Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMETRO

2:3

HomeNEC

Mercyhurst def. Siena 3–2

(18-25, 25-19, 25-22, 21-25, 16-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
SIENA	25	19	22	25	14	2
MERCYH	18	25	25	21	16	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MERCYH above 50 · SIENA below

Biggest swing: 29.0% to Mercyhurst — set 5, SIENA 14-16 MERCYH. Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause). MERCYH win probability 71% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SIENA 66.0%34.0% MERCYH

Siena wins

3-0

20.6%

3-1

25.3%

3-2

20.0%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

6.9%

3-1

12.1%

3-2

15.0%

SIENA break %: 46.1% vs this opp
MERCYH break %: 43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Julia ShepherdKill+29.0%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 5 · SIENA 14-16 MERCYH · MERCYH 71% → 100%
02
MERCYH serverAce+27.0%
Mercyhurst ace on Team
Set 5 · SIENA 13-14 MERCYH · MERCYH 44% → 71%
03
Julia ShepherdAttack error+21.8%
Julia Shepherd stuffed by Brianna Miller
Set 5 · SIENA 14-14 MERCYH · SIENA 29% → 51%
04
Julia ShepherdKill+21.8%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 5 · SIENA 14-15 MERCYH · MERCYH 49% → 71%
05
Julia ShepherdKill+19.3%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 5 · SIENA 13-13 MERCYH · MERCYH 25% → 44%
06
Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+11.6%
Mary Claire Deacy stuffed by Mia Mattingly & Kalyani Olive
Set 5 · SIENA 13-12 MERCYH · MERCYH 13% → 25%
07
Mary Claire DeacyKill+7.6%
Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 5 · SIENA 2-0 MERCYH · SIENA 64% → 72%
08
Julia ShepherdKill+7.1%
Kill by Julia Shepherd (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 3 · SIENA 21-23 MERCYH · MERCYH 50% → 57%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Sienaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mary Claire DeacyOH	5	16	3	35	.371	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
11Brianna MillerOH	5	13	2	35	.314	1	1	1	17	4	1	1	1.5	15.5
22Alison GoldbergMB	5	2	1	11	.091	2	0	0	4	0	4	0	4	6
12Maggie SeymourMB	5	4	1	6	.500	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
8Abby EdwardsS	5	0	1	13	-.077	22	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
6Natalia CliffordOH	5	1	1	8	.000	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	0	2
1Gabrielle WireOH	5	8	4	21	.190	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	8
18Doga DirazOH	5	7	4	24	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
2Oliwia MajtykaS	5	1	0	5	.200	18	3	2	12	0	0	0	0	4
21Brooke MalekL/DS	5	1	0	4	.250	3	2	0	12	2	0	0	0	3
5Autumn WillmottL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Anna HansonOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Madison EvansS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	17	162	.222	48	10	6	66	15	5	2	6	105

Mercyhursthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Julia ShepherdOPP	5	23	7	42	.381	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	24
13Mia MattinglyMB	5	5	2	15	.200	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	3	8
23Ava CarneyMB	5	6	1	15	.333	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	7
8Madison MinerOH	5	4	1	18	.167	3	2	0	13	2	0	0	0	6
21Alyssa KrauseDS	5	1	0	9	.111	27	4	1	4	0	0	0	0	5
26Anna LoganDS	5	0	2	5	-.400	1	5	3	6	0	0	0	0	5
1Roslyn GuerraOH	5	8	5	29	.103	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	8
4Aliyah AngeliciS	5	1	0	10	.100	13	2	2	9	0	0	0	0	3
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	5	1	0	3	.333	4	2	2	10	0	0	0	0	3
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	5	1	1	7	.000	1	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	1
9Payton MelinOPP	4	8	2	23	.261	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	8
7Kalyani OliveOH	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
16Sarah BarnumMB	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	22	182	.209	51	15	9	64	10	4	4	6	105

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 SIENA · MERCYH 7

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 SIENAMERCYH 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 5 SIENAMERCYH 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 SIENAMERCYH 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 5 SIENAMERCYH 5

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 5 SIENAMERCYH 7

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Siena

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	36%5/14
2	50%10/20	54%13/24
3	56%9/16	17%2/12
4	69%9/13	50%9/18
5	53%8/15	62%13/21
6	40%8/20	50%8/16
All	52%55/105	48%50/105

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%12/19	60%15/25
2	59%10/17	52%11/21
3	64%9/14	25%3/12
4	41%9/22	47%8/17
5	50%8/16	44%7/16
6	41%7/17	43%6/14
All	52%55/105	48%50/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

210 rallies

Rally log

#	SIENA-MERCYH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+1.7
2	2-0	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Anna Logan		+2.1
3	3-0	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+1.9
4	3-1	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.5
5	4-1	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.6
6	4-2	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.5
7	5-2	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Alison Goldberg	set Abby Edwards	+1.6
8	5-3	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Ava Carney	+1.6
9	6-3	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.6
10	6-4	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.6
11	6-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+2.2
12	7-5	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.9
13	7-6	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.8
14	8-6	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.9
15	9-6	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	SIENA server	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.2
16	9-7	SIENA	MERCYH×4	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.7
17	9-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Bad set	Abby Edwards		+2.4
18	9-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brianna Miller	+2.7
19	9-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Madison Miner	+2.9
20	10-10	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.2
21	10-11	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+2.4
22	11-11	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+2.3
23	11-12	SIENA	MERCYH	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+2.5
24	12-12	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Maggie Seymour	+2.4
25	13-12	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.0
26	14-12	SIENA	SIENA×3	Ace	SIENA server	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.9
27	14-13	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+2.3
28	15-13	MERCYH	SIENA×6	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.4
29	16-13	SIENA	SIENA×6	Attack err	Madison Miner	blk Alison Goldberg	+2.7
30	17-13	SIENA	SIENA×6	Attack err	Ava Carney		+2.3
31	18-13	SIENA	SIENA×6	Attack err	Alison Goldberg		+1.8
32	19-13	SIENA	SIENA×6	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.2
33	20-13	SIENA	SIENA×6	Ace	SIENA server	aced Madison Miner	+0.8
34	20-14	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Serve err	SIENA server		+0.4
35	20-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.7
36	20-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brooke Malek	+1.2
37	21-16	MERCYH	SIENA	Bad set	Kelsie Gaiter-Davis		+1.3
38	22-16	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Ava Carney	+1.0
39	22-17	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.4
40	22-18	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+0.8
41	23-18	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.1
42	24-18	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+0.6
43	25-18	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Kill	Sydney Forcht	set Sydney Forcht	+1.6
2	0-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
3	0-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+2.0
4	1-3	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Natalia Clifford	set Abby Edwards	+1.5
5	1-4	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+1.7
6	2-4	MERCYH	SIENA	Attack err	Anna Logan		+1.5
7	2-5	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Anna Logan	+1.7
8	2-6	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Madison Miner	+2.1
9	3-6	MERCYH	SIENA	Serve err	MERCYH server		+1.5
10	4-6	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	SIENA server	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.0
11	4-7	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy	blk Ava Carney	+1.8
12	4-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Roslyn Guerra	+2.1
13	4-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Alison Goldberg		+2.0
14	5-9	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Doga Diraz	+1.3
15	5-10	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Gabrielle Wire	+1.6
16	5-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.8
17	6-11	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Alison Goldberg	+1.1
18	7-11	SIENA	SIENA	Bad set	Aliyah Angelici		+1.7
19	7-12	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Madison Miner	+1.7
20	7-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.8
21	7-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+1.5
22	8-14	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.8
23	8-15	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Madison Miner	+1.2
24	8-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.1
25	9-16	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.6
26	9-17	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
27	10-17	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+0.5
28	10-18	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
29	10-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner		+0.6
30	11-19	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+0.2
31	12-19	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Natalia Clifford	+0.5
32	12-20	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.6
33	13-20	MERCYH	SIENA×5	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+0.3
34	14-20	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Ava Carney	blk Alison Goldberg	+0.6
35	15-20	SIENA	SIENA×5	Bad set	Payton Melin		+0.9
36	16-20	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brooke Malek	+1.4
37	17-20	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Sydney Forcht	blk Alison Goldberg	+2.0
38	17-21	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+2.3
39	18-21	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Oliwia Majtyka	set Alison Goldberg	+1.5
40	18-22	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Maggie Seymour	blk Mia Mattingly	+2.3
41	18-23	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brianna Miller	+1.8
42	18-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
43	19-24	MERCYH	SIENA	Serve err	MERCYH server		+0.1
44	19-25	SIENA	MERCYH	Bad set	Mary Claire Deacy		+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Abby Edwards	+3.1
2	0-2	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+3.2
3	1-2	MERCYH	SIENA	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.5
4	2-2	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.1
5	2-3	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+2.6
6	3-3	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.5
7	3-4	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.7
8	4-4	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.6
9	5-4	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Payton Melin	blk Alison Goldberg	+3.2
10	5-5	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.7
11	5-6	MERCYH	MERCYH	Bad set	Oliwia Majtyka		+3.5
12	6-6	MERCYH	SIENA×4	Bad set	Payton Melin		+2.7
13	7-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.4
14	8-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Brooke Malek	+3.3
15	9-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.0
16	9-7	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.3
17	10-7	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.5
18	10-8	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire		+2.4
19	10-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brianna Miller	+3.4
20	10-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.8
21	11-10	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.1
22	11-11	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+3.2
23	11-12	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+4.3
24	12-12	MERCYH	SIENA	Serve err	MERCYH server		+3.3
25	12-13	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+3.6
26	12-14	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Abby Edwards		+4.6
27	13-14	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+3.4
28	13-15	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.9
29	14-15	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Alison Goldberg	set Abby Edwards	+3.5
30	14-16	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Ava Carney	+4.1
31	14-17	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Natalia Clifford	+4.8
32	15-17	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brianna Miller	+3.3
33	15-18	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Kill	Aliyah Angelici	set Alyssa Krause	+4.1
34	15-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+4.4
35	15-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+3.4
36	16-20	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Attack err	Brooke Malek		+1.8
37	17-20	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.2
38	18-20	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Brooke Malek	+4.3
39	18-21	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Sydney Forcht	+4.7
40	18-22	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+4.6
41	19-22	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.1
42	20-22	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+4.2
43	21-22	SIENA	SIENA×3	Ace	SIENA server	aced Sydney Forcht	+6.2
44	21-23	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+7.1
45	21-24	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire	blk Mia Mattingly	+6.8
46	22-24	MERCYH	SIENA	Bad set	Julia Shepherd		+2.3
47	22-25	SIENA	MERCYH	Bad set	Natalia Clifford		+5.3
Set 4
1	0-1	SIENA	MERCYH	Attack err	Natalia Clifford		+3.0
2	1-1	MERCYH	SIENA×3	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.9
3	2-1	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.5
4	3-1	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.4
5	3-2	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.7
6	4-2	MERCYH	SIENA	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.8
7	4-3	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Alyssa Krause		+2.8
8	4-4	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+3.8
9	5-4	MERCYH	SIENA×4	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.0
10	6-4	SIENA	SIENA×4	Ace	SIENA server	aced Madison Miner	+3.6
11	7-4	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.4
12	8-4	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.1
13	8-5	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+2.3
14	9-5	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Madison Evans	+2.5
15	9-6	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.3
16	9-7	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brooke Malek	+3.4
17	10-7	MERCYH	SIENA×5	Serve err	MERCYH server		+2.9
18	11-7	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Payton Melin		+3.2
19	12-7	SIENA	SIENA×5	Ace	SIENA server	aced Team	+2.7
20	13-7	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Brooke Malek	set Aliyah Angelici	+2.2
21	14-7	SIENA	SIENA×5	Ace	SIENA server	aced Roslyn Guerra	+1.7
22	14-8	SIENA	MERCYH×5	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.0
23	14-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Bad set	Doga Diraz		+1.7
24	14-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire		+2.3
25	14-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire	blk Julia Shepherd	+3.0
26	14-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Gabrielle Wire	+3.8
27	15-12	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.4
28	15-13	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
29	16-13	MERCYH	SIENA×5	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.5
30	17-13	SIENA	SIENA×5	Ace	SIENA server	aced Sydney Forcht	+3.7
31	18-13	SIENA	SIENA×5	Bad set	Madison Miner		+2.9
32	19-13	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.0
33	20-13	SIENA	SIENA×5	Bad set	Mia Mattingly		+1.2
34	20-14	SIENA	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.6
35	20-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.2
36	20-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+1.9
37	21-16	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+2.2
38	22-16	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Brianna Miller	+1.6
39	22-17	SIENA	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.6
40	22-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Payton Melin	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+1.4
41	22-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+2.4
42	22-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+4.1
43	23-20	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+4.9
44	23-21	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Kalyani Olive	set Aliyah Angelici	+3.0
45	24-21	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Oliwia Majtyka	+5.0
46	25-21	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.3
Set 5
1	1-0	MERCYH	SIENA×5	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+6.3
2	2-0	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+7.6
3	3-0	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+7.0
4	4-0	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+6.1
5	5-0	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Julia Shepherd	blk Brianna Miller, Mary Claire Deacy	+5.0
6	5-1	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+3.2
7	5-2	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+5.3
8	6-2	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+5.1
9	7-2	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	SIENA server	aced Team	+5.0
10	7-3	SIENA	MERCYH	Serve err	SIENA server		+3.1
11	8-3	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+4.0
12	9-3	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		+3.5
13	9-4	SIENA	MERCYH	Attack err	Oliwia Majtyka		+1.9
14	10-4	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.7
15	10-5	SIENA	MERCYH	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+1.6
16	11-5	MERCYH	SIENA	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.5
17	11-6	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Abby Edwards	+1.4
18	12-6	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.2
19	12-7	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Aliyah Angelici	+1.1
20	13-7	MERCYH	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.8
21	13-8	SIENA	MERCYH×7	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+0.7
22	13-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Brianna Miller	+1.7
23	13-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy	blk Kalyani Olive, Mia Mattingly	+3.4
24	13-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+6.4
25	13-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy	blk Mia Mattingly, Kalyani Olive	+11.6
26	13-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+19.3
27	13-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×7	Ace	MERCYH server	aced Team	+27.0
28	14-14	MERCYH	SIENA	Attack err	Julia Shepherd	blk Brianna Miller	+21.8
29	14-15	SIENA	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+21.8
30	14-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+29.0

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.