Evansville vs Indiana State: Indiana State Wins 3-0 (Oct 27)

FinalTue, Oct 27, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Indiana St. 79.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Indiana St. beat visiting Evansville 3-0 (25-16, 25-17, 25-23) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Indiana St.'s Kira Holland and Lily Mueller led with 9 kills each, and Macy Lengacher added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:40 PM CT · final Oct 27

Set	1	2	3	Sets
EVANS	16	17	23	0
IND ST	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Indiana St. hit .363 as a team. Evansville had no answer.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.8 points. Evansville peaked at 19% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Indiana St. at 79%.

EvansvilleIndiana St.

Break %+17.6 pts
27.645.2
On serve: 33/73 against 16/58 (Evansville sideout 54.8%).
Hitting+.234
.129.363
44 K / 11 E against 28 K / 17 E.

Indiana St. above 50Evansville belowMax swing 1.8%

EvansvilleIndiana St.

Aces: Evansville 4·Indiana St. 6
Serve err: Evansville 8·Indiana St. 13
Blocks: Evansville 3·Indiana St. 51 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Evansville 31·Indiana St. 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Indiana St. above 50 · Evansville below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Indiana St. — set 3, EVANS 23-25 IND ST. Kill by Kira Holland (set by Chloe Gilley). IND ST win probability 98% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 21.0%79.0% IND ST

Evansville wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.0%

3-2

10.5%

Indiana St. wins

3-0

30.5%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.5%

EVANS break %: 38.1% vs this opp
IND ST break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kira HollandKill+1.8%
Kill by Kira Holland (set by Chloe Gilley)
Set 3 · EVANS 23-25 IND ST · IND ST 98% → 100%
02
Ryan Scheu&Savannah GogelBlock+1.7%
Kira Holland stuffed by Ryan Scheu & Savannah Gogel
Set 2 · EVANS 6-4 IND ST · EVANS 13% → 14%
03
Ella Scott&Corinne KnappBlock+1.6%
Savannah Gogel stuffed by Ella Scott & Corinne Knapp
Set 2 · EVANS 8-9 IND ST · IND ST 88% → 90%
04
Taylor KnuthAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Taylor Knuth
Set 2 · EVANS 5-4 IND ST · EVANS 11% → 13%
05
Lily MuellerKill+1.6%
Kill by Lily Mueller
Set 2 · EVANS 6-6 IND ST · IND ST 87% → 88%
06
McKenzie LaubachAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by McKenzie Laubach
Set 1 · EVANS 0-2 IND ST · IND ST 81% → 82%
07
Corinne KnappKill+1.5%
Kill by Corinne Knapp (set by Hadley Hardersen)
Set 2 · EVANS 8-10 IND ST · IND ST 90% → 91%
08
Lily MuellerKill+1.5%
Kill by Lily Mueller
Set 1 · EVANS 1-4 IND ST · IND ST 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Evansvilleaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Savannah GogelMB	3	6	4	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
3Wren JonesOH	3	6	5	20	.050	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	6
7Lyla FisherOH	3	5	2	14	.214	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
21McKenzie LaubachMB	3	4	5	15	-.067	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
17Ryan ScheuOH	3	3	0	14	.214	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Carsyn KelleyS	3	2	0	2	1.000	20	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	3
15Brooke HerdesOH	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	3	4	1	0	0	0	1
6Lexi OwenS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
20Kendall AglerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
13Holland MorrisOH	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
Team totals		28	17	85	.129	28	4	8	31	6	1	4	3	56

Indiana St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Ella ScottMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	3.5	10.5
18Kira HollandOH	3	9	2	23	.304	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0	9
6Lily MuellerMB	3	9	0	15	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9
21Taylor KnuthMB	3	6	4	17	.118	2	1	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
8Hadley HardersenS	3	4	3	9	.111	31	3	3	5	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
2Chloe GilleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
12Corinne KnappOH	3	8	2	17	.353	0	2	5	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
16Macy LengacherL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	13	1	0	0	0	1
5Kennedy GlasgowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	91	.363	39	6	13	33	4	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Evansville vs Indiana St.

Season series · Indiana St. leads 1-0

Tue, Oct 27, 2026Evansville at Indiana St. · Indiana St. won 3-0This match
Tue, Nov 10, 2026Indiana St. at EvansvillePreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 EVANS · IND ST 4

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 EVANSIND ST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 EVANSIND ST 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 EVANSIND ST 4

Bars above the line = Indiana St. leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	13%1/8
2	53%8/15	27%3/11
3	78%7/9	20%2/10
4	60%6/10	42%5/12
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	45%5/11	25%2/8
All	55%40/73	28%16/58

Indiana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	50%6/12
2	67%8/12	50%8/16
3	88%7/8	42%5/12
4	50%7/14	30%3/10
5	86%6/7	54%7/13
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	72%42/58	45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	EVANS-IND ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.2
2	0-2	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+1.6
3	1-2	IND ST	EVANS	Attack err	Taylor Knuth		+1.1
4	1-3	EVANS	IND ST×3	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.1
5	1-4	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Lily Mueller		+1.5
6	1-5	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	Taylor Knuth	aced Brooke Herdes	+1.3
7	2-5	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.8
8	2-6	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.9
9	2-7	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.1
10	3-7	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.7
11	4-7	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
12	4-8	EVANS	IND ST×4	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.9
13	4-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.1
14	4-10	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.9
15	4-11	IND ST	IND ST×4	Blocked	Wren Jones	blk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott	+0.6
16	5-11	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
17	5-12	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.4
18	6-12	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Lexi Owen	+0.3
19	7-12	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+0.7
20	7-13	EVANS	IND ST×4	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
21	7-14	IND ST	IND ST×4	Blocked	Lyla Fisher	blk Taylor Knuth, Ella Scott	+0.6
22	7-15	IND ST	IND ST×4	Ace	Corinne Knapp	aced Wren Jones	+0.4
23	7-16	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+0.2
24	8-16	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Corinne Knapp		+0.1
25	8-17	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
26	8-18	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+0.1
27	9-18	IND ST	EVANS	Attack err	Kira Holland		·
28	10-18	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
29	10-19	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
30	10-20	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Chloe Gilley	+0.1
31	11-20	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Taylor Knuth		·
32	11-21	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		·
33	12-21	IND ST	EVANS	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen		·
34	13-21	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Lexi Owen	aced Kira Holland	·
35	13-22	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
36	14-22	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Macy Lengacher		·
37	14-23	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	·
38	15-23	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	·
39	16-23	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Brooke Herdes	aced Kira Holland	·
40	16-24	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		·
41	16-25	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		·
Set 2
1	1-0	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Hadley Hardersen		+1.0
2	1-1	EVANS	IND ST	Attack err	McKenzie Laubach		+1.0
3	2-1	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Wren Jones	+1.1
4	2-2	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		+1.0
5	3-2	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
6	3-3	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.0
7	3-4	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.4
8	4-4	IND ST	EVANS×3	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Ryan Scheu	+1.0
9	5-4	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Taylor Knuth		+1.6
10	6-4	EVANS	EVANS×3	Blocked	Kira Holland	blk Ryan Scheu, Savannah Gogel	+1.7
11	6-5	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.1
12	6-6	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller		+1.6
13	7-6	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
14	7-7	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Macy Lengacher		+1.1
15	8-7	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.3
16	8-8	EVANS	IND ST×3	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.2
17	8-9	IND ST	IND ST×3	Blocked	Savannah Gogel	blk Ella Scott, Corinne Knapp	+1.6
18	8-10	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.5
19	9-10	IND ST	EVANS	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen		+1.1
20	9-11	EVANS	IND ST×3	Serve err	Evansville		+1.1
21	9-12	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Kira Holland	set Taylor Knuth	+1.4
22	9-13	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	Corinne Knapp	aced Wren Jones	+1.1
23	10-13	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Corinne Knapp		+0.7
24	11-13	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	Carsyn Kelley	aced Chloe Gilley	+1.3
25	11-14	EVANS	IND ST	Blocked	McKenzie Laubach	blk Ella Scott	+1.0
26	12-14	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Brooke Herdes	+0.9
27	12-15	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.0
28	13-15	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Taylor Knuth		+1.0
29	13-16	EVANS	IND ST×4	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.1
30	13-17	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Macy Lengacher	+1.2
31	13-18	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.9
32	13-19	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Savannah Gogel		+0.6
33	14-19	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Kira Holland		+0.2
34	14-20	EVANS	IND ST×3	Serve err	Evansville		+0.4
35	14-21	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.3
36	14-22	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Savannah Gogel		+0.1
37	15-22	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	·
38	15-23	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Kira Holland	+0.1
39	16-23	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	·
40	16-24	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		·
41	17-24	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Carsyn Kelley	·
42	17-25	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	·
Set 3
1	1-0	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen		+0.8
2	1-1	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
3	1-2	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	Hadley Hardersen	aced Aubry Dowling	+0.7
4	2-2	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Hadley Hardersen		+0.5
5	2-3	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
6	3-3	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Corinne Knapp		+0.5
7	3-4	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
8	4-4	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Holland Morris	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
9	4-5	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		+0.5
10	5-5	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Kendall Agler	+0.6
11	6-5	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Brooke Herdes	+0.9
12	6-6	EVANS	IND ST×3	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
13	6-7	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Corinne Knapp		+0.8
14	6-8	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Savannah Gogel		+0.8
15	7-8	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Kira Holland		+0.5
16	7-9	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
17	8-9	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	McKenzie Laubach	set Lyla Fisher	+0.5
18	8-10	EVANS	IND ST×4	Kill	Kira Holland	set Taylor Knuth	+0.6
19	8-11	IND ST	IND ST×4	Ace	Hadley Hardersen	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.7
20	8-12	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
21	8-13	IND ST	IND ST×4	Ace	Hadley Hardersen	aced Aubry Dowling	+0.5
22	9-13	IND ST	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
23	10-13	EVANS	EVANS×3	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+0.5
24	11-13	EVANS	EVANS×3	Blocked	Taylor Knuth	blk McKenzie Laubach, Holland Morris	+0.7
25	11-14	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
26	11-15	IND ST	IND ST	Blocked	Holland Morris	blk Ella Scott	+0.6
27	12-15	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Corinne Knapp		+0.4
28	13-15	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.7
29	13-16	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
30	13-17	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.7
31	14-17	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Holland Morris	set Brooke Herdes	+0.4
32	15-17	EVANS	EVANS	Blocked	Taylor Knuth	blk Holland Morris	+0.7
33	15-18	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
34	16-18	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
35	16-19	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
36	17-19	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
37	17-20	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.7
38	18-20	IND ST	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
39	18-21	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Kira Holland	+0.7
40	19-21	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Hadley Hardersen		+0.5
41	19-22	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.7
42	19-23	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Macy Lengacher	+0.6
43	20-23	IND ST	EVANS	Serve err	Corinne Knapp		+0.2
44	20-24	EVANS	IND ST	Serve err	Evansville		+0.4
45	21-24	IND ST	EVANS×3	Kill	Savannah Gogel	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.1
46	22-24	EVANS	EVANS×3	Ace	Ryan Scheu	aced Macy Lengacher	+0.4
47	23-24	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
48	23-25	EVANS	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Chloe Gilley	+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Indiana St. def. Evansville 3–0

Indiana St. hit .363 as a team. Evansville had no answer.