FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeHORIZON

Robert Morris def. Siena 3–0

(25-15, 28-26, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SIENA	15	26	18	0
ROBMOR	25	28	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ROBMOR above 50 · SIENA below

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Robert Morris — set 2, SIENA 24-24 ROBMOR. Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard). ROBMOR win probability 64% → 73%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SIENA 41.4%58.6% ROBMOR

Siena wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

17.0%

Robert Morris wins

3-0

16.5%

3-1

22.3%

3-2

19.8%

SIENA break %: 41.4% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren DeckerKill+9.3%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · SIENA 24-24 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 64% → 73%
02
Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+8.9%
Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy
Set 2 · SIENA 26-27 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 73% → 82%
03
Lauren DeckerKill+8.6%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · SIENA 26-28 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 82% → 91%
04
ROBMOR serverService error+6.8%
Robert Morris service error
Set 2 · SIENA 25-24 ROBMOR · SIENA 27% → 34%
05
Lauren DeckerKill+6.8%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Layla Todd)
Set 2 · SIENA 25-25 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 66% → 73%
06
Abby EdwardsKill+6.8%
Kill by Abby Edwards (set by Gabrielle Wire)
Set 2 · SIENA 26-25 ROBMOR · SIENA 27% → 34%
07
Lauren DeckerKill+6.8%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Maddie Siphakongviseth)
Set 2 · SIENA 26-26 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 66% → 73%
08
Brianna MillerKill+5.3%
Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 2 · SIENA 24-22 ROBMOR · SIENA 34% → 39%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Sienaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mary Claire DeacyOH	3	11	1	31	.323	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	11
11Brianna MillerOH	3	8	1	28	.250	0	1	0	5	3	0	0	0	9
1Gabrielle WireOH	3	5	1	23	.174	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	5
22Alison GoldbergMB	3	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	3.5
8Abby EdwardsS	3	2	0	2	1.000	16	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	3
12Maggie SeymourMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	2
18Doga DirazOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
21Brooke MalekL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	1	0	12	1	0	0	0	2
2Oliwia MajtykaS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
5Autumn WillmottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	6	112	.241	31	3	2	48	4	3	2	4	59

Robert Morrishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	19	6	41	.317	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	19
9Layla ToddOH	3	18	2	37	.432	1	0	2	12	1	0	0	18
15Keira HornungMB	3	12	2	22	.455	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	7
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	2	1	9	.111	53	0	0	8	0	0	0	2
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	8	1	0	0	1
3Tia SchultzOH	3	9	1	21	.381	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	2	18	1	0	0	2
12Cat SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		66	13	141	.376	61	4	10	60	3	2	1	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 SIENA · ROBMOR 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 SIENAROBMOR 5

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 3 SIENAROBMOR 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 SIENAROBMOR 3

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Siena

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	27%3/11
2	62%8/13	33%4/12
3	50%7/14	27%3/11
4	70%7/10	13%1/8
5	58%7/12	30%3/10
6	67%6/9	22%2/9
All	57%43/76	26%16/61

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	40%4/10
2	89%8/9	53%9/17
3	67%8/12	47%7/15
4	88%7/8	36%4/11
5	64%7/11	46%6/13
6	88%7/8	30%3/10
All	74%45/61	43%33/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	SIENA-ROBMOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SIENA	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
2	0-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.4
3	0-3	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Abby Edwards	+2.2
4	0-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
5	0-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×5	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
6	1-5	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Abby Edwards	set Gabrielle Wire	+1.2
7	2-5	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+1.9
8	2-6	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.5
9	2-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.9
10	2-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Maggie Seymour		+1.6
11	3-8	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.0
12	3-9	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
13	4-9	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Alison Goldberg	set Abby Edwards	+1.0
14	4-10	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.2
15	5-10	ROBMOR	SIENA×3	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+0.9
16	6-10	SIENA	SIENA×3	Ace	SIENA server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+1.6
17	7-10	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brooke Malek	+2.0
18	7-11	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.7
19	7-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts		+2.0
20	8-12	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker	blk Alison Goldberg	+1.2
21	8-13	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.4
22	8-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Brianna Miller	+1.6
23	9-14	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.9
24	10-14	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.6
25	10-15	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Keira Hornung	+1.5
26	10-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.5
27	10-17	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire	blk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz	+1.1
28	11-17	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Keira Hornung	blk Maggie Seymour	+0.5
29	11-18	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.7
30	11-19	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
31	12-19	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.2
32	12-20	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.4
33	13-20	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.2
34	13-21	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
35	13-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Brooke Malek	+0.2
36	13-23	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
37	14-23	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Doga Diraz, Alison Goldberg	+0.0
38	14-24	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.0
39	15-24	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.0
40	15-25	SIENA	ROBMOR	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.7
2	2-0	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.3
3	2-1	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+1.6
4	3-1	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.7
5	3-2	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+1.6
6	3-3	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.4
7	3-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.4
8	4-4	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.7
9	4-5	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
10	5-5	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.8
11	5-6	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.8
12	5-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+2.4
13	5-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.3
14	6-8	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.6
15	6-9	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.7
16	7-9	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.6
17	8-9	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	SIENA server	aced Layla Todd	+2.5
18	8-10	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.9
19	9-10	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.9
20	10-10	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour		+2.8
21	10-11	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
22	10-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.8
23	11-12	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Brooke Malek	+2.0
24	11-13	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.1
25	11-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.7
26	12-14	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+1.8
27	13-14	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.9
28	13-15	SIENA	ROBMOR	Serve err	SIENA server		+2.3
29	14-15	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+2.2
30	15-15	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.4
31	15-16	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.6
32	16-16	ROBMOR	SIENA×3	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.6
33	17-16	SIENA	SIENA×3	Ace	SIENA server	aced Maddie Siphakongviseth	+3.9
34	18-16	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Brooke Malek	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.9
35	18-17	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.6
36	18-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+4.1
37	19-18	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Brooke Malek	+3.3
38	19-19	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.2
39	20-19	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.6
40	21-19	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Kenlee Barnard		+4.9
41	21-20	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.9
42	22-20	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+4.0
43	22-21	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.1
44	23-21	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+4.5
45	23-22	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+3.1
46	24-22	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+5.3
47	24-23	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+2.9
48	24-24	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+9.3
49	25-24	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+6.8
50	25-25	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Layla Todd	+6.8
51	26-25	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Abby Edwards	set Gabrielle Wire	+6.8
52	26-26	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+6.8
53	26-27	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+8.9
54	26-28	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+8.6
Set 3
1	0-1	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
2	0-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.4
3	1-2	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+1.0
4	1-3	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
5	2-3	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+1.0
6	3-3	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.5
7	3-4	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.1
8	3-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Brianna Miller	+1.5
9	4-5	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.0
10	4-6	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.1
11	4-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Kenlee Barnard	set Anahi Alvarado	+1.4
12	5-7	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+1.0
13	5-8	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
14	5-9	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.3
15	6-9	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.8
16	6-10	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
17	6-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.1
18	7-11	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.7
19	8-11	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+1.2
20	8-12	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
21	9-12	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.9
22	9-13	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
23	10-13	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Keira Hornung	blk Alison Goldberg	+0.9
24	10-14	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+1.0
25	10-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Tia Schultz	+1.2
26	11-15	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.7
27	11-16	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
28	12-16	ROBMOR	SIENA	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.7
29	12-17	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
30	13-17	ROBMOR	SIENA	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.6
31	13-18	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
32	14-18	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+0.6
33	14-19	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.8
34	14-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.7
35	15-20	ROBMOR	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.3
36	15-21	SIENA	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
37	15-22	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
38	16-22	ROBMOR	SIENA×3	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
39	17-22	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.3
40	18-22	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.5
41	18-23	SIENA	ROBMOR×3	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.6
42	18-24	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Brianna Miller	+0.3
43	18-25	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.