Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Valparaiso def. Evansville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Valparaiso 91.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Valparaiso beat visiting Evansville 3-1 (25-23, 30-32, 27-25, 25-14) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Valparaiso's Jordyn Gove led with 24 kills, and Keira Lucas added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set1234Sets
EVANS233225141
VALPO253027253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Valparaiso won it on hitting.

The biggest single-rally swing was 6.8 points, and Evansville's high was 22% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Valparaiso 92% before first serve.

EvansvilleValparaiso
  • Hitting+.082
    .136.218

    Kills and errors: 64–26 vs 49–25.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Valparaiso scored 5 straight in the first set to erase a 17–22 deficit and tie it at 22. That set ended 25–23.

Valparaiso above 50Evansville belowMax swing 6.8%

EvansvilleValparaiso

Aces
Evansville 8·Valparaiso 12
Serve err
Evansville 5·Valparaiso 11
Blocks
Evansville 10·Valparaiso 71 BS · 18 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Evansville 73·Valparaiso 86

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Valparaiso above 50 · Evansville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.8% VALPOrally 201 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Valparaiso — set 3, EVANS 25-27 VALPO. Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Mara Thomas). VALPO win probability 87% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 9.6%90.4% VALPO

Evansville wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.5%

Valparaiso wins

3-0
45.0%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.8%
EVANS break %
38.1% vs this opp
VALPO break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jordyn GoveKill+6.8%

    Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Mara Thomas)

    Set 3 · EVANS 25-27 VALPO · VALPO 87% → 94%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jessica Pickett (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 3 · EVANS 23-24 VALPO · VALPO 81% → 87%

  3. 03
    ValparaisoService error+6.6%

    Valparaiso service error

    Set 3 · EVANS 24-24 VALPO · EVANS 13% → 19%

  4. 04
    Jordyn GoveKill+6.6%

    Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 3 · EVANS 24-25 VALPO · VALPO 81% → 87%

  5. 05

    Kill by McKenzie Laubach (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 3 · EVANS 25-25 VALPO · EVANS 13% → 19%

  6. 06
    Jordyn GoveKill+6.6%

    Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 3 · EVANS 25-26 VALPO · VALPO 81% → 87%

  7. 07
    Lyla FisherKill+5.3%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 3 · EVANS 23-23 VALPO · EVANS 14% → 19%

  8. 08

    Lyla Fisher stuffed by Kyla Bellich & Ava Helming

    Set 3 · EVANS 22-23 VALPO · VALPO 81% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412741.12200033010.512.5
49426.19202130031.512.5
48228.2141001016412
411948.04200193010.511.5
42111.09133101700636
35118.222000310005
4000–231840003
4000–221700002
4000–9012200000
2214.25010000010.52.5
Team totals4925176.136488573121181094
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424861.262212110010.525.5
413636.194053122031.519.5
410420.3000003004212
49322.2731000002110
44224.08301260010.55.5
4001.00027041000000
4000–21301800003
4011-1.00010202340002
4000–000000000
2315.40000030010.53.5
2114.000000000212
Team totals6426174.2186112118680147107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Evansville vs Valparaiso

Season series · Valparaiso leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 EVANS · VALPO 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 EVANSVALPO 5

Set 2

32-30

Longest run 5 EVANSVALPO 5

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 EVANSVALPO 5

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 3 EVANSVALPO 5

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
41%7/17
2
50%11/22
45%9/20
3
47%9/19
21%3/14
4
57%8/14
50%9/18
5
57%8/14
20%2/10
6
57%8/14
50%8/16
All
53%56/106
40%38/95

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
33%5/15
2
85%11/13
56%14/25
3
69%11/16
48%10/21
4
53%8/15
56%10/18
5
67%8/12
43%6/14
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
60%57/95
47%50/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#EVANS-VALPOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.6
20-2VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+0.7
31-2VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.6
42-2EVANSEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
52-3EVANSVALPOAttack errWren Jones+0.7
63-3VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
73-4EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.7
83-5VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Kendall Agler+0.8
94-5VALPOEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
104-6EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Keira Lucas+0.6
114-7VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Kendall Agler+0.7
125-7VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.6
135-8EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+0.6
146-8VALPOEVANS×5KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
157-8EVANSEVANS×5BlockedSarah Pippinblk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley+0.9
168-8EVANSEVANS×5Attack errMaddie Steele+1.1
179-8EVANSEVANS×5BlockedAva Helmingblk McKenzie Laubach, Lyla Fisher+1.3
1810-8EVANSEVANS×5Attack errSarah Pippin+1.5
1910-9EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+1.1
2011-9VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
2111-10EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+1.1
2212-10VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
2312-11EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.1
2412-12VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickett+1.5
2513-12VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
2613-13EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.2
2714-13VALPOEVANSBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Savannah Gogel, Wren Jones+1.4
2815-13EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+2.0
2915-14EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+1.3
3016-14VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
3117-14EVANSEVANSBlockedAva Helmingblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+2.2
3217-15EVANSVALPOKillMaddie Steeleset Mara Thomas+1.4
3318-15VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.9
3419-15EVANSEVANSBlockedAva Helmingblk Carsyn Kelley, McKenzie Laubach+2.2
3519-16EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+1.2
3620-16VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
3721-16EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Keira Lucas+1.9
3821-17EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.8
3922-17VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+1.4
4022-18EVANSVALPO×5KillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.7
4122-19VALPOVALPO×5Attack errRyan Scheu+1.3
4222-20VALPOVALPO×5Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+2.0
4322-21VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaiso+2.7
4422-22VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+3.3
4523-22VALPOEVANSAttack errJordyn Gove+3.4
4623-23EVANSVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+3.0
4723-24VALPOVALPO×3Attack errWren Jones+4.4
4823-25VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaisoaced Wren Jones+3.5
Set 2
10-1VALPOVALPOAttack errLyla Fisher+0.6
21-1VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.5
32-1EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Keira Lucas+0.7
42-2EVANSVALPO×5KillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.5
52-3VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Wren Jones+0.6
62-4VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Kendall Agler+0.5
72-5VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.4
82-6VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.4
93-6VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
104-6EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Ava Helming+0.5
114-7EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+0.4
125-7VALPOEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
136-7EVANSEVANS×3BlockedJordyn Goveblk Savannah Gogel, Carsyn Kelley+0.6
147-7EVANSEVANS×3Attack errJordyn Gove+0.7
157-8EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.5
168-8VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
179-8EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
189-9EVANSVALPOAttack errLyla Fisher+0.6
1910-9VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.8
2011-9EVANSEVANSAttack errAva Helming+1.1
2111-10EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Keira Lucas+0.7
2212-10VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
2312-11EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mara Thomas+0.8
2413-11VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
2513-12EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.8
2614-12VALPOEVANSAttack errJessica Pickett+1.0
2714-13EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+0.8
2815-13VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
2916-13EVANSEVANSBlockedJordyn Goveblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+1.4
3016-14EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.9
3116-15VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Keira Lucas+1.2
3217-15VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
3317-16EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+1.0
3417-17VALPOVALPOBlockedLyla Fisherblk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele+1.3
3518-17VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Lexi Owen+1.2
3618-18EVANSVALPO×4KillAva Helmingset Keira Lucas+1.1
3718-19VALPOVALPO×4AceValparaisoaced Lyla Fisher+1.3
3818-20VALPOVALPO×4KillMaddie Steeleset Mara Thomas+1.2
3918-21VALPOVALPO×4KillMaddie Steele+0.9
4019-21VALPOEVANSAttack errSarah Pippin+0.6
4119-22EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mara Thomas+0.7
4220-22VALPOEVANS×5Serve errValparaiso+0.5
4321-22EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Keira Lucas+1.2
4422-22EVANSEVANS×5KillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+1.9
4523-22EVANSEVANS×5KillMcKenzie Laubachset Brooke Herdes+2.8
4624-22EVANSEVANS×5KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+3.2
4724-23EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+1.4
4824-24VALPOVALPOAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+3.8
4925-24VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+2.9
5025-25EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Sarah Pippin+2.9
5126-25VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+2.9
5226-26EVANSVALPOBlockedWren Jonesblk Jessica Pickett, Jordyn Gove+2.9
5327-26VALPOEVANSAttack errJordyn Gove+2.9
5427-27EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+2.9
5528-27VALPOEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Brooke Herdes+2.9
5628-28EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Jordyn Gove+2.9
5729-28VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+2.9
5829-29EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mara Thomas+2.9
5929-30VALPOVALPOBlockedLyla Fisherblk Ava Helming, Jessica Pickett+3.0
6030-30VALPOEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+2.3
6131-30EVANSEVANS×3Attack errAva Helming+3.6
6232-30EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+4.6
Set 3
11-0EVANSEVANSAttack errJessica Pickett+2.0
22-0EVANSEVANSAttack errJessica Pickett+2.2
32-1EVANSVALPO×5Bad setCarsyn Kelley+1.6
42-2VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Lyla Fisher+1.9
52-3VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+1.7
62-4VALPOVALPO×5Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+1.5
72-5VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Ryan Scheu+1.3
83-5VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+1.1
93-6EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.0
104-6VALPOEVANSAttack errJordyn Gove+1.1
115-6EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+1.7
125-7EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.3
135-8VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+1.5
146-8VALPOEVANS×4BlockedKyla Bellichblk Savannah Gogel+1.2
157-8EVANSEVANS×4AceEvansvilleaced Keira Lucas+1.8
168-8EVANSEVANS×4KillWren Jonesset Lexi Owen+2.2
179-8EVANSEVANS×4BlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel+2.6
189-9EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+1.9
1910-9VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Savannah Gogel+2.2
2010-10EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+2.0
2110-11VALPOVALPOKillAva Helmingset Jordyn Gove+2.4
2211-11VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+2.0
2311-12EVANSVALPO×3KillSarah Pippinset Mara Thomas+1.9
2411-13VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+2.2
2511-14VALPOVALPO×3Attack errMcKenzie Laubach+1.8
2612-14VALPOEVANS×3Serve errValparaiso+1.4
2713-14EVANSEVANS×3Attack errJessica Pickett+2.3
2814-14EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carlotta Pascual Centelles+2.9
2914-15EVANSVALPO×4Attack errLyla Fisher+2.2
3014-16VALPOVALPO×4KillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+2.6
3114-17VALPOVALPO×4KillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+2.1
3214-18VALPOVALPO×4AceValparaisoaced Lyla Fisher+1.6
3315-18VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+1.0
3415-19EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+1.2
3516-19VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
3617-19EVANSEVANSAttack errKeira Lucas+2.0
3717-20EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+1.9
3818-20VALPOEVANS×3BlockedJordyn Goveblk Savannah Gogel, Carlotta Pascual Centelles+1.6
3919-20EVANSEVANS×3KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+3.2
4020-20EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Ava Helming+4.5
4120-21EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+3.7
4221-21VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+4.0
4321-22EVANSVALPOAttack errWren Jones+4.3
4422-22VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+4.6
4522-23EVANSVALPOBlockedLyla Fisherblk Kyla Bellich, Ava Helming+5.1
4623-23VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+5.3
4723-24EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+6.6
4824-24VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+6.6
4924-25EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+6.6
5025-25VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+6.6
5125-26EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+6.6
5225-27VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+6.8
Set 4
11-0VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+1.1
21-1EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+1.0
32-1VALPOEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
42-2EVANSVALPO×3BlockedWren Jonesblk Sarah Pippin, Jessica Pickett+1.1
52-3VALPOVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.3
62-4VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickett+1.1
73-4VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
83-5EVANSVALPO×5Attack errLyla Fisher+0.9
93-6VALPOVALPO×5Attack errSavannah Gogel+1.0
103-7VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Wren Jones+0.8
113-8VALPOVALPO×5KillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+0.7
123-9VALPOVALPO×5KillKyla Bellichset Mara Thomas+0.5
134-9VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
144-10EVANSVALPO×5Serve errEvansville+0.4
154-11VALPOVALPO×5KillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+0.4
164-12VALPOVALPO×5KillMaggie Uhwatset Mara Thomas+0.3
174-13VALPOVALPO×5KillAva Helmingset Keira Lucas+0.2
184-14VALPOVALPO×5Attack errCarsyn Kelley+0.1
195-14VALPOEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
206-14EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
217-14EVANSEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Brooke Herdes+0.2
227-15EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+0.2
237-16VALPOVALPOBlockedCarlotta Pascual Centellesblk Sarah Pippin, Kyla Bellich+0.1
248-16VALPOEVANS×3Serve errValparaiso+0.1
259-16EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansville+0.2
2610-16EVANSEVANS×3Attack errAva Helming+0.3
2710-17EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+0.3
2810-18VALPOVALPOAttack errWren Jones+0.2
2911-18VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3012-18EVANSEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Kendall Agler+0.2
3112-19EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+0.2
3212-20VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.2
3313-20VALPOEVANSAttack errJordyn Gove+0.1
3413-21EVANSVALPO×4Attack errWren Jones+0.1
3513-22VALPOVALPO×4BlockedWren Jonesblk Maggie Uhwat, Jessica Pickett+0.1
3613-23VALPOVALPO×4AceValparaisoaced Kendall Agler·
3713-24VALPOVALPO×4Attack errWren Jones·
3814-24VALPOEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
3914-25EVANSVALPOAttack errSavannah Gogel·

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).