Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+, SNY

Siena def. Marist 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Marist 70.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Sep 29, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena beat visiting Marist 3-1 (20-25, 27-25, 25-22, 25-23) on Tue, Sep 29, 2026. Gabrielle Wire led Siena with 20 kills; Marist's Mallory Reck had a match-high 25.

Data through · final Sep 29

Set1234Sets
MARIST252522231
SIENA202725253

Win probability

Siena above 50 · Marist below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.1% SIENArally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.1% to Siena — set 4, MARIST 23-25 SIENA. Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards). SIENA win probability 84% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARIST 63.3%36.7% SIENA

Marist wins

3-0
19.0%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%

Siena wins

3-0
7.7%
3-1
13.2%
3-2
15.8%
MARIST break %
44.6% vs this opp
SIENA break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 4 · MARIST 23-25 SIENA · SIENA 84% → 100%

  2. 02

    Mallory Reck stuffed by Mary Claire Deacy & Alison Goldberg

    Set 4 · MARIST 23-24 SIENA · SIENA 72% → 84%

  3. 03
    Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy

    Set 4 · MARIST 23-23 SIENA · MARIST 16% → 28%

  4. 04

    Mallory Reck stuffed by Maggie Seymour & Abby Edwards

    Set 2 · MARIST 25-27 SIENA · SIENA 30% → 40%

  5. 05
    SienaAce+9.0%

    Siena ace on Cecilia Potter-Pessoa

    Set 4 · MARIST 20-22 SIENA · SIENA 78% → 87%

  6. 06
    Mallory ReckAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Mallory Reck

    Set 4 · MARIST 20-21 SIENA · SIENA 69% → 78%

  7. 07
    Mallory ReckKill+8.7%

    Kill by Mallory Reck (set by Kaitlyn Owens)

    Set 2 · MARIST 24-24 SIENA · MARIST 67% → 76%

  8. 08
    Sarah BumsteadAttack error+7.4%

    Attack error by Sarah Bumstead

    Set 4 · MARIST 20-23 SIENA · SIENA 87% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Maristaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4251157.24603115102129
47111.5450000016411
48423.17400010010.58.5
4309.33356101101226
4002.0001121100001
4001.000000820000
411629.17200040031.512.5
4001.0001002130000
4000–100100000
26016.375100110006
23313.000000200003
Team totals6325162.2356053759214995
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420248.3750003000020
417453.245000110031.518.5
45213.23101010233.59.5
4215.2005323501226
4315.40000020052.55.5
41411-.273102300212
41011.0001202400003
4001.000010610001
310629.138031112010.513.5
Team totals5920166.23555966653161197

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marist vs Siena

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MARIST · SIENA 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 MARISTSIENA 3

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 MARISTSIENA 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 MARISTSIENA 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 MARISTSIENA 4

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Marist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
33%5/15
2
71%10/14
42%8/19
3
64%9/14
38%6/16
4
47%8/17
55%11/20
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
57%8/14
27%3/11
All
57%55/96
42%40/96

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
52%11/21
2
56%10/18
31%5/16
3
64%9/14
44%7/16
4
41%9/22
25%3/12
5
67%8/12
56%10/18
6
67%8/12
38%5/13
All
58%56/96
43%41/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#MARIST-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.8
21-1SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
31-2MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
41-3SIENASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.5
52-3SIENAMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
63-3MARISTMARISTAceMarist+2.4
73-4MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.9
84-4SIENAMARIST×4BlockedHannah Bowmanblk Savannah Smith, Trinity Woods+1.9
95-4MARISTMARIST×4Attack errHannah Bowman+2.5
106-4MARISTMARIST×4AceMarist+2.4
117-4MARISTMARIST×4KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.2
127-5MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.6
138-5SIENAMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
149-5MARISTMARISTAttack errMary Claire Deacy+2.0
159-6MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.4
169-7SIENASIENAAttack errTaylor Miller+2.2
1710-7SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
1810-8MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.7
1911-8SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+1.9
2011-9MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.8
2112-9SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
2212-10MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.8
2312-11SIENASIENABlockedSavannah Smithblk Maggie Seymour, Hannah Bowman+2.7
2413-11SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.2
2513-12MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.2
2614-12SIENAMARIST×6KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.3
2715-12MARISTMARIST×6Attack errMaggie Seymour+2.8
2816-12MARISTMARIST×6KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.4
2917-12MARISTMARIST×6KillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
3018-12MARISTMARIST×6BlockedHannah Bowmanblk Trinity Woods, Savannah Smith+1.3
3119-12MARISTMARIST×6Attack errHannah Bowman+0.9
3219-13MARISTSIENAKillHannah Bowmanset Abby Edwards+0.4
3319-14SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.8
3420-14SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+0.9
3520-15MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.6
3621-15SIENAMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
3722-15MARISTMARISTBlockedGabrielle Wireblk Sarah Bumstead, Caelyn Dumas+0.6
3822-16MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.2
3922-17SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Claudia Kasperski+0.4
4023-17SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
4123-18MARISTSIENA×3KillAbby Edwardsset Caelyn Dumas+0.2
4223-19SIENASIENA×3BlockedSarah Bumsteadblk Alison Goldberg, Hannah Bowman+0.6
4323-20SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Claudia Kasperski+1.2
4424-20SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
4525-20MARISTMARISTBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Savannah Smith, Mallory Reck+0.6
Set 2
10-1SIENASIENAAttack errMallory Reck+2.1
21-1SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.5
31-2MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.6
42-2SIENAMARIST×3KillCaelyn Dumas+1.6
53-2MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.1
64-2MARISTMARIST×3KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
74-3MARISTSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
84-4SIENASIENA×4Attack errMallory Reck+2.2
94-5SIENASIENA×4BlockedTrinity Woodsblk Maggie Seymour+2.3
104-6SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Mallory Reck+2.3
115-6SIENAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
125-7MARISTSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.9
135-8SIENASIENA×3Attack errTrinity Woods+2.4
145-9SIENASIENA×3BlockedTaylor Millerblk Abby Edwards+2.3
156-9SIENAMARIST×4KillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+1.5
167-9MARISTMARIST×4KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.2
178-9MARISTMARIST×4Attack errBrianna Miller+2.4
189-9MARISTMARIST×4KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.5
199-10MARISTSIENA×3Attack errSarah Bumstead+2.0
209-11SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.7
219-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errTrinity Woods+2.7
2210-12SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+1.8
2311-12MARISTMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
2411-13MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.2
2512-13SIENAMARISTKillTaylor Millerset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
2612-14MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.3
2713-14SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.1
2813-15MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.4
2914-15SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.2
3014-16MARISTSIENABlockedMallory Reckblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+2.5
3115-16SIENAMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.3
3216-16MARISTMARIST×3BlockedMaggie Seymourblk Savannah Smith+3.3
3317-16MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Autumn Willmott+3.4
3417-17MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+2.6
3517-18SIENASIENABlockedTrinity Woodsblk Maggie Seymour+3.8
3618-18SIENAMARIST×3KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.8
3719-18MARISTMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+3.9
3820-18MARISTMARIST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+3.8
3920-19MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.5
4020-20SIENASIENABlockedTaylor Millerblk Maggie Seymour, Abby Edwards+4.3
4121-20SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+3.6
4221-21MARISTSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.6
4321-22SIENASIENA×3AceSiena+5.7
4421-23SIENASIENA×3KillAbby Edwardsset Abby Edwards+5.7
4522-23SIENAMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Sara Dasic+3.1
4622-24MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+5.2
4723-24SIENAMARISTBad setAbby Edwards+2.9
4824-24MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Kaitlyn Owens+8.7
4924-25MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+6.6
5025-25SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+6.6
5125-26MARISTSIENABlockedTrinity Woodsblk Alison Goldberg, Brianna Miller+6.6
5225-27SIENASIENABlockedMallory Reckblk Maggie Seymour, Abby Edwards+9.1
Set 3
11-0MARISTMARISTAceMaristaced Brianna Miller+3.1
21-1MARISTSIENABlockedMallory Reckblk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy+2.4
31-2SIENASIENAAttack errMallory Reck+3.3
42-2SIENAMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.5
53-2MARISTMARIST×3BlockedBrianna Millerblk Caelyn Dumas+3.2
64-2MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+3.1
74-3MARISTSIENAAttack errMallory Reck+2.3
85-3SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.4
95-4MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.4
106-4SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.5
116-5MARISTSIENA×5KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.5
126-6SIENASIENA×5AceSiena+3.5
136-7SIENASIENA×5AceSienaaced Heidi Chambers+3.7
146-8SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.8
156-9SIENASIENA×5AceSienaaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+3.8
167-9SIENAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
178-9MARISTMARISTAttack errAbby Edwards+3.7
188-10MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.1
198-11SIENASIENABad setCaelyn Dumas+4.0
209-11SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+2.7
219-12MARISTSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.2
229-13SIENASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.8
239-14SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.4
2410-14SIENAMARISTKillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
2510-15MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+2.6
2611-15SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
2711-16MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.6
2812-16SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
2912-17MARISTSIENAAttack errMallory Reck+2.6
3013-17SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
3113-18MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.6
3213-19SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.5
3314-19SIENAMARISTKillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
3414-20MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.8
3515-20SIENAMARISTKillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3615-21MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.7
3716-21SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+0.9
3817-21MARISTMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
3917-22MARISTSIENAKillBrooke Malekset Caelyn Dumas+2.3
4018-22SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
4119-22MARISTMARISTAttack errAlison Goldberg+2.6
4219-23MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.3
4320-23SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.5
4421-23MARISTMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+3.7
4521-24MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+5.1
4622-24SIENAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
4722-25MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+4.8
Set 4
10-1SIENASIENA×3Attack errSarah Bumstead+3.7
20-2SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.8
30-3SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.8
41-3SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+2.7
51-4MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.0
62-4SIENAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+2.7
73-4MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+3.8
83-5MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.1
94-5SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.9
104-6MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.2
115-6SIENAMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas+3.0
125-7MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+3.3
136-7SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Heidi Chambers+3.1
147-7MARISTMARISTKillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+4.2
157-8MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.4
168-8SIENAMARIST×4KillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+3.3
179-8MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+4.3
1810-8MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+4.2
1911-8MARISTMARIST×4Attack errGabrielle Wire+3.8
2011-9MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+2.7
2111-10SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+4.1
2212-10SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+3.4
2313-10MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reck+4.1
2413-11MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.8
2513-12SIENASIENAAttack errMallory Reck+4.4
2614-12SIENAMARISTBlockedBrianna Millerblk Caelyn Dumas, Savannah Smith+3.6
2715-12MARISTMARISTBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Mallory Reck, Savannah Smith+4.3
2815-13MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.0
2915-14SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+4.7
3016-14SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+4.0
3117-14MARISTMARISTAceMaristaced Brianna Miller+4.7
3217-15MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+3.1
3318-15SIENAMARISTBlockedBrianna Millerblk Trinity Woods, Savannah Smith+3.7
3418-16MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.2
3518-17SIENASIENAAttack errTrinity Woods+5.3
3619-17SIENAMARISTKillHeidi Chambersset Caelyn Dumas+4.7
3719-18MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+4.3
3819-19SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Hannah Bowman+7.0
3920-19SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+5.8
4020-20MARISTSIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+5.8
4120-21SIENASIENA×4Attack errMallory Reck+8.8
4220-22SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+9.0
4320-23SIENASIENA×4Attack errSarah Bumstead+7.4
4421-23SIENAMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+3.2
4522-23MARISTMARIST×3Attack errBrianna Miller+7.3
4623-23MARISTMARIST×3Attack errMary Claire Deacy+11.4
4723-24MARISTSIENABlockedMallory Reckblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+11.7
4823-25SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+16.1

Score shown after each rally, Marist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).