Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Siena def. Quinnipiac 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 56.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena won at Quinnipiac 3-1 (25-23, 14-25, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Siena's Mary Claire Deacy led with 19 kills, and Brooke Malek added 33 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
SIENA251425253
QUINN232519231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Brooke Malek dug 33 balls to keep Siena alive against Quinnipiac.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Siena's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Quinnipiac went in at 56% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Siena 22–22 Quinnipiac

    Siena won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Siena.

    Siena 45% → 63%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Siena 6–8 Quinnipiac

    Siena scored 9 straight to turn a 6–8 deficit into a 15–8 lead. The match swung to Siena.

    Siena 38% → 68%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Siena 22–22 Quinnipiac

    Siena won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    Siena 72% → >99%

Quinnipiac above 50Siena belowMax swing 11.2%

SienaQuinnipiac

Sideout %
Siena 57.1·Quinnipiac 58.0
Break %
Siena 42.0·Quinnipiac 42.9
Hitting
Siena .221·Quinnipiac .182
Longest run
Siena 9·Quinnipiac 5

Gabrielle Wire
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 13 K, .222, 13 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Quinnipiac above 50 · Siena below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.2% SIENArally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.2% to Siena — set 4, SIENA 25-23 QUINN. Bad set by Klara Olszewska. QUINN win probability 11% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIENA 42.0%58.0% QUINN

Siena wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
17.2%

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
16.2%
3-1
22.1%
3-2
19.7%
SIENA break %
42.2% vs this opp
QUINN break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Klara OlszewskaBad set+11.2%

    Bad set by Klara Olszewska

    Set 4 · SIENA 25-23 QUINN · SIENA 89% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · SIENA 23-22 QUINN · SIENA 72% → 83%

  3. 03

    Sahra Ozbiltekin stuffed by Alison Goldberg & Mary Claire Deacy

    Set 4 · SIENA 24-22 QUINN · SIENA 83% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gabrielle Wire (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 1 · SIENA 25-23 QUINN · SIENA 55% → 63%

  5. 05
    Giulia RagusaAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Giulia Ragusa

    Set 1 · SIENA 24-22 QUINN · SIENA 51% → 59%

  6. 06

    Kill by Sahra Ozbiltekin (set by Didar Bulbul)

    Set 4 · SIENA 21-22 QUINN · QUINN 28% → 35%

  7. 07

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · SIENA 22-22 QUINN · SIENA 65% → 72%

  8. 08
    Farah SherifKill+6.7%

    Kill by Farah Sherif (set by Klara Olszewska)

    Set 4 · SIENA 18-19 QUINN · QUINN 27% → 33%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sienaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419245.37820060052.521.5
413536.2220003100013
44110.300000103459
45117.23500000132.57.5
46527.037101810006
4228.0004012900214
4000–023000002
4012-.500102800000
4000–1033300000
Team totals4917145.221453116824141189
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49117.47110030313.512.5
411543.1400107200012
47322.182002902029
46314.21401050111.58.5
4314.5004203800214
3329.111000400003
4001.0004001700000
310635.11400110100010
31011.000000400001
14210.200000100004
1023-.667000000000
Team totals5425159.182472668364890

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Siena vs Quinnipiac

Season series · Siena leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 SIENA · QUINN 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 SIENAQUINN 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 SIENAQUINN 5

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 9 SIENAQUINN 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 SIENAQUINN 4

Bars above the line = Quinnipiac leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
58%11/19
2
56%10/18
38%6/16
3
50%9/18
44%7/16
4
53%8/15
40%6/15
5
53%8/15
20%2/10
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
57%52/91
42%37/88

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
33%4/12
2
56%10/18
44%8/18
3
69%9/13
44%8/18
4
56%9/16
44%7/16
5
70%7/10
53%9/17
6
35%6/17
30%3/10
All
58%51/88
43%39/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#SIENA-QUINNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0QUINNSIENABlockedSila Yildizblk Alison Goldberg+1.9
22-0SIENASIENABad setDidar Bulbul+2.5
32-1SIENAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.8
43-1QUINNSIENAServe errQuinnipiac+1.9
54-1SIENASIENABad setKlara Olszewska+2.5
64-2SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+1.8
74-3QUINNQUINNBlockedMaggie Seymourblk Sila Yildiz+2.5
85-3QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.0
95-4SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+1.9
106-4QUINNSIENAAttack errSophia Minlend+2.1
116-5SIENAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.0
127-5QUINNSIENAServe errQuinnipiac+2.1
138-5SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Giulia Ragusa+2.7
148-6SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+1.9
159-6QUINNSIENAAttack errSophia Minlend+2.1
169-7SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+1.9
1710-7QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.2
1810-8SIENAQUINNAttack errAbby Edwards+2.0
1911-8QUINNSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.2
2011-9SIENAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+2.0
2112-9QUINNSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+2.3
2212-10SIENAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.1
2312-11QUINNQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+3.0
2413-11QUINNSIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.6
2514-11SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.2
2615-11SIENASIENA×3Attack errSophia Minlend+2.9
2715-12SIENAQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.8
2815-13QUINNQUINN×3KillAsia Belli+2.9
2915-14QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+3.3
3016-14QUINNSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.9
3116-15SIENAQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.7
3217-15QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Mary Claire Deacy+3.1
3318-15SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brianna Miller+3.7
3418-16SIENAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.3
3519-16QUINNSIENAAttack errKlara Olszewska+3.0
3619-17SIENAQUINNKillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+2.4
3719-18QUINNQUINNBad setAbby Edwards+4.0
3820-18QUINNSIENAServe errQuinnipiac+3.7
3920-19SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+3.2
4020-20QUINNQUINNBad setAbby Edwards+5.1
4121-20QUINNSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+4.5
4221-21SIENAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Didar Bulbul+4.3
4322-21QUINNSIENAKillAbby Edwards+5.1
4422-22SIENAQUINNKillCarola Negron Diazset Klara Olszewska+4.9
4523-22QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+6.0
4624-22SIENASIENAAttack errGiulia Ragusa+7.7
4724-23SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+3.4
4825-23QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+7.9
Set 2
10-1SIENAQUINNKillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.0
21-1QUINNSIENABlockedVittoria Tonelliblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+2.0
32-1SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacy+2.7
42-2SIENAQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.0
53-2QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.1
63-3SIENAQUINN×5KillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.1
73-4QUINNQUINN×5KillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.7
83-5QUINNQUINN×5KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+2.7
93-6QUINNQUINN×5Bad setAbby Edwards+2.6
103-7QUINNQUINN×5Attack errMary Claire Deacy+2.3
114-7QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.6
125-7SIENASIENABlockedGiulia Ragusablk Abby Edwards, Maggie Seymour+2.4
135-8SIENAQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.0
145-9QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.4
156-9QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
166-10SIENAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Didar Bulbul+1.9
177-10QUINNSIENA×3Serve errQuinnipiac+1.7
188-10SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Sahra Ozbiltekin+2.6
199-10SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.9
209-11SIENAQUINN×4KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+2.4
219-12QUINNQUINN×4AceQuinnipiacaced Gabrielle Wire+3.0
229-13QUINNQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.6
239-14QUINNQUINN×4Attack errGabrielle Wire+2.2
2410-14QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.4
2510-15SIENAQUINN×5KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.7
2610-16QUINNQUINN×5Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.7
2710-17QUINNQUINN×5AceQuinnipiacaced Brianna Miller+1.2
2810-18QUINNQUINN×5BlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Sila Yildiz+0.8
2910-19QUINNQUINN×5Bad setAbby Edwards+0.5
3011-19QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.2
3111-20SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+0.3
3211-21QUINNQUINNBlockedBrianna Millerblk Sophia Minlend+0.2
3312-21QUINNSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Mary Claire Deacy+0.1
3413-21SIENASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.1
3513-22SIENAQUINNAttack errAutumn Willmott+0.2
3613-23QUINNQUINNAttack errBrianna Miller+0.1
3714-23QUINNSIENAServe errQuinnipiac·
3814-24SIENAQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska·
3914-25QUINNQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska·
Set 3
10-1QUINNQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+3.2
21-1QUINNSIENABlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy+2.5
31-2SIENAQUINNKillKlara Olszewskaset Alison Goldberg+2.5
41-3QUINNQUINNBlockedBrianna Millerblk Sophia Minlend+3.2
52-3QUINNSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.4
63-3SIENASIENAAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+3.4
73-4SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+2.6
84-4QUINNSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.6
94-5SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+2.7
104-6QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+3.4
115-6QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.6
125-7SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+2.7
136-7QUINNSIENAAttack errGiulia Ragusa+2.6
146-8SIENAQUINNKillKlara Olszewskaset Gabrielle Wire+2.8
157-8QUINNSIENA×9Attack errAsia Belli+2.7
168-8SIENASIENA×9KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.8
179-8SIENASIENA×9BlockedAsia Belliblk Alison Goldberg+4.0
1810-8SIENASIENA×9Bad setDidar Bulbul+4.0
1911-8SIENASIENA×9AceSienaaced Giulia Ragusa+3.9
2012-8SIENASIENA×9KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.6
2113-8SIENASIENA×9KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.2
2214-8SIENASIENA×9BlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy+2.6
2315-8SIENASIENA×9KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.0
2415-9SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+1.1
2516-9QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
2617-9SIENASIENAAttack errVittoria Tonelli+1.4
2717-10SIENAQUINN×3KillKlara Olszewska+0.6
2817-11QUINNQUINN×3BlockedAlison Goldbergblk Sila Yildiz+1.2
2917-12QUINNQUINN×3KillVittoria Tonelliset Klara Olszewska+1.7
3018-12QUINNSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
3119-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errAzra Ozbiltekin+1.7
3220-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errAzra Ozbiltekin+1.0
3320-13SIENAQUINN×3KillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+0.4
3420-14QUINNQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+0.8
3520-15QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.3
3621-15QUINNSIENABad setKlara Olszewska+1.6
3722-15SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Autumn Willmott+1.1
3822-16SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+0.3
3923-16QUINNSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.6
4023-17SIENAQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+0.2
4123-18QUINNQUINN×3BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Asia Belli, Klara Olszewska+0.5
4223-19QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.0
4324-19QUINNSIENABlockedAsia Belliblk Maggie Seymour+1.5
4425-19SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.5
Set 4
11-0SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.5
22-0SIENASIENABad setKlara Olszewska+3.5
32-1SIENAQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+2.6
43-1QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Brooke Malek+2.8
53-2SIENAQUINNBlockedBrianna Millerblk Sila Yildiz, Klara Olszewska+2.6
64-2QUINNSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.8
74-3SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+2.7
85-3QUINNSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.9
96-3SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.7
107-3SIENASIENA×4BlockedGiulia Ragusablk Maggie Seymour, Abby Edwards+3.5
118-3SIENASIENA×4KillAbby Edwardsset Klara Olszewska+3.2
128-4SIENAQUINN×3KillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+2.1
138-5QUINNQUINN×3BlockedAbby Edwardsblk Asia Belli+3.1
148-6QUINNQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sila Yildiz+3.5
159-6QUINNSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.0
169-7SIENAQUINN×4KillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+2.7
179-8QUINNQUINN×4Attack errGabrielle Wire+3.9
189-9QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Didar Bulbul+4.2
199-10QUINNQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+4.3
2010-10QUINNSIENAAttack errGiulia Ragusa+3.3
2110-11SIENAQUINNServe errSiena+3.4
2211-11QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.4
2311-12SIENAQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+3.5
2412-12QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.5
2513-12SIENASIENABlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Alison Goldberg+4.9
2613-13SIENAQUINN×4Serve errSiena+3.7
2713-14QUINNQUINN×4Bad setAbby Edwards+5.0
2813-15QUINNQUINN×4Bad setMary Claire Deacy+4.9
2913-16QUINNQUINN×4Attack errBrianna Miller+4.5
3014-16QUINNSIENA×3Serve errQuinnipiac+3.0
3115-16SIENASIENA×3BlockedFarah Sherifblk Mary Claire Deacy, Maggie Seymour+4.7
3216-16SIENASIENA×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+5.5
3316-17SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+4.5
3417-17QUINNSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+4.5
3518-17SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+6.3
3618-18SIENAQUINNKillSila Yildizset Klara Olszewska+4.8
3718-19QUINNQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+6.7
3819-19QUINNSIENAAttack errFarah Sherif+5.1
3919-20SIENAQUINNKillFarah Sherifset Klara Olszewska+5.6
4020-20QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+5.5
4120-21SIENAQUINNAttack errGabrielle Wire+6.2
4221-21QUINNSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+6.1
4321-22SIENAQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Didar Bulbul+7.0
4422-22QUINNSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+6.9
4523-22SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+11.1
4624-22SIENASIENA×3BlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy+10.9
4724-23SIENAQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Didar Bulbul+4.8
4825-23QUINNSIENABad setKlara Olszewska+11.2

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).