FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC Santa Barbara def. Utah Valley 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Santa Barbara 81.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Santa Barbara won at Utah Valley 3-0 (25-20, 25-19, 26-24) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. UC Santa Barbara's Gabi Martinez and Auburn Tomkinson led with 15 kills each.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set123Sets
UCSB2525263
UT VAL2019240

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Auburn Tomkinson. UC Santa Barbara swept Utah Valley.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.0 points. Utah Valley peaked at 33% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave UC Santa Barbara 82% before first serve.

UC Santa BarbaraUtah Valley
  • Break %+10.5 pts
    45.935.4

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 23 of 65. Utah Valley sided out 54.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.102
    .288.186

    Kills and errors: 51–19 vs 31–13.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    UC Santa Barbara scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 13–16 deficit into a 19–16 lead. The set finished 25–20.

Utah Valley above 50UC Santa Barbara belowMax swing 3.0%

UC Santa BarbaraUtah Valley

Aces
UC Santa Barbara 5·Utah Valley 3
Serve err
UC Santa Barbara 10·Utah Valley 5
Blocks
UC Santa Barbara 5·Utah Valley 102 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 18 BA
Digs
UC Santa Barbara 47·Utah Valley 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Utah Valley above 50 · UC Santa Barbara below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% UT VALrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Utah Valley — set 1, UCSB 13-16 UT VAL. Attack error by Gabi Martinez. UT VAL win probability 25% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSB 72.3%27.7% UT VAL

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0
24.9%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
19.7%

Utah Valley wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.6%
3-2
13.0%
UCSB break %
45.0% vs this opp
UT VAL break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabi MartinezAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Gabi Martinez

    Set 1 · UCSB 13-16 UT VAL · UT VAL 25% → 28%

  2. 02
    Bella MathisKill+2.9%

    Kill by Bella Mathis

    Set 1 · UCSB 16-16 UT VAL · UCSB 76% → 79%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sophia Wendlick (set by Milan Rex)

    Set 1 · UCSB 17-16 UT VAL · UCSB 79% → 82%

  4. 04

    Kill by Auburn Tomkinson (set by Milan Rex)

    Set 1 · UCSB 15-16 UT VAL · UCSB 74% → 76%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Wendlick (set by Auburn Tomkinson)

    Set 1 · UCSB 18-16 UT VAL · UCSB 82% → 85%

  6. 06
    Sandrea ThomasAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Sandrea Thomas

    Set 3 · UCSB 24-24 UT VAL · UT VAL 2% → 4%

  7. 07
    Gabi MartinezKill+2.5%

    Kill by Gabi Martinez (set by Milan Rex)

    Set 1 · UCSB 13-14 UT VAL · UCSB 75% → 77%

  8. 08
    Utah ValleyAce+2.5%

    Utah Valley ace on Cortni Youngblood

    Set 1 · UCSB 8-11 UT VAL · UT VAL 24% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315532.3131134110117
315020.75010040010.515.5
3419.33310000111.55.5
33111.182101400214
3001.000212410001
3001.00021101000001
37820-.05010120010.57.5
36315.20000020010.56.5
3112.0001322600003
3000–101100000
3000–7001010000
Team totals5119111.2884951047326576
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310121.42900020052.512.5
37215.33300000073.510.5
36216.250001000217
36122.22700140010.56.5
3104.250280060111.52.5
2127-.143000000212
3000–2201200002
3000–112300001
20512-.417000000000
2000–001200000
Team totals311397.18631352951181063

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Santa Barbara vs Utah Valley

Season series · UC Santa Barbara leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UCSB · UT VAL 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 UCSBUT VAL 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 UCSBUT VAL 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 UCSBUT VAL 4

Bars above the line = Utah Valley leads, below = UC Santa Barbara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Santa Barbara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
40%4/10
2
47%7/15
50%7/14
3
78%7/9
56%9/16
4
88%7/8
46%6/13
5
78%7/9
46%6/13
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
65%42/65
46%34/74

Utah Valley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
46%6/13
2
47%7/15
27%3/11
3
58%7/12
50%7/14
4
54%7/13
0%0/7
5
55%6/11
30%3/10
6
83%5/6
40%4/10
All
54%40/74
35%23/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#UCSB-UT VALSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.1
22-0UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+1.4
32-1UCSBUT VAL×3Attack errGabi Martinez+1.1
42-2UT VALUT VAL×3KillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.6
52-3UT VALUT VAL×3KillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+1.8
63-3UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.3
74-3UCSBUCSBKillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+1.7
84-4UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.3
95-4UT VALUCSBBlockedChloe Hansenblk Auburn Tomkinson, Bella Mathis+1.3
105-5UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.4
116-5UT VALUCSBAttack errChloe Hansen+1.3
126-6UCSBUT VALBlockedEmma McDermottblk Alyvia Watkins, Chloe Hansen+1.4
136-7UT VALUT VALBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Alyvia Watkins, Chloe Hansen+2.0
147-7UT VALUCSBServe errUtah Valley+1.5
157-8UCSBUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+1.7
167-9UT VALUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+2.3
178-9UT VALUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Kate Martin+1.6
188-10UCSBUT VAL×5KillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+1.9
198-11UT VALUT VAL×5AceUtah Valleyaced Cortni Youngblood+2.5
208-12UT VALUT VAL×5KillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.4
218-13UT VALUT VAL×5KillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+2.3
228-14UT VALUT VAL×5AceUtah Valleyaced Gabi Martinez+2.0
239-14UT VALUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.1
2410-14UCSBUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Kate Martin+1.8
2511-14UCSBUCSB×5Bad setEvalyn Medaris+2.1
2612-14UCSBUCSB×5KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+2.3
2713-14UCSBUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+2.5
2813-15UCSBUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Lani Toutai+2.3
2913-16UT VALUT VALAttack errGabi Martinez+3.0
3014-16UT VALUCSB×6KillGabi Martinezset Cortni Youngblood+1.9
3115-16UCSBUCSB×6KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.7
3216-16UCSBUCSB×6KillBella Mathis+2.9
3317-16UCSBUCSB×6KillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+2.8
3418-16UCSBUCSB×6KillSophia Wendlickset Auburn Tomkinson+2.6
3519-16UCSBUCSB×6AceUC Santa Barbara+2.1
3619-17UCSBUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+1.4
3720-17UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.7
3820-18UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.4
3921-18UT VALUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+1.8
4022-18UCSBUCSBBlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Sandrea Thomas+1.6
4122-19UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Lani Toutai+0.7
4223-19UT VALUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Ava Zamora+1.1
4323-20UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+0.6
4424-20UT VALUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.0
4525-20UCSBUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+0.4
Set 2
11-0UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.1
21-1UCSBUT VALBlockedGabi Martinezblk Olivia Gloeckner, Brielle Rueckert+0.9
32-1UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.9
43-1UCSBUCSBBlockedBrielle Rueckertblk Bella Mathis, Sophia Wendlick+1.1
53-2UCSBUT VAL×3Serve errUC Santa Barbara+0.8
63-3UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errSophia Wendlick+1.2
73-4UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errBella Mathis+1.4
84-4UT VALUCSBKillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+1.0
95-4UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Bella Mathis+1.3
105-5UCSBUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+1.0
116-5UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.0
127-5UCSBUCSBBlockedBree Carsonblk Emma McDermott, Sandrea Thomas+1.2
137-6UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+0.9
147-7UT VALUT VALBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Alyvia Watkins, Miley Thunstrom+1.4
158-7UT VALUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+1.0
169-7UCSBUCSBBlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Gabi Martinez+1.3
179-8UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.0
1810-8UT VALUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Cortni Youngblood+1.0
1910-9UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.0
2011-9UT VALUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.0
2112-9UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Cortni Youngblood+1.2
2213-9UCSBUCSB×3Bad setEvalyn Medaris+1.0
2313-10UCSBUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+0.7
2414-10UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+0.8
2514-11UCSBUT VAL×4KillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+0.7
2614-12UT VALUT VAL×4KillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+1.2
2714-13UT VALUT VAL×4BlockedSophia Wendlickblk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner+1.5
2814-14UT VALUT VAL×4BlockedSophia Wendlickblk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner+1.8
2915-14UT VALUCSBServe errUtah Valley+1.4
3016-14UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.7
3116-15UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.3
3217-15UT VALUCSB×3Serve errUtah Valley+1.3
3318-15UCSBUCSB×3Attack errBree Carson+1.5
3419-15UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbara+1.1
3519-16UCSBUT VALBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Evalyn Medaris, Alyvia Watkins+0.7
3620-16UT VALUCSB×3Attack errMiley Thunstrom+0.9
3721-16UCSBUCSB×3KillEmma McDermottset Sandrea Thomas+0.7
3822-16UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbara+0.4
3922-17UCSBUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+0.1
4023-17UT VALUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+0.2
4123-18UCSBUT VALKillEvalyn Medarisset Kenna McClure+0.1
4224-18UT VALUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Bianca Nistor+0.2
4324-19UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris·
4425-19UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.1
Set 3
11-0UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+0.4
21-1UCSBUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+0.5
32-1UT VALUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.5
42-2UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+0.5
52-3UT VALUT VALBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Brielle Rueckert, Olivia Gloeckner+0.7
63-3UT VALUCSBServe errUtah Valley+0.5
73-4UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+0.6
84-4UT VALUCSB×3KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Sophia Wendlick+0.5
95-4UCSBUCSB×3KillSophia Wendlickset Ava Zamora+0.7
106-4UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbara+0.6
116-5UCSBUT VALBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Alyvia Watkins, Olivia Gloeckner+0.5
127-5UT VALUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Ava Zamora+0.5
138-5UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+0.5
148-6UCSBUT VALAttack errEmma McDermott+0.4
159-6UT VALUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+0.4
169-7UCSBUT VAL×3KillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+0.4
179-8UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errEmma McDermott+0.7
189-9UT VALUT VAL×3Attack errGabi Martinez+0.8
1910-9UT VALUCSBKillAva Zamoraset Gabi Martinez+0.6
2011-9UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbara+0.7
2111-10UCSBUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris+0.5
2212-10UT VALUCSBKillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+0.6
2313-10UCSBUCSBAttack errOlivia Gloeckner+0.6
2413-11UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+0.5
2513-12UT VALUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+0.7
2614-12UT VALUCSBAttack errBree Carson+0.6
2714-13UCSBUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+0.6
2815-13UT VALUCSBAttack errBree Carson+0.6
2915-14UCSBUT VALServe errUC Santa Barbara+0.6
3016-14UT VALUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Ava Zamora+0.7
3116-15UCSBUT VAL×4Serve errUC Santa Barbara+0.7
3216-16UT VALUT VAL×4Attack errAva Zamora+1.0
3316-17UT VALUT VAL×4BlockedGabi Martinezblk Evalyn Medaris+1.2
3416-18UT VALUT VAL×4AceUtah Valleyaced Kate Martin+1.3
3517-18UT VALUCSBServe errUtah Valley+0.9
3617-19UCSBUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris+1.1
3718-19UT VALUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+0.9
3818-20UCSBUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris+1.2
3919-20UT VALUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.0
4019-21UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+1.3
4120-21UT VALUCSB×4KillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+1.0
4221-21UCSBUCSB×4Attack errBrielle Rueckert+1.6
4322-21UCSBUCSB×4KillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+1.7
4423-21UCSBUCSB×4KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.5
4523-22UCSBUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris+0.9
4624-22UT VALUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.3
4724-23UCSBUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris+0.8
4824-24UT VALUT VALAttack errSandrea Thomas+2.6
4925-24UT VALUCSBAttack errBree Carson+2.0
5026-24UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.3

Score shown after each rally, UC Santa Barbara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).