FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Santa Clara def. Portland 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Santa Clara 82.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Santa Clara beat visiting Portland 3-0 (25-16, 25-20, 25-13) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Santa Clara's Cate Shanahan led with 13 kills, and Macy Hinshaw added 11 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
PORT1620130
STCLAR2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Santa Clara swept Portland.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.8 points. Portland peaked at 20% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Santa Clara at 82%.

PortlandSanta Clara
  • Break %+20.4 pts
    41.261.6

    On serve: 45/73 against 21/51 (Portland sideout 38.4%).

  • Hitting+.258
    -.054.204

    Kills and errors: 40–18 vs 19–24.

  • Longest run+1
    67

    Santa Clara scored 7 straight in the third set to go from 4–4 to an 11–4 lead. That set ended 25–13.

Santa Clara above 50Portland belowMax swing 1.8%

PortlandSanta Clara

Aces
Portland 4·Santa Clara 9
Serve err
Portland 2·Santa Clara 7
Blocks
Portland 5·Santa Clara 41 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Portland 41·Santa Clara 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Santa Clara above 50 · Portland below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% PORTrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Portland — set 1, PORT 1-0 STCLAR. Ace by Lillian Lansing on Ashlynn Reilly. STCLAR win probability 82% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PORT 14.9%85.1% STCLAR

Portland wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
7.9%

Santa Clara wins

3-0
37.3%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.5%
PORT break %
37.3% vs this opp
STCLAR break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Lillian Lansing on Ashlynn Reilly

    Set 1 · PORT 1-0 STCLAR · PORT 18% → 20%

  2. 02
    Danielle BrownBlock+1.6%

    Kalaweloilehua Chock stuffed by Danielle Brown

    Set 1 · PORT 1-2 STCLAR · STCLAR 82% → 83%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kalaweloilehua Chock (set by Havannah Hoeft)

    Set 1 · PORT 5-6 STCLAR · PORT 15% → 16%

  4. 04
    Cate ShanahanKill+1.5%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · PORT 2-4 STCLAR · STCLAR 83% → 85%

  5. 05
    Alana VillelaAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Alana Villela

    Set 1 · PORT 5-8 STCLAR · STCLAR 85% → 86%

  6. 06

    Kill by Allison Dzieciuch (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · PORT 2-5 STCLAR · STCLAR 85% → 86%

  7. 07

    Allison Dzieciuch stuffed by Kalaweloilehua Chock & Alana Villela

    Set 1 · PORT 4-6 STCLAR · PORT 13% → 15%

  8. 08
    Selin AslayanKill+1.3%

    Kill by Selin Aslayan (set by Lexi Trapani)

    Set 1 · PORT 6-10 STCLAR · STCLAR 86% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
361029-.138000840217
33211.09100000111.54.5
3012-.500120810002
3004.000160040010.50.5
21412-.250000100001
2012-.50000001010.50.5
33215.067000000003
3117.000000100212
3000–111930001
3000–111800001
3000–000000000
2518.50000000010.55.5
1022-1.000000200000
Team totals192492-.054194241918549
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313330.3330218002116
37114.42901100031.59.5
35721-.095100100005
3000–141420004
32111.09100000111.53.5
3115.00030101100002
311526.2311000000011
31011.000002800001
3000–5111010001
1000–001000000
Team totals4018108.204389742416475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Portland vs Santa Clara

Season series · Santa Clara leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 PORT · STCLAR 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 PORTSTCLAR 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 6 PORTSTCLAR 6

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 4 PORTSTCLAR 7

Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = Portland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%6/15
50%5/10
2
60%6/10
0%0/6
3
36%5/14
50%6/12
4
27%4/15
38%3/8
5
40%4/10
60%6/10
6
33%3/9
20%1/5
All
38%28/73
41%21/51

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
73%11/15
2
67%6/9
33%3/9
3
67%6/9
57%8/14
4
36%5/14
62%8/13
5
100%4/4
67%8/12
6
75%3/4
70%7/10
All
59%30/51
62%45/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#PORT-STCLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PORTPORTAceLillian Lansingaced Ashlynn Reilly+1.8
21-1PORTSTCLARAttack errShaylee Stephen+1.2
31-2STCLARSTCLARBlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Danielle Brown+1.6
42-2STCLARPORTServe errGrace Flanagan+1.2
52-3PORTSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+1.1
62-4STCLARSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
72-5STCLARSTCLAR×4KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.4
82-6STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+1.1
93-6STCLARPORT×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.7
104-6PORTPORT×3BlockedAllison Dzieciuchblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Alana Villela+1.3
115-6PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
125-7PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
135-8STCLARSTCLARAttack errAlana Villela+1.5
146-8STCLARPORTServe errCate Shanahan+1.0
156-9PORTSTCLAR×3Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+1.0
166-10STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+1.3
176-11STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
187-11STCLARPORTAttack errMacy Hinshaw+0.6
197-12PORTSTCLAR×3KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
207-13STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errShaylee Stephen+0.7
217-14STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.5
228-14STCLARPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
239-14PORTPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
249-15PORTSTCLARAttack errEliot Diehl Palmer+0.5
259-16STCLARSTCLARBlockedVanessa Haddockblk Grace Flanagan, Cate Shanahan+0.5
2610-16STCLARPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
2710-17PORTSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2811-17STCLARPORTServe errAlyssa Eimer+0.2
2911-18PORTSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3011-19STCLARSTCLARAttack errEliot Diehl Palmer+0.2
3112-19STCLARPORTServe errTia Kapihe+0.1
3212-20PORTSTCLAR×5Serve errJeryn Hildenbrand+0.1
3312-21STCLARSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3412-22STCLARSTCLAR×5AceCate Shanahanaced Alana Villela·
3512-23STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock·
3612-24STCLARSTCLAR×5KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw·
3713-24STCLARPORT×4Attack errAllison Dzieciuch·
3814-24PORTPORT×4Bad setLexi Trapani·
3915-24PORTPORT×4KillJosephine Portelaset Jeryn Hildenbrand·
4016-24PORTPORT×4Attack errSelin Aslayan·
4116-25PORTSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw·
Set 2
10-1STCLARSTCLAR×6KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
20-2STCLARSTCLAR×6AceAshlynn Reillyaced Amiyah Eason+1.1
30-3STCLARSTCLAR×6Attack errEliot Diehl Palmer+0.9
40-4STCLARSTCLAR×6BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Grace Flanagan, Cate Shanahan+0.8
50-5STCLARSTCLAR×6AceAshlynn Reillyaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.7
60-6STCLARSTCLAR×6AceAshlynn Reillyaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.5
71-6STCLARPORTKillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
81-7PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+0.4
92-7STCLARPORT×3KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
103-7PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
114-7PORTPORT×3AceJeryn Hildenbrandaced Ashlynn Reilly+0.8
124-8PORTSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
134-9STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.7
144-10STCLARSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
154-11STCLARSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahan+0.4
164-12STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.3
175-12STCLARPORTServe errTia Kapihe+0.1
185-13PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Ashlynn Reilly+0.2
195-14STCLARSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
206-14STCLARPORT×6KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
217-14PORTPORT×6Attack errSelin Aslayan+0.2
228-14PORTPORT×6Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.3
239-14PORTPORT×6KillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
2410-14PORTPORT×6AceAmiyah Easonaced Lexi Trapani+0.6
2511-14PORTPORT×6Attack errSelin Aslayan+0.8
2611-15PORTSTCLARServe errAmiyah Eason+0.7
2712-15STCLARPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
2812-16PORTSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
2913-16STCLARPORTKillLila Krallset Amiyah Eason+0.6
3013-17PORTSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+0.7
3114-17STCLARPORTServe errAshlynn Reilly+0.6
3214-18PORTSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
3315-18STCLARPORTAttack errCate Shanahan+0.6
3416-18PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Lillian Lansing+1.3
3516-19PORTSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
3617-19STCLARPORTBlockedAllison Dzieciuchblk Josephine Portela, Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.9
3717-20PORTSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
3817-21STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errJosephine Portela+1.1
3917-22STCLARSTCLAR×3AceCate Shanahanaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.6
4018-22STCLARPORTBlockedSelin Aslayanblk Havannah Hoeft, Josephine Portela+0.2
4119-22PORTPORTBlockedCate Shanahanblk Shaylee Stephen+0.6
4219-23PORTSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
4320-23STCLARPORTKillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
4420-24PORTSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
4520-25STCLARSTCLARAceMacy Hinshawaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.2
Set 3
11-0PORTPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.7
21-1PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
31-2STCLARSTCLARAceGrace Flanaganaced Lillian Lansing+0.6
42-2STCLARPORTAttack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.5
52-3PORTSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
63-3STCLARPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
73-4PORTSTCLARAttack errLillian Lansing+0.4
84-4STCLARPORTAttack errSelin Aslayan+0.5
94-5PORTSTCLAR×7Attack errVanessa Haddock+0.5
104-6STCLARSTCLAR×7KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
114-7STCLARSTCLAR×7Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.5
124-8STCLARSTCLAR×7Attack errCallie Pieper+0.5
134-9STCLARSTCLAR×7KillTia Kapiheset Allison Dzieciuch+0.4
144-10STCLARSTCLAR×7KillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+0.3
154-11STCLARSTCLAR×7AceLexi Trapaniaced Amiyah Eason+0.2
165-11STCLARPORTServe errLexi Trapani+0.1
175-12PORTSTCLAR×5KillMacy Hinshawset Selin Aslayan+0.1
185-13STCLARSTCLAR×5KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
195-14STCLARSTCLAR×5KillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
205-15STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errCallie Pieper·
215-16STCLARSTCLAR×5KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw·
226-16STCLARPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft·
236-17PORTSTCLAR×5KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw·
246-18STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock·
256-19STCLARSTCLAR×5BlockedLila Krallblk Grace Flanagan, Danielle Brown·
266-20STCLARSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani·
276-21STCLARSTCLAR×5AceAshlynn Reillyaced Amiyah Eason·
287-21STCLARPORT×4Attack errGrace Flanagan·
298-21PORTPORT×4BlockedCate Shanahanblk Shaylee Stephen, Lila Krall·
309-21PORTPORT×4Attack errDanielle Brown·
3110-21PORTPORT×4AceLillian Lansing·
3210-22PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw·
3310-23STCLARSTCLARAttack errKalaweloilehua Chock·
3411-23STCLARPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft·
3511-24PORTSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw·
3612-24STCLARPORTAttack errAllison Dzieciuch·
3713-24PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft·
3813-25PORTSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw·

Score shown after each rally, Portland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).