North Dakota State vs South Dakota Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026Midco SportsMidco Sports Net

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North Dakota St. (15-7) at South Dakota (18-5), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on Midco Sports and Midco Sports Net. RallyIQ gives South Dakota a 78% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, South Dakota won 3-2 on Oct 17.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

ND ST 22.0%78.0% SO DAK

North Dakota St. wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.4%

3-2

10.9%

South Dakota wins

3-0

29.6%

3-1

29.6%

3-2

18.7%

ND ST break %: 37.9% vs this opp
SO DAK break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.