ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026Watch on ACCNX

North Carolina at Duke

No. 20 North Carolina (16-6) at Duke (16-8), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 5:30 PM CT on ACCNX. RallyIQ gives North Carolina an 85% chance to win.

Data through

Match prediction

UNC 85.0%15.0% DUKE

North Carolina wins

3-0
37.1%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.6%

Duke wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
8.0%
UNC break %
44.1% vs this opp
DUKE break %
36.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.

North Carolina vs Duke

ACC match preview

Where to watchWatch on ACCNX

Head to head this season

First meeting this season.

North Carolina vs Duke

Season series