FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

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Siena def. Le Moyne 3–0

(25-9, 25-14, 25-19)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
LEMOYN	9	14	19	0
SIENA	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SIENA above 50 · LEMOYN below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Le Moyne — set 1, LEMOYN 6-8 SIENA. Kill by Branwyn Lupton (set by Katie Barbour). SIENA win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LEMOYN 1.1%98.9% SIENA

Le Moyne wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.7%

Siena wins

3-0

73.3%

3-1

21.6%

3-2

4.0%

LEMOYN break %: 35.4% vs this opp
SIENA break %: 53.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Branwyn LuptonKill+0.1%
Kill by Branwyn Lupton (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 6-8 SIENA · LEMOYN 1% → 1%
02
Alise EvansAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Alise Evans
Set 1 · LEMOYN 0-2 SIENA · SIENA 99% → 99%
03
Maggie SeymourAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Maggie Seymour
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-9 SIENA · LEMOYN 1% → 1%
04
Mary Claire DeacyKill+0.1%
Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 0-1 SIENA · SIENA 99% → 99%
05
Jazmin RodriguezKill+0.1%
Kill by Jazmin Rodriguez (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 2-4 SIENA · LEMOYN 1% → 1%
06
Mary Claire DeacyKill+0.1%
Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-11 SIENA · SIENA 99% → 99%
07
Piper HooeyAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Piper Hooey
Set 1 · LEMOYN 7-10 SIENA · SIENA 99% → 99%
08
Maggie SeymourKill+0.1%
Kill by Maggie Seymour (set by Brooke Malek)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 6-9 SIENA · SIENA 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Le Moyneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Piper HooeyOH	3	2	1	5	.200	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	0	3
22Alise EvansMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
4Katie Barbour	3	1	0	3	.333	10	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Jazmin RodriguezOH	2	6	2	13	.308	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
11Eiley SchneiderMB	2	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Branwyn LuptonOH	1	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
18Gabriella Schemidt	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
8Nina SalasOH	3	2	1	9	.111	1	1	0	4	2	0	0	0	3
19Payton HoranOH	3	2	1	15	.067	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
17Grace Turrell	3	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Skylar JehlenS	3	1	0	2	.500	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
10Haley BuescherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
13Cami ZajacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
16Sadie Lupton	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Avery Stromberg	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		20	16	88	.045	17	3	5	34	10	1	4	3	42

Sienahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mary Claire DeacyOH	3	15	2	31	.419	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
11Brianna MillerOH	3	6	3	21	.143	1	3	3	7	0	0	0	0	9
12Maggie SeymourMB	3	6	2	11	.364	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
22Alison GoldbergMB	3	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
6Natalia CliffordOH	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	2
8Abby EdwardsS	3	0	0	0	–	22	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
18Doga DirazOH	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
1Gabrielle WireOH	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
21Brooke MalekL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	4	1	18	1	0	0	0	4
2Oliwia MajtykaS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Autumn WillmottL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	93	.333	39	10	7	45	3	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LEMOYN · SIENA 13

Set 1*

9-25

Longest run 2 LEMOYNSIENA 13

Set 2*

14-25

Longest run 2 LEMOYNSIENA 4

Set 3*

19-25

Longest run 4 LEMOYNSIENA 8

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Le Moyne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Le Moyne

No clean sets to split.

Siena

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	LEMOYN-SIENA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LEMOYN	SIENA×4	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.1
2	0-2	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.1
3	0-3	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Maggie Seymour		+0.1
4	0-4	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.1
5	1-4	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
6	2-4	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
7	2-5	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+0.1
8	2-6	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Alison Goldberg	set Abby Edwards	+0.1
9	3-6	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
10	3-7	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Alison Goldberg	set Haley Buescher	+0.1
11	4-7	SIENA	LEMOYN	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.1
12	4-8	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.1
13	5-8	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
14	6-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
15	6-9	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Brooke Malek	+0.1
16	7-9	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Maggie Seymour		+0.1
17	7-10	LEMOYN	SIENA×13	Attack err	Piper Hooey		+0.1
18	7-11	SIENA	SIENA×13	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.1
19	7-12	SIENA	SIENA×13	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
20	7-13	SIENA	SIENA×13	Ace	SIENA server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.1
21	7-14	SIENA	SIENA×13	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
22	7-15	SIENA	SIENA×13	Ace	SIENA server	aced Team	+0.0
23	7-16	SIENA	SIENA×13	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.0
24	7-17	SIENA	SIENA×13	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
25	7-18	SIENA	SIENA×13	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
26	7-19	SIENA	SIENA×13	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.0
27	7-20	SIENA	SIENA×13	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
28	7-21	SIENA	SIENA×13	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
29	7-22	SIENA	SIENA×13	Kill	Maggie Seymour		+0.0
30	8-22	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
31	8-23	LEMOYN	SIENA	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.0
32	8-24	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.0
33	9-24	SIENA	LEMOYN	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.0
34	9-25	LEMOYN	SIENA	Bad set	Katie Barbour		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.1
2	1-1	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.1
3	1-2	LEMOYN	SIENA	Attack err	Grace Turrell		+0.1
4	2-2	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Grace Turrell		+0.1
5	2-3	LEMOYN	SIENA×4	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.1
6	2-4	SIENA	SIENA×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
7	2-5	SIENA	SIENA×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
8	2-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.0
9	3-6	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Skylar Jehlen		+0.0
10	3-7	LEMOYN	SIENA	Attack err	Grace Turrell		+0.0
11	3-8	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.0
12	4-8	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.0
13	4-9	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.0
14	4-10	SIENA	SIENA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
15	5-10	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
16	6-10	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
17	6-11	LEMOYN	SIENA	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.0
18	6-12	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.0
19	7-12	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Piper Hooey		+0.0
20	8-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Natalia Clifford	blk Alise Evans	+0.0
21	8-13	LEMOYN	SIENA	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.0
22	9-13	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Piper Hooey	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
23	9-14	LEMOYN	SIENA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
24	9-15	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brooke Malek	+0.0
25	9-16	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.0
26	10-16	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+0.0
27	10-17	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Brooke Malek	+0.0
28	10-18	SIENA	SIENA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
29	11-18	SIENA	LEMOYN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
30	11-19	LEMOYN	SIENA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
31	12-19	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Haley Buescher	+0.0
32	12-20	LEMOYN	SIENA	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
33	12-21	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
34	13-21	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Maggie Seymour		+0.0
35	13-22	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.0
36	14-22	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Nina Salas	+0.0
37	14-23	LEMOYN	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
38	14-24	SIENA	SIENA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
39	14-25	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brooke Malek	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LEMOYN	SIENA×3	Kill	Natalia Clifford	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
2	0-2	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
3	0-3	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Brooke Malek	+0.0
4	1-3	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy	blk Grace Turrell, Payton Horan	+0.0
5	2-3	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Team	+0.0
6	2-4	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller		+0.0
7	2-5	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	SIENA server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.0
8	3-5	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
9	3-6	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
10	4-6	SIENA	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.0
11	5-6	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Doga Diraz	blk Katie Barbour, Alise Evans	+0.0
12	6-6	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.1
13	6-7	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Natalia Clifford	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.0
14	7-7	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
15	8-7	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Brooke Malek	+0.1
16	8-8	LEMOYN	SIENA×8	Kill	Doga Diraz		+0.1
17	8-9	SIENA	SIENA×8	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.1
18	8-10	SIENA	SIENA×8	Ace	SIENA server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
19	8-11	SIENA	SIENA×8	Ace	SIENA server	aced Team	+0.0
20	8-12	SIENA	SIENA×8	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.0
21	8-13	SIENA	SIENA×8	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
22	8-14	SIENA	SIENA×8	Ace	SIENA server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
23	8-15	SIENA	SIENA×8	Bad set	Payton Horan		+0.0
24	9-15	SIENA	LEMOYN	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.0
25	9-16	LEMOYN	SIENA×3	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
26	9-17	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Brianna Miller	+0.0
27	9-18	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Grace Turrell		+0.0
28	10-18	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Grace Turrell	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
29	10-19	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.0
30	11-19	SIENA	LEMOYN	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+0.0
31	12-19	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+0.0
32	12-20	LEMOYN	SIENA×3	Kill	Brianna Miller		+0.0
33	12-21	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.0
34	12-22	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Eiley Schneider	blk Alison Goldberg	+0.0
35	13-22	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
36	14-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Natalia Clifford	+0.0
37	14-23	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller		+0.0
38	15-23	SIENA	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
39	16-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+0.0
40	17-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
41	18-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
42	18-24	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.0
43	19-24	SIENA	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
44	19-25	LEMOYN	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Alison Goldberg	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Le Moyne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.