FinalTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Marist def. Siena 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Marist 77.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marist beat visiting Siena 3-0 (25-19, 27-25, 25-20) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Marist's Mallory Reck and Sara Dasic led with 14 kills each, and Cecilia Potter-Pessoa added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set123Sets
SIENA1925200
MARIST2527253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Sara Dasic. Marist swept Siena.

Win probability never moved more than 6.6 points on one rally; Siena topped out at 24% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Marist 77% before first serve.

SienaMarist
  • Break %+11.3 pts
    30.842.1

    Points won on own serve: 32 of 76 vs 20 of 65. Siena sided out 57.9% of the time.

  • Hitting+.112
    .246.358

    56 kills, 12 errors vs 40 kills, 10 errors.

  • Longest run+5
    49

    9 straight Marist points in the third set turned a 15–19 deficit into a 24–19 lead. The set finished 25–20.

Marist above 50Siena belowMax swing 6.6%

SienaMarist

Aces
Siena 6·Marist 2
Serve err
Siena 7·Marist 6
Blocks
Siena 4·Marist 31 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Siena 53·Marist 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Marist above 50 · Siena below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.6% SIENArally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.6% to Siena — set 2, SIENA 24-23 MARIST. Ace by Abby Edwards on Sara Dasic. MARIST win probability 86% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIENA 23.6%76.4% MARIST

Siena wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
11.5%

Marist wins

3-0
28.2%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%
SIENA break %
40.6% vs this opp
MARIST break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby EdwardsAce+6.6%

    Ace by Abby Edwards on Sara Dasic

    Set 2 · SIENA 24-23 MARIST · SIENA 14% → 21%

  2. 02

    Kill by Sarah Bumstead (set by Caelyn Dumas)

    Set 2 · SIENA 25-26 MARIST · MARIST 84% → 90%

  3. 03
    Mallory ReckKill+5.2%

    Kill by Mallory Reck (set by Caelyn Dumas)

    Set 2 · SIENA 25-27 MARIST · MARIST 90% → 96%

  4. 04
    Sara DasicKill+5.2%

    Kill by Sara Dasic (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 2 · SIENA 24-24 MARIST · MARIST 79% → 84%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 2 · SIENA 25-24 MARIST · SIENA 16% → 21%

  6. 06
    Sara DasicKill+5.2%

    Kill by Sara Dasic (set by Mallory Reck)

    Set 2 · SIENA 25-25 MARIST · MARIST 79% → 84%

  7. 07
    Abby EdwardsAce+4.5%

    Ace by Abby Edwards on Mallory Reck

    Set 2 · SIENA 23-23 MARIST · SIENA 10% → 14%

  8. 08
    Sara DasicKill+3.5%

    Kill by Sara Dasic (set by Caelyn Dumas)

    Set 2 · SIENA 21-23 MARIST · MARIST 89% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sienaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314244.2730014000014
36115.333001200217
35218.1670121300006
34311.09100000111.55.5
31011.000273170010.54.5
3000–120610002
37125.240000100007
3000–3021800000
2317.286000000214
2001.000800200000
1000–000000000
Team totals4010122.246396753216464
Maristhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314336.30610214202115
314427.37021011200015
311122.45500000010.511.5
310113.69210000010.510.5
3409.44443001001015
3000–112510001
33316.000000100003
3000–3011710000
3000–001300000
Team totals5612123.358512661614377

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Siena vs Marist

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SIENA · MARIST 9

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 SIENAMARIST 5

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 SIENAMARIST 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 SIENAMARIST 9

Bars above the line = Marist leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
38%5/13
2
53%8/15
0%0/8
3
70%7/10
20%2/10
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
70%7/10
13%1/8
6
44%7/16
53%8/15
All
58%44/76
31%20/65

Marist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
33%4/12
2
89%8/9
53%9/17
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
100%7/7
30%3/10
5
54%7/13
22%2/9
6
54%7/13
59%10/17
All
69%45/65
42%32/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#SIENA-MARISTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.5
21-1SIENAMARIST×5Serve errSiena+1.4
31-2MARISTMARIST×5KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
41-3MARISTMARIST×5KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
51-4MARISTMARIST×5KillMallory Reckset Sara Dasic+1.5
61-5MARISTMARIST×5KillCaelyn Dumasset Sara Dasic+1.3
72-5MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.0
82-6SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
93-6MARISTSIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Autumn Willmott+1.0
104-6SIENASIENAAttack errTrinity Woods+1.5
114-7SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
124-8MARISTMARISTKillGabrielle Wireset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
135-8MARISTSIENABlockedSara Dasicblk Maggie Seymour, Abby Edwards+1.0
145-9SIENAMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Mallory Reck+1.1
155-10MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
166-10MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+0.8
177-10SIENASIENAAceAbby Edwardsaced Mallory Reck+1.4
187-11SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
198-11MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+1.1
208-12SIENAMARISTAttack errBrianna Miller+1.2
218-13MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.3
229-13MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
239-14SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
2410-14MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+0.8
2511-14SIENASIENAKillMallory Reckset Abby Edwards+1.4
2611-15SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
2712-15MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.1
2812-16SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+1.3
2912-17MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
3013-17MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+0.8
3113-18SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3213-19MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
3314-19MARISTSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.5
3415-19SIENASIENA×3KillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.9
3516-19SIENASIENA×3Attack errTrinity Woods+1.4
3616-20SIENAMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
3716-21MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasic+1.2
3817-21MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.6
3917-22SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
4017-23MARISTMARISTServe errMarist+0.5
4118-23MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.2
4218-24SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.3
4319-24MARISTSIENAAttack errMallory Reck+0.1
4419-25SIENAMARISTAttack errMary Claire Deacy+0.1
Set 2
10-1SIENAMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
21-1MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.1
31-2SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+1.1
42-2MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.1
52-3SIENAMARISTBlockedDoga Dirazblk Molly Malone, Mallory Reck+1.1
63-3MARISTSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.2
73-4SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.1
84-4MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.2
95-4SIENASIENABlockedSara Dasicblk Alison Goldberg, Doga Diraz+1.7
105-5SIENAMARISTAttack errAlison Goldberg+1.2
116-5MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.4
126-6SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+1.3
137-6MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.4
148-6SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
158-7SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
168-8MARISTMARISTAttack errBrianna Miller+1.8
179-8MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+1.5
189-9SIENAMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
199-10MARISTMARIST×3KillCaelyn Dumasset Molly Malone+1.8
209-11MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.6
2110-11MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
2210-12SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
2311-12MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+1.3
2411-13SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.4
2512-13MARISTSIENAAttack errMolly Malone+1.4
2612-14SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.4
2713-14MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Brooke Malek+1.4
2814-14SIENASIENABlockedSarah Bumsteadblk Alison Goldberg+2.1
2914-15SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
3015-15MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.8
3116-15SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.5
3216-16SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.9
3316-17MARISTMARISTAceSara Dasicaced Autumn Willmott+2.4
3417-17MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.0
3517-18SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
3618-18MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+2.1
3719-18SIENASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+3.1
3819-19SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+2.3
3919-20MARISTMARISTAttack errMaggie Seymour+3.1
4020-20MARISTSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.5
4120-21SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+2.6
4221-21MARISTSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.7
4321-22SIENAMARISTServe errSiena+3.0
4421-23MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+3.5
4522-23MARISTSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.1
4623-23SIENASIENA×3AceAbby Edwardsaced Mallory Reck+4.5
4724-23SIENASIENA×3AceAbby Edwardsaced Sara Dasic+6.6
4824-24SIENAMARISTKillSara Dasicset Abby Edwards+5.2
4925-24MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+5.2
5025-25SIENAMARIST×3KillSara Dasicset Mallory Reck+5.2
5125-26MARISTMARIST×3KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+6.0
5225-27MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+5.2
Set 3
10-1MARISTMARISTBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Sarah Bumstead, Mallory Reck+0.7
21-1MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.6
31-2SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
41-3MARISTMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
52-3MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.5
62-4SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.5
72-5MARISTMARISTBad setOliwia Majtyka+0.6
83-5MARISTSIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.5
94-5SIENASIENA×3Attack errMallory Reck+0.7
105-5SIENASIENA×3KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.8
115-6SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
126-6MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+0.7
136-7SIENAMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
147-7MARISTSIENAAttack errSara Dasic+0.7
158-7SIENASIENAAttack errTrinity Woods+0.9
168-8SIENAMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
179-8MARISTSIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
1810-8SIENASIENA×4AceAutumn Willmottaced Claudia Kasperski+1.0
1911-8SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.1
2012-8SIENASIENA×4AceAutumn Willmottaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.0
2112-9SIENAMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Mary Claire Deacy+0.7
2212-10MARISTMARISTAttack errAlison Goldberg+1.0
2313-10MARISTSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.9
2413-11SIENAMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2514-11MARISTSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.9
2614-12SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2714-13MARISTMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.1
2815-13MARISTSIENABlockedMallory Reckblk Doga Diraz, Maggie Seymour+1.0
2916-13SIENASIENAAceBrianna Milleraced Sara Dasic+1.3
3016-14SIENAMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
3117-14MARISTSIENAServe errMarist+1.0
3217-15SIENAMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
3318-15MARISTSIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Oliwia Majtyka+1.1
3419-15SIENASIENAAttack errSara Dasic+1.2
3519-16SIENAMARIST×9KillTrinity Woodsset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+0.7
3619-17MARISTMARIST×9KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.1
3719-18MARISTMARIST×9KillSarah Bumstead+1.4
3819-19MARISTMARIST×9KillSara Dasicset Claudia Kasperski+1.6
3919-20MARISTMARIST×9AceClaudia Kasperski+1.6
4019-21MARISTMARIST×9KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.5
4119-22MARISTMARIST×9Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.1
4219-23MARISTMARIST×9KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
4319-24MARISTMARIST×9KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.3
4420-24MARISTSIENAServe errClaudia Kasperski+0.1
4520-25SIENAMARISTBlockedAlison Goldbergblk Caelyn Dumas+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).