Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Quinnipiac def. Merrimack 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 88.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 29, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Quinnipiac beat visiting Merrimack 3-2 (19-25, 25-19, 23-25, 25-18, 15-6) on Tue, Sep 29, 2026. Quinnipiac's Sophia Minlend led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Sep 29

Set12345Sets
MERMCK2519251862
QUINN19252325153

Win probability

Quinnipiac above 50 · Merrimack below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.3% MERMCKrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.3% to Merrimack — set 3, MERMCK 25-23 QUINN. Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis). QUINN win probability 65% → 54%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 10.2%89.8% QUINN

Merrimack wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
5.7%

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
44.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.1%
MERMCK break %
39.9% vs this opp
QUINN break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 3 · MERMCK 25-23 QUINN · MERMCK 35% → 46%

  2. 02

    Giulia Ragusa stuffed by Tamilore Afolalu

    Set 3 · MERMCK 24-22 QUINN · MERMCK 30% → 39%

  3. 03

    Giulia Ragusa stuffed by Kaitlyn Oxceus & Jocelyn Hammerstrand

    Set 3 · MERMCK 22-21 QUINN · MERMCK 21% → 28%

  4. 04

    Sophia Minlend stuffed by Tamilore Afolalu

    Set 3 · MERMCK 23-22 QUINN · MERMCK 23% → 30%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Minlend (set by Didar Bulbul)

    Set 5 · MERMCK 1-3 QUINN · QUINN 77% → 83%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 5 · MERMCK 1-1 QUINN · MERMCK 23% → 29%

  7. 07
    Giulia RagusaKill+5.4%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Klara Olszewska)

    Set 5 · MERMCK 1-2 QUINN · QUINN 71% → 77%

  8. 08
    Tamilore AfolaluAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Tamilore Afolalu

    Set 3 · MERMCK 22-22 QUINN · QUINN 72% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514434.2940004004216
58833.000103123010.58.5
54211.18210310334.58.5
5105.2002022500003
5004.000212520001
42110.100020302237
59636.08310020212.511.5
52313-.077000101224
5002.0002001200000
5001.0001302700000
3000–001000000
2203.667001000424
21011.00000000010.51.5
2000–000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4324154.123405145278181793
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514432.31303190111.518.5
511318.44411260031.513.5
58214.4290112024413
59939.00000011102110
5407.57144221400217
38830.000103500219
5001.0003001410000
34514-.071101600004
Team totals5831155.1745071067531410107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Merrimack vs Quinnipiac

Season series · Quinnipiac leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERMCK · QUINN 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 MERMCKQUINN 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKQUINN 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 MERMCKQUINN 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 2 MERMCKQUINN 4

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 2 MERMCKQUINN 6

Bars above the line = Quinnipiac leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
35%6/17
2
57%12/21
32%6/19
3
53%10/19
15%2/13
4
53%9/17
44%7/16
5
39%9/23
44%7/16
6
100%8/8
31%4/13
All
58%61/106
34%32/94

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
17%2/12
2
75%12/16
33%6/18
3
63%10/16
50%11/22
4
69%9/13
50%10/20
5
56%9/16
50%9/18
6
64%9/14
44%7/16
All
66%62/94
42%45/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#MERMCK-QUINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MERMCKMERMCKAttack errGiulia Ragusa+1.2
21-1MERMCKQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+0.9
32-1QUINNMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.0
43-1MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.3
53-2MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.0
64-2QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+1.1
75-2MERMCKMERMCKBad setKlara Olszewska+1.5
85-3MERMCKQUINN×3Serve errMerrimack+1.1
95-4QUINNQUINN×3Bad setSophia DeBonis+1.3
105-5QUINNQUINN×3BlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Sila Yildiz, Sahra Ozbiltekin+1.2
116-5QUINNMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Tamilore Afolalu+1.1
126-6MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.0
136-7QUINNQUINNBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Sophia Minlend, Asia Belli+1.2
147-7QUINNMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolalu+1.0
158-7MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+1.5
169-7MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Giulia Ragusa+1.6
179-8MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.2
1810-8QUINNMERMCKAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+1.4
1911-8MERMCKMERMCKBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.8
2011-9MERMCKQUINNKillKlara Olszewskaset Devon Lowe+1.3
2112-9QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+1.6
2212-10MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.3
2313-10QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Sophia DeBonis+1.7
2414-10MERMCKMERMCKBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Kaitlyn Oxceus, Jocelyn Hammerstrand+2.0
2514-11MERMCKQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.3
2614-12QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Didar Bulbul+1.8
2715-12QUINNMERMCKAttack errSophia Minlend+1.8
2815-13MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.4
2915-14QUINNQUINNAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.9
3016-14QUINNMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
3116-15MERMCKQUINNAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.6
3217-15QUINNMERMCK×4BlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Mia Izzo, Maiella Blandin+2.0
3318-15MERMCKMERMCK×4KillFabiola Betancourtset Devon Lowe+2.5
3419-15MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errAsia Belli+2.4
3520-15MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errSophia Minlend+2.1
3620-16MERMCKQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.0
3721-16QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Sienna Franks+1.7
3821-17MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.9
3922-17QUINNMERMCKBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Fabiola Betancourt, Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.6
4023-17MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Fabiola Betancourt+1.2
4123-18MERMCKQUINNAttack errFabiola Betancourt+0.3
4224-18QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+0.7
4324-19MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+0.2
4425-19QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+0.4
Set 2
11-0QUINNMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
22-0MERMCKMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.6
33-0MERMCKMERMCK×3BlockedSila Yildizblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+2.8
43-1MERMCKQUINNBlockedKaitlyn Oxceusblk Sila Yildiz+2.0
54-1QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
64-2MERMCKQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.0
75-2QUINNMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.5
86-2MERMCKMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Fabiola Betancourt+3.2
96-3MERMCKQUINN×4Serve errMerrimack+2.1
106-4QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.7
116-5QUINNQUINN×4Bad setDevon Lowe+2.7
126-6QUINNQUINN×4Attack errMaiella Blandin+2.6
137-6QUINNMERMCKKillMaiella Blandinset Devon Lowe+2.3
148-6MERMCKMERMCKKillMaiella Blandinset Devon Lowe+3.2
158-7MERMCKQUINNAttack errFabiola Betancourt+2.3
169-7QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+2.7
179-8MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.4
1810-8QUINNMERMCKAttack errGiulia Ragusa+2.8
1910-9MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+2.4
2011-9QUINNMERMCKAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+2.9
2111-10MERMCKQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.5
2211-11QUINNQUINNBlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Giulia Ragusa, Sila Yildiz+3.1
2312-11QUINNMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Sophia DeBonis+2.9
2412-12MERMCKQUINN×3Serve errMerrimack+2.6
2512-13QUINNQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Giulia Ragusa+3.0
2612-14QUINNQUINN×3BlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Sila Yildiz, Sahra Ozbiltekin+2.7
2713-14QUINNMERMCKBlockedSila Yildizblk Mia Izzo+2.3
2814-14MERMCKMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+3.4
2914-15MERMCKQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.7
3015-15QUINNMERMCKBlockedAsia Belliblk Mia Izzo+3.0
3115-16MERMCKQUINN×5KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.9
3215-17QUINNQUINN×5AceQuinnipiac+3.2
3315-18QUINNQUINN×5KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.6
3415-19QUINNQUINN×5KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.0
3515-20QUINNQUINN×5Attack errFabiola Betancourt+1.3
3616-20QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Devon Lowe+0.8
3716-21MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.0
3817-21QUINNMERMCKBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Maiella Blandin+0.7
3917-22MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.0
4018-22QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
4118-23MERMCKQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sahra Ozbiltekin+0.9
4218-24QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Fabiola Betancourt+0.4
4319-24QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Ella Maldonado+0.1
4419-25MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+0.2
Set 3
11-0MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sienna Franks+2.1
22-0MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+2.4
32-1MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.7
42-2QUINNQUINNAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+2.1
53-2QUINNMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
63-3MERMCKQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Didar Bulbul+1.7
74-3QUINNMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
84-4MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.7
94-5QUINNQUINNKillSila Yildizset Didar Bulbul+2.0
105-5QUINNMERMCKAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+1.8
115-6MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.7
126-6QUINNMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+1.9
137-6MERMCKMERMCKAttack errSophia Minlend+2.6
147-7MERMCKQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.9
157-8QUINNQUINN×4Attack errMia Izzo+2.3
167-9QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belli+2.0
177-10QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Asia Belli+1.7
188-10QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Devon Lowe+1.4
198-11MERMCKQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.4
209-11QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+1.5
219-12MERMCKQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.5
229-13QUINNQUINNAttack errFabiola Betancourt+1.5
2310-13QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
2411-13MERMCKMERMCKAttack errGiulia Ragusa+1.9
2511-14MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.6
2612-14QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
2712-15MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.7
2813-15QUINNMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
2914-15MERMCKMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+2.6
3015-15MERMCKMERMCK×3BlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Mia Izzo, Maiella Blandin+3.3
3115-16MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Didar Bulbul+2.6
3215-17QUINNQUINNKillSophia Minlend+2.9
3316-17QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+2.4
3416-18MERMCKQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.5
3517-18QUINNMERMCK×3KillFabiola Betancourtset Devon Lowe+2.5
3618-18MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimack+4.0
3719-18MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Didar Bulbul+5.0
3819-19MERMCKQUINNAttack errFabiola Betancourt+3.7
3920-19QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+4.5
4020-20MERMCKQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+4.1
4120-21QUINNQUINNAttack errFabiola Betancourt+5.1
4221-21QUINNMERMCKBad setKlara Olszewska+4.4
4322-21MERMCKMERMCKBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Kaitlyn Oxceus, Jocelyn Hammerstrand+7.0
4422-22MERMCKQUINNAttack errTamilore Afolalu+5.3
4523-22QUINNMERMCKBlockedSophia Minlendblk Tamilore Afolalu+7.0
4624-22MERMCKMERMCKBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Tamilore Afolalu+9.5
4724-23MERMCKQUINNBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Giulia Ragusa, Sila Yildiz+4.5
4825-23QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+11.3
Set 4
11-0QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+3.2
21-1MERMCKQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.9
31-2QUINNQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+3.3
42-2QUINNMERMCKBad setKlara Olszewska+2.9
52-3MERMCKQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.7
62-4QUINNQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+3.1
73-4QUINNMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.6
84-4MERMCKMERMCKBad setKlara Olszewska+3.8
94-5MERMCKQUINN×4KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+2.9
104-6QUINNQUINN×4KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+3.3
114-7QUINNQUINN×4AceQuinnipiacaced Fabiola Betancourt+2.8
124-8QUINNQUINN×4BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Sophia Minlend+2.4
135-8QUINNMERMCKAttack errVittoria Tonelli+1.9
145-9MERMCKQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.9
155-10QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiac+2.0
165-11QUINNQUINN×3Attack errMaiella Blandin+1.5
176-11QUINNMERMCKAttack errGiulia Ragusa+1.1
186-12MERMCKQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+1.2
197-12QUINNMERMCKServe errQuinnipiac+1.1
208-12MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.8
218-13MERMCKQUINNKillKlara Olszewska+1.7
228-14QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Sienna Franks+1.5
239-14QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Ella Maldonado+1.1
249-15MERMCKQUINNKillKlara Olszewskaset Vittoria Tonelli+1.2
2510-15QUINNMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.0
2610-16MERMCKQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.2
2710-17QUINNQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.0
2810-18QUINNQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+0.6
2911-18QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
3012-18MERMCKMERMCKBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Naomi Vajda, Tamilore Afolalu+0.7
3112-19MERMCKQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+0.7
3213-19QUINNMERMCKKillNaomi Vajdaset Devon Lowe+0.5
3313-20MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+0.7
3413-21QUINNQUINNAceQuinnipiacaced Sienna Franks+0.4
3514-21QUINNMERMCKKillAvry Bryantset Devon Lowe+0.2
3615-21MERMCKMERMCKBlockedAsia Belliblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+0.4
3715-22MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+0.5
3816-22QUINNMERMCKKillFabiola Betancourtset Devon Lowe+0.2
3917-22MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+0.6
4017-23MERMCKQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+0.8
4117-24QUINNQUINNAttack errKaitlyn Oxceus+0.3
4218-24QUINNMERMCKAttack errGiulia Ragusa+0.1
4318-25MERMCKQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+0.8
Set 5
10-1MERMCKQUINNKillKlara Olszewskaset Sophia DeBonis+5.2
21-1QUINNMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+5.7
31-2MERMCKQUINN×6KillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+5.4
41-3QUINNQUINN×6KillSophia Minlendset Didar Bulbul+6.1
51-4QUINNQUINN×6AceQuinnipiacaced Fabiola Betancourt+5.2
61-5QUINNQUINN×6KillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+4.1
71-6QUINNQUINN×6KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+3.1
81-7QUINNQUINN×6BlockedMaiella Blandinblk Sila Yildiz+2.1
92-7QUINNMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.3
102-8MERMCKQUINNServe errMerrimack+1.7
113-8QUINNMERMCKBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Naomi Vajda+1.3
124-8MERMCKMERMCKBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Naomi Vajda, Jocelyn Hammerstrand+2.4
134-9MERMCKQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.5
145-9QUINNMERMCKKillNaomi Vajdaset Devon Lowe+1.9
155-10MERMCKQUINN×5KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+2.5
165-11QUINNQUINN×5Bad setAvry Bryant+1.8
175-12QUINNQUINN×5KillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+0.9
185-13QUINNQUINN×5Bad setVaia Tsioutsioulas+0.3
195-14QUINNQUINN×5BlockedFabiola Betancourtblk Klara Olszewska, Asia Belli+0.1
206-14QUINNMERMCKBlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Naomi Vajda, Avry Bryant·
216-15MERMCKQUINNBlockedFabiola Betancourtblk Klara Olszewska, Asia Belli·

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).