UC Irvine vs Cal State Fullerton Prediction

ScheduledFri, Nov 20, 2026ESPN+

–:–

UC Irvine (9-16) at Cal St. Fullerton (7-20), Fri, Nov 20, 2026, 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC Irvine a 79% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UC Irvine won 3-1 on Sep 26.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

UC IRV 79.2%20.8% CSFULL

UC Irvine wins

3-0

30.8%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

18.4%

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

3.4%

3-1

6.9%

3-2

10.4%

UC IRV break %: 46.6% vs this opp
CSFULL break %: 40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.