FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Delaware St. def. Siena 3–0

Delaware St. won at Siena 3-0 (25-23, 25-23, 25-13) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Delaware St.'s Aaliyah Mitchell led with 18 kills, and Paige Ahakuelo added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
DEL ST2525253
SIENA2323130

Win probability

Siena above 50 · Delaware St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.0% DEL STrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Delaware St. — set 1, DEL ST 25-23 SIENA. Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy. SIENA win probability 43% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DEL ST 48.3%51.7% SIENA

Delaware St. wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.5%

Siena wins

3-0
13.2%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%
DEL ST break %
43.9% vs this opp
SIENA break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy

    Set 1 · DEL ST 25-23 SIENA · DEL ST 57% → 67%

  2. 02
    Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy

    Set 1 · DEL ST 24-23 SIENA · DEL ST 47% → 57%

  3. 03
    Brianna MillerAttack error+8.0%

    Attack error by Brianna Miller

    Set 2 · DEL ST 25-23 SIENA · DEL ST 79% → 87%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 1 · DEL ST 22-23 SIENA · SIENA 53% → 59%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hannah Sanders (set by Paige Ahakuelo)

    Set 2 · DEL ST 24-22 SIENA · DEL ST 76% → 82%

  6. 06
    Mikayla MooreKill+5.9%

    Kill by Mikayla Moore (set by Paige Ahakuelo)

    Set 1 · DEL ST 23-23 SIENA · DEL ST 41% → 47%

  7. 07
    Delaware St.Service error+5.1%

    Delaware St. service error

    Set 1 · DEL ST 21-22 SIENA · SIENA 52% → 58%

  8. 08

    Kill by Hannah Sanders (set by Paige Ahakuelo)

    Set 1 · DEL ST 22-22 SIENA · DEL ST 42% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318845.2221016112220
36415.1330102032411
39011.81800020031.510.5
39320.300002200009
35111.36400030031.56.5
3015-.20042101200001
3002.0003411000004
3000–010000001
3001.000002600000
3000–000200000
Team totals4717110.2734676453410975
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37524.083000200218
37424.12500021010.57.5
36518.056011620007
3207.286011101225
3013-.33300000132.52.5
3103.3331501300001
36115.333000100217
3000–4101400001
3012-.500000500000
3001.0001200300000
1317.286000010003
Team totals3218104.1353133377210759

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 DEL ST · SIENA 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 DEL STSIENA 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 DEL STSIENA 5

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 7 DEL STSIENA 3

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Delaware St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Delaware St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
44%4/9
2
63%5/8
38%3/8
3
50%4/8
56%5/9
4
57%4/7
60%6/10
5
36%4/11
43%3/7
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
57%27/47
47%23/49

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
29%2/7
2
50%4/8
33%3/9
3
57%4/7
33%2/6
4
33%4/12
60%6/10
5
67%4/6
43%3/7
6
100%4/4
50%4/8
All
53%26/49
43%20/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#DEL ST-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.4
21-1SIENADEL ST×3BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Hannah Sanders, Mikayla Moore+1.9
32-1DEL STDEL ST×3KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.5
43-1DEL STDEL ST×3AceDelaware St.+2.5
53-2DEL STSIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.9
63-3SIENASIENA×3AceSiena+2.5
73-4SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Paige Ahakuelo+2.6
84-4SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.0
94-5DEL STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.1
105-5SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.1
115-6DEL STSIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+2.1
125-7SIENASIENA×4BlockedJalia Dublinblk Alison Goldberg+2.7
135-8SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Aaliyah Mitchell+2.6
145-9SIENASIENA×4BlockedDuura Kpeablk Alison Goldberg, Gabrielle Wire+2.4
156-9SIENADEL ST×3Serve errSiena+1.7
167-9DEL STDEL ST×3AceDelaware St.aced Brianna Miller+2.4
178-9DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+2.7
188-10DEL STSIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.3
198-11SIENASIENA×4KillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+2.8
208-12SIENASIENA×4KillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+2.5
218-13SIENASIENA×4KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.2
229-13SIENADEL ST×3KillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+1.4
2310-13DEL STDEL ST×3KillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
2411-13DEL STDEL ST×3KillJalia Dublinset Aaliyah Mitchell+2.6
2511-14DEL STSIENAAttack errJalia Dublin+2.4
2612-14SIENADEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.1
2712-15DEL STSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.5
2813-15SIENADEL STKillMikayla Mooreset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
2913-16DEL STSIENAServe errDelaware St.+2.6
3014-16SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
3115-16DEL STDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+3.4
3215-17DEL STSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.0
3315-18SIENASIENAAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+3.5
3416-18SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.3
3517-18DEL STDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+3.7
3617-19DEL STSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+3.4
3718-19SIENADEL STBlockedAlison Goldbergblk Duura Kpea+3.0
3819-19DEL STDEL STAttack errBrianna Miller+4.7
3919-20DEL STSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+4.0
4020-20SIENADEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+4.0
4120-21DEL STSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+4.5
4221-21SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+4.4
4321-22DEL STSIENAServe errDelaware St.+5.1
4422-22SIENADEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+5.0
4522-23DEL STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+6.1
4623-23SIENADEL ST×3KillMikayla Mooreset Paige Ahakuelo+5.9
4724-23DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errMary Claire Deacy+9.9
4825-23DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errMary Claire Deacy+10.0
Set 2
10-1DEL STSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.9
21-1SIENADEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+1.9
32-1DEL STDEL STBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Hannah Sanders, Aaliyah Mitchell+2.5
42-2DEL STSIENAAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+2.0
52-3SIENASIENAAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+2.6
63-3SIENADEL ST×3KillHannah Sandersset Courtney Nix+2.0
74-3DEL STDEL ST×3AceDelaware St.+2.6
85-3DEL STDEL ST×3BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Aaliyah Mitchell+2.6
95-4DEL STSIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Oliwia Majtyka+2.0
105-5SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+2.7
116-5SIENADEL ST×4KillDuura Kpeaset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
127-5DEL STDEL ST×4BlockedBrianna Millerblk Duura Kpea+2.8
138-5DEL STDEL ST×4KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.7
149-5DEL STDEL ST×4BlockedDoga Dirazblk Duura Kpea+2.5
159-6DEL STSIENAServe errDelaware St.+1.7
1610-6SIENADEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Paige Ahakuelo+2.0
1710-7DEL STSIENA×5Serve errDelaware St.+1.8
1810-8SIENASIENA×5AceSiena+2.6
1910-9SIENASIENA×5BlockedDuura Kpeablk Maggie Seymour+2.9
2010-10SIENASIENA×5Bad setPaige Ahakuelo+3.1
2110-11SIENASIENA×5KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+3.2
2211-11SIENADEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.5
2311-12DEL STSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.6
2412-12SIENADEL ST×5KillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.6
2513-12DEL STDEL ST×5KillMikayla Mooreset Courtney Nix+3.5
2614-12DEL STDEL ST×5KillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+3.5
2715-12DEL STDEL ST×5KillJalia Dublinset Courtney Nix+3.3
2816-12DEL STDEL ST×5KillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+2.9
2916-13DEL STSIENAAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+1.8
3016-14SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+2.9
3117-14SIENADEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+2.8
3217-15DEL STSIENAServe errDelaware St.+2.4
3318-15SIENADEL STServe errSiena+2.9
3418-16DEL STSIENA×3Attack errDuura Kpea+2.4
3518-17SIENASIENA×3BlockedPaige Ahakueloblk Doga Diraz, Alison Goldberg+3.8
3618-18SIENASIENA×3Attack errMikayla Moore+4.4
3719-18SIENADEL ST×3KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+3.8
3820-18DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+4.8
3921-18DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errAutumn Willmott+4.2
4021-19DEL STSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+2.5
4122-19SIENADEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+3.5
4222-20DEL STSIENABlockedJalia Dublinblk Doga Diraz, Alison Goldberg+2.4
4323-20SIENADEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+3.7
4423-21DEL STSIENAAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+2.1
4523-22SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+4.8
4624-22SIENADEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+6.0
4724-23DEL STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.5
4825-23SIENADEL STAttack errBrianna Miller+8.0
Set 3
11-0SIENADEL ST×3Serve errSiena+1.3
22-0DEL ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
33-0DEL STDEL ST×3KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.7
43-1SIENA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
54-1SIENADEL ST×7KillAaliyah Mitchell+1.3
65-1DEL STDEL ST×7AceDelaware St.+1.6
76-1DEL STDEL ST×7KillMikayla Moore+1.5
87-1DEL STDEL ST×7AceDelaware St.aced Brianna Miller+1.3
98-1DEL STDEL ST×7KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.1
109-1DEL ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
1110-1DEL STDEL ST×7KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+0.7
1210-2DEL STSIENA×3KillHannah Bowman+0.4
1310-3SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.7
14–1713-4DEL ST 3 · SIENA
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
1814-4DEL STDEL ST×4KillDuura Kpea+0.4
1914-5DEL STSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.2
2015-5SIENADEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Paige Ahakuelo+0.3
2116-5DEL STDEL STAceDelaware St.aced Gabrielle Wire+0.2
2216-6DEL STSIENAAttack errDuura Kpea+0.1
2317-6SIENADEL ST×3KillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+0.2
2418-6DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+0.1
2519-6DEL STDEL ST×3AceDelaware St.aced Hannah Bowman+0.1
2619-7DEL STSIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka·
2719-8SIENASIENA×3Attack errAaliyah Mitchell·
2819-9SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.1
2920-9SIENADEL STKillJalia Dublin+0.1
3021-9DEL STDEL STServe errDelaware St.+0.1
31–3222-10DEL ST · SIENA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3322-11DEL STSIENABlockedAaliyah Mitchellblk Maggie Seymour, Mary Claire Deacy·
3422-12SIENASIENAKillHannah Bowmanset Abby Edwards·
3523-12SIENADEL STBlockedHannah Bowmanblk Duura Kpea, Mikayla Moore·
3623-13DEL STSIENAKillHannah Bowmanset Abby Edwards·
3724-13SIENADEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Paige Ahakuelo·
3825-13DEL STDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo·

Score shown after each rally, Delaware St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).