Quinnipiac vs Merrimack Volleyball: Quinnipiac Wins 3-0

FinalTue, Oct 27, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 77.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Quinnipiac won at Merrimack 3-0 (25-12, 28-26, 25-11) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Sophia Minlend led Quinnipiac with 13 kills; Merrimack's Tamilore Afolalu had a match-high 18.

Data through Nov 4, 8:15 AM CT · final Oct 27

Set	1	2	3	Sets
QUINN	25	28	25	3
MERMCK	12	26	11	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.522 and 13 kills for Sophia Minlend as Quinnipiac rolled past Merrimack.

Win probability never moved more than 6.6 points on one rally; Merrimack topped out at 24% in Set 1. Quinnipiac went in as RallyIQ's 77% pick.

QuinnipiacMerrimack

Break %+26.5 pts
54.528.0
Points won on own serve: 42 of 77 vs 14 of 50. Merrimack sided out 45.5% of the time.
Hitting+.211
.291.080
Kills and errors: 40–10 vs 33–24.
Longest run+-3
58
5 straight Quinnipiac points in the first set stretched a 17–11 lead to 22–11. The set finished 25–12.

Merrimack above 50Quinnipiac belowMax swing 6.6%

QuinnipiacMerrimack

Aces: Quinnipiac 4·Merrimack 2
Serve err: Quinnipiac 4·Merrimack 6
Blocks: Quinnipiac 10·Merrimack 26 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Quinnipiac 42·Merrimack 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Merrimack above 50 · Quinnipiac below

Biggest swing: 6.6% to Merrimack — set 2, QUINN 24-25 MERMCK. Kill by Tamilore Afolalu (set by Devon Lowe). MERMCK win probability 14% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUINN 81.3%18.7% MERMCK

Quinnipiac wins

3-0

32.9%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

17.9%

Merrimack wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.1%

3-2

9.5%

QUINN break %: 48.2% vs this opp
MERMCK break %: 41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Tamilore AfolaluKill+6.6%
Kill by Tamilore Afolalu (set by Devon Lowe)
Set 2 · QUINN 24-25 MERMCK · MERMCK 14% → 21%
02
Sophia MinlendKill+5.9%
Kill by Sophia Minlend (set by Sophia Gisslen)
Set 2 · QUINN 24-23 MERMCK · QUINN 85% → 90%
03
Maiella BlandinAttack error+5.9%
Attack error by Maiella Blandin
Set 2 · QUINN 26-25 MERMCK · QUINN 85% → 90%
04
Sophia Minlend&Asia BelliBlock+5.3%
Tamilore Afolalu stuffed by Sophia Minlend & Asia Belli
Set 2 · QUINN 25-25 MERMCK · QUINN 79% → 85%
05
Maiella BlandinAttack error+5.2%
Attack error by Maiella Blandin
Set 2 · QUINN 28-26 MERMCK · QUINN 90% → 96%
06
Sophia DeBonisBad set+4.9%
Bad set by Sophia DeBonis
Set 2 · QUINN 23-23 MERMCK · QUINN 80% → 85%
07
Tamilore AfolaluKill+4.7%
Kill by Tamilore Afolalu (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 2 · QUINN 24-24 MERMCK · MERMCK 10% → 14%
08
Vittoria TonelliAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Vittoria Tonelli
Set 2 · QUINN 26-26 MERMCK · MERMCK 10% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Quinnipiacaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Sophia MinlendOH	3	13	1	23	.522	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	3	16
7Giulia RagusaOH	3	12	5	37	.189	1	1	0	7	1	2	0	2	15
10Vittoria TonelliOH	3	8	2	26	.231	1	1	2	7	1	0	2	1	10
18Sila YildizMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
11Asia BelliMB	3	2	1	4	.250	1	1	1	3	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
6Sophia GisslenS	3	1	0	5	.200	32	1	0	6	0	1	0	1	3
9Carola Negron DiazL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
13Didar BulbulL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	10	103	.291	38	4	4	42	2	6	8	10	78

Merrimackhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	3	6	3	22	.136	1	2	2	13	0	0	0	8
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	3	3	4	16	-.063	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Mia IzzoMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	3
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
3Sophia DeBonisS	3	0	0	5	.000	19	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
18Sienna FranksDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0
7Tamilore AfolaluOH	3	18	9	44	.205	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18
22Devon LoweS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
5Maddy FennessyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
14Maiella BlandinOPP	2	2	5	8	-.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Avry BryantOPP	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
19Elizabeth KenneyS	2	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Vaia TsioutsioulasOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		33	24	112	.080	32	2	6	42	4	4	2	49

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Quinnipiac vs Merrimack

Season series · Quinnipiac leads 2-0

Tue, Sep 29, 2026Merrimack at Quinnipiac · Quinnipiac won 3-2Result →
Tue, Oct 27, 2026Quinnipiac at Merrimack · Quinnipiac won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 QUINN · MERMCK 8

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 QUINNMERMCK 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 3 QUINNMERMCK 8

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 5 QUINNMERMCK 2

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Quinnipiac

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%7/7	45%5/11
2	44%7/16	53%8/15
3	70%7/10	36%4/11
4	86%6/7	71%15/21
5	100%5/5	55%6/11
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	72%36/50	55%42/77

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	0%0/5
2	44%7/16	53%8/15
3	54%7/13	13%1/8
4	30%6/20	36%4/11
5	50%4/8	0%0/6
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	45%35/77	28%14/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	QUINN-MERMCK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+1.5
2	1-1	MERMCK	QUINN×4	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Sila Yildiz	+1.4
3	2-1	QUINN	QUINN×4	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.8
4	3-1	QUINN	QUINN×4	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Giulia Ragusa	+1.6
5	4-1	QUINN	QUINN×4	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Sophia Minlend	+1.5
6	4-2	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Ella Maldonado	+1.2
7	5-2	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.2
8	5-3	QUINN	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.2
9	5-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus		+1.7
10	5-5	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+2.0
11	6-5	MERMCK	QUINN×4	Attack err	Avry Bryant		+1.5
12	7-5	QUINN	QUINN×4	Serve err	Quinnipiac		+1.8
13	8-5	QUINN	QUINN×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.7
14	9-5	QUINN	QUINN×4	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+1.4
15	9-6	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+1.1
16	10-6	MERMCK	QUINN	Serve err	Sienna Franks		+1.2
17	11-6	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Avry Bryant		+1.2
18	11-7	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.9
19	12-7	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.0
20	12-8	QUINN	MERMCK	Serve err	Quinnipiac		+0.9
21	13-8	MERMCK	QUINN	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.0
22	13-9	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.9
23	14-9	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Serve err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.0
24	15-9	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.0
25	16-9	QUINN	QUINN×3	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Giulia Ragusa	+0.7
26	16-10	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
27	17-10	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.5
28	17-11	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+0.4
29	18-11	MERMCK	QUINN×5	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+0.5
30	19-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+0.4
31	20-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.2
32	21-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Vittoria Tonelli, Asia Belli	+0.1
33	22-11	QUINN	QUINN×5	Attack err	Vaia Tsioutsioulas		·
34	22-12	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	set Elizabeth Kenney	·
35	23-12	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	·
36	24-12	QUINN	QUINN×3	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Vittoria Tonelli, Asia Belli	·
37	25-12	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	·
Set 2
1	1-0	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Vittoria Tonelli	+1.1
2	2-0	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.2
3	2-1	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.0
4	2-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Ella Maldonado	+1.4
5	3-2	MERMCK	QUINN	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
6	4-2	QUINN	QUINN	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Sila Yildiz, Sophia Minlend	+1.3
7	4-3	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
8	5-3	MERMCK	QUINN	Serve err	Mia Izzo		+1.1
9	5-4	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
10	6-4	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
11	7-4	QUINN	QUINN×3	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+1.3
12	8-4	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
13	8-5	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
14	9-5	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.9
15	9-6	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+0.8
16	9-7	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Vittoria Tonelli	blk Maiella Blandin, Mia Izzo	+1.3
17	10-7	MERMCK	QUINN	Serve err	Maddy Fennessy		+1.1
18	10-8	QUINN	MERMCK	Serve err	Quinnipiac		+1.1
19	11-8	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
20	11-9	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
21	12-9	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.1
22	13-9	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.2
23	13-10	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.9
24	14-10	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	+1.0
25	15-10	QUINN	QUINN×3	Ace	Giulia Ragusa	aced Ella Maldonado	+1.0
26	16-10	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Carola Negron Diaz	+0.7
27	16-11	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.5
28	17-11	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.6
29	17-12	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.4
30	18-12	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.6
31	18-13	QUINN	MERMCK	Serve err	Quinnipiac		+0.4
32	19-13	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Gisslen	set Sienna Franks	+0.5
33	19-14	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.4
34	20-14	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.5
35	20-15	QUINN	MERMCK×8	Serve err	Quinnipiac		+0.3
36	20-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Ace	Mckenna Shotwell	aced Giulia Ragusa	+0.7
37	20-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
38	20-18	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.6
39	20-19	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Blocked	Giulia Ragusa	blk Mia Izzo, Jocelyn Hammerstrand	+2.3
40	20-20	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Ace	Mckenna Shotwell	aced Vittoria Tonelli	+3.1
41	20-21	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.7
42	20-22	MERMCK	MERMCK×8	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.0
43	21-22	MERMCK	QUINN	Serve err	Mckenna Shotwell		+2.5
44	21-23	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.7
45	22-23	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+2.6
46	23-23	QUINN	QUINN×3	Bad set	Sophia DeBonis		+4.9
47	24-23	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+5.9
48	24-24	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.7
49	24-25	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+6.6
50	25-25	MERMCK	QUINN	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Sophia Minlend, Asia Belli	+5.3
51	26-25	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+5.9
52	26-26	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli		+4.7
53	27-26	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+4.7
54	28-26	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+5.2
Set 3
1	1-0	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Asia Belli	+0.7
2	2-0	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.6
3	3-0	QUINN	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.6
4	3-1	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.5
5	4-1	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Carola Negron Diaz	+0.5
6	5-1	QUINN	QUINN	Ace	Sophia Gisslen		+0.5
7	5-2	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+0.4
8	5-3	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Sila Yildiz		+0.6
9	6-3	MERMCK	QUINN	Serve err	Mia Izzo		+0.5
10	7-3	QUINN	QUINN	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.6
11	7-4	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Mckenna Shotwell	+0.4
12	7-5	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Giulia Ragusa		+0.6
13	8-5	MERMCK	QUINN×5	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.5
14	9-5	QUINN	QUINN×5	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Sophia Minlend	+0.6
15	10-5	QUINN	QUINN×5	Kill	Vittoria Tonelli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.5
16	11-5	QUINN	QUINN×5	Attack err	Vittoria Tonelli		+0.4
17	12-5	QUINN	QUINN×5	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Giulia Ragusa	+0.3
18	12-6	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Sophia Minlend		+0.2
19	13-6	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.2
20	13-7	QUINN	MERMCK	Attack err	Asia Belli		+0.2
21	14-7	MERMCK	QUINN×4	Kill	Asia Belli	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.2
22	15-7	QUINN	QUINN×4	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.2
23	16-7	QUINN	QUINN×4	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Sophia Gisslen	+0.1
24	17-7	QUINN	QUINN×4	Ace	Vittoria Tonelli		+0.1
25	17-8	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	·
26	18-8	MERMCK	QUINN×3	Kill	Giulia Ragusa	set Carola Negron Diaz	+0.1
27	19-8	QUINN	QUINN×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		·
28	20-8	QUINN	QUINN×3	Ace	Asia Belli	aced Sienna Franks	·
29	20-9	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	·
30	21-9	MERMCK	QUINN	Bad set	Ella Maldonado		·
31	22-9	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz		·
32	22-10	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	·
33	23-10	MERMCK	QUINN	Kill	Sophia Minlend	set Sophia Gisslen	·
34	24-10	QUINN	QUINN	Kill	Sila Yildiz	set Sophia Gisslen	·
35	24-11	QUINN	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	·
36	25-11	MERMCK	QUINN	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		·

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Quinnipiac def. Merrimack 3–0

.522 and 13 kills for Sophia Minlend as Quinnipiac rolled past Merrimack.