Little Rock vs Tarleton State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

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Little Rock (9-15) at Tarleton St. (10-15), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Tarleton St. a 60% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Tarleton St. won 3-0 on Oct 15.

Data through Nov 4, 3:55 PM CT

Match prediction

UALR 39.7%60.3% TARLET

Little Rock wins

3-0

8.6%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

17.4%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

UALR break %: 43.6% vs this opp
TARLET break %: 45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.