ScheduledTue, Nov 17, 2026Watch on B1G+

Michigan at Michigan St.

Michigan (15-10) at Michigan St. (17-7), Tue, Nov 17, 2026, 5:00 PM CT on B1G+. RallyIQ gives Michigan St. a 68% chance to win.

Data through

Match prediction

MICH 31.8%68.2% MICHST

Michigan wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.3%
3-2
14.4%

Michigan St. wins

3-0
22.0%
3-1
26.2%
3-2
20.0%
MICH break %
39.3% vs this opp
MICHST break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.

Michigan vs Michigan St.

Big Ten match preview

Where to watchWatch on B1G+

Head to head this season

First meeting this season.