FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMVC

0:3

HomeOVC

Southern Ind. def. Evansville 3–0

(24-21, 25-22, 25-20)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
EVANS	21	22	20	0
S IND	24	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S IND above 50 · EVANS below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Southern Ind. — set 1, EVANS 21-24 S IND. Kill by Grace Bach (set by Aysa Thomas). S IND win probability 97% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

EVANS 3.6%96.4% S IND

Evansville wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0

59.8%

3-1

28.2%

3-2

8.3%

EVANS break %: 37.2% vs this opp
S IND break %: 51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Grace BachKill+0.9%
Kill by Grace Bach (set by Aysa Thomas)
Set 1 · EVANS 21-24 S IND · S IND 97% → 98%
02
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.8%
Point Evansville (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · EVANS 5-2 S IND · EVANS 5% → 6%
03
Ashby WillisAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Ashby Willis
Set 1 · EVANS 4-2 S IND · EVANS 4% → 5%
04
Carley WrightKill+0.7%
Kill by Carley Wright (set by Aysa Thomas)
Set 1 · EVANS 5-4 S IND · S IND 95% → 95%
05
Ashby WillisKill+0.6%
Kill by Ashby Willis (set by Aysa Thomas)
Set 1 · EVANS 20-23 S IND · S IND 97% → 98%
06
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.6%
Point Southern Ind. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · EVANS 5-5 S IND · S IND 95% → 96%
07
Ashby WillisAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Ashby Willis
Set 1 · EVANS 2-1 S IND · EVANS 4% → 4%
08
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.6%
Point Evansville (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · EVANS 20-22 S IND · EVANS 2% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Evansvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Savannah GogelMB	3	8	2	20	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	11
3Wren JonesOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Mckenzie LaubachMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Lexi OwenS	3	1	0	3	.333	2	3	2	5	0	0	0	0	4
2Carsyn KelleyS	3	1	0	4	.250	24	1	1	10	0	0	2	1	3
15Brooke HerdesOH	3	1	1	2	.000	0	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	2
17Ryan ScheuOH	3	4	0	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
7Lyla FisherOH	3	4	7	19	-.158	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	4
13Holland MorrisOH	3	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
20Kendall AglerL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	9	2	0	0	0	1
5Angelica Gonzalez maltesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
1Carlotta Pascual centellesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Chloe ClineMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Makenzie MillerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Sabrina RippleMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	92	.130	29	6	6	37	12	1	14	8	62

Southern Ind.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ashby WillisOH	3	13	7	37	.162	0	5	0	9	2	0	1	0.5	18.5
7Carley WrightOH	3	12	5	25	.280	1	3	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
9Grace BachMB	3	4	0	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
2Aysa ThomasS	3	1	0	6	.167	31	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Aspen JankowskiS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
4Kerigan FehrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	2	4	1	0	0	0	2
22Leah ColemanOH	3	5	6	20	-.050	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Mackenzie NettlesOH	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
5Audrey SmallL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	0	0	14	0	0	0	0	0
3Aubrey FairOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Ava CarpenterOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Jillian MoonanMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Maeve MoonanMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Vita SensenbrennerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	21	112	.161	38	12	4	40	6	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 EVANS · S IND 7

Set 1*

21-24

Longest run 3 EVANSS IND 7

Set 2*

22-25

Longest run 2 EVANSS IND 4

Set 3*

20-25

Longest run 6 EVANSS IND 6

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Evansville

No clean sets to split.

Southern Ind.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	EVANS-S IND	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
3	2-1	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.6
4	2-2	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.4
5	3-2	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
6	4-2	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Ashby Willis		+0.7
7	5-2	EVANS	EVANS×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
8	5-3	EVANS	S IND×4	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Carley Wright	+0.5
9	5-4	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.7
10	5-5	S IND	S IND×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
11	5-6	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher		+0.5
12	6-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Aspen Jankowski	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
13	6-7	EVANS	S IND×7	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Mackenzie Nettles	+0.4
14	6-8	S IND	S IND×7	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+0.5
15	6-9	S IND	S IND×7	Ace	S IND server	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.4
16	6-10	S IND	S IND×7	Ace	S IND server	aced Wren Jones	+0.3
17	6-11	S IND	S IND×7	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Aysa Thomas, Mackenzie Nettles	+0.2
18	6-12	S IND	S IND×7	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Kerigan Fehr	+0.2
19	6-13	S IND	S IND×7	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.1
20	7-13	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
21	7-14	EVANS	S IND	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
22	8-14	S IND	EVANS	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
23	9-14	EVANS	EVANS	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
24	9-15	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.1
25	10-15	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis	blk Savannah Gogel, Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
26	10-16	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Mckenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
27	11-16	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Mckenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
28	12-16	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced TEAM	+0.2
29	12-17	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
30	13-17	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Mckenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
31	13-18	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
32	14-18	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
33	15-18	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.4
34	15-19	EVANS	S IND	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
35	16-19	S IND	EVANS	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
36	16-20	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.3
37	16-21	S IND	S IND	Ace	S IND server	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.3
38	17-21	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles	blk Savannah Gogel	+0.1
39	17-22	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
40	18-22	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Lexi Owen	+0.1
41	19-22	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	EVANS server	aced Carley Wright	+0.3
42	20-22	EVANS	EVANS×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
43	20-23	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.6
44	21-23	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	S IND server		+0.4
45	21-24	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.9
Set 2
1	0-1	S IND	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Audrey Small	+0.3
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
3	1-2	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
4	2-2	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
5	3-2	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman	blk Ryan Scheu, Mckenzie Laubach	+0.4
6	3-3	EVANS	S IND×4	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.3
7	3-4	S IND	S IND×4	Ace	S IND server	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.3
8	3-5	S IND	S IND×4	Kill	Mackenzie Nettles	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
9	3-6	S IND	S IND×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
10	4-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
11	5-6	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
12	5-7	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
13	6-7	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
14	7-7	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis	blk Ryan Scheu, Savannah Gogel	+0.4
15	7-8	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
16	7-9	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	S IND server	aced Aubry Dowling	+0.3
17	7-10	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aspen Jankowski	+0.3
18	8-10	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
19	8-11	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
20	9-11	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
21	10-11	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
22	10-12	EVANS	S IND×3	Attack err	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
23	10-13	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	S IND server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.3
24	10-14	S IND	S IND×3	Ace	S IND server	aced Wren Jones	+0.2
25	11-14	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
26	12-14	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright		+0.3
27	12-15	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Grace Bach	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
28	12-16	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.2
29	13-16	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Mckenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
30	14-16	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright	blk Mckenzie Laubach, Wren Jones	+0.3
31	14-17	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
32	15-17	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Mckenzie Laubach	set Lyla Fisher	+0.3
33	16-17	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
34	16-18	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Carley Wright, Mackenzie Nettles	+0.4
35	16-19	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Mckenzie Laubach		+0.4
36	17-19	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	S IND server		+0.3
37	18-19	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles		+0.5
38	18-20	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.5
39	19-20	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis	blk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu	+0.5
40	19-21	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.5
41	19-22	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.5
42	20-22	S IND	EVANS	Serve err	S IND server		+0.3
43	20-23	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Audrey Small	+0.4
44	20-24	S IND	S IND	Ace	S IND server	aced Wren Jones	+0.2
45	21-24	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
46	22-24	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Leah Coleman	+0.2
47	22-25	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.1
2	1-1	S IND	EVANS×6	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
3	2-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	EVANS server	aced Kerigan Fehr	+0.2
4	3-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
5	4-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	EVANS server	aced Ashby Willis	+0.2
6	5-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	EVANS server	aced Ashby Willis	+0.2
7	6-1	EVANS	EVANS×6	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
8	6-2	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2
9	6-3	S IND	S IND	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+0.2
10	7-3	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Ashby Willis	set Carley Wright	+0.2
11	7-4	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
12	7-5	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
13	7-6	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
14	8-6	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Kendall Agler	+0.2
15	8-7	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
16	9-7	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman	blk Carsyn Kelley, Mckenzie Laubach	+0.2
17	9-8	EVANS	S IND	Attack err	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
18	9-9	S IND	S IND	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
19	10-9	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Carley Wright	set Evansville	+0.2
20	10-10	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
21	11-10	S IND	EVANS×3	Attack err	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
22	12-10	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Mackenzie Nettles		+0.3
23	13-10	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Ashby Willis	blk Ryan Scheu, Savannah Gogel	+0.3
24	13-11	EVANS	S IND	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.2
25	14-11	S IND	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
26	14-12	EVANS	S IND×4	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Audrey Small	+0.2
27	14-13	S IND	S IND×4	Ace	S IND server	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.3
28	14-14	S IND	S IND×4	Attack err	Brooke Herdes		+0.3
29	14-15	S IND	S IND×4	Attack err	Savannah Gogel	blk Ashby Willis, Grace Bach	+0.2
30	15-15	S IND	EVANS×3	Kill	Brooke Herdes	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
31	16-15	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
32	17-15	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Holland Morris	set Lexi Owen	+0.4
33	17-16	EVANS	S IND×6	Kill	Ashby Willis	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
34	17-17	S IND	S IND×6	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.3
35	17-18	S IND	S IND×6	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.3
36	17-19	S IND	S IND×6	Attack err	Savannah Gogel	blk Grace Bach, Leah Coleman	+0.3
37	17-20	S IND	S IND×6	Ace	S IND server	aced Holland Morris	+0.2
38	17-21	S IND	S IND×6	Ace	S IND server	aced Kendall Agler	+0.1
39	18-21	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman	set Audrey Small	+0.1
40	19-21	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman		+0.2
41	19-22	EVANS	S IND×3	Kill	Carley Wright	set Aysa Thomas	+0.2
42	19-23	S IND	S IND×3	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Audrey Small	+0.1
43	19-24	S IND	S IND×3	Attack err	Holland Morris		+0.1
44	20-24	S IND	EVANS	Attack err	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.0
45	20-25	EVANS	S IND	Kill	Leah Coleman	set Aysa Thomas	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.