Evansville vs Southern Ind.: Southern Ind. Wins 3-0 (Sep 18)

FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

0:3

Southern Ind. beat visiting Evansville 3-0 (25-20, 25-22, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Southern Ind.'s Ashby Willis and Carley Wright led with 12 kills each, and Audrey Small added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
EVANS	20	22	20	0
S IND	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Southern Ind. above 50 · Evansville below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Evansville — set 1, EVANS 5-2 S IND. Point Evansville (not logged in NCAA feed). S IND win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 11.2%88.8% S IND

Evansville wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.5%

3-2

6.2%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0

42.4%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.7%

EVANS break %: 38.4% vs this opp
S IND break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.6%
Point Evansville (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · EVANS 5-2 S IND · EVANS 14% → 16%
02
Ashby WillisAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Ashby Willis
Set 1 · EVANS 4-2 S IND · EVANS 12% → 14%
03
Aysa ThomasKill+1.4%
Kill by Aysa Thomas
Set 1 · EVANS 5-4 S IND · S IND 85% → 87%
04
Lyla FisherAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Lyla Fisher
Set 1 · EVANS 5-5 S IND · S IND 87% → 88%
05
Ashby WillisAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Ashby Willis
Set 1 · EVANS 2-1 S IND · EVANS 11% → 12%
06
Mackenzie NettlesAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Mackenzie Nettles
Set 2 · EVANS 18-19 S IND · EVANS 4% → 5%
07
Lyla FisherKill+1.3%
Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Kendall Agler)
Set 1 · EVANS 5-6 S IND · S IND 88% → 89%
08
Lyla FisherAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Lyla Fisher
Set 2 · EVANS 19-22 S IND · S IND 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Evansvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Savannah GogelMB	3	8	2	20	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	11
3Wren JonesOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
21McKenzie LaubachMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
2Carsyn KelleyS	3	1	0	3	.333	25	1	1	9	0	0	2	1	3
6Lexi OwenS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	2	6	0	0	0	0	3
15Brooke HerdesOH	3	1	1	2	.000	0	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	2
17Ryan ScheuOH	3	5	0	13	.385	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	7
7Lyla FisherOH	3	3	8	20	-.250	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	3
20Kendall AglerL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	0	10	2	0	0	0	1
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
13Holland MorrisOH	2	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		29	18	93	.118	29	6	6	37	12	1	14	8	62

Southern Ind.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ashby WillisOH	3	12	7	35	.143	0	5	0	9	2	0	1	0.5	17.5
7Carley WrightOH	3	12	5	25	.280	0	3	0	4	2	0	1	0.5	15.5
9Grace BachMB	3	4	0	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
2Aysa ThomasS	3	1	0	4	.250	32	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
4Kerigan FehrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	4	1	0	0	0	2
17Aspen JankowskiS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Leah ColemanOH	3	6	6	21	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
13Mackenzie NettlesOH	3	3	4	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	5.5
5Audrey SmallL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	22	110	.145	37	12	4	38	6	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Evansville vs Southern Ind.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Sep 18, 2026Evansville at Southern Ind. · Southern Ind. won 3-0This match
Sat, Sep 19, 2026Southern Ind. at Evansville · Evansville won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 EVANS · S IND 8

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 EVANSS IND 8

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 2 EVANSS IND 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 6 EVANSS IND 6

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	43%3/7
2	44%4/9	58%7/12
3	29%4/14	50%4/8
4	57%4/7	43%3/7
5	50%3/6	33%2/6
6	75%3/4	0%0/3
All	47%23/49	44%19/43

Southern Ind.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%5/11	33%2/6
2	56%5/9	58%7/12
3	57%4/7	67%8/12
4	67%4/6	56%5/9
5	60%3/5	40%2/5
6	60%3/5	40%2/5
All	56%24/43	53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	EVANS-S IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	S IND	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+1.1
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.9
3	2-1	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+1.3
4	2-2	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.9
5	3-2	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.0
6	4-2	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+1.5
7	5-2		EVANS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.6
8	5-3	EVANS	S IND×4	Kill	Grace Bach	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
9	5-4	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Aysa Thomas		+1.4
10	5-5	S IND	S IND×4	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.4
11	5-6	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Kendall Agler	+1.3
12	6-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.0
13	6-7	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+1.0
14	7-7	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher		+1.1
15–16	7-9		S IND 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.2
17	7-10	S IND	S IND×8	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+1.0
18	7-11	S IND	S IND×8	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.8
19	7-12		S IND	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
20	7-13	S IND	S IND×8	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.5
21	7-14	S IND	S IND×8	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Savannah Gogel	+0.3
22	7-15	S IND	S IND×8	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
23	8-15	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	Southern Ind.		+0.1
24	8-16	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
25	9-16	S IND	EVANS	Blocked	Ashby Willis	blk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel	+0.1
26	9-17	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+0.1
27	10-17	S IND	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
28	11-17	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Evansville	aced Carley Wright	+0.2
29	11-18	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
30	12-18	S IND	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
31	12-19	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
32	13-19	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
33	14-19	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.3
34	15-19	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.5
35	15-20	EVANS	S IND×3	Serve err	Evansville		+0.5
36	15-21	S IND	S IND×3	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.4
37	15-22	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.2
38	16-22	S IND	EVANS	Blocked	Mackenzie Nettles	blk Savannah Gogel	+0.1
39	16-23	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.1
40	17-23	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Lexi Owen	·
41	18-23	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	Evansville	aced Carley Wright	+0.1
42	19-23	EVANS	EVANS×3	Bad set	Kerigan Fehr		+0.2
43	19-24	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
44	20-24	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	Southern Ind.		+0.1
45	20-25	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Audrey Small	+0.5
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
3	1-2	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.6
4	2-2	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
5	3-2	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Leah Coleman	blk McKenzie Laubach, Ryan Scheu	+0.9
6	3-3	EVANS	S IND×4	Serve err	Evansville		+0.7
7	3-4	S IND	S IND×4	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.8
8	3-5	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
9	3-6	S IND	S IND×4	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.6
10	4-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
11	5-6	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
12	5-7	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.6
13	6-7	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
14	7-7	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Ashby Willis	blk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu	+1.0
15	7-8	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
16	7-9	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Aubry Dowling	+0.8
17	7-10	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aspen Jankowski	+0.7
18	8-10	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
19	8-11	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
20	9-11	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.6
21	10-11	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.9
22	10-12	EVANS	S IND×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.7
23	10-13	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Kendall Agler	+0.8
24	10-14	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Wren Jones	+0.6
25	11-14	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
26	12-14	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.8
27	12-15	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.6
28	12-16	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.7
29	13-16	S IND	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
30	14-16	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Carley Wright	blk Wren Jones, McKenzie Laubach	+0.8
31	14-17	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
32	15-17	S IND	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Lyla Fisher	+0.7
33	16-17	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
34	16-18	EVANS	S IND	Blocked	Lyla Fisher	blk Mackenzie Nettles, Carley Wright	+1.0
35	16-19	S IND	S IND	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+1.0
36	17-19	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	Southern Ind.		+0.7
37	18-19	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles		+1.3
38	18-20	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	Evansville		+1.1
39	19-20	S IND	EVANS	Blocked	Ashby Willis	blk Ryan Scheu, Savannah Gogel	+1.1
40	19-21	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	Evansville		+1.2
41	19-22	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.2
42	20-22	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	Southern Ind.		+0.7
43	20-23	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Audrey Small	+0.9
44	20-24	S IND	S IND	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Wren Jones	+0.6
45	21-24	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
46	22-24	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Evansville	aced Leah Coleman	+0.5
47	22-25	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.3
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS×6	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
3	2-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	Evansville	aced Kerigan Fehr	+0.4
4	3-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
5	4-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	Evansville	aced Ashby Willis	+0.5
6	5-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	Evansville	aced Ashby Willis	+0.5
7	6-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
8	6-2	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	Evansville		+0.3
9	6-3	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.5
10	7-3	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.4
11	7-4	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
12	7-5	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
13	7-6	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
14	8-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Kendall Agler	+0.4
15	8-7	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
16	9-7	S IND	EVANS	Blocked	Leah Coleman	blk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
17	9-8	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.4
18	9-9	S IND	S IND	Bad set	Carsyn Kelley		+0.5
19	10-9	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.4
20	10-10	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
21	11-10	S IND	EVANS×3	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.5
22	12-10	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles		+0.7
23	13-10	EVANS	EVANS×3	Blocked	Ashby Willis	blk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu	+0.7
24	13-11	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	Evansville		+0.4
25	14-11	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
26	14-12	EVANS	S IND×4	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Audrey Small	+0.4
27	14-13	S IND	S IND×4	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.6
28	14-14	S IND	S IND×4	Attack err	Brooke Herdes		+0.6
29	14-15	S IND	S IND×4	Blocked	Savannah Gogel	blk Grace Bach, Ashby Willis	+0.6
30	15-15	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Brooke Herdes	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
31	16-15	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
32	17-15	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Holland Morris	set Lexi Owen	+0.8
33	17-16	EVANS	S IND×6	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
34	17-17	S IND	S IND×6	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.8
35	17-18	S IND	S IND×6	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
36	17-19	S IND	S IND×6	Blocked	Savannah Gogel	blk Leah Coleman, Grace Bach	+0.6
37	17-20	S IND	S IND×6	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Holland Morris	+0.5
38	17-21	S IND	S IND×6	Ace	Southern Ind.	aced Kendall Agler	+0.4
39	18-21	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.2
40	19-21	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.4
41	19-22	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
42	19-23	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Audrey Small	+0.3
43	19-24	S IND	S IND×3	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.1
44	20-24	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman		·
45	20-25	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southern Ind. def. Evansville 3–0