Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Siena def. Cleveland St. 3–1

Siena beat Cleveland St. 3-1 (25-21, 26-28, 25-17, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Mary Claire Deacy led Siena with 15 kills; Cleveland St.'s Bryn VanVleet had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
CLE ST212817221
SIENA252625253

Win probability

Siena above 50 · Cleveland St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% SIENArally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Siena — set 2, CLE ST 24-25 SIENA. Point Siena (not logged in NCAA feed). SIENA win probability 63% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CLE ST 56.7%43.3% SIENA

Cleveland St. wins

3-0
15.5%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%

Siena wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.4%
CLE ST break %
44.3% vs this opp
SIENA break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+10.7%

    Point Siena (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · CLE ST 24-25 SIENA · SIENA 63% → 74%

  2. 02
    Cleveland St.Ace+10.4%

    Cleveland St. ace

    Set 2 · CLE ST 26-25 SIENA · CLE ST 35% → 45%

  3. 03
    Doga DirazAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Doga Diraz

    Set 2 · CLE ST 28-26 SIENA · CLE ST 45% → 55%

  4. 04
    SienaAce+9.3%

    Siena ace on Bryn VanVleet

    Set 4 · CLE ST 21-23 SIENA · SIENA 81% → 90%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · CLE ST 22-24 SIENA · SIENA 85% → 94%

  6. 06
    Julia JozefovKill+8.3%

    Kill by Julia Jozefov (set by Fiona Cooper)

    Set 2 · CLE ST 25-25 SIENA · CLE ST 26% → 35%

  7. 07
    SienaService error+8.1%

    Siena service error

    Set 2 · CLE ST 24-23 SIENA · CLE ST 37% → 45%

  8. 08

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 2 · CLE ST 24-24 SIENA · SIENA 55% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416942.16710410202117
411631.1610003004213
48729.03402480031.511.5
47430.10010350010.57.5
44415.00010030052.56.5
4103.3331022300003
4237-.1433322500215
4002.0004112210001
4000–0001400000
36315.20000010010.56.5
2002.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5536176.10850716746018988
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415330.40010020111.516.5
4508.625000202238
46321.14301070010.57.5
44425.00012190010.56.5
4103.33300040212.53.5
4016-.1671402600000
48420.20010010111.59.5
4106.16710101000002
4002.0003102020001
2000–011000001
2036-.50000010010.50.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals4018128.17230646276810101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CLE ST · SIENA 9

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 CLE STSIENA 4

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 CLE STSIENA 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 CLE STSIENA 9

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 CLE STSIENA 4

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Cleveland St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cleveland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
33%3/9
2
64%7/11
0%0/8
3
67%6/9
46%6/13
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
32%6/19
40%4/10
6
56%5/9
45%5/11
All
51%38/74
36%22/61

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
36%4/11
2
64%7/11
46%6/13
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
50%6/12
57%8/14
5
50%6/12
63%10/16
6
83%5/6
50%5/10
All
64%39/61
49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#CLE ST-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIENASIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Mary Claire Deacy+2.4
21-1SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.9
31-2CLE STSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
41-3SIENASIENA×3BlockedJulia Jozefovblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+2.5
51-4SIENASIENA×3Attack errJazen Debina+2.5
62-4SIENACLE ST×3KillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.8
73-4CLE STCLE ST×3AceCleveland St.+2.5
84-4CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+2.6
94-5CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.1
105-5SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.0
115-6CLE STSIENA×4Serve errCleveland St.+2.1
125-7SIENASIENA×4Attack errBryn VanVleet+2.8
135-8SIENASIENA×4KillAlison Goldbergset Julia Jozefov+2.7
145-9SIENASIENA×4KillAlison Goldbergset Brianna Miller+2.5
156-9SIENACLE STBad setBrianna Miller+1.7
166-10CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.0
177-10SIENACLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Allison Salazar+1.7
187-11CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.0
197-12SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.3
208-12SIENACLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Vayda Delventhal+1.5
219-12CLE STCLE STBlockedGabrielle Wireblk JeriLynn Koehler+2.3
229-13CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.1
2310-13SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+1.8
2410-14CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.2
2510-15SIENASIENAAttack errJulia Jozefov+2.4
2611-15SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.4
2711-16CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+1.9
2812-16SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.4
2912-17CLE STSIENA×4Attack errBryn VanVleet+1.9
3012-18SIENASIENA×4KillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+1.8
3112-19SIENASIENA×4BlockedAddison Koppelmanblk Doga Diraz+1.3
3212-20SIENASIENA×4Attack errJulia Jozefov+0.8
3313-20SIENACLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Bryn VanVleet+0.3
3414-20CLE STCLE ST×3KillAddison Koppelman+0.6
3515-20CLE STCLE ST×3AceCleveland St.aced Brooke Malek+1.0
3615-21CLE STSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka+1.2
3716-21SIENACLE ST×4KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+0.6
3817-21CLE STCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Allison Salazar+1.3
3918-21CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Jazen Debina, JeriLynn Koehler+2.1
4019-21CLE STCLE ST×4KillJazen Debinaset Vayda Delventhal+3.1
4119-22CLE STSIENABlockedJazen Debinablk Gabrielle Wire, Maggie Seymour+3.5
4220-22SIENACLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+2.3
4320-23CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.7
4420-24SIENASIENAAttack errJazen Debina+2.8
4521-24SIENACLE STAttack errMary Claire Deacy+0.7
4621-25CLE STSIENABad setAllison Salazar+1.6
Set 2
11-0CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+2.6
21-1CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.0
32-1SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+2.0
42-2CLE STSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.0
53-2SIENACLE STAttack errBrianna Miller+2.1
63-3CLE STSIENA×3Serve errCleveland St.+2.1
73-4SIENASIENA×3Attack errFiona Cooper+2.8
83-5SIENASIENA×3Attack errAddison Koppelman+2.8
94-5SIENACLE STBlockedDoga Dirazblk Addison Koppelman+2.1
104-6CLE STSIENA×3KillOliwia Majtyka+2.2
114-7SIENASIENA×3AceSiena+2.8
124-8SIENASIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.7
135-8SIENACLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Fiona Cooper+1.8
146-8CLE STCLE STAceCleveland St.+2.7
156-9CLE STSIENABlockedJeriLynn Koehlerblk Alison Goldberg+2.3
167-9SIENACLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Fiona Cooper+2.1
178-9CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset JeriLynn Koehler+3.0
188-10CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.5
198-11SIENASIENABad setFiona Cooper+3.1
209-11SIENACLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+2.2
2110-11CLE STCLE ST×4Bad setMaggie Seymour+3.1
2211-11CLE STCLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+3.4
2312-11CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Julia Jozefov, Jazen Debina+3.5
2412-12CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.7
2513-12SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+2.8
2613-13CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.8
2713-14SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Fiona Cooper+3.8
2814-14SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+2.9
2914-15CLE STSIENAAttack errAddison Koppelman+3.1
3015-15SIENACLE ST×3KillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.1
3116-15CLE STCLE ST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+4.1
3217-15CLE ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.0
3317-16CLE STSIENAKillDoga Diraz+2.9
3417-17SIENASIENAAttack errAddison Koppelman+4.4
3518-17SIENACLE STKillFiona Cooperset Fiona Cooper+3.6
3619-17CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+4.5
3719-18CLE STSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Oliwia Majtyka+3.2
3820-18SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+3.8
3921-18CLE STCLE STAttack errDoga Diraz+4.2
4021-19CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.4
4122-19SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+3.4
4222-20CLE STSIENA×3Attack errBryn VanVleet+2.3
4322-21SIENASIENA×3BlockedJazen Debinablk Brianna Miller, Doga Diraz+4.7
4422-22SIENASIENA×3Attack errBryn VanVleet+6.7
4523-22SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+6.3
4623-23CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+6.1
4724-23SIENACLE STServe errSiena+8.1
4824-24CLE STSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+8.1
4924-25SIENA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+10.7
5025-25SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+8.3
5126-25CLE STCLE STAceCleveland St.+10.4
5226-26CLE STSIENAAttack errNatalia Clifford+8.1
5327-26SIENACLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Fiona Cooper+8.1
5428-26CLE STCLE STAttack errDoga Diraz+10.1
Set 3
11-0SIENACLE STAttack errBryn VanVleet+2.5
21-1CLE STSIENAAttack errJeriLynn Koehler+2.5
32-1SIENACLE STBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk JeriLynn Koehler+2.5
43-1CLE STCLE STAceCleveland St.+3.2
53-2CLE STSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.4
64-2SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+2.5
75-2CLE STCLE STAttack errBrianna Miller+3.1
85-3CLE STSIENAAttack errJulia Jozefov+2.3
96-3SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+2.5
106-4CLE STSIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.3
116-5SIENASIENA×3AceSiena+3.3
126-6SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+3.6
137-6SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+2.8
147-7CLE STSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+2.9
158-7SIENACLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Fiona Cooper+2.9
168-8CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.9
179-8SIENACLE STServe errSiena+3.0
189-9CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.0
1910-9SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+3.1
2011-9CLE STCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Addison Koppelman+3.9
2111-10CLE STSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.9
2211-11SIENASIENA×3Attack errJazen Debina+4.2
2311-12SIENASIENA×3BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Alison Goldberg, Natalia Clifford+4.4
2412-12SIENACLE STAttack errNatalia Clifford+3.4
2512-13CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.6
2612-14SIENASIENAAttack errBryn VanVleet+4.6
2713-14SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.3
2814-14CLE STCLE STKillAddison Koppelmanset Fiona Cooper+4.7
2914-15CLE STSIENA×9Serve errCleveland St.+3.9
3014-16SIENASIENA×9KillDoga Dirazset Fiona Cooper+5.1
3114-17SIENASIENA×9KillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka+4.8
3214-18SIENASIENA×9KillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+4.1
3314-19SIENASIENA×9Attack errJulia Jozefov+3.2
3414-20SIENASIENA×9Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+2.2
3514-21SIENASIENA×9Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+1.3
3614-22SIENASIENA×9Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+0.7
3714-23SIENASIENA×9Bad setLaila Mossey+0.3
3815-23SIENACLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+0.1
3916-23CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+0.1
4017-23CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedDoga Dirazblk Alyssa Cerovac, JeriLynn Koehler+0.3
4117-24CLE STSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Oliwia Majtyka+0.4
4217-25SIENASIENABlockedJeriLynn Koehlerblk Maggie Seymour+0.1
Set 4
10-1CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+2.7
21-1SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+2.6
31-2CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+2.8
42-2SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+2.7
53-2CLE STCLE STAceCleveland St.aced Brooke Malek+3.5
63-3CLE STSIENABlockedBryn VanVleetblk Mary Claire Deacy+2.8
74-3SIENACLE ST×4KillBryn VanVleetset Addison Koppelman+2.8
85-3CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedBrianna Millerblk Fiona Cooper, Julia Jozefov+3.6
96-3CLE STCLE ST×4KillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.4
107-3CLE STCLE ST×4KillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.1
117-4CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+2.2
128-4SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+2.4
138-5CLE STSIENA×4Serve errCleveland St.+2.2
148-6SIENASIENA×4KillNatalia Cliffordset Brooke Malek+3.3
158-7SIENASIENA×4Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+3.7
168-8SIENASIENA×4KillFiona Cooperset Oliwia Majtyka+4.0
179-8SIENACLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Fiona Cooper+3.2
189-9CLE STSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Doga Diraz+3.2
1910-9SIENACLE STServe errSiena+3.3
2011-9CLE STCLE STAttack errBrianna Miller+4.2
2111-10CLE STSIENA×4Attack errJazen Debina+3.1
2211-11SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Fiona Cooper+4.4
2311-12SIENASIENA×4Attack errBryn VanVleet+4.7
2411-13SIENASIENA×4BlockedJazen Debinablk Maggie Seymour+4.7
2512-13SIENACLE STServe errSiena+3.4
2612-14CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacy+3.8
2713-14SIENACLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Fiona Cooper+3.5
2814-14CLE STCLE STBlockedAbby Edwardsblk Julia Jozefov+5.0
2914-15CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+4.1
3015-15SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+4.1
3115-16CLE STSIENAAttack errJulia Jozefov+4.4
3216-16SIENACLE STKillFiona Cooper+4.3
3317-16CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+5.8
3417-17CLE STSIENAServe errCleveland St.+4.5
3518-17SIENACLE STServe errSiena+4.8
3618-18CLE STSIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+4.8
3718-19SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Bryn VanVleet+6.8
3818-20SIENASIENA×3Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+6.8
3919-20SIENACLE STKillJazen Debinaset Fiona Cooper+4.6
4020-20CLE STCLE STAttack errNatalia Clifford+7.3
4120-21CLE STSIENAKillNatalia Cliffordset Oliwia Majtyka+6.4
4221-21SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+6.2
4321-22CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+7.3
4421-23SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Bryn VanVleet+9.3
4522-23SIENACLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Fiona Cooper+5.2
4622-24CLE STSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+8.5
4722-25SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Vayda Delventhal+6.5

Score shown after each rally, Cleveland St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).