Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

North Dakota def. Mercer 3–1

North Dakota beat visiting Mercer 3-1 (21-25, 25-18, 25-22, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. North Dakota's An de Hamer led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
MERCER251822201
NO DAK212525253

Win probability

North Dakota above 50 · Mercer below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.2% NO DAKrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.2% to North Dakota — set 4, MERCER 17-19 NO DAK. Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo. NO DAK win probability 78% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCER 55.6%44.4% NO DAK

Mercer wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%

North Dakota wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%
MERCER break %
45.2% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+6.2%

    Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 78% → 85%

  2. 02
    North DakotaAce+5.8%

    North Dakota ace on Sarah Frager

    Set 4 · MERCER 16-17 NO DAK · NO DAK 72% → 78%

  3. 03
    Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-20 NO DAK · NO DAK 85% → 90%

  4. 04
    MercerAce+5.3%

    Mercer ace on Haley Patton

    Set 4 · MERCER 16-15 NO DAK · MERCER 27% → 32%

  5. 05
    MercerService error+5.2%

    Mercer service error

    Set 3 · MERCER 21-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 64% → 70%

  6. 06

    Kill by Lauren Perugini (set by Reagan Mcintosh)

    Set 4 · MERCER 17-18 NO DAK · NO DAK 73% → 78%

  7. 07
    An de HamerKill+4.9%

    Kill by An de Hamer (set by Reagan Mcintosh)

    Set 3 · MERCER 22-25 NO DAK · NO DAK 68% → 72%

  8. 08

    Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 4 · MERCER 14-14 NO DAK · MERCER 22% → 27%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merceraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413635.20002311502116
410628.14311030212.513.5
410422.2730001004212
4204.5004124130010.54.5
42716-.31301050010.53.5
4000–0231010002
4517.571010000006
44115.200000200004
4113.000000000001
4004.00000000010.50.5
4001.000004320000
4000–102800000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4726135.15643916569210785
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413527.2960106002115
49017.52900010334.513.5
410138.237110101010.511.5
4348-.12513310233.59.5
4214.2503314900214
4023-.667000020000
47629.034320113010.59.5
4000–0121120001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000510000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4419126.19838995495121196

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercer vs North Dakota

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MERCER · NO DAK 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 MERCERNO DAK 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 MERCERNO DAK 4

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 MERCERNO DAK 6

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
54%7/13
2
88%7/8
42%5/12
3
46%6/13
33%3/9
4
38%6/16
40%4/10
5
71%5/7
54%7/13
6
50%5/10
38%3/8
All
51%36/71
45%29/65

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
60%9/15
2
86%6/7
30%3/10
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
50%6/12
45%5/11
5
60%6/10
54%7/13
6
45%5/11
55%6/11
All
55%36/65
49%35/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#MERCER-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NO DAKMERCER×4Attack errAn de Hamer+1.9
22-0MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.3
33-0MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Andrea Zaric+2.2
44-0MERCERMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
54-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+1.5
65-1NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
75-2MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+1.6
86-2NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+1.7
96-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+1.6
107-3NO DAKMERCER×3KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
118-3MERCERMERCER×3AceMerceraced Haley Patton+1.9
129-3MERCERMERCER×3Attack errAndrea Zaric+1.7
139-4MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+1.1
1410-4NO DAKMERCERKillIpek Ulukutluset Avery Wilks+1.3
1511-4MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
1611-5MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+0.9
1711-6NO DAKNO DAKBlockedIpek Ulukutlublk Reagan Mcintosh, Olivia Edlund+1.4
1812-6NO DAKMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
1912-7MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+1.1
2012-8NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+1.7
2113-8NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.7
2213-9MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
2314-9NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
2414-10MERCERNO DAKBad setSammi Bergjans+1.4
2514-11NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.1
2615-11NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+2.1
2716-11MERCERMERCERAceMerceraced Andrea Zaric+2.1
2816-12MERCERNO DAKBlockedAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+1.3
2917-12NO DAKMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
3018-12MERCERMERCER×3AceMerceraced Ellee Mcintosh+1.6
3119-12MERCERMERCER×3BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer+1.1
3219-13MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+0.5
3320-13NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+0.8
3420-14MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMercer+0.4
3520-15NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+0.9
3620-16NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee Mcintosh+1.4
3720-17NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Olivia Edlund+2.1
3821-17NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+2.3
3921-18MERCERNO DAK×3KillReagan Mcintosh+1.6
4021-19NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund+2.9
4121-20NO DAKNO DAK×3KillOlivia Edlund+4.2
4222-20NO DAKMERCER×3KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+4.3
4323-20MERCERMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.3
4424-20MERCERMERCER×3AceMerceraced Lauren Perugini+2.5
4524-21MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+0.7
4625-21NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
Set 2
10-1MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+1.8
21-1NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+1.8
31-2MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+1.9
42-2NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
53-2MERCERMERCERBlockedOlivia Edlundblk Avery Wilks+2.3
63-3MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Lauren Perugini+1.9
74-3NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+1.9
85-3MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.3
95-4MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+1.8
105-5NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAvery Wilks+2.4
115-6NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+2.5
126-6NO DAKMERCERKillSammi Bergjans+2.0
136-7MERCERNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.1
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Lara Matta+2.6
156-9NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Lilliana Montes, Ellee Mcintosh+2.6
167-9NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
178-9MERCERMERCERAceMerceraced Lauren Perugini+2.6
188-10MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.3
198-11NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.7
209-11NO DAKMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
2110-11MERCERMERCER×3Attack errLauren Perugini+2.7
2211-11MERCERMERCER×3Attack errOlivia Edlund+2.9
2311-12MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+2.5
2411-13NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Lara Matta+3.1
2511-14NO DAKNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+3.0
2612-14NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+2.1
2712-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.5
2813-15NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.2
2914-15MERCERMERCERKillAvery Wilks+3.1
3014-16MERCERNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.8
3114-17NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Brooke Kaoui+3.3
3214-18NO DAKNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Olivia Edlund+2.9
3315-18NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
3415-19MERCERNO DAK×6KillAn de Hamerset Lauren Perugini+2.4
3515-20NO DAKNO DAK×6AceNorth Dakotaaced Lara Matta+2.2
3615-21NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+1.5
3715-22NO DAKNO DAK×6BlockedAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+0.8
3815-23NO DAKNO DAK×6KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+0.4
3915-24NO DAKNO DAK×6BlockedBrooklyn Palmerblk Lilliana Montes, Lauren Perugini+0.1
4016-24NO DAKMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans·
4117-24MERCERMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans·
4218-24MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+0.1
4318-25MERCERNO DAKBlockedAvery Wilksblk Lilliana Montes+0.1
Set 3
10-1NO DAKNO DAKAttack errLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
20-2NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+3.2
31-2NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
41-3MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.7
51-4NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Brooke Kaoui+3.2
62-4NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+2.4
72-5MERCERNO DAK×3Serve errMercer+2.7
82-6NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLara Matta+3.1
92-7NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.9
103-7NO DAKMERCER×3KillSammi Bergjansset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
114-7MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.9
125-7MERCERMERCER×3KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+3.2
135-8MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMercer+2.9
145-9NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montes+3.3
155-10NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Lara Matta+3.0
165-11NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+2.6
176-11NO DAKMERCERAttack errEllee Mcintoshset Haley Patton+1.7
186-12MERCERNO DAKAttack errTaylor Timkoset Avery Wilks+2.1
197-12NO DAKMERCERBlockedOlivia Edlundblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Jasmine Calton+1.7
207-13MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintosh+2.1
218-13NO DAKMERCER×6Serve errNorth Dakota+1.6
229-13MERCERMERCER×6BlockedOlivia Edlundblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta+2.5
2310-13MERCERMERCER×6BlockedAn de Hamerblk Lara Matta, Joselynn Sanjurjo+3.1
2411-13MERCERMERCER×6KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.6
2512-13MERCERMERCER×6KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.1
2613-13MERCERMERCER×6Attack errLauren Perugini+4.4
2713-14MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMercer+3.8
2813-15NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakota+4.7
2913-16NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+4.5
3013-17NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+4.0
3114-17NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
3214-18MERCERNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+3.3
3315-18NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
3416-18MERCERMERCERAttack errLauren Perugini+4.1
3516-19MERCERNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+4.1
3616-20NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montes+4.2
3716-21NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+3.1
3817-21NO DAKMERCERAttack errAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.5
3917-22MERCERNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+2.3
4018-22NO DAKMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.2
4119-22MERCERMERCERAceMerceraced Kenya Prescott+2.5
4219-23MERCERNO DAKKillEllee Mcintoshset Lauren Perugini+3.3
4320-23NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+1.6
4421-23MERCERMERCERAttack errLauren Perugini+3.7
4521-24MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+5.2
4622-24NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Aubri Martin+2.2
4722-25MERCERNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan Mcintosh+4.9
Set 4
10-1MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilks+2.7
21-1NO DAKMERCERServe errNorth Dakota+2.7
32-1MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.4
42-2MERCERNO DAK×4Serve errMercer+2.7
52-3NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer+3.5
62-4NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+3.5
72-5NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedLara Mattablk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer+3.5
83-5NO DAKMERCERBlockedLauren Peruginiblk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo+2.6
93-6MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+2.9
103-7NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmer+3.4
114-7NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.4
124-8MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+2.8
135-8NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+2.5
146-8MERCER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
156-9MERCERNO DAKAttack errAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
167-9NO DAKMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+2.8
178-9MERCERMERCER×4Attack errLauren Perugini+3.8
189-9MERCERMERCER×4AceMerceraced Lauren Perugini+4.1
1910-9MERCERMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+4.2
2010-10MERCERNO DAK×3KillEllee Mcintoshset Reagan Mcintosh+3.4
2110-11NO DAKNO DAK×3KillReagan Mcintosh+4.4
2210-12NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Lara Matta+4.4
2311-12NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miessler+3.4
2412-12MERCERMERCERBlockedNorth Dakotablk Avery Wilks+4.5
2512-13MERCERNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan Mcintosh+3.8
2612-14NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ellee Mcintosh+4.8
2713-14NO DAKMERCERKillAvery Wilks+3.6
2814-14MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+4.9
2914-15MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+4.2
3015-15NO DAKMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+4.1
3116-15MERCERMERCERAceMerceraced Haley Patton+5.3
3216-16MERCERNO DAKServe errMercer+4.3
3316-17NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Sarah Frager+5.8
3417-17NO DAKMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+4.6
3517-18MERCERNO DAK×6KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+5.0
3617-19NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+6.2
3717-20NO DAKNO DAK×6Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+5.6
3817-21NO DAKNO DAK×6BlockedLilliana Montesblk Reagan Mcintosh, Lilliana Montes+4.5
3917-22NO DAKNO DAK×6KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan Mcintosh+3.0
4017-23NO DAKNO DAK×6KillLilliana Montes+1.6
4118-23NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
4219-23MERCERMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+1.1
4319-24MERCERNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan Mcintosh+1.8
4420-24NO DAKMERCERKillMikayla Miesslerset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
4520-25MERCERNO DAKAttack errBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).