Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026

Manhattan def. Merrimack 3–1

Manhattan beat visiting Merrimack 3-1 (25-22, 20-25, 25-17, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Manhattan's Hanna Kaczynska led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set1234Sets
MERMCK222517211
MANHAT252025253

Win probability

Manhattan above 50 · Merrimack below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% MANHATrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Manhattan — set 1, MERMCK 21-23 MANHAT. Kill by Emma Francesconi (set by Jocelyn Hammerstrand). MANHAT win probability 66% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 38.9%61.1% MANHAT

Merrimack wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%

Manhattan wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
20.0%
MERMCK break %
42.7% vs this opp
MANHAT break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Emma Francesconi (set by Jocelyn Hammerstrand)

    Set 1 · MERMCK 21-23 MANHAT · MANHAT 66% → 71%

  2. 02

    Katie Powers stuffed by Sophia DeBonis & Kaitlyn Oxceus

    Set 1 · MERMCK 21-21 MANHAT · MERMCK 34% → 39%

  3. 03

    Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Ori Briger)

    Set 1 · MERMCK 21-22 MANHAT · MANHAT 61% → 66%

  4. 04

    Tamilore Afolalu stuffed by Lyla Auth & Emilia Kuzniar

    Set 1 · MERMCK 18-20 MANHAT · MANHAT 64% → 69%

  5. 05
    ManhattanAce+4.1%

    Manhattan ace on Jocelyn Hammerstrand

    Set 1 · MERMCK 21-24 MANHAT · MANHAT 71% → 76%

  6. 06
    MerrimackAce+3.9%

    Merrimack ace on Anna Duncan

    Set 1 · MERMCK 17-17 MANHAT · MERMCK 35% → 39%

  7. 07
    Emilia KuzniarBlock+3.7%

    Natalia Zelubowski stuffed by Emilia Kuzniar

    Set 1 · MERMCK 19-21 MANHAT · MANHAT 66% → 69%

  8. 08
    Katie PowersKill+3.5%

    Kill by Katie Powers (set by Emilia Kuzniar)

    Set 1 · MERMCK 18-19 MANHAT · MANHAT 61% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413441.2200105100014
413541.19500052010.513.5
46014.42931339002110
46211.36400000111.57.5
4105.200044400216
4000–103410000
48728.036200410008
4307.429000000003
4000–0131300001
4000–601200000
4000–5001810000
3000–000100000
1012-.500200300000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5019150.2074791468716485
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47113.46212110031.510.5
46726-.038014810007
4215.200270070132.54.5
4000–1001620000
2227.000000000213
1207.286000000002
413327.3700001102114
48334.147110160010.59.5
4001.0001730900003
4002.000100610000
4000–100340000
28221.28600030010.58.5
26110.500000000217
1001.000000000000
Team totals5420154.2214975709114895

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Merrimack vs Manhattan

Season series · Manhattan leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERMCK · MANHAT 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKMANHAT 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 MERMCKMANHAT 2

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKMANHAT 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKMANHAT 5

Bars above the line = Manhattan leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
18%2/11
2
67%10/15
52%11/21
3
43%10/23
33%5/15
4
56%9/16
31%4/13
5
50%9/18
18%2/11
6
88%7/8
40%6/15
All
59%55/94
35%30/86

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
27%3/11
2
59%10/17
33%5/15
3
63%10/16
50%10/20
4
69%9/13
44%8/18
5
69%9/13
50%9/18
6
67%8/12
33%4/12
All
65%56/86
41%39/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#MERMCK-MANHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
21-1MERMCKMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar+1.8
32-1MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
42-2MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.9
53-2MANHATMERMCKKillAvry Bryantset Devon Lowe+1.9
63-3MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.9
73-4MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Natalia Zelubowski+2.4
84-4MANHATMERMCKKillAvry Bryantset Natalia Zelubowski+1.9
94-5MERMCKMANHAT×3KillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.9
104-6MANHATMANHAT×3Bad setDevon Lowe+2.4
114-7MANHATMANHAT×3KillMikalah Curranset Ori Briger+2.3
125-7MANHATMERMCKKillAvry Bryantset Ella Maldonado+1.7
135-8MERMCKMANHATAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+1.8
146-8MANHATMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.7
156-9MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.9
167-9MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.8
178-9MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Anna Duncan+2.6
188-10MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+2.1
199-10MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.1
209-11MERMCKMANHAT×3KillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
219-12MANHATMANHAT×3KillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+2.6
229-13MANHATMANHAT×3KillLyla Authset Emilia Kuzniar+2.3
2310-13MANHATMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Maddy Fennessy+1.6
2410-14MERMCKMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+1.8
2511-14MANHATMERMCKBad setOri Briger+1.6
2611-15MERMCKMANHATAttack errNatalia Zelubowski+1.9
2712-15MANHATMERMCKServe errManhattan+1.6
2813-15MERMCKMERMCKAttack errHanna Kaczynska+2.5
2913-16MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+2.3
3014-16MANHATMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Natalia Zelubowski+2.0
3114-17MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+2.4
3215-17MANHATMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.1
3316-17MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errKatie Powers+3.3
3417-17MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Anna Duncan+3.9
3517-18MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+3.3
3618-18MANHATMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+3.3
3718-19MERMCKMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+3.5
3818-20MANHATMANHATBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Lyla Auth, Emilia Kuzniar+4.3
3919-20MANHATMERMCKAttack errKatie Powers+3.0
4019-21MERMCKMANHATBlockedNatalia Zelubowskiblk Emilia Kuzniar+3.7
4120-21MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+3.1
4221-21MERMCKMERMCKBlockedKatie Powersblk Sophia DeBonis, Kaitlyn Oxceus+5.4
4321-22MERMCKMANHAT×3KillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+4.8
4421-23MANHATMANHAT×3KillEmma Francesconiset Jocelyn Hammerstrand+5.9
4521-24MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Jocelyn Hammerstrand+4.1
4622-24MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Ella Maldonado+1.3
4722-25MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+3.0
Set 2
10-1MERMCKMANHATBlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Emma Francesconi, Abby Morreale+1.6
20-2MANHATMANHATKillAbby Morreale+2.0
31-2MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
42-2MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Kaitlyn Doyle+2.1
52-3MERMCKMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+1.7
62-4MANHATMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+2.1
73-4MANHATMERMCKAttack errKatie Powers+1.6
83-5MERMCKMANHATKillLyla Authset Emilia Kuzniar+1.7
94-5MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+1.6
104-6MERMCKMANHATBlockedNatalia Zelubowskiblk Hanna Kaczynska, Lyla Auth+1.7
114-7MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+2.1
125-7MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Devon Lowe+1.5
135-8MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.6
146-8MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Devon Lowe+1.5
157-8MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Devon Lowe+2.2
167-9MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.8
177-10MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
188-10MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
198-11MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.8
209-11MANHATMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
2110-11MERMCKMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
2211-11MERMCKMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.7
2311-12MERMCKMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
2412-12MANHATMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.2
2513-12MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errLyla Auth+3.0
2614-12MERMCKMERMCK×4KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+3.1
2715-12MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errLyla Auth+3.0
2815-13MERMCKMANHATAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+2.0
2916-13MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
3017-13MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Anna Duncan+2.7
3117-14MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.7
3218-14MANHATMERMCKBlockedEmma Francesconiblk Mia Izzo, Sophia DeBonis+2.2
3318-15MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.7
3418-16MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+2.7
3519-16MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+2.7
3619-17MERMCKMANHATAttack errNatalia Zelubowski+2.2
3720-17MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Ella Maldonado+2.9
3820-18MERMCKMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
3921-18MANHATMERMCKAttack errKatie Powers+3.0
4022-18MERMCKMERMCKAttack errKatie Powers+2.9
4122-19MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.3
4223-19MANHATMERMCKServe errManhattan+2.2
4324-19MERMCKMERMCKAttack errKatie Powers+1.4
4424-20MERMCKMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
4525-20MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.7
Set 3
10-1MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+3.1
21-1MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.5
32-1MERMCKMERMCKAttack errAbby Morreale+3.3
42-2MERMCKMANHAT×3KillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+2.5
52-3MANHATMANHAT×3KillAbby Morreale+3.2
62-4MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Tamilore Afolalu+3.1
73-4MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
83-5MERMCKMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+2.5
93-6MANHATMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+3.0
104-6MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+2.2
114-7MERMCKMANHAT×3KillEmilia Kuzniarset Anna Duncan+2.4
124-8MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Ella Maldonado+2.8
134-9MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errNatalia Zelubowski+2.4
145-9MANHATMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+1.7
155-10MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+1.9
165-11MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Katie Powers+2.0
176-11MANHATMERMCKServe errManhattan+1.3
186-12MERMCKMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Ori Briger+1.6
197-12MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.3
208-12MERMCKMERMCKBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Tamilore Afolalu, Kaitlyn Oxceus+2.1
218-13MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+2.0
229-13MANHATMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.7
239-14MERMCKMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+2.0
249-15MANHATMANHATAttack errMia Izzo+2.0
2510-15MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.2
2610-16MERMCKMANHAT×5KillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+1.5
2710-17MANHATMANHAT×5BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Emilia Kuzniar, Helenn Montilla+1.4
2810-18MANHATMANHAT×5BlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Abby Morreale, Karsyn Harris+0.9
2910-19MANHATMANHAT×5KillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+0.5
3010-20MANHATMANHAT×5AceManhattanaced Maddy Fennessy+0.3
3111-20MANHATMERMCKAttack errEmilia Kuzniar+0.1
3212-20MERMCKMERMCKAttack errKarsyn Harris+0.2
3312-21MERMCKMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+0.3
3413-21MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
3513-22MERMCKMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Ori Briger+0.2
3614-22MANHATMERMCK×3Serve errManhattan+0.1
3715-22MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errEmma Francesconi+0.2
3816-22MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Hanna Kaczynska+0.3
3916-23MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+0.5
4017-23MANHATMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
4117-24MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.3
4217-25MANHATMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
Set 4
11-0MERMCKMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Emilia Kuzniar+2.9
21-1MERMCKMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+2.2
32-1MANHATMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
43-1MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Anna Duncan+3.1
54-1MERMCKMERMCK×3KillMia Izzo+3.1
64-2MERMCKMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+2.2
75-2MANHATMERMCKServe errManhattan+2.4
85-3MERMCKMANHAT×5KillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+2.2
95-4MANHATMANHAT×5KillEmma Francesconiset Abby Morreale+3.1
105-5MANHATMANHAT×5KillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+3.2
115-6MANHATMANHAT×5Attack errTamilore Afolalu+3.2
125-7MANHATMANHAT×5AceManhattan+3.1
136-7MANHATMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+2.4
146-8MERMCKMANHAT×3KillHelenn Montillaset Emma Francesconi+2.5
156-9MANHATMANHAT×3KillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+3.0
166-10MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errMia Izzo+2.7
177-10MANHATMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Ella Maldonado+1.9
187-11MERMCKMANHAT×3KillEmilia Kuzniarset Kaitlyn Doyle+2.1
197-12MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errNatalia Zelubowski+2.3
207-13MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedNatalia Zelubowskiblk Helenn Montilla, Emilia Kuzniar+1.9
218-13MANHATMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Fabiola Betancourt+1.2
228-14MERMCKMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.4
239-14MANHATMERMCKAttack errEmma Francesconi+1.1
249-15MERMCKMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+1.4
259-16MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Tamilore Afolalu+1.3
2610-16MANHATMERMCKAttack errKarsyn Harris+0.7
2711-16MERMCKMERMCKBlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Mia Izzo+1.3
2811-17MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.4
2911-18MANHATMANHATBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Hanna Kaczynska, Abby Morreale+1.2
3012-18MANHATMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
3113-18MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Katie Powers+1.2
3213-19MERMCKMANHATAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.3
3313-20MANHATMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+1.0
3414-20MANHATMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
3515-20MERMCKMERMCK×3KillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.0
3616-20MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errHelenn Montilla+1.5
3716-21MERMCKMANHATServe errMerrimack+1.7
3816-22MANHATMANHATAttack errFabiola Betancourt+1.3
3917-22MANHATMERMCKKillSophia DeBonisset Ella Maldonado+0.5
4018-22MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.1
4118-23MERMCKMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.4
4218-24MANHATMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar+0.8
4319-24MANHATMERMCK×3KillSophia DeBonisset Fabiola Betancourt+0.1
4420-24MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Julia Pfleger+0.4
4521-24MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Kaitlyn Doyle+0.9
4621-25MERMCKMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Julia Pfleger+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).