North Dakota def. Mercer 3–1
North Dakota beat visiting Mercer 3-1 (21-25, 25-18, 25-22, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. North Dakota's An de Hamer led with 13 kills.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCER | 25 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 1 |
| NO DAK | 21 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.2% to North Dakota — set 4, MERCER 17-19 NO DAK. Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo. NO DAK win probability 78% → 85%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Mercer wins
North Dakota wins
- MERCER break %
- 45.2% vs this opp
- NO DAK break %
- 44.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+6.2%
Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo
Set 4 · MERCER 17-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 78% → 85%
- 02North DakotaAce+5.8%
North Dakota ace on Sarah Frager
Set 4 · MERCER 16-17 NO DAK · NO DAK 72% → 78%
- 03Joselynn SanjurjoAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Joselynn Sanjurjo
Set 4 · MERCER 17-20 NO DAK · NO DAK 85% → 90%
- 04MercerAce+5.3%
Mercer ace on Haley Patton
Set 4 · MERCER 16-15 NO DAK · MERCER 27% → 32%
- 05MercerService error+5.2%
Mercer service error
Set 3 · MERCER 21-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 64% → 70%
- 06Lauren PeruginiKill+5.0%
Kill by Lauren Perugini (set by Reagan Mcintosh)
Set 4 · MERCER 17-18 NO DAK · NO DAK 73% → 78%
- 07An de HamerKill+4.9%
Kill by An de Hamer (set by Reagan Mcintosh)
Set 3 · MERCER 22-25 NO DAK · NO DAK 68% → 72%
- 08Joselynn SanjurjoKill+4.9%
Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 4 · MERCER 14-14 NO DAK · MERCER 22% → 27%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 35 | .200 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 28 | .143 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 22 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | -.313 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 7 | .571 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 26 | 135 | .156 | 43 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 85 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 27 | .296 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 17 | .529 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 38 | .237 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -.125 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 29 | .034 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 19 | 126 | .198 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 96 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Mercer vs North Dakota
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Fri, Sep 4, 2026Mercer at North Dakota · Mercer won 3-1Result →
- Sat, Sep 5, 2026Mercer at North Dakota · North Dakota won 3-1This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
20-25
Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41%7/17 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 46%6/13 | 33%3/9 |
| 4 | 38%6/16 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 51%36/71 | 45%29/65 |
North Dakota
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 60%9/15 |
| 2 | 86%6/7 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 50%6/12 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 55%6/11 |
| All | 55%36/65 | 49%35/71 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
181 rallies
| # | MERCER-NO DAK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Andrea Zaric | +2.2 |
| 4 | 4-0 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.5 |
| 6 | 5-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +1.7 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 11 | 8-3 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | aced Haley Patton | +1.9 |
| 12 | 9-3 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Andrea Zaric | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +1.1 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Avery Wilks | +1.3 |
| 15 | 11-4 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 16 | 11-5 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +0.9 |
| 17 | 11-6 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Ipek Ulukutlu | blk Reagan Mcintosh, Olivia Edlund | +1.4 |
| 18 | 12-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.1 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | set Haley Patton | +1.7 |
| 22 | 13-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.1 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Andrea Zaric | +2.1 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MERCER | NO DAK | Blocked | Avery Wilks | blk Lilliana Montes | +1.3 |
| 29 | 17-12 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 30 | 18-12 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | aced Ellee Mcintosh | +1.6 |
| 31 | 19-12 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Blocked | Andrea Zaric | blk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer | +1.1 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.8 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | Mercer | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +0.9 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Olivia Edlund | +2.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.3 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Reagan Mcintosh | +1.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Lara Matta | blk Olivia Edlund | +2.9 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Olivia Edlund | +4.2 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.3 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | aced Lauren Perugini | +2.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +0.7 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCER | MERCER | Blocked | Olivia Edlund | blk Avery Wilks | +2.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Lauren Perugini | +1.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +2.5 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Lara Matta | +2.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Lilliana Montes, Ellee Mcintosh | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Lauren Perugini | +2.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +2.7 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | +2.9 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.5 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Lara Matta | +3.1 |
| 25 | 11-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.1 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | +3.1 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Brooke Kaoui | +3.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Olivia Edlund | +2.9 |
| 33 | 15-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 34 | 15-19 | MERCER | NO DAK×6 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Lauren Perugini | +2.4 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Lara Matta | +2.2 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +1.5 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Blocked | Avery Wilks | blk Lilliana Montes | +0.8 |
| 38 | 15-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +0.4 |
| 39 | 15-24 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Blocked | Brooklyn Palmer | blk Lilliana Montes, Lauren Perugini | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.1 |
| 43 | 18-25 | MERCER | NO DAK | Blocked | Avery Wilks | blk Lilliana Montes | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Ace | North Dakota | aced Brooke Kaoui | +3.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.7 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +3.1 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.9 |
| 10 | 3-7 | NO DAK | MERCER×3 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.9 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | +3.3 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Lara Matta | +3.0 |
| 16 | 5-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.6 |
| 17 | 6-11 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | Ellee Mcintosh | set Haley Patton | +1.7 |
| 18 | 6-12 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Taylor Timko | set Avery Wilks | +2.1 |
| 19 | 7-12 | NO DAK | MERCER | Blocked | Olivia Edlund | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Jasmine Calton | +1.7 |
| 20 | 7-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | +2.1 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | NO DAK | MERCER×6 | Serve err | North Dakota | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Blocked | Olivia Edlund | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta | +2.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Blocked | An de Hamer | blk Lara Matta, Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.6 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +4.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | Mercer | +3.8 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Ace | North Dakota | +4.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +4.5 |
| 30 | 13-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +4.0 |
| 31 | 14-17 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 32 | 14-18 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +4.1 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +4.1 |
| 36 | 16-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | +4.2 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.1 |
| 38 | 17-21 | NO DAK | MERCER | Attack err | An de Hamer | set Haley Patton | +1.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Kenya Prescott | +2.5 |
| 42 | 19-23 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Lauren Perugini | +3.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +3.7 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +5.2 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.2 |
| 47 | 22-25 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan Mcintosh | +4.9 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +2.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NO DAK | MERCER | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCER | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Lara Matta | blk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer | +3.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +3.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Lara Matta | blk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer | +3.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NO DAK | MERCER | Blocked | Lauren Perugini | blk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +2.9 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +2.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MERCER | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 15 | 6-9 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NO DAK | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +3.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | aced Lauren Perugini | +4.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee Mcintosh | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Reagan Mcintosh | +4.4 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Lara Matta | +4.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | +3.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | MERCER | MERCER | Blocked | North Dakota | blk Avery Wilks | +4.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Ellee Mcintosh | +4.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | +3.6 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +4.2 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.1 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Haley Patton | +5.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MERCER | NO DAK | Serve err | Mercer | +4.3 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Ace | North Dakota | aced Sarah Frager | +5.8 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +4.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MERCER | NO DAK×6 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +5.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +6.2 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +5.6 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Blocked | Lilliana Montes | blk Reagan Mcintosh, Lilliana Montes | +4.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan Mcintosh | +3.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | NO DAK | NO DAK×6 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | +1.6 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 42 | 19-23 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MERCER | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan Mcintosh | +1.8 |
| 44 | 20-24 | NO DAK | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 45 | 20-25 | MERCER | NO DAK | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).