FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Siena def. Iona 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Siena 70.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena beat visiting Iona 3-0 (25-20, 25-21, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Siena's Mary Claire Deacy led with 22 kills, and Brooke Malek added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
IONA2021220
SIENA2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

22 kills in 3 sets for Mary claire Deacy. Siena swept Iona.

Win probability never moved more than 3.4 points on one rally; Iona topped out at 31% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Siena at 70%.

IonaSiena
  • Break %+9.2 pts
    41.550.7

    37 of 73 on serve vs 27 of 65, so Iona's sideout was 49.3%.

  • Hitting+.118
    .092.210

    46 kills, 17 errors vs 33 kills, 20 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    Siena scored 6 straight in the first set to go from 12–12 to an 18–12 lead. The set finished 25–20.

Siena above 50Iona belowMax swing 3.4%

IonaSiena

Aces
Iona 7·Siena 4
Serve err
Iona 3·Siena 4
Blocks
Iona 6·Siena 81 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Iona 70·Siena 76

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Siena above 50 · Iona below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% SIENArally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Siena — set 2, IONA 21-23 SIENA. Iona service error. SIENA win probability 86% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IONA 23.0%77.0% SIENA

Iona wins

3-0
3.9%
3-1
7.8%
3-2
11.3%

Siena wins

3-0
28.8%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
18.9%
IONA break %
41.5% vs this opp
SIENA break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    IonaService error+3.4%

    Iona service error

    Set 2 · IONA 21-23 SIENA · SIENA 86% → 90%

  2. 02

    Brianna Miller stuffed by Ezzie Thompson & Katherine Ferng

    Set 2 · IONA 21-22 SIENA · IONA 10% → 14%

  3. 03

    Kill by Gabrielle Wire (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 2 · IONA 21-24 SIENA · SIENA 90% → 93%

  4. 04

    Brianna Miller stuffed by Buse Tinaz & Katherine Ferng

    Set 1 · IONA 12-12 SIENA · IONA 28% → 31%

  5. 05

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Autumn Willmott)

    Set 2 · IONA 15-16 SIENA · SIENA 82% → 85%

  6. 06
    Buse TinazAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Buse Tinaz

    Set 1 · IONA 12-14 SIENA · SIENA 72% → 74%

  7. 07
    Brianna MillerAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Brianna Miller

    Set 2 · IONA 15-17 SIENA · SIENA 85% → 87%

  8. 08

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 2 · IONA 14-14 SIENA · SIENA 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ionaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312344.20501016200013
37218.27810060010.57.5
3318.25000010031.54.5
3004.0002000600000
2338.000021401227
10412-.33300140010.50.5
3000–120700002
3004.000100900000
25323.08700071010.55.5
2001.000620200002
20414-.286000100211
1305.600001100003
1000–300300000
1000–000300000
Team totals3320141.0923273704110663
Sienahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
322354.35200013000022
39531.1290000010110
3508.62500010233.58.5
36730-.0330101350218
3217.1433601140031.53.5
3218.125100100213
3000–1111110001
3000–4112110001
3000–011200001
Team totals4617138.2104244767310875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Iona vs Siena

Season series · Siena leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IONA · SIENA 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 IONASIENA 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 IONASIENA 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 IONASIENA 4

Bars above the line = Siena leads, below = Iona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
42%5/12
2
39%7/18
50%7/14
3
35%6/17
36%4/11
4
50%6/12
0%0/6
5
45%5/11
57%8/14
6
83%5/6
38%3/8
All
49%36/73
42%27/65

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
25%2/8
2
54%7/13
36%4/11
3
70%7/10
67%14/21
4
55%6/11
57%8/14
5
63%5/8
50%5/10
6
45%5/11
44%4/9
All
58%38/65
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#IONA-SIENASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.6
20-2SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
31-2SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.6
42-2IONAIONABlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Kari Smith, Buse Tinaz+2.1
52-3IONASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
62-4SIENASIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+2.0
72-5SIENASIENA×3AceSienaaced Julia Leonardo+1.8
83-5SIENAIONAAttack errMary Claire Deacy+1.5
94-5IONAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+2.0
104-6IONASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.7
115-6SIENAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+1.7
125-7IONASIENAAttack errKari Smith+1.7
135-8SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+2.0
146-8SIENAIONAAttack errGabrielle Wire+1.6
156-9IONASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.6
167-9SIENAIONAServe errSiena+1.6
177-10IONASIENAKillAbby Edwards+1.7
187-11SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+1.8
198-11SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.4
208-12IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
219-12SIENAIONA×4KillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+1.4
2210-12IONAIONA×4Attack errAlison Goldberg+2.1
2311-12IONAIONA×4AceIonaaced Brooke Malek+2.4
2412-12IONAIONA×4BlockedBrianna Millerblk Buse Tinaz, Katherine Ferng+2.8
2512-13IONASIENA×6KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.3
2612-14SIENASIENA×6Attack errBuse Tinaz+2.7
2712-15SIENASIENA×6Attack errKari Smith+2.4
2812-16SIENASIENA×6Attack errKari Smith+2.1
2912-17SIENASIENA×6Attack errKari Smith+1.6
3012-18SIENASIENA×6Attack errKatherine Ferng+1.2
3113-18SIENAIONA×3KillBuse Tinazset Jaylyn Simon+0.7
3214-18IONAIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+1.2
3315-18IONAIONA×3Attack errAbby Edwards+1.7
3415-19IONASIENAServe errIona+1.8
3515-20SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.6
3616-20SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+0.9
3716-21IONASIENABlockedKatherine Ferngblk Maggie Seymour, Abby Edwards+1.2
3817-21SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+0.8
3918-21IONAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.6
4018-22IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.8
4118-23SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.3
4219-23SIENAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Abby Edwards+0.5
4319-24IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.8
4420-24SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+0.2
4520-25IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+0.5
Set 2
11-0SIENAIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Emma Koceja+1.5
22-0IONAIONA×3BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Buse Tinaz+1.8
33-0IONAIONA×3Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.9
43-1IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.4
54-1SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.6
65-1IONAIONAAceIonaaced Brianna Miller+1.9
75-2IONASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.4
85-3SIENASIENA×4BlockedBuse Tinazblk Maggie Seymour+1.8
95-4SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+1.9
105-5SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+1.9
116-5SIENAIONAKillMija Jegersset Jaylyn Simon+1.6
126-6IONASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.6
137-6SIENAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+1.7
148-6IONAIONAAceIonaaced Autumn Willmott+2.1
158-7IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.6
169-7SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+1.8
179-8IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
1810-8SIENAIONA×4KillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.9
1911-8IONAIONA×4KillMija Jegersset Grace Daniels+2.3
2012-8IONAIONA×4KillMija Jegersset Avery Gaume+2.2
2113-8IONAIONA×4BlockedGabrielle Wireblk Ezzie Thompson, Emma Koceja+2.0
2213-9IONASIENABlockedMija Jegersblk Abby Edwards, Alison Goldberg+1.3
2313-10SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
2414-10SIENAIONABlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Mija Jegers, Ezzie Thompson+1.9
2514-11IONASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.5
2614-12SIENASIENA×4BlockedEmma Kocejablk Brianna Miller, Alison Goldberg+2.2
2714-13SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Julia Leonardo+2.4
2814-14SIENASIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.6
2915-14SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+2.3
3015-15IONASIENA×4KillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+2.2
3115-16SIENASIENA×4KillBrianna Millerset Autumn Willmott+2.7
3215-17SIENASIENA×4Attack errBrianna Miller+2.6
3315-18SIENASIENA×4BlockedKatherine Ferngblk Maggie Seymour, Brianna Miller+2.3
3416-18SIENAIONAKillBuse Tinazset Ava Reding+1.6
3516-19IONASIENA×4KillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.9
3616-20SIENASIENA×4BlockedBuse Tinazblk Maggie Seymour+1.8
3716-21SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
3816-22SIENASIENA×4Attack errKatherine Ferng+0.7
3917-22SIENAIONA×5KillJulia Leonardoset Ava Reding+0.3
4018-22IONAIONA×5KillEzzie Thompsonset Ava Reding+0.6
4119-22IONAIONA×5Bad setAbby Edwards+1.1
4220-22IONAIONA×5AceIonaaced Brianna Miller+1.9
4321-22IONAIONA×5BlockedBrianna Millerblk Ezzie Thompson, Katherine Ferng+3.1
4421-23IONASIENA×3Serve errIona+3.4
4521-24SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+3.0
4621-25SIENASIENA×3Attack errEzzie Thompson+1.2
Set 3
11-0IONAIONAAceIonaaced Brianna Miller+1.0
22-0IONAIONAAceIonaaced Brianna Miller+1.0
32-1IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
43-1SIENAIONAServe errSiena+0.9
53-2IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
64-2SIENAIONAKillGabby Taylorset Grace Daniels+0.9
74-3IONASIENA×3KillAbby Edwardsset Julia Leonardo+0.8
84-4SIENASIENA×3Bad setGrace Daniels+1.0
94-5SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.0
105-5SIENAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+0.9
115-6IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
126-6SIENAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+0.9
137-6IONAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.2
147-7IONASIENA×4Attack errMija Jegers+0.9
157-8SIENASIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Alison Goldberg+1.1
167-9SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Mija Jegers+1.1
177-10SIENASIENA×4KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.0
188-10SIENAIONA×4KillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+0.8
199-10IONAIONA×4Attack errGabrielle Wire+1.1
2010-10IONAIONA×4Attack errEmma Koceja+1.2
2111-10IONAIONA×4AceIonaaced Brianna Miller+1.3
2211-11IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.0
2312-11SIENAIONAServe errSiena+1.1
2412-12IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.1
2513-12SIENAIONAKillMija Jegersset Grace Daniels+1.2
2613-13IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.1
2714-13SIENAIONAServe errSiena+1.2
2814-14IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.2
2914-15SIENASIENAAttack errJulia Leonardo+1.5
3015-15SIENAIONAKillGabby Taylorset Grace Daniels+1.2
3115-16IONASIENA×3Serve errIona+1.2
3215-17SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.5
3315-18SIENASIENA×3AceSiena+1.3
3416-18SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+0.9
3517-18IONAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.4
3617-19IONASIENAAttack errJulia Leonardo+1.3
3718-19SIENAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+1.2
3818-20IONASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.4
3919-20SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Sanem Bas+1.3
4019-21IONASIENABlockedEmma Kocejablk Gabrielle Wire+1.6
4120-21SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.4
4221-21IONAIONAKillMija Jegersset Grace Daniels+2.3
4321-22IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+2.1
4421-23SIENASIENAAttack errMija Jegers+2.4
4522-23SIENAIONAKillGabby Taylorset Grace Daniels+1.5
4622-24IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.3
4722-25SIENASIENABlockedJulia Leonardoblk Abby Edwards, Maggie Seymour+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Iona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).