Central Ark. vs UT Arlington Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Central Ark. (9-15) at UT Arlington (11-15), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UT Arlington a 61% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Central Ark. won 3-2 on Nov 5.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

C ARK 39.1%60.9% TX ARL

Central Ark. wins

3-0

8.5%

3-1

14.2%

3-2

16.4%

UT Arlington wins

3-0

17.7%

3-1

23.3%

3-2

19.9%

C ARK break %: 40.5% vs this opp
TX ARL break %: 42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.