Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on SienaSaints.com

Siena def. Canisius 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Siena 88.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena beat visiting Canisius 3-2 (23-25, 25-21, 21-25, 26-24, 15-9) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Siena's Mary Claire Deacy led with 22 kills, and Brooke Malek added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
CANISI2521252492
SIENA23252126153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Mary claire Deacy had 22 kills as Siena won in five.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Siena's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Siena 89% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Canisius 13–7 Siena

    Siena scored 7 straight to turn a 7–13 deficit into a 14–13 lead. The match swung to Siena.

    Siena 17% → 53%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Canisius 17–21 Siena

    Canisius scored 4 straight to erase a 17–21 deficit and tie it at 21. The match swung to Canisius.

    Siena 67% → 45%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Canisius 23–23 Siena

    Siena closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 2–2. The match swung to Siena.

    Siena 44% → 71%

Siena above 50Canisius belowMax swing 14.4%

CanisiusSiena

Sideout %
Canisius 53.2·Siena 56.2
Break %
Canisius 43.8·Siena 46.8
Hitting
Canisius .237·Siena .224
Longest run
Canisius 4·Siena 7

Mary Claire Deacy
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 22 K, .321, 26.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Siena above 50 · Canisius below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.4% SIENArally 214 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.4% to Siena — set 4, CANISI 24-26 SIENA. Hayden Siebenaler stuffed by Doga Diraz. SIENA win probability 57% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 11.7%88.3% SIENA

Canisius wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
6.4%

Siena wins

3-0
41.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.0%
CANISI break %
38.8% vs this opp
SIENA break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Doga DirazBlock+14.4%

    Hayden Siebenaler stuffed by Doga Diraz

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-26 SIENA · SIENA 57% → 71%

  2. 02

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · CANISI 23-24 SIENA · SIENA 44% → 57%

  3. 03
    Emma IsroffKill+12.6%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-24 SIENA · CANISI 43% → 56%

  4. 04
    Brianna MillerKill+12.6%

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Brooke Malek)

    Set 4 · CANISI 24-25 SIENA · SIENA 44% → 57%

  5. 05

    Kill by McKenna Corcoran (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 4 · CANISI 23-23 SIENA · CANISI 46% → 56%

  6. 06

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · CANISI 22-23 SIENA · SIENA 44% → 54%

  7. 07
    Azoria DavisKill+9.7%

    Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Julia Lenik)

    Set 4 · CANISI 21-21 SIENA · CANISI 46% → 55%

  8. 08
    Hannah KosKill+8.7%

    Kill by Hannah Kos (set by Anna Rich)

    Set 4 · CANISI 22-22 SIENA · CANISI 47% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513335.2860242000015
514546.196101202010.514.5
55318.11103070052.510.5
5318.25010000031.54.5
5001.000220060010.50.5
24615-.133000131226
518436.3890043010119
511227.33300011502112
5103.3333100200212
5001.0009212420002
3000–000000000
Team totals6924190.23764710761221610104
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522456.32113060111.526.5
512744.114210112010.513.5
5306.50038221900005
54213.15410020010.54.5
5236-.167000101224
5001.0002201330002
512337.24300051010.512.5
5000–7202200002
4000–022000002
25211.273000001016
2000–900600000
Team totals6021174.22460124857366110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Canisius vs Siena

Season series · Siena leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CANISI · SIENA 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 CANISISIENA 7

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 CANISISIENA 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 CANISISIENA 4

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 4 CANISISIENA 7

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 3 CANISISIENA 4

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
40%6/15
2
33%7/21
44%7/16
3
54%7/13
22%2/9
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
67%6/9
59%10/17
6
46%6/13
45%5/11
All
49%43/87
44%36/81

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
46%6/13
2
64%9/14
59%13/22
3
64%7/11
53%8/15
4
47%7/15
46%6/13
5
44%7/16
42%5/12
6
67%6/9
50%6/12
All
56%45/81
51%44/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

214 rallies

#CANISI-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Alli Farmer+1.1
21-1SIENACANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich+0.9
31-2CANISISIENA×7Attack errAlli Farmer+0.8
41-3SIENASIENA×7KillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+1.0
51-4SIENASIENA×7Attack errEmma Isroff+0.9
61-5SIENASIENA×7Serve errSiena+0.7
71-6SIENASIENA×7AceSienaaced Alli Farmer+0.6
81-7SIENASIENA×7Attack errAlli Farmer+0.5
91-8SIENASIENA×7Attack errAlli Farmer+0.4
102-8SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
112-9CANISISIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.3
123-9SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
133-10CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.3
144-10SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
155-10CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga+0.4
165-11CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+0.4
176-11SIENACANISI×4KillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+0.3
187-11CANISICANISI×4BlockedAlison Goldbergblk Alli Farmer+0.6
198-11CANISICANISI×4Attack errMary Claire Deacy+0.8
209-11CANISICANISI×4KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.0
219-12CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.8
229-13SIENASIENABlockedAlli Farmerblk Mary Claire Deacy+0.9
2310-13SIENACANISIServe errSiena+0.7
2410-14CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.7
2510-15SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.7
2611-15SIENACANISIBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Alli Farmer, McKenna Corcoran+0.5
2712-15CANISICANISIAttack errBrianna Miller+0.8
2812-16CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+0.7
2913-16SIENACANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
3013-17CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.8
3114-17SIENACANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
3215-17CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Autumn Willmott+1.2
3316-17CANISICANISI×3BlockedBrianna Millerblk Emma Isroff+1.7
3416-18CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Mary Claire Deacy+1.4
3517-18SIENACANISI×4KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.4
3618-18CANISICANISI×4BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Kenslie Warmbrodt, Hayden Siebenaler+2.4
3719-18CANISICANISI×4KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.9
3820-18CANISICANISI×4KillKenslie Warmbrodtset Brenda Reynaga+3.2
3920-19CANISISIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.0
4021-19SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+2.8
4121-20CANISISIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.2
4221-21SIENASIENA×3Attack errAlli Farmer+3.4
4321-22SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.5
4422-22SIENACANISIServe errSiena+2.8
4523-22CANISICANISIBlockedGabrielle Wireblk Alli Farmer, McKenna Corcoran+4.9
4623-23CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.5
4724-23SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+5.0
4825-23CANISICANISIBlockedBrianna Millerblk Anna Rich, McKenna Corcoran+7.8
Set 2
11-0CANISICANISIAttack errBrianna Miller+2.4
21-1CANISISIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.7
32-1SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
43-1CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.8
53-2CANISISIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Brooke Malek+1.9
63-3SIENASIENAAttack errEmma Isroff+2.5
74-3SIENACANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
85-3CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.0
96-3CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.2
106-4CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+2.2
116-5SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.8
127-5SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+2.5
138-5CANISICANISIAttack errMaggie Seymour+3.4
148-6CANISISIENA×3Serve errCanisius+2.3
158-7SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Brenda Reynaga+3.0
168-8SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Alli Farmer+2.9
179-8SIENACANISI×3Serve errSiena+2.5
1810-8CANISICANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+3.6
1911-8CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Brianna Miller+3.8
2011-9CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.5
2112-9SIENACANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich+3.1
2212-10CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.6
2312-11SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.5
2413-11SIENACANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.2
2514-11CANISICANISIBlockedAlison Goldbergblk Kenslie Warmbrodt, McKenna Corcoran+4.3
2614-12CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.7
2714-13SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+3.8
2815-13SIENACANISI×4KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.5
2916-13CANISICANISI×4AceCanisiusaced Autumn Willmott+4.7
3017-13CANISICANISI×4AceCanisiusaced Brianna Miller+4.5
3118-13CANISICANISI×4BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Julia Lenik, Hayden Siebenaler+4.1
3218-14CANISISIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+2.1
3318-15SIENASIENA×5AceSienaaced Azoria Davis+3.5
3418-16SIENASIENA×5KillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+4.1
3518-17SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+4.6
3618-18SIENASIENA×5Attack errJulia Lenik+4.9
3719-18SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.4
3819-19CANISISIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+4.0
3919-20SIENASIENA×4Attack errJulia Lenik+5.2
4019-21SIENASIENA×4Bad setBrenda Reynaga+4.6
4119-22SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Azoria Davis+3.4
4220-22SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.9
4320-23CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.7
4421-23SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.7
4521-24CANISISIENAAttack errAlli Farmer+2.7
4621-25SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+1.3
Set 3
10-1SIENASIENABlockedMcKenna Corcoranblk Alison Goldberg+1.9
21-1SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.6
31-2CANISISIENAAttack errJulia Lenik+1.5
42-2SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.6
52-3CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+1.5
63-3SIENACANISIKillHayden Siebenalerset Anna Rich+1.7
74-3CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Brenda Reynaga+2.5
84-4CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.8
94-5SIENA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
105-5SIENACANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.8
116-5CANISICANISI×3AceBrenda Reynagaaced Gabrielle Wire+2.6
127-5CANISICANISI×3Attack errMaggie Seymour+2.9
137-6CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.0
148-6SIENACANISIServe errSiena+2.4
159-6CANISICANISIAttack errAlison Goldberg+3.3
169-7CANISISIENA×4Serve errHannah Kos+2.2
179-8SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.9
189-9SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Azoria Davis+2.8
199-10SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.6
2010-10SIENACANISIBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran+2.2
2110-11CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.0
2211-11SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.3
2311-12CANISISIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Autumn Willmott+2.1
2412-12SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Brenda Reynaga+2.4
2512-13CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.2
2613-13SIENACANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga+2.5
2714-13CANISICANISI×3KillHayden Siebenaler+3.7
2815-13CANISICANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+4.1
2915-14CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.8
3016-14SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Brenda Reynaga+3.4
3117-14CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+4.5
3217-15CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+2.8
3318-15SIENACANISIServe errSiena+3.8
3418-16CANISISIENAServe errCanisius+2.9
3519-16SIENACANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.0
3620-16CANISICANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.6
3721-16CANISICANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.6
3821-17CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.6
3922-17SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.7
4023-17CANISICANISIAttack errBrianna Miller+2.0
4123-18CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.5
4224-18SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Hayden Siebenaler+1.2
4324-19CANISISIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.2
4424-20SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Julia Lenik+0.6
4524-21SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Julia Lenik+1.3
4625-21SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga+2.5
Set 4
11-0CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Brenda Reynaga+4.0
21-1CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.8
32-1SIENACANISIAttack errBrianna Miller+3.2
43-1CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.6
53-2CANISISIENAAttack errMcKenna Corcoran+3.2
64-2SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.7
74-3CANISISIENAAttack errJulia Lenik+3.3
85-3SIENACANISI×3Attack errMaggie Seymour+3.8
96-3CANISICANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+5.2
107-3CANISICANISI×3BlockedDoga Dirazblk Hayden Siebenaler, Azoria Davis+5.5
117-4CANISISIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+3.5
127-5SIENASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Maggie Seymour+4.8
138-5SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+4.4
149-5CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+5.8
159-6CANISISIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+3.7
1610-6SIENACANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+4.7
1711-6CANISICANISI×3AceHannah Kos+5.9
1812-6CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davis+5.5
1912-7CANISISIENAServe errHannah Kos+3.1
2013-7SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.4
2113-8CANISISIENA×7KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.1
2213-9SIENASIENA×7KillAbby Edwardsset Autumn Willmott+4.7
2313-10SIENASIENA×7Attack errJulia Lenik+5.3
2413-11SIENASIENA×7BlockedEmma Isroffblk Brianna Miller, Maggie Seymour+5.7
2513-12SIENASIENA×7Attack errEmma Isroff+5.9
2613-13SIENASIENA×7Attack errJulia Lenik+5.8
2713-14SIENASIENA×7AceSienaaced Brenda Reynaga+5.5
2814-14SIENACANISIAttack errMary Claire Deacy+4.6
2914-15CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+4.4
3015-15SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+4.8
3115-16CANISISIENA×3Serve errEmma Isroff+4.7
3215-17SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+5.5
3315-18SIENASIENA×3Attack errHannah Kos+4.5
3416-18SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+3.1
3517-18CANISICANISIKillHayden Siebenalerset Anna Rich+5.6
3617-19CANISISIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+4.7
3717-20SIENASIENA×3BlockedHannah Kosblk Gabrielle Wire, Alison Goldberg+5.0
3817-21SIENASIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Brianna Miller+3.5
3918-21SIENACANISI×4KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.9
4019-21CANISICANISI×4Attack errDoga Diraz+4.1
4120-21CANISICANISI×4Attack errGabrielle Wire+6.5
4221-21CANISICANISI×4KillAzoria Davisset Julia Lenik+9.7
4321-22CANISISIENAAttack errMcKenna Corcoran+8.2
4422-22SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+8.7
4522-23CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+9.8
4623-23SIENACANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+10.1
4723-24CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+12.6
4824-24SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+12.6
4924-25CANISISIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+12.6
5024-26SIENASIENABlockedHayden Siebenalerblk Doga Diraz+14.4
Set 5
10-1CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+5.1
21-1SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.7
31-2CANISISIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+5.4
42-2SIENACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.9
52-3CANISISIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+5.6
63-3SIENACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+6.2
73-4CANISISIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+5.9
84-4SIENACANISIKillHannah Kosset Brenda Reynaga+6.5
94-5CANISISIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+6.3
104-6SIENASIENA×3Attack errHannah Kos+7.4
114-7SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Azoria Davis+6.1
125-7SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+4.4
135-8CANISISIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+4.9
145-9SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Azoria Davis+4.8
155-10SIENASIENA×4BlockedAzoria Davisblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+3.2
165-11SIENASIENA×4Attack errAzoria Davis+1.8
176-11SIENACANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+0.8
187-11CANISICANISI×3Attack errBrianna Miller+1.9
198-11CANISICANISI×3AceHannah Kosaced Autumn Willmott+3.4
208-12CANISISIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.7
219-12SIENACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.4
229-13CANISISIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.6
239-14SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+2.0
249-15SIENASIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).