Siena vs Merrimack Volleyball: Merrimack Wins 3-1 (Oct 10)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Siena 76.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Merrimack beat visiting Siena 3-1 (25-22, 25-21, 20-25, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Tamilore Afolalu led Merrimack with 14 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
SIENA	22	21	25	23	1
MERMCK	25	25	20	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sophia Debonis served 4 aces, and Merrimack needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Merrimack's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Siena at 77% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Siena 19–14 Merrimack
Merrimack's low point. Merrimack then won 11 of the next 14 rallies and the set 25–22.
Merrimack 14% → 44%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Siena 13–19 Merrimack
Siena scored 6 straight to erase a 13–19 deficit and tie it at 19.
Merrimack 94% → 64%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Siena 21–21 Merrimack
3 straight Merrimack points broke a 21–21 tie and made it 24–21.
Merrimack 65% → 96%

Merrimack above 50Siena belowMax swing 15.9%

SienaMerrimack

Sideout %: Siena 52.1·Merrimack 54.3
Break %: Siena 45.7·Merrimack 47.9
Hitting: Siena .166·Merrimack .184
Longest run: Siena 6·Merrimack 5

Tamilore Afolalu
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 14 K, .250, 14 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Merrimack above 50 · Siena below

Biggest swing: 15.9% to Merrimack — set 4, SIENA 23-25 MERMCK. Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis). MERMCK win probability 84% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIENA 81.1%18.9% MERMCK

Siena wins

3-0

32.6%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

18.0%

Merrimack wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

9.7%

SIENA break %: 48.5% vs this opp
MERMCK break %: 41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Jocelyn HammerstrandKill+15.9%
Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 4 · SIENA 23-25 MERMCK · MERMCK 84% → 100%
02
Mary Claire DeacyAttack error+11.8%
Attack error by Mary Claire Deacy
Set 4 · SIENA 21-23 MERMCK · MERMCK 74% → 86%
03
MerrimackAce+9.5%
Merrimack ace on Brianna Miller
Set 4 · SIENA 21-24 MERMCK · MERMCK 86% → 96%
04
Mia IzzoKill+9.1%
Kill by Mia Izzo (set by Elizabeth Kenney)
Set 4 · SIENA 21-22 MERMCK · MERMCK 65% → 74%
05
Mary Claire DeacyKill+8.4%
Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 4 · SIENA 23-24 MERMCK · SIENA 8% → 16%
06
SienaService error+8.0%
Siena service error
Set 4 · SIENA 20-21 MERMCK · MERMCK 65% → 73%
07
Gabrielle WireKill+7.7%
Kill by Gabrielle Wire (set by Oliwia Majtyka)
Set 4 · SIENA 19-19 MERMCK · SIENA 28% → 36%
08
Gabrielle WireKill+7.5%
Kill by Gabrielle Wire (set by Abby Edwards)
Set 4 · SIENA 21-21 MERMCK · SIENA 27% → 35%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sienaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Mary Claire DeacyOH	4	16	4	56	.214	0	1	1	11	0	0	2	1	18
1Gabrielle WireOH	4	16	6	45	.222	1	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	17
11Brianna MillerOH	4	4	5	27	-.037	0	2	0	10	3	0	0	0	6
12Maggie SeymourMB	4	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	5
22Alison GoldbergMB	4	0	3	6	-.500	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	2	2
8Abby EdwardsS	4	0	0	4	.000	28	1	2	11	0	0	0	0	1
21Brooke MalekL/DS	4	0	1	3	-.333	4	1	2	19	1	0	0	0	1
5Autumn WillmottL/DS	4	0	0	4	.000	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	0	0
16Hannah BowmanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
18Doga DirazOH	2	12	1	20	.550	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	13
2Oliwia MajtykaS	2	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	22	181	.166	50	6	7	79	6	2	8	6	91

Merrimackhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	4	13	6	40	.175	3	0	1	21	1	0	0	0	13
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	4	12	4	38	.211	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
13Mia IzzoMB	4	4	2	14	.143	0	0	2	4	0	1	2	2	6
3Sophia DeBonisS	4	1	0	4	.250	26	4	1	15	0	0	0	0	5
1Naomi VajdaMB	4	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	4
20Sienna Franks	4	0	2	4	-.500	0	2	1	15	0	0	0	0	2
7Tamilore Afolalu	4	14	5	36	.250	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	14
14Maiella Blandin	4	12	2	28	.357	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	14
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	4	0	1	2	-.500	2	0	0	21	3	0	0	0	0
22Devon Lowe	4	0	0	1	.000	21	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
15Gabrielle Moore	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Elizabeth KenneyS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	25	179	.184	56	6	7	91	6	2	10	7	95

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Siena vs Merrimack

Season series · Merrimack leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Siena at Merrimack · Merrimack won 3-1This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026Merrimack at SienaPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SIENA · MERMCK 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 SIENAMERMCK 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 SIENAMERMCK 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 SIENAMERMCK 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 6 SIENAMERMCK 5

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Siena

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	22%2/9
2	41%7/17	27%3/11
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	55%6/11	42%5/12
5	43%6/14	63%10/16
6	71%5/7	33%3/9
All	53%39/73	40%27/68

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	50%6/12
2	89%8/9	47%7/15
3	64%7/11	53%8/15
4	46%6/13	0%0/6
5	35%6/17	45%5/11
6	100%6/6	57%8/14
All	60%41/68	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#	SIENA-MERMCK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.4
2	2-0	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.6
3	2-1	SIENA	MERMCK×3	Serve err	Siena		+1.3
4	2-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.8
5	2-3	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Blocked	Mary Claire Deacy	blk Mia Izzo	+2.0
6	3-3	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Brooke Malek	+1.5
7	3-4	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.7
8	4-4	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.6
9	4-5	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+1.7
10	5-5	MERMCK	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.6
11	6-5	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+2.0
12	7-5	SIENA	SIENA×3	Ace	Siena	aced Mckenna Shotwell	+1.8
13	7-6	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+1.5
14	8-6	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.5
15	9-6	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	Siena	aced Ella Maldonado	+1.7
16	9-7	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.3
17	10-7	MERMCK	SIENA	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Gabrielle Wire	+1.4
18	10-8	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+1.4
19	11-8	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+1.4
20	12-8	SIENA	SIENA	Ace	Siena		+1.6
21	12-9	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
22	12-10	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.8
23	13-10	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.5
24	13-11	SIENA	MERMCK	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire	set Brooke Malek	+1.5
25	14-11	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.6
26	14-12	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.5
27	15-12	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+1.7
28	15-13	SIENA	MERMCK	Blocked	Brianna Miller	blk Maiella Blandin, Naomi Vajda	+1.6
29	16-13	MERMCK	SIENA×3	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+1.7
30	17-13	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.8
31	18-13	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+1.3
32	18-14	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
33	19-14	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+1.1
34	19-15	SIENA	MERMCK×5	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
35	19-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack		+1.4
36	19-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire		+2.1
37	19-18	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Brianna Miller	+2.9
38	19-19	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Brianna Miller	+3.7
39	20-19	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+3.1
40	20-20	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.3
41	20-21	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Ella Maldonado	+4.8
42	21-21	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Gabrielle Wire	+3.7
43	21-22	SIENA	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.5
44	21-23	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Sophia DeBonis		+5.9
45	21-24	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Mckenna Shotwell	+4.7
46	22-24	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.6
47	22-25	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda		+3.8
Set 2
1	1-0	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Ella Maldonado	set Jocelyn Hammerstrand	+2.5
2	1-1	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.1
3	2-1	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Brooke Malek	+2.0
4	2-2	SIENA	MERMCK×4	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.1
5	2-3	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Brooke Malek		+2.9
6	2-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.1
7	2-5	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
8	3-5	MERMCK	SIENA×3	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+2.3
9	4-5	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Brooke Malek	+2.9
10	5-5	SIENA	SIENA×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+2.9
11	5-6	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.6
12	6-6	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Abby Edwards	+2.4
13	7-6	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.9
14	7-7	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Devon Lowe	+2.5
15	8-7	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Maiella Blandin	set Sienna Franks	+2.4
16	8-8	SIENA	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+2.5
17	8-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+3.4
18	8-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Wire		+3.7
19	8-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+3.7
20	8-12	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Gabrielle Wire	blk Maiella Blandin, Mia Izzo	+3.7
21	9-12	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+2.5
22	9-13	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+3.1
23	10-13	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.5
24	11-13	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.5
25	11-14	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.4
26	12-14	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Brianna Miller	set Brooke Malek	+2.8
27	12-15	SIENA	MERMCK	Bad set	Abby Edwards		+3.5
28	13-15	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Mia Izzo	set Jocelyn Hammerstrand	+2.9
29	14-15	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+4.0
30	14-16	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.8
31	15-16	MERMCK	SIENA×5	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+3.4
32	16-16	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+4.5
33	17-16	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+4.4
34	18-16	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+4.1
35	19-16	SIENA	SIENA×5	Ace	Siena	aced Ella Maldonado	+3.5
36	19-17	SIENA	MERMCK×5	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+2.4
37	19-18	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Brooke Malek	+4.1
38	19-19	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+5.3
39	19-20	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Gabrielle Wire	blk Maiella Blandin, Naomi Vajda	+6.2
40	19-21	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Maggie Seymour		+6.6
41	20-21	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+4.4
42	20-22	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+6.0
43	21-22	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Sienna Franks	set Mia Izzo	+4.6
44	21-23	SIENA	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+6.8
45	21-24	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+6.7
46	21-25	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Alison Goldberg	set Sienna Franks	+2.5
2	0-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.7
3	0-3	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Alison Goldberg		+2.8
4	0-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Brianna Miller	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Mia Izzo	+2.8
5	0-5		MERMCK	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.8
6	1-5	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.9
7	2-5	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.5
8	2-6	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.4
9	3-6	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.1
10	4-6	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Maggie Seymour	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.7
11	4-7	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.5
12	5-7	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.2
13	6-7	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz		+2.9
14	6-8	SIENA	MERMCK×4	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+2.6
15	6-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack		+3.2
16	6-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Gabrielle Moore		+3.2
17	6-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Maggie Seymour		+3.0
18	7-11	MERMCK	SIENA×3	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.0
19	8-11	SIENA	SIENA×3	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.8
20	9-11	SIENA	SIENA×3	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Alison Goldberg, Doga Diraz	+3.0
21	9-12	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+2.9
22	10-12	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.5
23	10-13	SIENA	MERMCK	Attack err	Alison Goldberg	set Abby Edwards	+3.0
24	10-14	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.6
25	11-14	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.3
26	12-14	SIENA	SIENA	Blocked	Mia Izzo	blk Alison Goldberg	+3.3
27	12-15	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+3.2
28	13-15	MERMCK	SIENA×5	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+2.7
29	14-15	SIENA	SIENA×5	Ace	Siena		+3.7
30	15-15		SIENA	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.9
31	16-15	SIENA	SIENA×5	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+3.9
32	17-15	SIENA	SIENA×5	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+3.6
33	17-16	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.8
34	17-17	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+4.2
35	18-17	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+3.5
36	19-17	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+4.1
37	19-18	SIENA	MERMCK	Blocked	Brianna Miller	blk Naomi Vajda	+3.1
38	20-18	MERMCK	SIENA×4	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.5
39	21-18	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+3.6
40	22-18	SIENA	SIENA×4	Blocked	Naomi Vajda	blk Maggie Seymour, Doga Diraz	+2.5
41	23-18	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.4
42	23-19	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Mckenna Shotwell	+0.5
43	23-20	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+1.2
44	24-20	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+1.7
45	25-20	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.7
Set 4
1	0-1	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
2	0-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell		+4.1
3	1-2	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+3.1
4	1-3	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+3.4
5	2-3	MERMCK	SIENA	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Maggie Seymour, Mary Claire Deacy	+3.2
6	2-4	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.5
7	3-4	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Naomi Vajda	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
8	3-5	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Jocelyn Hammerstrand	+3.6
9	3-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+4.6
10	4-6	MERMCK	SIENA×4	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.3
11	5-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Doga Diraz		+4.2
12	6-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Attack err	Kaitlyn Oxceus		+4.2
13	7-6	SIENA	SIENA×4	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+4.1
14	7-7	SIENA	MERMCK×5	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+3.5
15	7-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Brianna Miller		+4.7
16	7-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Doga Diraz		+5.0
17	7-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Gabrielle Wire	blk Kaitlyn Oxceus, Maiella Blandin	+5.1
18	7-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+5.0
19	8-11	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.4
20	8-12	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+4.2
21	9-12	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+3.5
22	9-13	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+4.3
23	10-13	MERMCK	SIENA	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy	+3.5
24	10-14	SIENA	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Brianna Miller	set Abby Edwards	+4.4
25	10-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.9
26	10-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+4.2
27	10-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Mckenna Shotwell	+3.3
28	11-17	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+1.7
29	12-17	SIENA	SIENA	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+2.9
30	12-18	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.3
31	13-18	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.1
32	13-19	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
33	14-19	MERMCK	SIENA×6	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+2.0
34	15-19	SIENA	SIENA×6	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+3.4
35	16-19	SIENA	SIENA×6	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+4.5
36	17-19	SIENA	SIENA×6	Kill	Doga Diraz	set Oliwia Majtyka	+5.7
37	18-19	SIENA	SIENA×6	Ace	Siena	aced Ella Maldonado	+6.9
38	19-19	SIENA	SIENA×6	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Oliwia Majtyka	+7.7
39	19-20	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Elizabeth Kenney	+7.2
40	20-20	MERMCK	SIENA	Serve err	Merrimack		+6.7
41	20-21	SIENA	MERMCK	Serve err	Siena		+8.0
42	21-21	MERMCK	SIENA	Kill	Gabrielle Wire	set Abby Edwards	+7.5
43	21-22	SIENA	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Elizabeth Kenney	+9.1
44	21-23	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Mary Claire Deacy		+11.8
45	21-24	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Brianna Miller	+9.5
46	22-24	MERMCK	SIENA	Attack err	Sienna Franks	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
47	23-24	SIENA	SIENA	Kill	Mary Claire Deacy	set Abby Edwards	+8.4
48	23-25	SIENA	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+15.9

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Merrimack def. Siena 3–1

Sophia Debonis served 4 aces, and Merrimack needed every one.