CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
3:1
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Morehead St. def. Siena 31

(25-19, 28-26, 19-25, 25-14)
Set12*34Sets
MOREST252819253
SIENA192625141
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SIENA above 50 · MOREST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100SIENAMORESTBiggest swing +5.2% MOREST · S2 25-24rally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Morehead St. — set 2, MOREST 25-24 SIENA. Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett). SIENA win probability 13%8%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MOREST 81.4%18.6% SIENA

Morehead St. wins

3-0
33.0%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.9%

Siena wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
9.5%
MOREST break %
47.2% vs this opp
SIENA break %
40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Ella WarrickKill+5.2%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 25-24 SIENA · MOREST 87%92%

  2. 02

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Brooke Malek)

    Set 2 · MOREST 23-24 SIENA · SIENA 13%18%

  3. 03
    Brianna MillerAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Brianna Miller

    Set 2 · MOREST 24-24 SIENA · MOREST 82%87%

  4. 04
    Ella WarrickKill+4.4%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 28-26 SIENA · MOREST 92%97%

  5. 05

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 2 · MOREST 25-25 SIENA · SIENA 8%12%

  6. 06
    Ella WarrickKill+4.0%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 26-25 SIENA · MOREST 88%92%

  7. 07

    Kill by Natalia Clifford (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 2 · MOREST 26-26 SIENA · SIENA 8%12%

  8. 08
    Amelia NottKill+4.0%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 27-26 SIENA · MOREST 88%92%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421555.29110031031.522.5
415431.355030121010.518.5
412221.47613141132.517.5
44212.16700000132.56.5
44212.167000400215
4001.0002912800001
4001.0001931500003
4126-.167000300001
40005131710001
3000001300000
3000000520000
2000101000000
1112.000000000001
11011.000000000001
1000000010000
Team totals5918142.28956119647212897
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414435.28600170031.515.5
411539.1543208402114
4329.111021400427
45112.3330121330006
4328.125000000425
4204.5002901700002
47321.19000021010.57.5
40003121220001
2129-.111000100212
2000710200001
1000000000000
Team totals4619137.19742775611016884

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 MOREST · SIENA 7

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 9 MORESTSIENA 3

Set 2*

28-26

Longest run 5 MORESTSIENA 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 MORESTSIENA 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 MORESTSIENA 2

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
58%7/12
2
75%6/8
65%11/17
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
50%6/12
50%6/12
5
56%5/9
44%4/9
6
44%4/9
33%2/6
All
56%33/59
53%36/68

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
26%6/23
38%3/8
2
67%6/9
25%2/8
3
38%6/16
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
57%4/7
50%6/12
6
80%4/5
56%5/9
All
47%32/68
44%26/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#MOREST-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
20-2SIENASIENAAttack errElla Warrickblk Mary Claire Deacy+1.9
31-2SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.3
41-3MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
52-3SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.4
62-4MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+1.6
73-4SIENAMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+1.4
84-4MORESTMORESTAttack errAlison Goldberg+1.8
94-5MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
105-5SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.4
116-5MORESTMORESTAttack errAnna Hanson+1.8
126-6MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
136-7SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+2.1
146-8SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.2
157-8SIENAMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Josie Certa+1.6
167-9MORESTSIENA×3Serve errMOREST server+1.8
177-10SIENASIENA×3Attack errAmelia Nottblk Maggie Seymour+2.4
187-11SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+2.4
198-11SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.5
208-12MORESTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+1.9
219-12SIENAMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.6
2210-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.2
2311-12MORESTMOREST×9AceMOREST serveraced Brianna Miller+2.3
2412-12MORESTMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.4
2513-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.3
2614-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.1
2715-12MORESTMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.8
2816-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everett+1.5
2917-12MORESTMOREST×9Attack errMary Claire Deacyblk Amelia Nott, Hollan Everett+1.1
3017-13MORESTSIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.7
3117-14SIENASIENA×3AceSIENA serveraced Amelia Nott+1.2
3217-15SIENASIENA×3Attack errKylie Sharp+1.7
3318-15SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+1.6
3418-16MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+1.4
3519-16SIENAMOREST×3KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+1.6
3620-16MORESTMOREST×3Attack errAlison Goldbergblk Haidyn Carter+1.6
3721-16MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Natalia Clifford+1.0
3821-17MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.5
3921-18SIENASIENAAceSIENA serveraced Ella Warrick+1.1
4022-18SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.2
4123-18MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.9
4223-19MORESTSIENAAttack errAnna Schiltzblk Alison Goldberg+0.3
4324-19SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.5
4425-19MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.2
Set 2
11-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.1
22-0MORESTMOREST×5AceMOREST serveraced Team+1.0
33-0MORESTMOREST×5KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+0.9
44-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.8
55-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.7
65-1MORESTSIENAKillAbby Edwards+0.5
76-1SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.5
86-2MORESTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.5
97-2SIENAMORESTAttack errBrianna Millerblk Kylie Sharp+0.5
107-3MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.5
117-4SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+0.8
128-4SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.7
138-5MORESTSIENAKillAnna Hansonset Anna Schiltz+0.7
149-5SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.7
159-6MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.7
1610-6SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.7
1710-7MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.7
1811-7SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.7
1911-8MORESTSIENAAttack errHollan Everettblk Maggie Seymour+0.7
2012-8SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.8
2112-9MORESTSIENA×7KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.7
2212-10SIENASIENA×7KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.1
2312-11SIENASIENA×7Bad setSydney Sennett+1.4
2412-12SIENASIENA×7KillAlison Goldberg+1.7
2512-13SIENASIENA×7Attack errHaidyn Carter+1.9
2612-14SIENASIENA×7Attack errHollan Everettblk Mary Claire Deacy+2.1
2712-15SIENASIENA×7Attack errHollan Everett+2.1
2813-15SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.4
2914-15MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.9
3014-16MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.8
3115-16SIENAMORESTAttack errAnna Hanson+1.6
3215-17MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.9
3315-18SIENASIENA×3KillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka+2.4
3415-19SIENASIENA×3AceSIENA serveraced Tinsley Brown+2.2
3516-19SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.2
3616-20MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+1.8
3717-20SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.2
3817-21MORESTSIENABad setKylie Sharp+1.8
3918-21SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.1
4019-21MORESTMORESTAttack errGabrielle Wire+2.0
4119-22MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.4
4220-22SIENAMOREST×3Attack errAbby Edwards+1.5
4321-22MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.8
4422-22MORESTMOREST×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+3.6
4522-23MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.6
4623-23SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Hollan Everett+3.3
4723-24MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+4.6
4824-24SIENAMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller+4.6
4925-24MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+5.2
5025-25MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+4.0
5126-25SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+4.0
5226-26MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Oliwia Majtyka+4.0
5327-26SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+4.0
5428-26MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+4.4
Set 3
11-0SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Amelia Nott+0.5
21-1MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Brooke Malek+0.5
32-1SIENAMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.5
43-1MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Brooke Malek+0.6
54-1MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carter+0.5
64-2MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.4
75-2SIENAMOREST×4KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+0.4
86-2MORESTMOREST×4AceMOREST serveraced Brianna Miller+0.4
97-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.4
108-2MORESTMOREST×4Attack errMaggie Seymour+0.3
118-3MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.2
129-3SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.2
139-4MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.2
1410-4SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.2
1510-5MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.2
1610-6SIENASIENAAceSIENA serveraced Tinsley Brown+0.3
1711-6SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.3
1811-7MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.3
1912-7SIENAMOREST×3Serve errSIENA server+0.3
2013-7MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMary Claire Deacyblk Hollan Everett+0.3
2114-7MORESTMOREST×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+0.2
2214-8MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.1
2315-8SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+0.2
2415-9MORESTSIENA×5KillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+0.1
2515-10SIENASIENA×5Attack errKylie Sharpblk Maggie Seymour+0.2
2615-11SIENASIENA×5Attack errHollan Everett+0.3
2715-12SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+0.5
2815-13SIENASIENA×5AceSIENA serveraced Hollan Everett+0.6
2916-13SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+0.6
3016-14MORESTSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.5
3116-15SIENASIENA×4KillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+0.9
3216-16SIENASIENA×4Bad setJosie Certa+1.1
3316-17SIENASIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.2
3417-17SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+0.9
3517-18MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.0
3617-19SIENASIENA×3AceSIENA serveraced Courtney Fitzgerald+1.4
3717-20SIENASIENA×3Attack errAnna Schiltz+1.4
3818-20SIENAMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller+0.8
3918-21MORESTSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.2
4018-22SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.2
4118-23SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+0.8
4219-23SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.2
4319-24MORESTSIENAAttack errAmelia Nottblk Alison Goldberg, Gabrielle Wire+0.5
4419-25SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.2
Set 4
11-0MORESTMORESTAttack errMary Claire Deacyblk Amelia Nott+1.9
22-0MORESTMORESTAttack errBrianna Millerblk Kylie Sharp+1.7
32-1MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.4
43-1SIENAMORESTAttack errMaggie Seymour+1.4
54-1MORESTMORESTAceMOREST serveraced Natalia Clifford+1.6
64-2MORESTSIENAAttack errNatalia Clifford+1.2
75-2SIENAMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.2
86-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everett+1.4
97-2MORESTMOREST×4AceMOREST serveraced Natalia Clifford+1.2
108-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.9
118-3MORESTSIENAAttack errHaidyn Carter+0.7
128-4SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.1
139-4SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.9
149-5MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.9
159-6SIENASIENABad setElla Warrick+1.4
1610-6SIENAMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.2
1711-6MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Brianna Miller+1.3
1812-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.0
1912-7MORESTSIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.6
2013-7SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.7
2114-7MORESTMORESTAceMOREST serveraced Gabrielle Wire+0.7
2214-8MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.4
2315-8SIENAMOREST×6KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.5
2416-8MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.5
2517-8MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.3
2618-8MORESTMOREST×6AceMOREST serveraced Brianna Miller+0.1
2719-8MORESTMOREST×6Serve errMOREST server+0.1
2820-8MORESTMOREST×6Attack errNatalia Clifford+0.0
2920-9MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.0
3021-9SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+0.0
3121-10MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.0
3222-10SIENAMORESTKillReagan Baxterset Sydney Sennett+0.0
3323-10MORESTMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller+0.0
3423-11MORESTSIENAServe errMOREST server+0.0
3523-12SIENASIENAAttack errReagan Baxter+0.0
3624-12SIENAMORESTKillMary Rindlerset Jasmine Daniels+0.0
3724-13MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.0
3824-14SIENASIENAAceSIENA serveraced Kennedy Tinch+0.0
3925-14SIENAMORESTServe errSIENA server+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.