FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Siena def. Iona 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Siena 59.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena won at Iona 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Siena's Brianna Miller and Gabrielle Wire led with 12 kills each, and Brooke Malek added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
SIENA2525253
IONA1820210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Iona hit .108. Siena held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.5 points. Iona peaked at 48% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Siena went in as RallyIQ's 60% pick.

SienaIona
  • Break %+14.3 pts
    43.829.5

    Points won on own serve: 32 of 73 vs 18 of 61. Iona sided out 56.2% of the time.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 9–11 in the first set, Siena scored 5 straight to lead 14–11. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Iona above 50Siena belowMax swing 3.5%

SienaIona

Hitting
Siena .185·Iona .108
Aces
Siena 5·Iona 2
Serve err
Siena 3·Iona 1
Blocks
Siena 6·Iona 71 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Siena 88·Iona 84

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iona above 50 · Siena below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.5% SIENArally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Siena — set 1, SIENA 20-17 IONA. Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards). IONA win probability 33% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIENA 64.1%35.9% IONA

Siena wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
20.0%

Iona wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.6%
SIENA break %
45.7% vs this opp
IONA break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 1 · SIENA 20-17 IONA · SIENA 67% → 70%

  2. 02
    Emma KocejaKill+3.3%

    Kill by Emma Koceja (set by Grace Daniels)

    Set 1 · SIENA 17-16 IONA · IONA 33% → 37%

  3. 03

    Kill by Oliwia Majtyka (set by Gabrielle Wire)

    Set 1 · SIENA 19-17 IONA · SIENA 63% → 67%

  4. 04

    Ace by Autumn Willmott on Julia Leonardo

    Set 1 · SIENA 12-11 IONA · SIENA 59% → 62%

  5. 05
    Doga DirazKill+3.1%

    Kill by Doga Diraz (set by Oliwia Majtyka)

    Set 1 · SIENA 18-16 IONA · SIENA 63% → 66%

  6. 06

    Kill by Mary Claire Deacy (set by Brooke Malek)

    Set 1 · SIENA 11-11 IONA · SIENA 56% → 59%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brianna Miller (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 1 · SIENA 13-11 IONA · SIENA 62% → 65%

  8. 08
    Gabrielle WireAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Wire

    Set 1 · SIENA 7-9 IONA · IONA 43% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sienaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312440.20000017102113
39236.19400060031.510.5
34215.13300030132.56.5
3218.125000200213
3001.0002301400003
3104.25021001200001
312437.2161003100012
35221.143000200005
31011.0001412800002
3005.0006112100001
Team totals4615168.1854453882110675
Ionahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39337.16200012202110
38332.156100192010.58.5
33410-.100110200637
23110.20000010010.53.5
22315-.06700020010.52.5
1001.000500200000
310431.194010130010.511.5
3005.000200060010.50.5
3002.0002002100000
3001.000001000000
3000–700400000
2213.333000000002
1105.20000010010.51.5
1025-.400000110000
Team totals3821157.1083621845014759

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Siena vs Iona

Season series · Siena leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SIENA · IONA 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 SIENAIONA 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 SIENAIONA 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 SIENAIONA 2

Bars above the line = Iona leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
63%10/16
2
53%8/15
47%7/15
3
89%8/9
43%6/14
4
54%7/13
36%4/11
5
100%6/6
0%0/6
6
86%6/7
45%5/11
All
70%43/61
44%32/73

Iona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
30%3/10
2
67%8/12
38%5/13
3
67%8/12
20%2/10
4
67%6/9
38%5/13
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
36%5/14
14%1/7
All
56%41/73
30%18/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#SIENA-IONASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IONAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Kari Smith+2.3
21-1IONASIENA×3KillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.9
32-1SIENASIENA×3Serve errSiena+2.3
43-1SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Mary Claire Deacy+2.3
53-2SIENAIONA×5KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+1.8
63-3IONAIONA×5Attack errBrianna Miller+2.4
73-4IONAIONA×5KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.5
83-5IONAIONA×5AceBuse Tinazaced Brianna Miller+2.6
93-6IONAIONA×5KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.5
104-6IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.9
115-6SIENASIENABad setJaylyn Simon+2.5
125-7SIENAIONAServe errSiena+2.2
136-7IONASIENAAttack errKari Smith+2.1
147-7SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Brooke Malek+2.7
157-8SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+2.3
167-9IONAIONAAttack errGabrielle Wire+2.8
178-9IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.2
188-10SIENAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+2.4
199-10IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+2.2
209-11SIENAIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+2.5
2110-11IONASIENA×5Attack errKatherine Ferng+2.3
2211-11SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+3.0
2312-11SIENASIENA×5AceAutumn Willmottaced Julia Leonardo+3.1
2413-11SIENASIENA×5KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+3.0
2514-11SIENASIENA×5KillBrianna Millerset Autumn Willmott+2.8
2614-12SIENAIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+2.0
2715-12IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.3
2815-13SIENAIONABad setBrianna Miller+2.1
2916-13IONASIENABlockedJulia Leonardoblk Maggie Seymour, Mary Claire Deacy+2.4
3016-14SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.1
3117-14IONASIENABlockedEmma Kocejablk Brianna Miller, Maggie Seymour+2.5
3217-15SIENAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+2.2
3317-16IONAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+3.3
3418-16IONASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+3.1
3518-17SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+2.8
3619-17IONASIENA×5KillOliwia Majtykaset Gabrielle Wire+3.3
3720-17SIENASIENA×5KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+3.5
3821-17SIENASIENA×5Attack errBuse Tinaz+2.7
3922-17SIENASIENA×5BlockedKari Smithblk Alison Goldberg, Mary Claire Deacy+1.8
4023-17SIENASIENA×5KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.9
4123-18SIENAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+0.3
4224-18IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.5
4325-18SIENASIENAAttack errKatherine Ferng+0.1
Set 2
10-1SIENAIONABlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Julia Leonardo, Ezzie Thompson+1.7
21-1IONASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.7
32-1SIENASIENABlockedEmma Kocejablk Maggie Seymour, Brianna Miller+2.1
42-2SIENAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+1.7
53-2IONASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+1.7
64-2SIENASIENAAttack errEmma Koceja+2.1
74-3SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.7
85-3IONASIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+1.7
95-4SIENAIONABlockedDoga Dirazblk Kari Smith, Buse Tinaz+1.7
105-5IONAIONAAttack errMaggie Seymour+2.3
116-5IONASIENAAttack errKatherine Ferng+1.9
126-6SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Avery Gaume+1.9
137-6IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.9
147-7SIENAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Ava Reding+2.0
158-7IONASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Brooke Malek+2.0
169-7SIENASIENA×3Attack errEmma Koceja+2.4
1710-7SIENASIENA×3Attack errEzzie Thompson+2.2
1810-8SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.7
1911-8IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.9
2011-9SIENAIONAServe errSiena+1.7
2112-9IONASIENA×3Serve errSanem Bas+1.9
2213-9SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+2.1
2314-9SIENASIENA×3AceOliwia Majtykaaced Julia Leonardo+1.8
2414-10SIENAIONAServe errOliwia Majtyka+1.2
2515-10IONASIENA×4Attack errJulia Leonardo+1.4
2616-10SIENASIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.4
2717-10SIENASIENA×4KillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+1.0
2818-10SIENASIENA×4Attack errBuse Tinaz+0.7
2918-11SIENAIONAKillBuse Tinazset Ava Reding+0.3
3018-12IONAIONABlockedGabrielle Wireblk Buse Tinaz, Katherine Ferng+0.6
3119-12IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.7
3219-13SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Ava Reding+0.4
3320-13IONASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Brooke Malek+0.7
3421-13SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.4
3521-14SIENAIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Ava Reding+0.2
3622-14IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.3
3722-15SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+0.1
3823-15IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.2
3923-16SIENAIONA×3KillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+0.1
4023-17IONAIONA×3Attack errBrianna Miller+0.2
4123-18IONAIONA×3BlockedBrianna Millerblk Emma Koceja, Buse Tinaz+0.3
4224-18IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Brooke Malek+0.5
4324-19SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+0.1
4424-20IONAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+0.3
4525-20IONASIENAAttack errJulia Leonardo+0.6
Set 3
10-1IONAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.3
20-2IONAIONAAttack errAlison Goldberg+1.3
31-2IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.0
41-3SIENAIONAAttack errMaggie Seymour+1.1
51-4IONAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+1.4
62-4IONASIENAKillAbby Edwardsset Autumn Willmott+1.0
72-5SIENAIONAAttack errDoga Diraz+1.1
83-5IONASIENAAttack errBuse Tinaz+1.0
93-6SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.2
104-6IONASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.1
114-7SIENAIONAKillBuse Tinazset Ava Reding+1.2
125-7IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.1
135-8SIENAIONABlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Buse Tinaz, Julia Leonardo+1.2
146-8IONASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.1
157-8SIENASIENA×3AceAutumn Willmottaced Kari Smith+1.5
168-8SIENASIENA×3AceAutumn Willmottaced Kari Smith+1.5
178-9SIENAIONAAttack errBrianna Miller+1.3
189-9IONASIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
1910-9SIENASIENA×3Attack errAlex Patsos+1.6
2011-9SIENASIENA×3AceBrooke Malekaced Alex Patsos+1.6
2111-10SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.2
2212-10IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
2313-10SIENASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
2413-11SIENAIONAKillAnissa Cooper+1.1
2514-11IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.3
2614-12SIENAIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Avery Gaume+1.1
2714-13IONAIONAAceEmma Kocejaaced Gabrielle Wire+1.7
2815-13IONASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
2915-14SIENAIONAKillKari Smithset Ava Reding+1.4
3016-14IONASIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
3116-15SIENAIONABlockedGabrielle Wireblk Buse Tinaz, Reese Henderson+1.5
3216-16IONAIONAKillReese Hendersonset Buse Tinaz+2.1
3317-16IONASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.8
3418-16SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+2.1
3518-17SIENAIONAKillAnissa Cooperset Ava Reding+1.6
3619-17IONASIENA×3BlockedAlex Patsosblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+1.8
3720-17SIENASIENA×3KillMaggie Seymourset Grace Daniels+2.0
3821-17SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.5
3921-18SIENAIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+0.8
4022-18IONASIENABlockedAnissa Cooperblk Maggie Seymour+1.2
4123-18SIENASIENAAttack errKari Smith+0.9
4223-19SIENAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+0.3
4324-19IONASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.6
4424-20SIENAIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+0.2
4524-21IONAIONABlockedGabrielle Wireblk Buse Tinaz, Grace Daniels+0.4
4625-21IONASIENAAttack errBuse Tinaz+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).