Austin Peay vs Tarleton State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Austin Peay (12-15) at Tarleton St. (11-16), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Tarleton St. a 65% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Austin Peay won 3-2 on Oct 3.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

A PEAY 34.8%65.2% TARLET

Austin Peay wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.4%

3-2

15.2%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

20.2%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

20.0%

A PEAY break %: 42.8% vs this opp
TARLET break %: 45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.