FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

Siena def. Bucknell 3–0

Siena beat visiting Bucknell 3-0 (25-18, 25-18, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Siena's Mary Claire Deacy and Gabrielle Wire led with 10 kills each, and Brooke Malek added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
BUCKNL1818150
SIENA2525253

Win probability

Siena above 50 · Bucknell below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.8% SIENArally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Siena — set 1, BUCKNL 18-20 SIENA. Siena ace on Cameron Lloyd. SIENA win probability 56% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUCKNL 48.7%51.3% SIENA

Bucknell wins

3-0
12.0%
3-1
18.2%
3-2
18.5%

Siena wins

3-0
13.0%
3-1
19.3%
3-2
19.0%
BUCKNL break %
42.7% vs this opp
SIENA break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    SienaAce+4.8%

    Siena ace on Cameron Lloyd

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 18-20 SIENA · SIENA 56% → 60%

  2. 02
    Emerson BoydKill+4.4%

    Kill by Emerson Boyd (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 18-18 SIENA · BUCKNL 43% → 48%

  3. 03
    SienaAce+4.1%

    Siena ace on Emily Kearney

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 18-21 SIENA · SIENA 60% → 65%

  4. 04
    BucknellAce+3.8%

    Bucknell ace on Brianna Miller

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 17-18 SIENA · BUCKNL 40% → 43%

  5. 05
    Kaitlyn TaylorAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Kaitlyn Taylor

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 18-19 SIENA · SIENA 52% → 56%

  6. 06
    Sidney ShafferAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Sidney Shaffer

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 15-18 SIENA · SIENA 59% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sidney Shaffer (set by Emerson Boyd)

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 15-16 SIENA · BUCKNL 41% → 44%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gabrielle Wire (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 1 · BUCKNL 18-22 SIENA · SIENA 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39531.12911110313.513.5
36723-.0430111000007
36321.143200102010.56.5
36221.190000000006
3118.0002000200001
2208.250000200002
3113.0002011910001
3000–100620000
2102.500400100001
2000–010000001
1123-.333000000001
1112.000000000001
1002.000000000000
Team totals3422124.097303351532451
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310324.29200030031.511.5
310021.47600020010.510.5
37430.10002193010.59.5
3315.400010100637
3319.22200010031.54.5
3203.6672001700002
38118.3890001004210
3104.2501610500002
3001.0003112000001
3002.0000001200000
Team totals4410117.2913953613018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BUCKNL · SIENA 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 BUCKNLSIENA 7

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 BUCKNLSIENA 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 BUCKNLSIENA 6

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Bucknell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
33%2/6
2
50%6/12
33%3/9
3
43%6/14
54%7/13
4
35%6/17
33%3/9
5
27%4/15
45%5/11
6
38%3/8
0%0/4
All
42%31/74
38%20/52

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
44%4/9
2
46%6/13
54%7/13
3
50%6/12
33%3/9
4
55%6/11
73%16/22
5
100%4/4
64%7/11
6
80%4/5
60%6/10
All
62%32/52
58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#BUCKNL-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.5
21-1SIENABUCKNLServe errSiena+1.8
31-2BUCKNLSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
42-2SIENABUCKNLAttack errBrianna Miller+1.9
52-3BUCKNLSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.9
62-4SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Katie O'Sullivan+2.6
73-4SIENABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
83-5BUCKNLSIENA×3BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+2.0
93-6SIENASIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.5
103-7SIENASIENA×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.3
114-7SIENABUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.6
125-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+2.4
136-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errDoga Diraz+2.6
146-8BUCKNLSIENAServe errBucknell+2.1
157-8SIENABUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+2.0
167-9BUCKNLSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.2
177-10SIENASIENA×3Attack errMarion Haskell+2.8
187-11SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Cameron Lloyd+2.5
198-11SIENABUCKNLServe errSiena+1.6
209-11BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+2.6
219-12BUCKNLSIENAServe errBucknell+2.2
2210-12SIENABUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.0
2310-13BUCKNLSIENA×3Serve errBucknell+2.2
2410-14SIENASIENA×3BlockedCameron Lloydblk Mary Claire Deacy, Maggie Seymour+2.7
2510-15SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.2
2611-15SIENABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Emerson Boyd+1.3
2712-15BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Emily Kearney+2.3
2812-16BUCKNLSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.1
2913-16SIENABUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Emerson Boyd+1.7
3014-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Emerson Boyd+2.9
3115-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Emerson Boyd+3.5
3215-17BUCKNLSIENAKillAbby Edwards+2.9
3315-18SIENASIENAAttack errSidney Shaffer+3.6
3416-18SIENABUCKNL×3BlockedAlison Goldbergblk Sidney Shaffer+2.2
3517-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Brianna Miller+3.8
3618-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillEmerson Boydset Oliwia Majtyka+4.4
3718-19BUCKNLSIENA×7Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+3.6
3818-20SIENASIENA×7AceSienaaced Cameron Lloyd+4.8
3918-21SIENASIENA×7AceSienaaced Emily Kearney+4.1
4018-22SIENASIENA×7KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+3.0
4118-23SIENASIENA×7KillGabrielle Wireset Brooke Malek+1.7
4218-24SIENASIENA×7KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.7
4318-25SIENASIENA×7Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.1
Set 2
10-1BUCKNLSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.8
20-2SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.4
31-2SIENABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
41-3BUCKNLSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.9
52-3SIENABUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.8
63-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedBrianna Millerblk Sidney Shaffer+2.5
74-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.6
85-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Cameron Lloyd, Sidney Shaffer+2.6
95-4BUCKNLSIENA×6KillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.9
105-5SIENASIENA×6KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.7
115-6SIENASIENA×6Attack errSidney Shaffer+2.7
125-7SIENASIENA×6KillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+2.7
135-8SIENASIENA×6Bad setPeyton McGee+2.6
145-9SIENASIENA×6KillAlison Goldberg+2.4
156-9SIENABUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer+1.6
166-10BUCKNLSIENABlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Alison Goldberg, Doga Diraz+1.8
177-10SIENABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.6
187-11BUCKNLSIENAAttack errPeyton McGee+1.9
197-12SIENASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.1
208-12SIENABUCKNLKillLily Lufkinset Peyton McGee+1.3
218-13BUCKNLSIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.6
228-14SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.7
238-15SIENASIENA×3KillMaggie Seymour+1.3
249-15SIENABUCKNLBad setBrooke Malek+0.7
2510-15BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Brianna Miller+1.3
2610-16BUCKNLSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.3
2711-16SIENABUCKNL×4KillKatie O'Sullivanset Abby Edwards+0.9
2812-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedMaggie Seymourblk Sidney Shaffer+1.7
2913-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errBrianna Miller+2.2
3014-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.8
3114-17BUCKNLSIENAKillAbby Edwards+2.5
3215-17SIENABUCKNLAttack errMary Claire Deacy+2.2
3315-18BUCKNLSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.6
3416-18SIENABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Cameron Lloyd+2.2
3516-19BUCKNLSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+2.8
3617-19SIENABUCKNLServe errSiena+2.2
3717-20BUCKNLSIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.9
3817-21SIENASIENA×4BlockedLily Lufkinblk Gabrielle Wire, Maggie Seymour+3.0
3917-22SIENASIENA×4BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Maggie Seymour, Doga Diraz+1.9
4017-23SIENASIENA×4Attack errKatie O'Sullivan+1.0
4118-23SIENABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.2
4218-24BUCKNLSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.5
4318-25SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.1
Set 3
11-0SIENABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.2
21-1BUCKNLSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.2
31-2SIENASIENA×3Attack errCameron Lloyd+1.6
41-3SIENASIENA×3BlockedMarion Haskellblk Maggie Seymour, Brianna Miller+1.6
52-3SIENABUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.2
63-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.6
74-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.7
85-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errMary Claire Deacy+1.7
95-4BUCKNLSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.2
106-4SIENABUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Maggie Seymour+1.3
116-5BUCKNLSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.2
126-6SIENASIENA×4KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.8
136-7SIENASIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.8
146-8SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Emily Kearney+1.8
157-8SIENABUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.3
168-8BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Brianna Miller+1.9
178-9BUCKNLSIENAKillOliwia Majtyka+1.4
189-9SIENABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.4
199-10BUCKNLSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
2010-10SIENABUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.5
2110-11BUCKNLSIENABlockedCameron Lloydblk Doga Diraz, Maggie Seymour+1.5
2211-11SIENABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.5
2311-12BUCKNLSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.6
2411-13SIENASIENA×3BlockedSidney Shafferblk Mary Claire Deacy, Maggie Seymour+2.1
2511-14SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.0
2612-14SIENABUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.3
2712-15BUCKNLSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
2812-16SIENASIENA×3Attack errSidney Shaffer+1.8
2912-17SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.4
3013-17SIENABUCKNLAttack errBrianna Miller+0.8
3114-17BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Cameron Lloyd+1.4
3214-18BUCKNLSIENA×6Attack errSidney Shaffer+1.4
3314-19SIENASIENA×6KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.4
3414-20SIENASIENA×6BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Doga Diraz, Alison Goldberg+0.9
3514-21SIENASIENA×6Attack errSarah Hilliard+0.5
3614-22SIENASIENA×6Attack errSarah Hilliard+0.3
3714-23SIENASIENA×6KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.1
3815-23SIENABUCKNLKillSarah Hilliardset Sidney Shaffer·
3915-24BUCKNLSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka·
4015-25SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka·

Score shown after each rally, Bucknell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).