Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Murray St. def. Evansville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Evansville 57.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Murray St. won at Evansville 3-1 (25-16, 18-25, 25-23, 25-15) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Murray St.'s Alexa Watts led with 13 kills, and Ada Tamturk added 21 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
MURRAY251825253
EVANS162523151

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Paige Brock served 4 aces, and Murray St. needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Murray St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Evansville was RallyIQ's 57% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Murray St. 7–4 Evansville

    Down 4–7, Evansville scored 6 straight to lead 10–7. The match swung to Evansville.

    Murray St. 56% → 34%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Murray St. 11–12 Evansville

    Down 11–12, Murray St. scored 4 straight to lead 15–12. The match swung to Murray St.

    Murray St. 42% → 59%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Murray St. 16–16 Evansville

    Murray St. scored 3 straight to go from 16–16 to a 19–16 lead. The match swung to Murray St.

    Murray St. 47% → 62%

Evansville above 50Murray St. belowMax swing 10.0%

Murray St.Evansville

Sideout %
Murray St. 63.7·Evansville 54.3
Break %
Murray St. 45.7·Evansville 36.3
Hitting
Murray St. .347·Evansville .250
Longest run
Murray St. 5·Evansville 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Evansville above 50 · Murray St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% MURRAYrally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Murray St. — set 3, MURRAY 25-23 EVANS. Kill by Lily Burnett (set by Ada Tamturk). EVANS win probability 38% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MURRAY 46.0%54.0% EVANS

Murray St. wins

3-0
10.9%
3-1
17.1%
3-2
18.0%

Evansville wins

3-0
14.2%
3-1
20.4%
3-2
19.3%
MURRAY break %
41.1% vs this opp
EVANS break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lily BurnettKill+10.0%

    Kill by Lily Burnett (set by Ada Tamturk)

    Set 3 · MURRAY 25-23 EVANS · MURRAY 62% → 72%

  2. 02
    Maezi SnyderKill+7.5%

    Kill by Maezi Snyder (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 3 · MURRAY 24-22 EVANS · MURRAY 58% → 66%

  3. 03
    Maezi SnyderKill+6.4%

    Kill by Maezi Snyder (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 3 · MURRAY 23-21 EVANS · MURRAY 56% → 63%

  4. 04
    Murray St.Ace+5.8%

    Murray St. ace on Aubry Dowling

    Set 3 · MURRAY 18-16 EVANS · MURRAY 51% → 57%

  5. 05
    Anne MakowskiKill+5.7%

    Kill by Anne Makowski (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 3 · MURRAY 22-20 EVANS · MURRAY 55% → 61%

  6. 06
    EvansvilleAce+5.7%

    Evansville ace

    Set 3 · MURRAY 20-19 EVANS · EVANS 40% → 46%

  7. 07
    EvansvilleAce+5.4%

    Evansville ace on Bailey Keusch

    Set 3 · MURRAY 16-16 EVANS · EVANS 48% → 53%

  8. 08
    Lily BurnettBlock+5.3%

    Savannah Gogel stuffed by Lily Burnett

    Set 3 · MURRAY 19-16 EVANS · MURRAY 57% → 62%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413230.3670114002115
411521.2861121010113
412624.2500001000012
410222.3640224000012
410217.4710022012212
4203.6674642700006
4001.0006002100000
3000–120220002
3000–011210001
1000–000000000
Team totals5817118.34754111044624493
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49217.41200010233.512.5
48419.21102130031.511.5
4023-.667021330002
34215.13300020010.54.5
1215.200000000002
1000–700100000
410325.28000050010.510.5
4507.7142313700428
4000–410820001
4000–001220000
37315.267000101018
11010.100100000001
Team totals4617116.25035663311312979

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Murray St. vs Evansville

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MURRAY · EVANS 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 MURRAYEVANS 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 MURRAYEVANS 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 MURRAYEVANS 6

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 MURRAYEVANS 4

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Murray St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
56%9/16
2
73%8/11
43%6/14
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
50%6/12
45%5/11
6
100%5/5
44%4/9
All
73%40/55
47%35/74

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
33%3/9
2
50%8/16
11%1/9
3
64%7/11
20%2/10
4
55%6/11
30%3/10
5
50%5/10
0%0/6
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
53%39/74
27%15/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#MURRAY-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errBrooke Herdes+2.5
22-0MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errHolland Morris+2.6
33-0MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Brooke Herdes+2.5
43-1MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+1.7
54-1EVANSMURRAYAttack errCarlotta Pascual Centelles+1.8
64-2MURRAYEVANS×3KillSavannah Gogelset Lexi Owen+1.7
74-3EVANSEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+2.6
84-4EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Samantha Nelson+2.7
95-4EVANSMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+2.0
105-5MURRAYEVANSKillHolland Morrisset Lexi Owen+1.9
116-5EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.0
127-5MURRAYMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+2.9
137-6MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.9
148-6EVANSMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.1
159-6MURRAYMURRAY×4KillPaige Brock+2.9
1610-6MURRAYMURRAY×4AceMurray St.+2.7
1711-6MURRAYMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.4
1811-7MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.4
1912-7EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
2012-8MURRAYEVANSAttack errAlexa Watts+1.4
2113-8EVANSMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+1.7
2213-9MURRAYEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Lexi Owen+1.4
2314-9EVANSMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.7
2414-10MURRAYEVANSKillHolland Morrisset Lexi Owen+1.3
2515-10EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.7
2615-11MURRAYEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+1.3
2716-11EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
2816-12MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+1.3
2917-12EVANSMURRAYBad setCarsyn Kelley+1.7
3017-13MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
3118-13EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
3219-13MURRAYMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.7
3319-14MURRAYEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
3420-14EVANSMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.2
3521-14MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Brooke Herdes+0.9
3622-14MURRAYMURRAY×3BlockedBrooke Herdesblk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder+0.4
3722-15MURRAYEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Lexi Owen+0.1
3823-15EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.2
3924-15MURRAYMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.1
4024-16MURRAYEVANSKillHolland Morrisset Carsyn Kelley·
4125-16EVANSMURRAYAttack errMcKenzie Laubach·
Set 2
10-1EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+2.7
21-1EVANSMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.9
32-1MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.8
43-1MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+2.8
53-2MURRAYEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+1.9
63-3EVANSEVANSBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Holland Morris, McKenzie Laubach+2.8
74-3EVANSMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+2.1
84-4MURRAYEVANS×5KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.0
94-5EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Samantha Nelson+2.9
104-6EVANSEVANS×5KillSavannah Gogel+2.9
114-7EVANSEVANS×5KillHolland Morrisset Carsyn Kelley+2.7
124-8EVANSEVANS×5Attack errAlexa Watts+2.4
135-8EVANSMURRAYAttack errWren Jones+1.6
145-9MURRAYEVANSAttack errLily Burnett+1.8
156-9EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.6
166-10MURRAYEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
177-10EVANSMURRAYServe errEvansville+1.6
187-11MURRAYEVANS×4KillCarsyn Kelley+1.8
197-12EVANSEVANS×4BlockedAnne Makowskiblk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley+2.2
207-13EVANSEVANS×4KillCarsyn Kelleyset Paige Brock+1.7
217-14EVANSEVANS×4BlockedLily Burnettblk Lyla Fisher+1.3
228-14EVANSMURRAY×4KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.7
239-14MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.3
2410-14MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errLyla Fisher+1.8
2511-14MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.3
2611-15MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.0
2711-16EVANSEVANSAttack errAnne Makowski+2.2
2812-16EVANSMURRAYBlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Maezi Snyder+1.2
2912-17MURRAYEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+1.6
3013-17EVANSMURRAYServe errEvansville+1.2
3114-17MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.aced Kendall Agler+2.3
3214-18MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.1
3314-19EVANSEVANSKillWren Jones+2.2
3415-19EVANSMURRAYServe errEvansville+1.0
3516-19MURRAYMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnik+2.2
3616-20MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+2.2
3717-20EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.5
3817-21MURRAYEVANS×4KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.2
3917-22EVANSEVANS×4KillSavannah Gogelset Paige Brock+1.9
4017-23EVANS
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
4117-24EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisher+0.3
4218-24EVANSMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk·
4318-25MURRAYEVANSKillCarsyn Kelley+0.1
Set 3
11-0MURRAYMURRAYAttack errLyla Fisher+3.4
22-0MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.+3.4
32-1MURRAYEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+2.3
43-1EVANSMURRAYServe errEvansville+2.5
53-2MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.4
64-2EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.6
75-2MURRAYMURRAYAttack errHolland Morris+3.5
85-3MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.3
96-3EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Ada Tamturk+2.6
106-4MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.3
117-4EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.6
127-5MURRAYEVANS×6Attack errAnne Makowski+2.4
137-6EVANSEVANS×6BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+3.7
147-7EVANSEVANS×6BlockedLily Burnettblk Savannah Gogel+3.9
157-8EVANSEVANS×6BlockedLily Burnettblk Savannah Gogel+3.9
167-9EVANSEVANS×6KillLyla Fisherset Paige Brock+3.8
177-10EVANSEVANS×6KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+3.6
188-10EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.4
199-10MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.+3.8
209-11MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+2.9
2110-11EVANSMURRAYAttack errLyla Fisher+2.8
2211-11MURRAYMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+4.3
2311-12MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+3.2
2412-12EVANSMURRAY×4Serve errEvansville+3.2
2513-12MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+4.8
2614-12MURRAYMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyder+4.8
2715-12MURRAYMURRAY×4BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Maezi Snyder, Alexa Watts+4.6
2815-13MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.8
2916-13EVANSMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+3.4
3016-14MURRAYEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.8
3116-15EVANSEVANS×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Wren Jones, Savannah Gogel+4.8
3216-16EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Bailey Keusch+5.4
3317-16EVANSMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Lily Burnett+4.2
3418-16MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Aubry Dowling+5.8
3519-16MURRAYMURRAY×3BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Lily Burnett+5.3
3619-17MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+3.0
3720-17EVANSMURRAYKillPaige Brockset Ada Tamturk+4.0
3820-18MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+3.0
3920-19EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+5.7
4021-19EVANSMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+5.2
4121-20MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+4.2
4222-20EVANSMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+5.7
4322-21MURRAYEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Carsyn Kelley+4.4
4423-21EVANSMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+6.4
4523-22MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+4.5
4624-22EVANSMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+7.5
4724-23MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+4.1
4825-23EVANSMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Ada Tamturk+10.0
Set 4
11-0EVANSMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+2.6
22-0MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Brooke Herdes+3.7
33-0MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+3.6
43-1MURRAYEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.4
54-1EVANSMURRAY×5KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.6
65-1MURRAYMURRAY×5KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+3.5
76-1MURRAYMURRAY×5KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+3.2
87-1MURRAYMURRAY×5AceMurray St.aced Kendall Agler+2.8
98-1MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.4
108-2MURRAYEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
119-2EVANSMURRAY×3Attack errWren Jones+1.7
1210-2MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Samantha Nelson+1.9
1311-2MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Aubry Dowling+1.4
1411-3MURRAYEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
1511-4EVANSEVANSAttack errLily Burnett+1.3
1612-4EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.3
1712-5MURRAYEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Ryan Scheu+0.9
1813-5EVANSMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.2
1914-5MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.+1.2
2015-5MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.8
2115-6MURRAYEVANSServe errMurray St.+0.3
2216-6EVANSMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.5
2317-6MURRAYMURRAYAttack errWren Jones+0.4
2417-7MURRAYEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2517-8EVANSEVANS×4Attack errAnne Makowski+0.3
2617-9EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisher+0.5
2717-10EVANSEVANS×4Attack errMaezi Snyder+0.8
2818-10EVANSMURRAYServe errCarsyn Kelley+0.9
2918-11MURRAYEVANSServe errPaige Brock+0.5
3018-12EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+1.1
3119-12EVANSMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.2
3219-13MURRAYEVANSBlockedMaezi Snyderblk Carsyn Kelley, McKenzie Laubach+0.7
3320-13EVANSMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+1.1
3421-13MURRAYMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.8
3521-14MURRAYEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Kendall Agler+0.2
3622-14EVANSMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+0.4
3723-14MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk+0.2
3824-14MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errSavannah Gogel+0.1
3924-15MURRAYEVANSBlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel·
4025-15EVANSMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock·

Score shown after each rally, Murray St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).