Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

Stonehill def. Mercyhurst 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Mercyhurst 59.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stonehill beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-2 (25-22, 20-25, 25-23, 13-25, 15-5) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Stonehill's Addy Frye led with 19 kills, and Kristina Bishop added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set12345Sets
MERCYH2225232552
STONEH25202513153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Abby Farrell served 4 aces, and Stonehill needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Stonehill's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Mercyhurst went in at 60% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Mercyhurst 19–18 Stonehill

    Stonehill scored 4 straight to turn an 18–19 deficit into a 22–19 lead. The match swung to Stonehill.

    Stonehill 37% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Mercyhurst 18–19 Stonehill

    Stonehill scored 4 straight to stretch a 19–18 lead to 23–18.

    Stonehill 51% → 69%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Mercyhurst 2–4 Stonehill

    7 straight Stonehill points stretched a 4–2 lead to 11–2.

    Stonehill 65% → 99%

Stonehill above 50Mercyhurst belowMax swing 11.0%

MercyhurstStonehill

Sideout %
Mercyhurst 55.7·Stonehill 54.5
Break %
Mercyhurst 45.5·Stonehill 44.3
Hitting
Mercyhurst .234·Stonehill .227
Longest run
Mercyhurst 8·Stonehill 7

Samantha Loyd
3 kills inside the turning points, 17 K and .227 for the match (17 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stonehill above 50 · Mercyhurst below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.0% STONEHrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.0% to Stonehill — set 3, MERCYH 23-25 STONEH. Kill by Abby Farrell (set by Kendra Sawyer). STONEH win probability 59% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 61.8%38.2% STONEH

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.6%
3-2
20.0%

Stonehill wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
MERCYH break %
45.4% vs this opp
STONEH break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby FarrellKill+11.0%

    Kill by Abby Farrell (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 3 · MERCYH 23-25 STONEH · STONEH 59% → 70%

  2. 02
    StonehillService error+8.7%

    Stonehill service error

    Set 5 · MERCYH 1-4 STONEH · STONEH 63% → 71%

  3. 03

    Julia Shepherd stuffed by Annabelle Svenson & Haley Herndon

    Set 5 · MERCYH 0-2 STONEH · STONEH 53% → 62%

  4. 04
    MercyhurstService error+8.2%

    Mercyhurst service error

    Set 3 · MERCYH 22-24 STONEH · STONEH 56% → 64%

  5. 05
    Abby FarrellKill+8.1%

    Kill by Abby Farrell (set by Casey McDermott)

    Set 5 · MERCYH 2-6 STONEH · STONEH 72% → 81%

  6. 06
    Haley HerndonKill+7.1%

    Kill by Haley Herndon (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 5 · MERCYH 1-3 STONEH · STONEH 56% → 63%

  7. 07
    Samantha LoydKill+7.1%

    Kill by Samantha Loyd (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 5 · MERCYH 2-5 STONEH · STONEH 65% → 72%

  8. 08
    Samantha LoydKill+6.7%

    Kill by Samantha Loyd (set by Casey McDermott)

    Set 5 · MERCYH 2-7 STONEH · STONEH 81% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513536.2221002002114
510218.44423291010.513.5
59217.41200010031.510.5
57120.3000204002110
58639.0510001410008
5000–28211100002
57020.35000000010.57.5
5000–311830001
5000–200900000
4000–1400800000
3000–000000000
21011.000300200001
2027-.28600012010.50.5
Team totals5518158.23453846980105100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519648.27112016100021
517744.2270007100017
58116.4381421004214
510525.2001012002111
56319.158000100217
5000–2700500000
55219.158012500428
5000–112910001
5001.00025001300000
5001.0005031830000
4000–000000000
1013-.333000000000
Team totals6525176.22761810778012698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercyhurst vs Stonehill

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 MERCYH · STONEH 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHSTONEH 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 MERCYHSTONEH 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHSTONEH 4

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 8 MERCYHSTONEH 3

Set 5

5-15

Longest run 2 MERCYHSTONEH 7

Bars above the line = Stonehill leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
53%10/19
2
50%11/22
52%12/23
3
55%11/20
45%9/20
4
64%9/14
15%2/13
5
35%6/17
53%8/15
6
100%6/6
45%5/11
All
56%54/97
46%46/101

Stonehill

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
27%3/11
2
41%11/27
50%11/22
3
79%11/14
39%7/18
4
75%9/12
47%8/17
5
47%7/15
47%8/17
6
67%6/9
50%6/12
All
54%55/101
44%43/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#MERCYH-STONEHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STONEHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+1.8
22-0MERCYHMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.3
32-1MERCYHSTONEHServe errMercyhurst+1.7
43-1STONEHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+1.8
53-2MERCYHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+1.8
63-3STONEHSTONEHAttack errJulia Shepherd+2.4
74-3STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Anna Logan+1.9
84-4MERCYHSTONEHAttack errJulia Shepherd+2.0
95-4STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+2.0
105-5MERCYHSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.0
116-5STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+2.0
126-6MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+2.1
137-6STONEHMERCYHBlockedSammy Francoblk Mia Mattingly, Roslyn Guerra+2.1
147-7MERCYHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+2.1
157-8STONEHSTONEH×3KillAnnabelle Svensonset Casey McDermott+2.8
167-9STONEHSTONEH×3AceStonehillaced Roslyn Guerra+2.9
178-9STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+2.1
188-10MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+2.4
198-11STONEHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+2.9
209-11STONEHMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.1
2110-11MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAnnabelle Svenson+2.9
2211-11MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAddy Frye+3.1
2312-11MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errSamantha Loyd+3.1
2412-12MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Haley Herndon+2.5
2513-12STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+2.6
2613-13MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+2.6
2714-13STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.7
2815-13MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAbby Farrell+3.3
2915-14MERCYHSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+2.5
3015-15STONEHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+3.6
3115-16STONEHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kristina Bishop+3.9
3216-16STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+3.0
3317-16MERCYHMERCYHAttack errAddy Frye+4.0
3417-17MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+3.1
3518-17STONEHMERCYHKillAliyah Angeliciset Sydney Forcht+3.3
3618-18MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+3.3
3719-18STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+3.6
3819-19MERCYHSTONEH×4KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+3.6
3919-20STONEHSTONEH×4AceStonehillaced Sydney Forcht+5.1
4019-21STONEHSTONEH×4KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+5.2
4119-22STONEHSTONEH×4AceStonehillaced Roslyn Guerra+4.5
4220-22STONEHMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+2.4
4321-22MERCYHMERCYHAttack errHaley Herndon+4.6
4421-23MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+5.1
4521-24STONEHSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+4.9
4622-24STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause+1.6
4722-25MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+3.7
Set 2
11-0MERCYHMERCYH×6KillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+2.6
22-0MERCYHMERCYH×6AceMercyhurstaced Kristina Bishop+2.5
33-0MERCYHMERCYH×6KillJulia Shepherdset Kendra Sawyer+2.4
44-0MERCYHMERCYH×6Attack errAddy Frye+2.2
55-0MERCYHMERCYH×6Attack errAddy Frye+2.0
66-0MERCYHMERCYH×6KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+1.7
76-1MERCYHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.2
86-2STONEHSTONEH×3KillAnnabelle Svenson+1.8
96-3STONEHSTONEH×3BlockedJulia Shepherdblk Annabelle Svenson, Haley Herndon+2.1
107-3STONEHMERCYH×3KillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+1.8
118-3MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurstaced Kristina Bishop+2.0
129-3MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errHaley Herndon+1.7
139-4MERCYHSTONEHAttack errAva Carney+1.1
1410-4STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.4
1510-5MERCYHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Addy Frye+1.1
1611-5STONEHMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+1.4
1711-6MERCYHSTONEH×4KillAbby Farrellset Casey McDermott+1.1
1811-7STONEHSTONEH×4Attack errAnna Logan+1.8
1911-8STONEHSTONEH×4KillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.2
2011-9STONEHSTONEH×4KillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+2.6
2112-9STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Aliyah Angelici+2.3
2212-10MERCYHSTONEH×5BlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Abby Farrell, Sammy Franco+2.1
2312-11STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errRoslyn Guerra+3.1
2412-12STONEHSTONEH×5AceStonehillaced Madison Miner+3.5
2512-13STONEHSTONEH×5AceStonehillaced Sydney Forcht+3.8
2612-14STONEHSTONEH×5AceStonehillaced Sydney Forcht+3.8
2713-14STONEHMERCYH×4Serve errStonehill+2.8
2814-14MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurstaced Gabi Polishuk+3.8
2915-14MERCYHMERCYH×4AceMercyhurstaced Addy Frye+4.0
3016-14MERCYHMERCYH×4Attack errAnnabelle Svenson+3.8
3116-15MERCYHSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.8
3217-15STONEHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Aliyah Angelici+3.2
3318-15MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Kristina Bishop+3.6
3418-16MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kristina Bishop+2.4
3519-16STONEHMERCYHAttack errHaley Herndon+3.0
3619-17MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+2.5
3719-18STONEHSTONEHAttack errMadison Miner+4.1
3820-18STONEHMERCYHAttack errSamantha Loyd+3.8
3920-19MERCYHSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+3.4
4021-19STONEHMERCYHAttack errSammy Franco+4.2
4121-20MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kristina Bishop+3.6
4222-20STONEHMERCYH×4KillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+4.6
4323-20MERCYHMERCYH×4BlockedAddy Fryeblk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly+4.6
4424-20MERCYHMERCYH×4KillAnna Loganset Mya Comer+2.6
4525-20MERCYHMERCYH×4KillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+0.8
Set 3
11-0STONEHMERCYHBad setKendra Sawyer+2.4
21-1MERCYHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+2.5
32-1STONEHMERCYHAttack errSamantha Loyd+2.5
42-2MERCYHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+2.5
53-2STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Anna Logan+2.5
63-3MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+2.6
74-3STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.6
84-4MERCYHSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.7
94-5STONEHSTONEHAceStonehillaced Anna Logan+3.5
105-5STONEHMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+2.7
115-6MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+2.9
126-6STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+2.8
136-7MERCYHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Casey McDermott+2.9
146-8STONEHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kristina Bishop+3.8
157-8STONEHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+2.8
168-8MERCYHMERCYHAttack errHaley Herndon+3.8
178-9MERCYHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+3.1
189-9STONEHMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+3.0
199-10MERCYHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+3.2
209-11STONEHSTONEHAttack errMadison Miner+4.1
2110-11STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+3.1
2211-11MERCYHMERCYHAttack errHaley Herndon+4.1
2311-12MERCYHSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Abby Farrell+3.5
2411-13STONEHSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+4.4
2511-14STONEHSTONEH×3Attack errMia Mattingly+4.3
2612-14STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+3.0
2713-14MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+4.3
2813-15MERCYHSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+3.8
2913-16STONEHSTONEH×3BlockedMadison Minerblk Sammy Franco, Abby Farrell+4.6
3013-17STONEHSTONEH×3Attack errMia Mattingly+4.1
3114-17STONEHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Sydney Forcht+2.5
3215-17MERCYHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+4.0
3315-18MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+3.9
3416-18STONEHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+3.2
3516-19MERCYHSTONEHBad setMya Comer+4.1
3617-19STONEHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Mya Comer+3.3
3718-19MERCYHMERCYHBlockedAddy Fryeblk Ava Carney, Anna Logan+5.3
3818-20MERCYHSTONEH×4KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+5.1
3918-21STONEHSTONEH×4Attack errAnna Logan+5.8
4018-22STONEHSTONEH×4Attack errAva Carney+4.4
4118-23STONEHSTONEH×4Attack errJulia Shepherd+2.7
4219-23STONEHMERCYH×4KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+0.9
4320-23MERCYHMERCYH×4KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.1
4421-23MERCYHMERCYH×4KillAva Carneyset Kendra Sawyer+3.7
4522-23MERCYHMERCYH×4KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+6.4
4622-24MERCYHSTONEHServe errMercyhurst+8.2
4723-24STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+4.7
4823-25MERCYHSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+11.0
Set 4
11-0MERCYHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+3.4
21-1MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+2.7
31-2STONEHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+3.6
42-2STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.8
52-3MERCYHSTONEHServe errMercyhurst+2.9
63-3STONEHMERCYH×3BlockedSamantha Loydblk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd+2.8
74-3MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errSamantha Loyd+3.6
85-3MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurst+3.6
95-4MERCYHSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Julia Shepherd+2.7
106-4STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Julia Shepherd+2.9
116-5MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+2.8
127-5STONEHMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Mya Comer+2.9
138-5MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+3.5
148-6MERCYHSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.6
159-6STONEHMERCYHKillAnna Loganset Mya Comer+2.8
169-7MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+2.7
1710-7STONEHMERCYH×3KillAva Carneyset Mya Comer+2.9
1811-7MERCYHMERCYH×3BlockedAnnabelle Svensonblk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd+3.3
1912-7MERCYHMERCYH×3KillAnna Loganset Alyssa Krause+2.8
2012-8MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.9
2113-8STONEHMERCYH×8KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+2.2
2214-8MERCYHMERCYH×8Attack errSamantha Loyd+2.3
2315-8MERCYHMERCYH×8KillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+1.7
2416-8MERCYHMERCYH×8AceMercyhurst+1.2
2517-8MERCYHMERCYH×8AceMercyhurstaced Samantha Loyd+0.8
2618-8MERCYHMERCYH×8KillJulia Shepherdset Kelsie Gaiter-Davis+0.4
2719-8MERCYHMERCYH×8Attack errSamantha Loyd+0.2
2820-8MERCYHMERCYH×8Bad setKendra Sawyer+0.1
2920-9MERCYHSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer·
3020-10STONEHSTONEH×3KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+0.1
3120-11STONEHSTONEH×3KillAbby Farrell+0.1
3221-11STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Sydney Forcht+0.2
3321-12MERCYHSTONEHServe errMercyhurst+0.1
3422-12STONEHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause+0.1
3522-13MERCYHSTONEHAttack errMadison Miner·
3623-13STONEHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer+0.1
3724-13MERCYHMERCYH×3KillMia Mattinglyset Mya Comer·
3825-13MERCYHMERCYH×3Attack errKaisa Dowd+0.9
Set 5
10-1MERCYHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+6.7
20-2STONEHSTONEHBlockedJulia Shepherdblk Annabelle Svenson, Haley Herndon+8.7
31-2STONEHMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause+6.3
41-3MERCYHSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+7.1
51-4STONEHSTONEHServe errStonehill+8.7
62-4STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+6.0
72-5MERCYHSTONEH×7KillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+7.1
82-6STONEHSTONEH×7KillAbby Farrellset Casey McDermott+8.1
92-7STONEHSTONEH×7KillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+6.7
102-8STONEHSTONEH×7KillAbby Farrellset Casey McDermott+5.2
112-9STONEHSTONEH×7BlockedMadison Minerblk Abby Farrell, Sammy Franco+3.6
122-10STONEHSTONEH×7KillSamantha Loydset Casey McDermott+2.2
132-11STONEHSTONEH×7BlockedMadison Minerblk Abby Farrell, Sammy Franco+1.1
143-11STONEHMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause+0.4
154-11MERCYHMERCYHKillPayton Melinset Mya Comer+0.8
164-12MERCYHSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kristina Bishop+1.1
175-12STONEHMERCYHServe errStonehill+0.4
185-13MERCYHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+0.8
195-14STONEHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Gabi Polishuk+0.3
205-15STONEHSTONEH×3AceStonehill·

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).