Utah Valley vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Utah Valley (9-17) at UC Santa Barbara (13-12), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC Santa Barbara an 82% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UC Santa Barbara won 3-0 on Oct 1.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

UT VAL 18.2%81.8% UCSB

Utah Valley wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

6.0%

3-2

9.3%

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

33.4%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

17.7%

UT VAL break %: 39.4% vs this opp
UCSB break %: 46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.