FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

Bellarmine def. Evansville 3–0

Bellarmine beat visiting Evansville 3-0 (25-15, 25-15, 25-17) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Bellarmine's Natalie Bland and Mady Yaden led with 14 kills each, and Payton Parsons added 10 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
EVANS1515170
BELLAR2525253

Win probability

Bellarmine above 50 · Evansville below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% EVANSrally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Evansville — set 1, EVANS 10-10 BELLAR. Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley). BELLAR win probability 91% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 8.9%91.1% BELLAR

Evansville wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.1%

Bellarmine wins

3-0
46.4%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.3%
EVANS break %
37.4% vs this opp
BELLAR break %
47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lyla FisherKill+1.3%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 1 · EVANS 10-10 BELLAR · EVANS 9% → 10%

  2. 02
    Brooke HerdesAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Brooke Herdes

    Set 1 · EVANS 10-12 BELLAR · BELLAR 91% → 92%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sabrina Ripple (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 1 · EVANS 9-10 BELLAR · EVANS 7% → 9%

  4. 04
    EvansvilleAce+1.0%

    Evansville ace on Ava Long

    Set 1 · EVANS 3-3 BELLAR · EVANS 8% → 9%

  5. 05
    EvansvilleAce+1.0%

    Evansville ace

    Set 1 · EVANS 7-8 BELLAR · EVANS 7% → 8%

  6. 06
    Mary HermanBlock+1.0%

    Lyla Fisher stuffed by Mary Herman

    Set 1 · EVANS 10-13 BELLAR · BELLAR 92% → 93%

  7. 07
    Mady YadenKill+1.0%

    Kill by Mady Yaden (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 1 · EVANS 10-11 BELLAR · BELLAR 90% → 91%

  8. 08
    Lyla FisherKill+0.9%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 1 · EVANS 5-6 BELLAR · EVANS 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311324.3330017400011
3139-.222000000212
3102.5002300500001
24112.250000000215
24315.06700012010.54.5
1026-.333000000000
3000–021400002
3000–112700001
3011-1.000202910000
2529.33300000010.55.5
2000–000020000
1105.200000221012
1102.500000000001
Team totals281585.1532636351116447
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314331.35513270010.517.5
38113.53800000010.58.5
3329.111021202238
3305.600351260010.54.5
3000–221600002
3105.200000000001
314024.58300040010.514.5
3001.000022000002
3011-1.000011210001
3000–4001000000
Team totals43789.4044211937326575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 EVANS · BELLAR 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 EVANSBELLAR 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 EVANSBELLAR 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 EVANSBELLAR 6

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
14%1/7
2
50%6/12
13%1/8
3
32%6/19
25%2/8
4
36%5/14
33%3/9
5
57%4/7
44%4/9
6
44%4/9
50%4/8
All
44%32/73
31%15/49

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
55%6/11
2
88%7/8
36%4/11
3
86%6/7
63%10/16
4
55%6/11
54%7/13
5
67%4/6
73%11/15
6
44%4/9
43%3/7
All
69%34/49
56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#EVANS-BELLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1EVANSBELLARAttack errWren Jones+0.7
21-1BELLAREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
31-2EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.7
41-3BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.8
52-3BELLAREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
63-3EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Ava Long+1.0
73-4EVANSBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.7
83-5BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Lyla Fisher+0.9
93-6BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.8
104-6BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.6
115-6EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
125-7EVANSBELLARServe errEvansville+0.7
135-8BELLARBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.8
146-8BELLAREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
157-8EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+1.0
167-9EVANSBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.7
177-10BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.9
188-10BELLAREVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+0.6
199-10EVANSEVANS×3KillSabrina Rippleset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
2010-10EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
2110-11EVANSBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.0
2210-12BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errBrooke Herdes+1.2
2310-13BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedLyla Fisherblk Mary Herman+1.0
2411-13BELLAREVANSBlockedNatalie Blandblk Sabrina Ripple, Ryan Scheu+0.7
2511-14EVANSBELLARServe errEvansville+0.7
2612-14BELLAREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
2712-15EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.8
2812-16BELLARBELLARAttack errMakenzie Miller+0.8
2913-16BELLAREVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
3013-17EVANSBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.6
3113-18BELLARBELLAR×5KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.6
3213-19BELLARBELLAR×5KillMaddie Carnes+0.4
3313-20BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Wren Jones+0.2
3413-21BELLARBELLAR×5KillMaddie Carnesset Natalie Bland+0.1
3514-21BELLAREVANSAttack errNatalie Bland·
3615-21EVANSEVANSAttack errAva Long+0.1
3715-22EVANSBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3815-23BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errLyla Fisher·
3915-24BELLARBELLAR×4BlockedMakenzie Millerblk Mady Yaden, Mary Herman·
4015-25BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmineaced Brooke Herdes·
Set 2
10-1BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.6
21-1BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.5
31-2EVANSBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+0.5
41-3BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Aubry Dowling+0.6
51-4BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errRyan Scheu+0.5
62-4BELLAREVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
72-5EVANSBELLAR×5KillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.4
82-6BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Aubry Dowling+0.4
92-7BELLARBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.3
102-8BELLARBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.3
112-9BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Angelica Gonzalez Maltes+0.2
123-9BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.1
133-10EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.1
144-10BELLAREVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
155-10EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
166-10EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
176-11EVANSBELLARServe errEvansville+0.3
187-11BELLAREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
197-12EVANSBELLAR×3Attack errSabrina Ripple+0.3
207-13BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Lyla Fisher+0.3
217-14BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedSabrina Rippleblk Mary Herman+0.2
228-14BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.1
239-14EVANSEVANSBlockedMary Hermanblk Angelica Gonzalez Maltes+0.2
249-15EVANSBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+0.2
259-16BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.2
269-17BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Angelica Gonzalez Maltes+0.1
2710-17BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine·
2811-17EVANSEVANSAttack errMary Herman+0.1
2911-18EVANSBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3012-18BELLAREVANSBlockedNatalie Blandblk McKenzie Laubach, Ryan Scheu+0.1
3113-18EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+0.2
3213-19EVANSBELLAR×3Serve errEvansville+0.2
3313-20BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3413-21BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Natalie Bland, Erika Smith+0.1
3514-21BELLAREVANSKillAngelica Gonzalez Maltesset Carsyn Kelley·
3614-22EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes·
3715-22BELLAREVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Brooke Herdes·
3815-23EVANSBELLAR×3Serve errEvansville·
3915-24BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errSabrina Ripple·
4015-25BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes·
Set 3
10-1EVANSBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
21-1BELLAREVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
31-2EVANSBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
41-3BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Lyla Fisher+0.3
52-3BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.2
62-4EVANSBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
73-4BELLAREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
84-4EVANSEVANSBlockedErika Smithblk Wren Jones, Sabrina Ripple+0.3
94-5EVANSBELLAR×6KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.2
104-6BELLARBELLAR×6KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.3
114-7BELLARBELLAR×6KillNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+0.3
124-8BELLARBELLAR×6KillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.2
134-9BELLARBELLAR×6BlockedWren Jonesblk Mary Herman, Maddie Carnes+0.2
144-10BELLARBELLAR×6KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
155-10BELLAREVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
165-11EVANSBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
176-11BELLAREVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
187-11EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jones+0.2
198-11EVANSEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
208-12EVANSBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.2
219-12BELLAREVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
229-13EVANSBELLARServe errEvansville+0.2
239-14BELLARBELLARAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+0.2
2410-14BELLAREVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2510-15EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.1
2611-15BELLAREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2711-16EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.1
2811-17BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Lyla Fisher+0.1
2912-17BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.1
3012-18EVANSBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3113-18BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine+0.1
3214-18EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3314-19EVANSBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Payton Parsons+0.1
3415-19BELLAREVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+0.1
3515-20EVANSBELLARAttack errWren Jones+0.1
3615-21BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Wren Jones+0.1
3716-21BELLAREVANSServe errBellarmine·
3816-22EVANSBELLARAttack errLyla Fisher+0.1
3916-23BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Abbie Lyttle·
4017-23BELLAREVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
4117-24EVANSBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Abbie Lyttle·
4217-25BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes·

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).