Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

Belmont def. Evansville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 94.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont won at Evansville 3-1 (21-25, 25-20, 25-18, 25-11) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Belmont's Brenna Kauffeld led with 13 kills, and Mya Bolton added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
BELMNT212525253
EVANS252018111

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 9–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Belmont.

Win probability never moved more than 4.7 points on one rally; Evansville topped out at 25% in Set 2. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Belmont at 94%.

BelmontEvansville
  • Break %+13.9 pts
    52.638.7

    On serve: 50/95 against 29/75 (Evansville sideout 47.4%).

  • Hitting+.119
    .283.164

    53 kills, 19 errors vs 42 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    96

    Belmont scored 9 straight in the fourth set to stretch a 13–8 lead to 22–8. The set finished 25–11.

Evansville above 50Belmont belowMax swing 4.7%

BelmontEvansville

Aces
Belmont 12·Evansville 4
Serve err
Belmont 8·Evansville 9
Blocks
Belmont 11·Evansville 91 BS · 20 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Belmont 52·Evansville 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Evansville above 50 · Belmont below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.7% EVANSrally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Evansville — set 2, BELMNT 20-20 EVANS. Attack error by Connie Kofoed. EVANS win probability 19% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELMNT 94.2%5.8% EVANS

Belmont wins

3-0
53.2%
3-1
30.3%
3-2
10.7%

Evansville wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
3.5%
BELMNT break %
48.9% vs this opp
EVANS break %
36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Connie KofoedAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Connie Kofoed

    Set 2 · BELMNT 20-20 EVANS · EVANS 19% → 23%

  2. 02

    Ace by Connie Kofoed on Brooke Herdes

    Set 2 · BELMNT 22-20 EVANS · BELMNT 80% → 84%

  3. 03

    Ace by Brooke Herdes

    Set 2 · BELMNT 14-15 EVANS · EVANS 21% → 25%

  4. 04
    EvansvilleService error+3.6%

    Evansville service error

    Set 2 · BELMNT 21-20 EVANS · BELMNT 77% → 80%

  5. 05
    McKenzie LaubachAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by McKenzie Laubach

    Set 2 · BELMNT 16-15 EVANS · BELMNT 77% → 81%

  6. 06
    Wren JonesAce+2.9%

    Ace by Wren Jones on Mya Bolton

    Set 1 · BELMNT 20-22 EVANS · EVANS 10% → 13%

  7. 07

    Sydnee Nelson stuffed by Carsyn Kelley & Savannah Gogel

    Set 2 · BELMNT 13-13 EVANS · EVANS 18% → 21%

  8. 08
    Wren JonesAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Wren Jones

    Set 2 · BELMNT 23-20 EVANS · BELMNT 84% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413325.4000229004217
410219.42110010073.513.5
48419.21110250031.59.5
48216.37500000031.59.5
4000–2510500001
4000–001610000
4308.375140030031.54.5
4000–6411710004
4000–032300003
36316.188120200008
22410-.200000101013
1216.167000000002
11011.000000000001
Team totals5319120.283481285241201196
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412522.31810130010.512.5
410529.1721112202112
48521.1430001008412
44016.250300280052.56.5
44117.176001200215
44516-.063100020004
4000–3221230002
4000–001300000
4000–000600000
3000–011400001
1011-1.000000020000
Team totals4222122.16436494112018974

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Belmont vs Evansville

Season series · Belmont leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 BELMNT · EVANS 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 BELMNTEVANS 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 BELMNTEVANS 2

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 BELMNTEVANS 2

Set 4

25-11

Longest run 9 BELMNTEVANS 4

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
47%7/15
2
73%8/11
60%12/20
3
57%8/14
47%7/15
4
78%7/9
59%10/17
5
47%7/15
56%9/16
6
58%7/12
42%5/12
All
61%46/75
53%50/95

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%8/22
27%3/11
2
47%8/17
43%6/14
3
57%8/14
27%3/11
4
54%7/13
33%4/12
5
37%7/19
50%7/14
6
70%7/10
46%6/13
All
47%45/95
39%29/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#BELMNT-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0EVANSBELMNT×4KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.5
22-0BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Sydnee Nelson, Erin McMullen+0.6
33-0BELMNTBELMNT×4KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.5
44-0BELMNTBELMNT×4AceJordan Czajkowskiaced Lyla Fisher+0.4
54-1BELMNTEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
64-2EVANSEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubach+0.5
74-3EVANSEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
85-3EVANSBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Mya Bolton+0.4
95-4BELMNTEVANSServe errSydnee Nelson+0.5
105-5EVANSEVANSBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach+0.8
116-5EVANSBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
126-6BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubach+0.6
137-6EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+0.6
147-7BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
158-7EVANSBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+0.6
169-7BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedWren Jonesblk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay+0.7
1710-7BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Mya Bolton+0.6
1810-8BELMNTEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
1911-8EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+0.4
2012-8BELMNTBELMNTBlockedLyla Fisherblk Alivia Keegan, Erin McMullen+0.5
2112-9BELMNTEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Lyla Fisher+0.3
2213-9EVANSBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+0.4
2314-9BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+0.4
2415-9BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.3
2515-10BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
2616-10EVANSBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.2
2716-11BELMNTEVANSAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.2
2816-12EVANSEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Brooke Herdes+0.3
2917-12EVANSBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.3
3017-13BELMNTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
3118-13EVANSBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+0.3
3218-14BELMNTEVANS×6KillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+0.2
3318-15EVANSEVANS×6BlockedLucy Kayblk Wren Jones, Savannah Gogel+0.5
3418-16EVANSEVANS×6BlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+0.8
3518-17EVANSEVANS×6KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
3618-18EVANSEVANS×6KillCarsyn Kelleyset Mya Bolton+1.6
3718-19EVANSEVANS×6Attack errEmily Warmenhoven+2.0
3819-19EVANSBELMNTKillAlivia Keegan+1.4
3920-19BELMNTBELMNTAttack errSavannah Gogel+1.8
4020-20BELMNTEVANS×4KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.4
4120-21EVANSEVANS×4BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Savannah Gogel, Carsyn Kelley+2.5
4220-22EVANSEVANS×4AceWren Jonesaced Mya Bolton+2.9
4320-23EVANSEVANS×4BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+2.8
4421-23EVANSBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+1.1
4521-24BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+2.3
4621-25EVANSEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.4
Set 2
11-0BELMNTBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Mya Bolton+1.6
21-1BELMNTEVANSAttack errEmily Warmenhoven+1.3
32-1EVANSBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.2
43-1BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedRyan Scheublk Emily Warmenhoven+1.4
54-1BELMNTBELMNT×3AceMadison Lansdown+1.2
64-2BELMNTEVANSServe errMadison Lansdown+0.9
75-2EVANSBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Mya Bolton+0.9
85-3BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
95-4EVANSEVANSKillWren Jones+1.6
106-4EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+1.1
116-5BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
127-5EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+1.2
138-5BELMNTBELMNTKillAlivia Keeganset Alivia Keegan+1.4
148-6BELMNTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
159-6EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+1.0
169-7BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
179-8EVANSEVANSAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+1.9
1810-8EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+1.4
1910-9BELMNTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
2011-9EVANSBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.4
2111-10BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
2212-10EVANSBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.5
2312-11BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+1.6
2413-11EVANSBELMNTAttack errSavannah Gogel+1.6
2513-12BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
2613-13EVANSEVANSBlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+2.8
2714-13EVANSBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.0
2814-14BELMNTEVANSAttack errSydnee Nelson+2.3
2914-15EVANSEVANSAceBrooke Herdes+3.7
3015-15EVANSBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+2.5
3116-15BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+3.2
3217-15BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Mya Bolton+2.8
3317-16BELMNTEVANSBad setJordan Czajkowski+2.1
3418-16EVANSBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.1
3518-17BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.2
3619-17EVANSBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.3
3719-18BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.3
3820-18EVANSBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.5
3920-19BELMNTEVANSServe errBrenna Kauffeld+2.4
4020-20EVANSEVANSAttack errConnie Kofoed+4.7
4121-20EVANSBELMNT×5Serve errEvansville+3.6
4222-20BELMNTBELMNT×5AceConnie Kofoedaced Brooke Herdes+4.2
4323-20BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errWren Jones+2.8
4424-20BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Lucy Kay, Sydnee Nelson+1.3
4525-20BELMNTBELMNT×5AceConnie Kofoed+0.3
Set 3
10-1EVANSEVANSAttack errErin McMullen+1.7
21-1EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville+1.2
32-1BELMNTBELMNTBlockedLyla Fisherblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+1.5
42-2BELMNTEVANSAttack errErin McMullen+1.2
53-2EVANSBELMNTBlockedLyla Fisherblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+1.1
64-2BELMNTBELMNTAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+1.3
74-3BELMNTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
84-4EVANSEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Jordan Czajkowski+1.7
95-4EVANSBELMNT×5KillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+1.2
106-4BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay+1.4
117-4BELMNTBELMNT×5AceBrenna Kauffeldaced Wren Jones+1.2
128-4BELMNTBELMNT×5AceBrenna Kauffeldaced Wren Jones+0.9
139-4BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errWren Jones+0.7
149-5BELMNTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
159-6EVANSEVANSKillRyan Scheuset McKenzie Laubach+0.9
1610-6EVANSBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.7
1710-7BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
1811-7EVANSBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+0.7
1911-8BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
2012-8EVANSBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Lyla Fisher+0.8
2112-9BELMNTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
2213-9EVANSBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
2314-9BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedLyla Fisherblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+0.8
2415-9BELMNTBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
2515-10BELMNTEVANSServe errSydnee Nelson+0.3
2615-11EVANSEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
2716-11EVANSBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
2817-11BELMNTBELMNT×5KillConnie Kofoedset Sydnee Nelson+0.6
2918-11BELMNTBELMNT×5AceMadison Lansdownaced Lyla Fisher+0.3
3019-11BELMNTBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.2
3120-11BELMNTBELMNT×5KillLucy Kayset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3220-12BELMNTEVANSServe errMadison Lansdown·
3321-12EVANSBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski·
3421-13BELMNTEVANSServe errBelmont·
3522-13EVANSBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan·
3622-14BELMNTEVANSServe errBelmont·
3722-15EVANSEVANSAceLexi Owenaced Lauren Evans·
3823-15EVANSBELMNTKillMialee Dabbeltset Alivia Keegan·
3923-16BELMNTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
4023-17EVANSEVANSBlockedMialee Dabbeltblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel·
4124-17EVANSBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+0.1
4224-18BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
4325-18EVANSBELMNTKillMialee Dabbeltset Jordan Czajkowski·
Set 4
11-0BELMNTBELMNT×4KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.0
22-0BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedLyla Fisherblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+0.9
33-0BELMNTBELMNT×4KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
44-0BELMNTBELMNT×4KillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
54-1BELMNTEVANS×4KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
64-2EVANSEVANS×4Attack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.8
74-3EVANSEVANS×4KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
84-4EVANSEVANS×4Attack errConnie Kofoed+1.2
95-4EVANSBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
106-4BELMNTBELMNT×3AceMadison Lansdown+1.0
117-4BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errWren Jones+0.8
127-5BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Wren Jones+0.6
138-5EVANSBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
149-5BELMNTBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+0.7
1510-5BELMNTBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+0.5
1610-6BELMNTEVANSBlockedConnie Kofoedblk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu+0.4
1710-7EVANSEVANSBlockedLucy Kayblk Savannah Gogel, Wren Jones+0.7
1811-7EVANSBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+0.5
1912-7BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errWren Jones+0.6
2013-7BELMNTBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Connie Kofoed+0.4
2113-8BELMNTEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2214-8EVANSBELMNT×9KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+0.3
2315-8BELMNTBELMNT×9AceMya Boltonaced Holland Morris+0.3
2416-8BELMNTBELMNT×9BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Erin McMullen, Sydnee Nelson+0.2
2517-8BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errSavannah Gogel+0.1
2618-8BELMNTBELMNT×9AceMya Boltonaced Holland Morris·
2719-8BELMNTBELMNT×9AceMya Boltonaced Brooke Herdes·
2820-8BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errHolland Morris·
2921-8BELMNTBELMNT×9KillAlivia Keeganset Erin McMullen·
3022-8BELMNTBELMNT×9AceMya Boltonaced Brooke Herdes·
3122-9BELMNTEVANSServe errMya Bolton·
3222-10EVANSEVANSAceBrooke Herdes·
3323-10EVANSBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan·
3423-11BELMNTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley·
3524-11EVANSBELMNTServe errEvansville·
3625-11BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton·

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).