FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026

Valparaiso def. Evansville 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Valparaiso 82.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Valparaiso won at Evansville 3-0 (27-25, 25-19, 25-20) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Valparaiso's Jessica Pickett led with 11 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
VALPO2725253
EVANS2519200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Valparaiso swept Evansville without a set decided by more than six.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.6 points, and Evansville's high was 33% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Valparaiso at 83%.

ValparaisoEvansville
  • Break %+11.3 pts
    42.130.8

    32 of 76 on serve vs 20 of 65, so Evansville's sideout was 57.9%.

  • Hitting+.089
    .279.190

    43 kills, 14 errors vs 39 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight Valparaiso points in the second set stretched a 3–2 lead to 8–2. That set ended 25–19.

Evansville above 50Valparaiso belowMax swing 7.6%

ValparaisoEvansville

Aces
Valparaiso 4·Evansville 6
Serve err
Valparaiso 5·Evansville 9
Blocks
Valparaiso 7·Evansville 90 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Valparaiso 44·Evansville 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Evansville above 50 · Valparaiso below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.6% EVANSrally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Evansville — set 1, VALPO 24-25 EVANS. Kill by Carsyn Kelley (set by Mia McCall). EVANS win probability 20% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

VALPO 83.0%17.0% EVANS

Valparaiso wins

3-0
34.7%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%

Evansville wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%
VALPO break %
46.3% vs this opp
EVANS break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carsyn KelleyKill+7.6%

    Kill by Carsyn Kelley (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 1 · VALPO 24-25 EVANS · EVANS 20% → 27%

  2. 02

    Brooke Herdes stuffed by Ava Helming & Jessica Pickett

    Set 1 · VALPO 26-25 EVANS · VALPO 79% → 85%

  3. 03

    Ryan Scheu stuffed by Kyla Bellich & Ava Helming

    Set 1 · VALPO 25-25 EVANS · VALPO 73% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jessica Pickett (set by Aubry Dowling)

    Set 1 · VALPO 27-25 EVANS · VALPO 85% → 91%

  5. 05
    Maggie UhwatKill+5.0%

    Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 1 · VALPO 24-23 EVANS · VALPO 80% → 85%

  6. 06

    Sarah Pippin stuffed by Makenzie Miller & McKenzie Laubach

    Set 1 · VALPO 24-24 EVANS · EVANS 15% → 20%

  7. 07
    Maggie UhwatKill+4.4%

    Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 1 · VALPO 22-21 EVANS · VALPO 79% → 84%

  8. 08

    Kill by McKenzie Laubach (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 1 · VALPO 23-23 EVANS · EVANS 16% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39220.35001282052.512.5
311116.62500030031.512.5
310217.47100131010.510.5
37316.250000100007
34524-.04201041010.55.5
3104.2501901300001
31011.000120810003
3016-.167000200422
3000–1901400000
3000–100800000
Team totals4314104.2794045446014777
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311324.3330214016417
311429.2410126002113
34410.00000000031.55.5
35318.111000000005
32312-.08320261031.53.5
3317.286280170010.53.5
3315.40000010010.53.5
3000–022820002
3000–011100001
Team totals3919105.1903069334116964

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Valparaiso vs Evansville

Season series · Valparaiso leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 VALPO · EVANS 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 VALPOEVANS 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 VALPOEVANS 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 VALPOEVANS 3

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Valparaiso leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
47%7/15
2
100%8/8
47%7/15
3
80%8/10
11%1/9
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
69%45/65
42%32/76

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
22%2/9
2
80%8/10
38%5/13
3
62%8/13
0%0/8
4
73%8/11
47%7/15
5
50%6/12
27%3/11
6
55%6/11
33%3/9
All
58%44/76
31%20/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#VALPO-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+1.5
21-1VALPOEVANS×5KillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
31-2EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansville+1.7
41-3EVANSEVANS×5KillCarsyn Kelleyset Ava Helming+1.9
51-4EVANSEVANS×5Attack errJordyn Gove+2.0
61-5EVANSEVANS×5BlockedJordyn Goveblk Carsyn Kelley, McKenzie Laubach+2.0
72-5EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+1.3
82-6VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.6
93-6EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+1.3
103-7VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Jordyn Gove+1.6
113-8EVANSEVANSBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Brooke Herdes, McKenzie Laubach+2.1
124-8EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+1.3
135-8VALPOVALPOAceJordyn Goveaced Kendall Agler+1.9
145-9VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
156-9EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+1.4
166-10VALPOEVANS×4BlockedAva Helmingblk Brooke Herdes, Makenzie Miller+1.8
176-11EVANSEVANS×4AceEvansvilleaced Ava Helming+2.2
186-12EVANSEVANS×4BlockedAva Helmingblk Brooke Herdes, Makenzie Miller+2.0
196-13EVANSEVANS×4KillMakenzie Millerset Kyla Bellich+1.7
207-13EVANSVALPOAttack errMakenzie Miller+0.9
217-14VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
228-14EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.9
239-14VALPOVALPOKillOlivia Wagnerset Olivia Wagner+1.5
249-15VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
2510-15EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+1.1
2610-16VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
2711-16EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+1.0
2811-17VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Rylee Bumgardner+1.5
2912-17EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+1.0
3013-17VALPOVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.7
3113-18VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
3214-18EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.2
3314-19VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
3415-19EVANSVALPO×4KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.1
3516-19VALPOVALPO×4Attack errMakenzie Miller+2.1
3617-19VALPOVALPO×4Attack errBrooke Herdes+2.6
3718-19VALPOVALPO×4KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+3.1
3818-20VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+3.0
3919-20EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.4
4020-20VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+3.8
4120-21VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+3.4
4221-21EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+3.1
4322-21VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+4.4
4422-22VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+3.4
4523-22EVANSVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+3.9
4623-23VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+3.9
4724-23EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+5.0
4824-24VALPOEVANSBlockedSarah Pippinblk Makenzie Miller, McKenzie Laubach+5.0
4924-25EVANSEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Mia McCall+7.6
5025-25EVANSVALPO×3BlockedRyan Scheublk Kyla Bellich, Ava Helming+5.9
5126-25VALPOVALPO×3BlockedBrooke Herdesblk Ava Helming, Jessica Pickett+6.7
5227-25VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Aubry Dowling+5.7
Set 2
11-0EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.8
22-0VALPOVALPOBlockedLyla Fisherblk Ava Helming, Kyla Bellich+1.0
32-1VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
43-1EVANSVALPOAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+0.8
53-2VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
64-2EVANSVALPO×5KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.8
75-2VALPOVALPO×5AceAva Helmingaced Kendall Agler+0.9
86-2VALPOVALPO×5BlockedWren Jonesblk Jordyn Gove, Jessica Pickett+0.8
97-2VALPOVALPO×5KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.7
108-2VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Rylee Bumgardner+0.5
118-3VALPOEVANSBlockedJordyn Goveblk McKenzie Laubach, Wren Jones+0.4
128-4EVANSEVANSBlockedJordyn Goveblk McKenzie Laubach, Wren Jones+0.6
139-4EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.5
149-5VALPOEVANS×3KillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
159-6EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Ava Helming+0.8
169-7EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Jordyn Gove+1.0
1710-7EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.8
1810-8VALPOEVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.8
1911-8EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.8
2012-8VALPOVALPOAttack errWren Jones+0.9
2112-9VALPOEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Kyla Bellich+0.6
2213-9EVANSVALPO×3Serve errEvansville+0.7
2314-9VALPOVALPO×3BlockedMakenzie Millerblk Kyla Bellich, Maggie Uhwat+0.7
2415-9VALPOVALPO×3BlockedLyla Fisherblk Ava Helming, Kyla Bellich+0.5
2515-10VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2616-10EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.4
2716-11VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.3
2817-11EVANSVALPOBlockedLyla Fisherblk Ava Helming, Jessica Pickett+0.4
2917-12VALPOEVANS×5KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
3017-13EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Maggie Uhwat+0.6
3117-14EVANSEVANS×5Attack errJordyn Gove+0.9
3217-15EVANSEVANS×5Attack errJessica Pickett+1.2
3317-16EVANSEVANS×5KillWren Jonesset Jessica Pickett+1.6
3418-16EVANSVALPOAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+1.4
3519-16VALPOVALPOAttack errBrooke Herdes+1.5
3619-17VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
3720-17EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+1.2
3821-17VALPOVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+1.1
3921-18VALPOEVANSAttack errSarah Pippin+0.6
4022-18EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.8
4122-19VALPOEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
4223-19EVANSVALPO×3KillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.8
4324-19VALPOVALPO×3AceKeira Lucas+0.5
4425-19VALPOVALPO×3AceKeira Lucasaced Brooke Herdes+0.1
Set 3
10-1VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+0.5
20-2EVANSEVANSBlockedKyla Bellichblk McKenzie Laubach+0.7
31-2EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.5
41-3VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
52-3EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+0.5
62-4VALPOEVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
73-4EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.5
83-5VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Brooke Herdes+0.6
94-5EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.5
104-6VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
115-6EVANSVALPOKillKeira Lucas+0.5
126-6VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.7
136-7VALPOEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
147-7EVANSVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Keira Lucas+0.5
158-7VALPOVALPOAttack errWren Jones+0.7
168-8VALPOEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
179-8EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.5
189-9VALPOEVANSAttack errMaggie Uhwat+0.5
1910-9EVANSVALPOServe errEvansville+0.5
2011-9VALPOVALPOAttack errMakenzie Miller+0.7
2111-10VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
2212-10EVANSVALPOAttack errWren Jones+0.5
2312-11VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.5
2413-11EVANSVALPO×4Serve errEvansville+0.5
2514-11VALPOVALPO×4Attack errCarsyn Kelley+0.6
2615-11VALPOVALPO×4Attack errMakenzie Miller+0.5
2716-11VALPOVALPO×4KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.4
2816-12VALPOEVANSServe errValparaiso+0.2
2917-12EVANSVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.3
3017-13VALPOEVANS×3Serve errValparaiso+0.2
3117-14EVANSEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
3217-15EVANSEVANS×3KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
3318-15EVANSVALPO×3KillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.5
3419-15VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.5
3520-15VALPOVALPO×3Bad setCarsyn Kelley+0.4
3620-16VALPOEVANSBlockedSarah Pippinblk McKenzie Laubach, Ryan Scheu+0.2
3721-16EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.3
3822-16VALPOVALPOAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+0.2
3922-17VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
4023-17EVANSVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.1
4123-18VALPOEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley·
4223-19EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Keira Lucas+0.1
4324-19EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.2
4424-20VALPOEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
4525-20EVANSVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Valparaiso first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).