Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMVC

1:3

HomeMAC

Miami (OH) def. Evansville 3–1

(25-10, 18-25, 25-6, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
EVANS	10	25	6	18	1
MIA OH	25	18	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MIA OH above 50 · EVANS below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Evansville — set 4, EVANS 3-0 MIA OH. Attack error by Lauren Coyne. MIA OH win probability 97% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

EVANS 1.0%99.0% MIA OH

Evansville wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.7%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0

73.6%

3-1

21.4%

3-2

3.9%

EVANS break %: 33.6% vs this opp
MIA OH break %: 51.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren CoyneAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Lauren Coyne
Set 4 · EVANS 3-0 MIA OH · EVANS 3% → 3%
02
EVANS serverAce+0.8%
Evansville ace on Team
Set 4 · EVANS 15-16 MIA OH · EVANS 1% → 2%
03
Lyla FisherKill+0.7%
Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Kendall Agler)
Set 4 · EVANS 2-0 MIA OH · EVANS 2% → 3%
04
Lauren CoyneKill+0.6%
Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Rachel Morgan)
Set 4 · EVANS 3-2 MIA OH · MIA OH 97% → 98%
05
Makenzie MillerAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Makenzie Miller
Set 4 · EVANS 5-5 MIA OH · MIA OH 97% → 98%
06
Lyla FisherKill+0.6%
Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 4 · EVANS 5-3 MIA OH · EVANS 2% → 3%
07
MIA OH serverAce+0.6%
Miami (OH) ace on Kendall Agler
Set 4 · EVANS 15-18 MIA OH · MIA OH 99% → 99%
08
Molly CreechAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Molly Creech
Set 4 · EVANS 4-2 MIA OH · EVANS 2% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Evansvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Makenzie MillerMB	4	9	4	26	.192	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
3Wren JonesOH	4	5	13	27	-.296	1	0	2	11	1	1	0	1	6
2Carsyn KelleyS	4	1	1	6	.000	29	0	1	8	1	0	3	1.5	2.5
15Brooke HerdesOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	0	0
6Lexi OwenS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	14	0	0	0	0	0
4Sabrina RippleMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	4
7Lyla FisherOH	4	9	4	36	.139	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9
17Ryan ScheuOH	4	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
20Kendall AglerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	13	8	0	0	0	0
1Carlotta Pascual CentellesOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21McKenzie LaubachMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Holland MorrisOH	1	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	28	128	.070	36	1	10	55	11	1	6	4	59

Miami (OH)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Lauren CoyneOPP	4	12	3	23	.391	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
6Molly CreechOH	4	10	4	37	.162	0	3	2	8	0	0	0	0	13
20Lindy RadaszewskiMB	4	5	1	9	.444	0	1	1	6	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
13Grace KreutzOH	4	2	0	10	.200	1	2	1	11	0	0	0	0	4
1Raegan LantzOH	4	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
18Holland Van DeusenS	4	0	0	1	.000	24	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
7Chelsea WilliamsOH	4	9	3	19	.316	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	2	11
4Sophia StallworthOH	4	2	3	13	-.077	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
9Rachel MorganL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
16Piper WillingerS	3	0	0	0	–	9	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
14Kamryn UtleyS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Madison BrownS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	14	119	.244	40	11	6	60	1	2	6	5	93

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 EVANS · MIA OH 8

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 2 EVANSMIA OH 8

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 7 EVANSMIA OH 5

Set 3

6-25

Longest run 1 EVANSMIA OH 7

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 EVANSMIA OH 5

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	30%7/23	14%1/7
2	40%6/15	46%6/13
3	75%6/8	25%2/8
4	33%6/18	33%3/9
5	26%5/19	64%9/14
6	44%4/9	44%4/9
All	37%34/92	42%25/60

Miami (OH)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	57%8/14
2	78%7/9	72%18/25
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	36%5/14	50%6/12
5	56%5/9	72%13/18
6	67%4/6	64%7/11
All	58%35/60	63%58/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

152 rallies

Rally log

#	EVANS-MIA OH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	EVANS	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
3	0-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
4	0-4	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Wren Jones	blk Lindy Radaszewski, Lauren Coyne	+0.1
5	1-4	MIA OH	EVANS	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.1
6	1-5	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
7	2-5	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
8	2-6	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
9	3-6	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
10	4-6	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
11	4-7	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Grace Kreutz	+0.1
12	5-7	MIA OH	EVANS	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.1
13	6-7	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
14	6-8	EVANS	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Ryan Scheu		+0.1
15	6-9	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Rachel Morgan	+0.1
16	6-10	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Sophia Stallworth	set Lyla Fisher	+0.1
17	6-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Sophia Stallworth	set Madison Brown	+0.1
18	7-11	MIA OH	EVANS	Attack err	Sophia Stallworth		+0.0
19	8-11	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
20	8-12	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
21	8-13	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
22	8-14	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.0
23	8-15	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
24	8-16	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.0
25	9-16	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
26	9-17	EVANS	MIA OH×8	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
27	9-18	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.0
28	9-19	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+0.0
29	9-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.0
30	9-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
31	9-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
32	9-23	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
33	9-24	MIA OH	MIA OH×8	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
34	10-24	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Lexi Owen	+0.0
35	10-25	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Rachel Morgan	+0.1
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
3	0-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
4	1-3	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
5	2-3	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
6	2-4	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
7	3-4	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
8	3-5	EVANS	MIA OH	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Lindy Radaszewski, Lauren Coyne	+0.1
9	4-5	MIA OH	EVANS	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.1
10	5-5	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Molly Creech	blk Carsyn Kelley, Makenzie Miller	+0.1
11	5-6	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
12	6-6	MIA OH	EVANS×7	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Wren Jones	+0.1
13	7-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
14	8-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
15	9-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
16	10-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Attack err	Sophia Stallworth		+0.3
17	11-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
18	12-6	EVANS	EVANS×7	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
19	12-7	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Piper Willinger	+0.2
20	13-7	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
21	14-7	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+0.3
22	14-8	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.2
23	15-8	MIA OH	EVANS	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.3
24	15-9	EVANS	MIA OH	Attack err	Ryan Scheu		+0.2
25	16-9	MIA OH	EVANS×4	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
26	17-9	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Lindy Radaszewski		+0.3
27	18-9	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.2
28	19-9	EVANS	EVANS×4	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
29	19-10	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
30	19-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
31	19-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
32	19-13	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Bad set	Carsyn Kelley		+0.2
33	19-14	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
34	20-14	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
35	20-15	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
36	20-16	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.3
37	21-16	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
38	22-16	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Molly Creech	blk Makenzie Miller, Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
39	22-17	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
40	22-18	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Piper Willinger	+0.2
41	23-18	MIA OH	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
42	24-18	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Sophia Stallworth	blk Wren Jones	+0.2
43	25-18	EVANS	EVANS×3	Bad set	Piper Willinger		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	EVANS	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Wren Jones	blk Lauren Coyne, Lindy Radaszewski	+0.4
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
3	0-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.4
4	1-3	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
5	1-4	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.3
6	1-5	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.3
7	1-6	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
8	1-7	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
9	1-8	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
10	2-8	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Kendall Agler	+0.1
11	2-9	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
12	3-9	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
13	3-10	EVANS	MIA OH×7	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+0.1
14	3-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.1
15	3-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Attack err	Makenzie Miller	blk Chelsea Williams	+0.0
16	3-13	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Attack err	Carsyn Kelley		+0.0
17	3-14	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.0
18	3-15	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.0
19	3-16	MIA OH	MIA OH×7	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.0
20	4-16	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
21	4-17	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.0
22	4-18	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.0
23	4-19	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.0
24	4-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Piper Willinger	+0.0
25	4-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.0
26	5-21	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Lexi Owen	+0.0
27	5-22	EVANS	MIA OH	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.0
28	5-23	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Carlotta Pascual Centelles		+0.0
29	6-23	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Holland Morris	set Lexi Owen	+0.0
30	6-24	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.0
31	6-25	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	MIA OH	EVANS×3	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.4
2	2-0	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Kendall Agler	+0.7
3	3-0	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Lauren Coyne		+0.8
4	3-1	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
5	3-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Rachel Morgan	+0.6
6	4-2	MIA OH	EVANS	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.6
7	4-3	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Rachel Morgan	+0.4
8	5-3	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
9	5-4	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.5
10	5-5	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+0.6
11	5-6	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
12	5-7	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Piper Willinger	+0.4
13	5-8	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.3
14	6-8	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
15	6-9	EVANS	MIA OH×5	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2
16	6-10	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.3
17	6-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.2
18	6-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.1
19	6-13	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.1
20	7-13	MIA OH	EVANS×3	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.0
21	8-13	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Lexi Owen	+0.1
22	9-13	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Chelsea Williams	blk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
23	9-14	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Piper Willinger	+0.1
24	10-14	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
25	11-14	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+0.3
26	11-15	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2
27	12-15	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
28	12-16	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2
29	13-16	MIA OH	EVANS×3	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
30	14-16	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Lauren Coyne		+0.5
31	15-16	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	EVANS server	aced Team	+0.8
32	15-17	EVANS	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.6
33	15-18	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.6
34	16-18	MIA OH	EVANS	Attack err	Lauren Coyne		+0.4
35	16-19	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.4
36	16-20	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Wren Jones	+0.4
37	17-20	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
38	17-21	EVANS	MIA OH×4	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Piper Willinger	+0.3
39	17-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.2
40	17-23	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Makenzie Miller	blk Chelsea Williams	+0.1
41	17-24	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.0
42	18-24	MIA OH	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
43	18-25	EVANS	MIA OH	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.