Long Beach State vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Long Beach St. (18-4) at UC Santa Barbara (12-11), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 9:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Long Beach St. a 71% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Long Beach St. won 3-1 on Oct 9.

Data through Nov 3, 9:10 PM CT

Match prediction

LBSU 70.7%29.3% UCSB

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

23.7%

3-1

27.1%

3-2

19.8%

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.3%

3-2

13.5%

LBSU break %: 44.3% vs this opp
UCSB break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.