Attack errLauren Perugini+4.4
2713-14MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMERCER server+3.8
2813-15NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNO DAK serveraced TEAM+4.6
2913-16NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+4.3
3013-17NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+3.7
3114-17NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
3214-18MERCERNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+3.1
3315-18NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
3416-18MERCERMERCERAttack errLauren Perugini+3.9
3516-19MERCERNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+4.0
3616-20NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montes+4.0
3716-21NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+2.9
3817-21NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.4
3917-22MERCERNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.2
4018-22NO DAKMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.2
4119-22MERCERMERCERAceMERCER serveraced Kenya Prescott+2.4
4219-23MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Lauren Perugini+3.2
4320-23NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+1.6
4421-23MERCERMERCERAttack errLauren Perugini+3.6
4521-24MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+5.1
4622-24NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.2
4722-25MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+4.8
Set 4
10-1MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilks+2.6
21-1NO DAKMERCERServe errNO DAK server+2.6
32-1MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
42-2MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMERCER server+2.6
52-3NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer+3.3
62-4NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+3.2
72-5NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer+3.1
83-5NO DAKMERCERAttack errLauren Peruginiblk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo+2.4
93-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+2.6
103-7NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+3.0
114-7NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
124-8MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+2.5
135-8NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+2.3
146-8MERCERMERCERFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+3.1
156-9MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
167-9NO DAKMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.6
178-9MERCERMERCER×4Attack errLauren Perugini+3.5
189-9MERCERMERCER×4AceMERCER serveraced Lauren Perugini+3.8
1910-9MERCERMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.9
2010-10MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+3.2
2110-11NO DAKNO DAK×3KillReagan Mcintosh+4.1
2210-12NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNO DAK serveraced Lara Matta+4.0
2311-12NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miessler+3.2
2412-12MERCERMERCERAttack errblk Avery Wilks+4.2
2512-13MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+3.6
2612-14NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ellee Mcintosh+4.4
2713-14NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilks+3.4
2814-14MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+4.6
2914-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+3.9
3015-15NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.9
3116-15MERCERMERCERAceMERCER serveraced Haley Patton+5.1
3216-16MERCERNO DAKServe errMERCER server+4.1
3316-17NO DAKNO DAKAceNO DAK serveraced Sarah Frager+5.3
3417-17NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.4
3517-18MERCERNO DAK×6KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+4.7
3617-19NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+5.6
3717-20NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+5.0
3817-21NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errLilliana Montesblk Reagan Mcintosh, Lilliana Montes+4.0
3917-22NO DAKNO DAK×6KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.7
4017-23NO DAKNO DAK×6KillLilliana Montes+1.4
4118-23NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
4219-23MERCERMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+1.0
4319-24MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+1.6
4420-24NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
4520-25MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.