Mercyhurst vs Chicago State Volleyball: Mercyhurst Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Mercyhurst 96.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mercyhurst won at Chicago St. 3-0 (25-18, 25-18, 25-22) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Mercyhurst's Roslyn Guerra led with 11 kills, and Kelsie Gaiter-Davis added 8 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 6

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MERCYH	25	25	25	3
CHI ST	18	18	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Chicago St. hit .078. Mercyhurst held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 0.4 points on one rally; Chicago St. topped out at 4% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Mercyhurst at 97%.

MercyhurstChicago St.

Break %+14.4 pts
50.035.6
On serve: 37/74 against 21/59 (Chicago St. sideout 50.0%).
Hitting+.158
.236.078
45 kills, 19 errors vs 24 kills, 17 errors.
Longest run+0
66
Down 1–2 in the first set, Mercyhurst scored 6 straight to lead 7–2. That set ended 25–18.

Chicago St. above 50Mercyhurst belowMax swing 0.4%

MercyhurstChicago St.

Aces: Mercyhurst 7·Chicago St. 2
Serve err: Mercyhurst 11·Chicago St. 4
Blocks: Mercyhurst 5·Chicago St. 31 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Mercyhurst 45·Chicago St. 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chicago St. above 50 · Mercyhurst below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Mercyhurst stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 96.2%3.8% CHI ST

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

59.3%

3-1

28.4%

3-2

8.5%

Chicago St. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

MERCYH break %: 52.5% vs this opp
CHI ST break %: 38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mercyhurstaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Madison MinerOH	3	9	1	22	.364	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	9
14Julia ShepherdOPP	3	4	5	14	-.071	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
21Alyssa KrauseDS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
13Mia MattinglyMB	2	2	2	6	.000	1	0	2	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
23Ava CarneyMB	2	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
26Anna LoganDS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
9Payton MelinOPP	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
6Camryn KetronDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	0	0
1Roslyn GuerraOH	2	11	3	21	.381	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11
2Erin RobbinsMB	2	6	3	12	.250	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
7Kalyani OliveOH	2	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	4
12Trinity TatupuOH	2	1	1	3	.000	2	3	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
4Aliyah AngeliciS	2	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
10Mya ComerS	2	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
27Sarina NotaroL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	19	110	.236	40	7	11	45	2	1	8	5	75

Chicago St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Nayella GeorgeOH	3	9	4	29	.172	2	0	0	6	0	2	1	10
9Nina MitchellOH	3	6	4	22	.091	0	0	2	4	3	0	0	6
3Graci LittlejohnMB	3	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
2Camryn McCollumOH	3	3	2	16	.063	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
1Rayon ThigpenMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
8Kristine BakhadS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	2	1	6	0	0	0	2
4Jenesis PerrinMB	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Hailee CollinsS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
7Reece MazzierL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	9	2	0	0	0
6Tenese ButtryDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Eliza CovrigL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
12Skye RileyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		24	17	90	.078	24	2	4	36	7	6	3	58

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercyhurst vs Chicago St.

Season series · Mercyhurst leads 2-0

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Mercyhurst at Chicago St. · Mercyhurst won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Mercyhurst at Chicago St. · Mercyhurst won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MERCYH · CHI ST 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 MERCYHCHI ST 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 MERCYHCHI ST 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 MERCYHCHI ST 6

Bars above the line = Chicago St. leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	22%2/9
2	75%6/8	60%9/15
3	32%6/19	63%10/16
4	100%6/6	57%8/14
5	86%6/7	25%2/8
6	75%6/8	50%6/12
All	64%38/59	50%37/74

Chicago St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	30%3/10
2	50%6/12	30%3/10
3	33%6/18	45%5/11
4	46%6/13	60%9/15
5	75%6/8	0%0/6
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	50%37/74	36%21/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	MERCYH-CHI ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Kristine Bakhad
2	1-1	CHI ST	MERCYH	Serve err	Chicago St.
3	1-2	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
4	2-2	CHI ST	MERCYH×6	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause
5	3-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Blocked	Graci Littlejohn	blk Mia Mattingly
6	4-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Attack err	Camryn McCollum
7	5-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause
8	6-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause
9	7-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause
10	7-3	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
11	7-4	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Madison Miner
12	8-4	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause
13	8-5	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Hailee Collins
14	9-5	CHI ST	MERCYH	Blocked	Nina Mitchell	blk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly
15	9-6	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Hailee Collins
16	9-7	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Reece Mazzier
17	10-7	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici
18	11-7	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Nina Mitchell
19	11-8	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Hailee Collins
20	12-8	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici
21	12-9	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
22	13-9	CHI ST	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause
23	14-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner
24	15-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Skye Riley
25	15-10	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad
26	16-10	CHI ST	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause
27	17-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn
28	18-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause
29	19-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Nayella George
30	19-11	MERCYH	CHI ST×4	Attack err	Anna Logan
31	19-12	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Attack err	Mia Mattingly
32	19-13	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Attack err	Julia Shepherd
33	19-14	CHI ST	CHI ST×4	Kill	Nayella George	set Hailee Collins
34	20-14	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Sydney Forcht
35	21-14	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Nayella George
36	21-15	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Jenesis Perrin	set Reece Mazzier
37	22-15	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici
38	22-16	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
39	23-16	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mia Mattingly
40	24-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici
41	24-17	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
42	24-18	CHI ST	CHI ST	Bad set	Aliyah Angelici
43	25-18	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici
Set 2
1	1-0	CHI ST	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Alyssa Krause
2	2-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause
3	3-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Nina Mitchell
4	4-0	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Nina Mitchell
5	4-1	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
6	4-2	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra
7	5-2	CHI ST	MERCYH	Attack err	Rayon Thigpen
8	5-3	MERCYH	CHI ST×3	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad
9	5-4	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Ava Carney
10	5-5	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Nayella George, Graci Littlejohn
11	6-5	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause
12	7-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause
13	7-6	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
14	8-6	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause
15	9-6	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn
16	9-7	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Hailee Collins
17	10-7	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Mya Comer
18	10-8	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Hailee Collins
19	11-8	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Roslyn Guerra
20	11-9	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
21	11-10	CHI ST	CHI ST	Ace	Kristine Bakhad	aced Madison Miner
22	12-10	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Sydney Forcht
23	13-10	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause
24	13-11	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra
25	14-11	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Trinity Tatupu
26	15-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Eliza Covrig
27	15-12	MERCYH	CHI ST×3	Kill	Nayella George	set Reece Mazzier
28	15-13	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad
29	15-14	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Kill	Graci Littlejohn	set Alyssa Krause
30	16-14	CHI ST	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Alyssa Krause
31	17-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Kristine Bakhad
32	18-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause
33	18-15	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Kristine Bakhad
34	19-15	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Alyssa Krause
35	20-15	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Nayella George
36	20-16	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Erin Robbins
37	21-16	CHI ST	MERCYH×3	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Mya Comer
38	22-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Nina Mitchell	blk Erin Robbins, Kalyani Olive
39	23-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Reece Mazzier
40	23-17	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
41	24-17	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Mya Comer
42	24-18	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Jenesis Perrin	set Hailee Collins
43	25-18	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Mya Comer
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Julia Shepherd
2	1-1	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Trinity Tatupu	set Julia Shepherd
3	1-2	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
4	1-3	CHI ST	CHI ST	Attack err	Erin Robbins
5	2-3	CHI ST	MERCYH	Blocked	Jenesis Perrin	blk Erin Robbins, Kalyani Olive
6	2-4	MERCYH	CHI ST×6	Kill	Rayon Thigpen	set Hailee Collins
7	2-5	CHI ST	CHI ST×6	Attack err	Julia Shepherd
8	2-6	CHI ST	CHI ST×6	Ace	Kristine Bakhad	aced Kalyani Olive
9	2-7	CHI ST	CHI ST×6	Attack err	Mia Mattingly
10	2-8	CHI ST	CHI ST×6	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad
11	2-9	CHI ST	CHI ST×6	Attack err	Kalyani Olive
12	3-9	CHI ST	MERCYH×5	Serve err	Kristine Bakhad
13	4-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer
14	5-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer
15	6-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Mya Comer
16	7-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Bad set	Kristine Bakhad
17	7-10	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Kalyani Olive
18	8-10	CHI ST	MERCYH	Serve err	Chicago St.
19	8-11	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Camryn McCollum	set Kristine Bakhad
20	9-11	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer
21	10-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer
22	10-12	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Graci Littlejohn
23	10-13	CHI ST	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Hailee Collins
24	11-13	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Sydney Forcht
25	12-13	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Jenesis Perrin
26	12-14	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nayella George	set Hailee Collins
27	13-14	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Aliyah Angelici
28	14-14	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Nina Mitchell
29	14-15	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Nayella George
30	15-15	CHI ST	MERCYH	Serve err	Chicago St.
31	16-15	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Jenesis Perrin
32	16-16	MERCYH	CHI ST	Attack err	Trinity Tatupu
33	17-16	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici
34	17-17	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Nina Mitchell	set Kristine Bakhad
35	18-17	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Trinity Tatupu
36	18-18	MERCYH	CHI ST	Kill	Rayon Thigpen	set Kristine Bakhad
37	19-18	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer
38	20-18	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Camryn McCollum
39	20-19	MERCYH	CHI ST	Serve err	Mercyhurst
40	21-19	CHI ST	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Payton Melin
41	22-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Nayella George
42	22-20	MERCYH	CHI ST×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Graci Littlejohn, Nayella George
43	22-21	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Blocked	Erin Robbins	blk Graci Littlejohn, Jenesis Perrin
44	22-22	CHI ST	CHI ST×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra
45	23-22	CHI ST	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause
46	24-22	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Nina Mitchell	blk Erin Robbins, Julia Shepherd
47	25-22	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Reece Mazzier

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mercyhurst def. Chicago St. 3–0

Chicago St. hit .078. Mercyhurst held them there all match.