Central Ark. vs Abilene Christian Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026ESPN+

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Central Ark. (8-14) at Abilene Christian (17-7), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 6:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Abilene Christian a 75% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Abilene Christian won 3-2 on Oct 29.

Data through Nov 4, 3:15 PM CT

Match prediction

C ARK 25.1%74.9% ABILCH

Central Ark. wins

3-0

4.4%

3-1

8.6%

3-2

12.0%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0

27.0%

3-1

28.6%

3-2

19.3%

C ARK break %: 40.3% vs this opp
ABILCH break %: 45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.