Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Morehead St. def. Siena 3–1

Morehead St. beat Siena 3-1 (25-19, 28-26, 19-25, 25-14) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Morehead St.'s Hollan Everett led with 21 kills, and Courtney Fitzgerald added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
MOREST252819253
SIENA192625141

Win probability

Siena above 50 · Morehead St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% MORESTrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Morehead St. — set 2, MOREST 25-24 SIENA. Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett). SIENA win probability 15% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MOREST 77.3%22.7% SIENA

Morehead St. wins

3-0
29.0%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
18.9%

Siena wins

3-0
3.9%
3-1
7.7%
3-2
11.1%
MOREST break %
46.3% vs this opp
SIENA break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella WarrickKill+5.9%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 25-24 SIENA · MOREST 85% → 91%

  2. 02
    Ella WarrickKill+5.2%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 28-26 SIENA · MOREST 91% → 96%

  3. 03

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Brooke Malek)

    Set 2 · MOREST 23-24 SIENA · SIENA 15% → 21%

  4. 04
    Brianna MillerAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Brianna Miller

    Set 2 · MOREST 24-24 SIENA · MOREST 79% → 85%

  5. 05

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 2 · MOREST 25-25 SIENA · SIENA 9% → 14%

  6. 06
    Ella WarrickKill+4.5%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 26-25 SIENA · MOREST 86% → 91%

  7. 07

    Kill by Natalia Clifford (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 2 · MOREST 26-26 SIENA · SIENA 9% → 14%

  8. 08
    Amelia NottKill+4.5%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 2 · MOREST 27-26 SIENA · MOREST 86% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421555.29110031031.522.5
415431.355030121010.518.5
412221.47613141132.517.5
44212.16700000132.56.5
44212.167000400215
4001.0002912800001
4001.0001931500003
4126-.167000300001
4000–5131710001
3000–001300000
3000–000520000
2000–101000000
1112.000000000001
11011.000000000001
1000–000010000
Team totals5918142.28956119647212897
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414435.28600170031.515.5
411539.1543208402114
4329.111021400427
45112.3330121330006
4328.125000000425
4204.5002901700002
47321.19000021010.57.5
4000–3121220001
2129-.111000100212
2000–710200001
1000–000000000
Team totals4619137.19742775611016884

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 MOREST · SIENA 7

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 9 MORESTSIENA 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 5 MORESTSIENA 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 MORESTSIENA 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 MORESTSIENA 2

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
58%7/12
2
75%6/8
65%11/17
3
50%6/12
50%6/12
4
50%6/12
50%6/12
5
56%5/9
44%4/9
6
44%4/9
33%2/6
All
56%33/59
53%36/68

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
26%6/23
38%3/8
2
67%6/9
25%2/8
3
38%6/16
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
57%4/7
50%6/12
6
80%4/5
56%5/9
All
47%32/68
44%26/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#MOREST-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
20-2SIENASIENABlockedElla Warrickblk Mary Claire Deacy+2.1
31-2SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.5
41-3MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
52-3SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.5
62-4MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+1.7
73-4SIENAMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+1.5
84-4MORESTMORESTAttack errAlison Goldberg+2.0
94-5MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
105-5SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.6
116-5MORESTMORESTAttack errAnna Hanson+2.0
126-6MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.6
136-7SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+2.3
146-8SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.4
157-8SIENAMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Josie Certa+1.7
167-9MORESTSIENA×3Serve errMorehead St.+2.0
177-10SIENASIENA×3BlockedAmelia Nottblk Maggie Seymour+2.6
187-11SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+2.5
198-11SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.6
208-12MORESTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+2.0
219-12SIENAMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.6
2210-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.4
2311-12MORESTMOREST×9AceMorehead St.aced Brianna Miller+2.6
2412-12MORESTMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.6
2513-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.6
2614-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.4
2715-12MORESTMOREST×9KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.1
2816-12MORESTMOREST×9KillHollan Everett+1.7
2917-12MORESTMOREST×9BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Amelia Nott, Hollan Everett+1.3
3017-13MORESTSIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.8
3117-14SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Amelia Nott+1.4
3217-15SIENASIENA×3Attack errKylie Sharp+2.0
3318-15SIENAMORESTServe errSiena+1.8
3418-16MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+1.6
3519-16SIENAMOREST×3KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+1.9
3620-16MORESTMOREST×3BlockedAlison Goldbergblk Haidyn Carter+1.9
3721-16MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Natalia Clifford+1.2
3821-17MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.6
3921-18SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Ella Warrick+1.3
4022-18SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.4
4123-18MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.0
4223-19MORESTSIENABlockedAnna Schiltzblk Alison Goldberg+0.3
4324-19SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.6
4425-19MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.2
Set 2
11-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.4
22-0MORESTMOREST×5AceMorehead St.+1.3
33-0MORESTMOREST×5KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+1.1
44-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.0
55-0MORESTMOREST×5KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.9
65-1MORESTSIENAKillAbby Edwards+0.6
76-1SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.7
86-2MORESTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.6
97-2SIENAMORESTBlockedBrianna Millerblk Kylie Sharp+0.7
107-3MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+0.6
117-4SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+1.0
128-4SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.8
138-5MORESTSIENAKillAnna Hansonset Anna Schiltz+0.8
149-5SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.8
159-6MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+0.8
1610-6SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.9
1710-7MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+0.8
1811-7SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.9
1911-8MORESTSIENABlockedHollan Everettblk Maggie Seymour+0.8
2012-8SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.9
2112-9MORESTSIENA×7KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
2212-10SIENASIENA×7KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.4
2312-11SIENASIENA×7Bad setSydney Sennett+1.7
2412-12SIENASIENA×7KillAlison Goldberg+1.9
2512-13SIENASIENA×7Attack errHaidyn Carter+2.2
2612-14SIENASIENA×7BlockedHollan Everettblk Mary Claire Deacy+2.3
2712-15SIENASIENA×7Attack errHollan Everett+2.4
2813-15SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.5
2914-15MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+2.2
3014-16MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.0
3115-16SIENAMORESTAttack errAnna Hanson+1.7
3215-17MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+2.1
3315-18SIENASIENA×3KillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka+2.7
3415-19SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Tinsley Brown+2.4
3516-19SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.3
3616-20MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+1.9
3717-20SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.3
3817-21MORESTSIENABad setKylie Sharp+1.9
3918-21SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.2
4019-21MORESTMORESTAttack errGabrielle Wire+2.2
4119-22MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.6
4220-22SIENAMOREST×3Attack errAbby Edwards+1.6
4321-22MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+3.1
4422-22MOREST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.1
4522-23MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+4.0
4623-23SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Hollan Everett+3.7
4723-24MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+5.1
4824-24SIENAMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller+5.1
4925-24MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+5.9
5025-25MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+4.5
5126-25SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+4.5
5226-26MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Oliwia Majtyka+4.5
5327-26SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+4.5
5428-26MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+5.2
Set 3
11-0SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Amelia Nott+0.6
21-1MORESTSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Brooke Malek+0.6
32-1SIENAMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.6
43-1MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Brooke Malek+0.7
54-1MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carter+0.6
64-2MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+0.5
75-2SIENAMOREST×4KillKylie Sharpset Sydney Sennett+0.5
86-2MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Brianna Miller+0.6
97-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.5
108-2MORESTMOREST×4Attack errMaggie Seymour+0.4
118-3MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.3
129-3SIENAMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.3
139-4MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.3
1410-4SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.3
1510-5MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.3
1610-6SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Tinsley Brown+0.4
1711-6SIENAMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.4
1811-7MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+0.3
1912-7SIENAMOREST×3Serve errSiena+0.4
2013-7MORESTMOREST×3BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Hollan Everett+0.4
2114-7MORESTMOREST×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+0.3
2214-8MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.2
2315-8SIENAMORESTServe errSiena+0.2
2415-9MORESTSIENA×5KillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+0.2
2515-10SIENASIENA×5BlockedKylie Sharpblk Maggie Seymour+0.3
2615-11SIENASIENA×5Attack errHollan Everett+0.4
2715-12SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+0.6
2815-13SIENASIENA×5AceSienaaced Hollan Everett+0.8
2916-13SIENAMORESTServe errSiena+0.7
3016-14MORESTSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.6
3116-15SIENASIENA×4KillNatalia Cliffordset Abby Edwards+1.0
3216-16SIENASIENA×4Bad setJosie Certa+1.3
3316-17SIENASIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.5
3417-17SIENAMORESTServe errSiena+1.1
3517-18MORESTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.2
3617-19SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Courtney Fitzgerald+1.7
3717-20SIENASIENA×3Attack errAnna Schiltz+1.6
3818-20SIENAMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller+0.9
3918-21MORESTSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
4018-22SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.3
4118-23SIENASIENA×3Attack errElla Warrick+0.8
4219-23SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.3
4319-24MORESTSIENABlockedAmelia Nottblk Alison Goldberg, Gabrielle Wire+0.5
4419-25SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.2
Set 4
11-0MORESTMORESTBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Amelia Nott+2.1
22-0MORESTMORESTBlockedBrianna Millerblk Kylie Sharp+2.0
32-1MORESTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.5
43-1SIENAMORESTAttack errMaggie Seymour+1.5
54-1MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Natalia Clifford+1.8
64-2MORESTSIENAAttack errNatalia Clifford+1.4
75-2SIENAMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.4
86-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everett+1.6
97-2MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Natalia Clifford+1.4
108-2MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.1
118-3MORESTSIENAAttack errHaidyn Carter+0.8
128-4SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.3
139-4SIENAMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.1
149-5MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.+1.0
159-6SIENASIENABad setElla Warrick+1.6
1610-6SIENAMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.3
1711-6MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Brianna Miller+1.5
1812-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.1
1912-7MORESTSIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.7
2013-7SIENAMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.9
2114-7MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Gabrielle Wire+0.8
2214-8MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.5
2315-8SIENAMOREST×6KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.6
2416-8MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.5
2517-8MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.3
2618-8MORESTMOREST×6AceMorehead St.aced Brianna Miller+0.2
2719-8MORESTMOREST×6Serve errMorehead St.+0.1
2820-8MORESTMOREST×6Attack errNatalia Clifford·
2920-9MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards·
3021-9SIENAMORESTServe errSiena·
3121-10MORESTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards·
3222-10SIENAMORESTKillReagan Baxterset Sydney Sennett·
3323-10MORESTMORESTAttack errBrianna Miller·
3423-11MORESTSIENAServe errMorehead St.·
3523-12SIENASIENAAttack errReagan Baxter·
3624-12SIENAMORESTKillMary Rindlerset Jasmine Daniels·
3724-13MORESTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards·
3824-14SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Kennedy Tinch·
3925-14SIENAMORESTServe errSiena·

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).