Evansville vs Belmont Volleyball: Belmont Wins 3-0 (Oct 3)

FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 97.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont beat visiting Evansville 3-0 (25-22, 25-12, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Belmont's Lucy Kay led with 12 kills, and Mya Bolton added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	Sets
EVANS	22	12	17	0
BELMNT	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lucy Kay hit .526 with 12 kills as Belmont rolled past Evansville.

Win probability never moved more than 0.8 points on one rally; Evansville topped out at 5% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Belmont 97% before first serve.

EvansvilleBelmont

Break %+20.4 pts
35.856.2
Points won on own serve: 41 of 73 vs 19 of 53. Evansville sided out 43.8% of the time.
Hitting+.161
.157.318
Kills and errors: 41–13 vs 29–15.
Longest run+2
35
5 straight Belmont points in the first set turned a 0–2 deficit into a 5–2 lead. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Belmont above 50Evansville belowMax swing 0.8%

EvansvilleBelmont

Aces: Evansville 4·Belmont 9
Serve err: Evansville 9·Belmont 4
Blocks: Evansville 4·Belmont 32 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Evansville 32·Belmont 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Belmont above 50 · Evansville below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Belmont stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 2.6%97.4% BELMNT

Evansville wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

Belmont wins

3-0

64.1%

3-1

26.5%

3-2

6.8%

EVANS break %: 35.6% vs this opp
BELMNT break %: 50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Evansvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21McKenzie LaubachMB	3	7	3	12	.333	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	1	9
11Savannah GogelMB	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
7Lyla FisherOH	3	6	3	18	.167	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	6
2Carsyn KelleyS	3	0	2	5	-.400	24	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
17Ryan ScheuOH	2	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
3Wren JonesOH	2	1	2	12	-.083	0	0	3	2	1	1	0	1	2
20Kendall AglerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	4	3	0	0	0	2
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Brooke HerdesOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	11	2	0	0	0	0
6Lexi OwenS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
13Holland MorrisOH	2	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Carlotta Pascual CentellesOH	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
18Makenzie MillerMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	15	89	.157	27	4	9	32	9	2	4	4	51

Belmonthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Lucy KayMB	3	12	2	19	.526	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	14.5
10Sydnee NelsonOH	3	11	3	28	.286	0	3	0	4	2	0	0	0	14
3Brenna KauffeldOH	3	8	2	15	.400	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	0	10
11Erin McMullenMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
9Emily WarmenhovenOH	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Jordan CzajkowskiS	3	0	0	0	–	18	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
4Madison LansdownL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
7Alivia KeeganS	3	1	2	5	-.200	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Mya BoltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
0Lauren EvansDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
21Alexia SmollenMB	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Connie KofoedOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Mialee DabbeltOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	13	88	.318	38	9	4	41	4	2	2	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Evansville vs Belmont

Season series · Belmont leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Evansville at Belmont · Belmont won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Belmont at Evansville · Belmont won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 EVANS · BELMNT 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 EVANSBELMNT 5

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 EVANSBELMNT 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 EVANSBELMNT 4

Bars above the line = Belmont leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%2/5	67%2/3
2	33%2/6	33%1/3
3	20%1/5	33%1/3
4	100%1/1	0%0/1
5	25%1/4	0%0/1
6	25%1/4	0%0/1
All	32%8/25	33%4/12

Belmont

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	60%3/5
2	67%2/3	67%4/6
3	100%1/1	80%4/5
4	100%1/1	0%0/1
5	100%1/1	75%3/4
6	33%1/3	75%3/4
All	67%8/12	68%17/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	EVANS-BELMNT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Sydnee Nelson	blk McKenzie Laubach
2	2-0	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Evansville	aced Sydnee Nelson
3	2-1	EVANS	BELMNT×5	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Mya Bolton
4	2-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
5	2-3	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Mya Bolton
6	2-4	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Attack err	Lyla Fisher
7	2-5	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Ace	Belmont	aced Wren Jones
8	3-5	BELMNT	EVANS×3	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley
9	4-5		EVANS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
10	5-5	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	Evansville	aced Sydnee Nelson
11	5-6	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
12	6-6	BELMNT	EVANS	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson	set Emily Warmenhoven
13	7-6	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Evansville	aced Emily Warmenhoven
14	7-7	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski
15	7-8	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
16	8-8	BELMNT	EVANS×3	Serve err	Belmont
17	9-8	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
18	10-8	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Emily Warmenhoven
19	10-9	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
20	10-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Wren Jones
21	10-11	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Alivia Keegan	set Mya Bolton
22	10-12	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
23	11-12	BELMNT	EVANS	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
24	11-13	EVANS	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Evansville
25	11-14	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
26	11-15	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Ace	Belmont	aced Brooke Herdes
27	12-15	BELMNT	EVANS	Serve err	Belmont
28	12-16	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
29	12-17	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
30	13-17	BELMNT	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Brooke Herdes
31	14-17	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley
32	15-17	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Ryan Scheu
33	15-18		BELMNT	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
34	16-18	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
35	16-19	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
36	16-20	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Belmont	aced Kendall Agler
37	17-20	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
38	17-21	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski
39	17-22	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Belmont	aced Kendall Agler
40	18-22	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley
41	19-22	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
42	19-23	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Alivia Keegan
43	20-23	BELMNT	EVANS	Attack err	Alivia Keegan	set Lyla Fisher
44	21-23	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Lucy Kay
45	21-24	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
46	22-24	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
47	22-25	EVANS	BELMNT	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
Set 2
1	1-0	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley
2	1-1	EVANS	BELMNT×5	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski
3	1-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Attack err	Savannah Gogel
4	1-3	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven
5	1-4	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Ace	Belmont
6	1-5	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Attack err	Wren Jones
7	2-5	BELMNT	EVANS	Blocked	Brenna Kauffeld	blk Wren Jones
8	2-6	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
9	2-7	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Carsyn Kelley
10	3-7	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley
11	3-8	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
12	4-8	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley
13	4-9	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
14	4-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Lyla Fisher
15	4-11	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay
16	4-12	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Carsyn Kelley	blk Lucy Kay
17	5-12	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
18	5-13	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
19	5-14	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
20	5-15	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
21	5-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
22	6-16	BELMNT	EVANS×3	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
23	7-16	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Holland Morris	set Kendall Agler
24	8-16	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	Evansville
25	8-17	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan
26	8-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
27	8-19	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski
28	8-20	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski
29	9-20	BELMNT	EVANS	Bad set	Jordan Czajkowski
30	10-20	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Carsyn Kelley
31	10-21	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
32	11-21	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Mialee Dabbelt	set Connie Kofoed
33	12-21	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Brenna Kauffeld	blk Savannah Gogel, Holland Morris
34	12-22	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
35	12-23	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski
36	12-24	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Holland Morris
37	12-25	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Belmont	aced Brooke Herdes
Set 3
1	0-1	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski
2	1-1	BELMNT	EVANS	Attack err	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski
3	1-2	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
4	2-2	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Brooke Herdes
5	2-3	EVANS	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Evansville
6	2-4	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Blocked	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	blk Lucy Kay
7	2-5	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Ace	Belmont	aced Lyla Fisher
8	3-5	BELMNT	EVANS	Serve err	Belmont
9	3-6	EVANS	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
10	3-7		BELMNT	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
11	3-8	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Carlotta Pascual Centelles
12	3-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Holland Morris
13	4-9	BELMNT	EVANS	Serve err	Belmont
14	4-10	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Alivia Keegan
15	5-10	BELMNT	EVANS	Attack err	Alivia Keegan	set Kendall Agler
16	5-11	EVANS	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Evansville
17	5-12	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Ace	Belmont	aced Kendall Agler
18	5-13	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Holland Morris
19	6-13	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
20	7-13	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Erin McMullen
21	7-14	EVANS	BELMNT	Serve err	Evansville
22	8-14	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
23	8-15	EVANS	BELMNT	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
24	8-16	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski
25	9-16	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley
26	9-17	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski
27	10-17	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher
28	10-18	EVANS	BELMNT	Blocked	McKenzie Laubach	blk Lucy Kay, Emily Warmenhoven
29	11-18	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley
30	12-18	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Lucy Kay	blk Holland Morris, Savannah Gogel
31	12-19	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan
32	13-19	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
33	14-19	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Holland Morris	set Carsyn Kelley
34	14-20	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Alexia Smollen
35	14-21		BELMNT	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
36	15-21	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Holland Morris
37	15-22	EVANS	BELMNT×3	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski
38	15-23	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Ace	Belmont	aced Lyla Fisher
39	15-24	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Lyla Fisher
40	16-24	BELMNT	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley
41	17-24	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Alexia Smollen
42	17-25	EVANS	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Belmont def. Evansville 3–0

Lucy Kay hit .526 with 12 kills as Belmont rolled past Evansville.