FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on GoJaspers.com

Siena def. Manhattan 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Siena 76.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Siena won at Manhattan 3-0 (25-14, 25-18, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Siena's Gabrielle Wire led with 9 kills, and Brooke Malek added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
SIENA2525253
MANHAT1418220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Siena served Manhattan off the court: 10 aces.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.1 points, and Manhattan's high was 23% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Siena 77% before first serve.

SienaManhattan
  • Break %+19.5 pts
    48.629.1

    Points won on own serve: 36 of 74 vs 16 of 55. Manhattan sided out 51.4% of the time.

  • Hitting+.179
    .208.029

    Kills and errors: 33–12 vs 27–24.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Down 10–11 in the second set, Siena scored 6 straight to lead 16–11. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Manhattan above 50Siena belowMax swing 2.1%

SienaManhattan

Aces
Siena 10·Manhattan 7
Serve err
Siena 8·Manhattan 7
Blocks
Siena 10·Manhattan 90 BS · 20 BA vs 3 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Siena 46·Manhattan 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Manhattan above 50 · Siena below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% MANHATrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Manhattan — set 2, SIENA 10-11 MANHAT. Ace by Katie Powers on Autumn Willmott. MANHAT win probability 13% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIENA 78.4%21.6% MANHAT

Siena wins

3-0
30.0%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
18.6%

Manhattan wins

3-0
3.6%
3-1
7.2%
3-2
10.7%
SIENA break %
45.0% vs this opp
MANHAT break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Katie PowersAce+2.1%

    Ace by Katie Powers on Autumn Willmott

    Set 2 · SIENA 10-11 MANHAT · MANHAT 13% → 15%

  2. 02

    Ace by Abby Morreale on Brianna Miller

    Set 1 · SIENA 5-5 MANHAT · MANHAT 21% → 23%

  3. 03

    Mikalah Curran stuffed by Maggie Seymour & Doga Diraz

    Set 2 · SIENA 12-11 MANHAT · SIENA 86% → 88%

  4. 04

    Ace by Brianna Miller on Katie Powers

    Set 1 · SIENA 7-5 MANHAT · SIENA 78% → 80%

  5. 05

    Kill by Helenn Montilla (set by Emilia Kuzniar)

    Set 2 · SIENA 4-6 MANHAT · MANHAT 15% → 16%

  6. 06
    Abby MorrealeAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Abby Morreale

    Set 2 · SIENA 13-11 MANHAT · SIENA 88% → 90%

  7. 07
    Abby EdwardsAce+1.8%

    Ace by Abby Edwards on Katie Powers

    Set 1 · SIENA 10-7 MANHAT · SIENA 80% → 82%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alison Goldberg (set by Abby Edwards)

    Set 1 · SIENA 1-0 MANHAT · SIENA 77% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sienaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37422.136031152031.511.5
36121.238000200217
33215.06701010052.56.5
3215.20000000052.54.5
3102.5001722200003
3011-1.000020820002
39022.40900002010.59.5
35312.167000000427
3000–0231710002
3001.0001302100000
Team totals3312101.208301084670201075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38624.08302011402111
37215.333000100218
32013.154021101437
32411-.182123002237
3000–1112500001
1016-.167100200000
35822-.13600010010.55.5
3001.00010011100000
3000–200540000
3000–100300000
2001.000000320000
1215.200000000002
1125-.20000030010.51.5
Team totals2724103.02926774610312954

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Siena vs Manhattan

Season series · Siena leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SIENA · MANHAT 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 SIENAMANHAT 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 SIENAMANHAT 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 SIENAMANHAT 3

Bars above the line = Manhattan leads, below = Siena leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Siena

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
46%6/13
2
80%8/10
33%4/12
3
67%6/9
63%10/16
4
60%6/10
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
71%39/55
49%36/74

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
25%2/8
2
44%7/16
33%4/12
3
40%6/15
13%1/8
4
60%6/10
54%7/13
5
67%6/9
0%0/6
6
50%5/10
25%2/8
All
51%38/74
29%16/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#SIENA-MANHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIENASIENAKillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+1.8
22-0SIENASIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.7
32-1SIENAMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+1.3
43-1MANHATSIENABlockedKatie Powersblk Mary Claire Deacy, Alison Goldberg+1.3
53-2SIENAMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+1.3
64-2MANHATSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.3
75-2SIENASIENAKillBrianna Millerset Oliwia Majtyka+1.6
85-3SIENAMANHAT×3KillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+1.2
95-4MANHATMANHAT×3AceAbby Morrealeaced Autumn Willmott+1.8
105-5MANHATMANHAT×3AceAbby Morrealeaced Brianna Miller+2.1
116-5MANHATSIENAServe errAbby Morreale+1.5
127-5SIENASIENAAceBrianna Milleraced Katie Powers+1.9
137-6SIENAMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+1.4
148-6MANHATSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.4
158-7SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.5
169-7MANHATSIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.5
1710-7SIENASIENA×3AceAbby Edwardsaced Katie Powers+1.8
1811-7SIENASIENA×3KillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.6
1911-8SIENAMANHATServe errAbby Edwards+1.0
2011-9MANHATMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Karsyn Harris+1.8
2112-9MANHATSIENAAttack errAbby Morreale+1.4
2213-9SIENASIENAKillBrianna Miller+1.6
2313-10SIENAMANHATBlockedMary Claire Deacyblk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers+1.1
2414-10MANHATSIENA×3BlockedLyla Authblk Alison Goldberg, Brianna Miller+1.2
2515-10SIENASIENA×3Attack errAbby Morreale+1.3
2616-10SIENASIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.9
2716-11SIENAMANHATServe errBrooke Malek+0.5
2817-11MANHATSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards+0.7
2917-12SIENAMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.5
3018-12MANHATSIENA×3Serve errManhattan+0.6
3119-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errKarsyn Harris+0.5
3220-12SIENASIENA×3BlockedMaggie Seymourblk Maggie Seymour, Gabrielle Wire+0.3
3320-13SIENAMANHATBlockedMaggie Seymourblk Helenn Montilla+0.1
3421-13MANHATSIENAServe errManhattan+0.2
3521-14SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
3622-14MANHATSIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.1
3723-14SIENASIENA×4KillAlison Goldbergset Abby Edwards+0.1
3824-14SIENASIENA×4AceAbby Edwardsaced Anna Duncan·
3925-14SIENASIENA×4Attack errKatie Powers·
Set 2
11-0MANHATSIENAAttack errAbby Morreale+1.0
21-1SIENAMANHATServe errSiena+1.1
32-1MANHATSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.1
42-2SIENAMANHATServe errSiena+1.1
53-2MANHATSIENAServe errManhattan+1.1
64-2SIENASIENAAceBrianna Milleraced Katie Powers+1.4
74-3SIENAMANHAT×4KillLyla Authset Anna Duncan+1.0
84-4MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedDoga Dirazblk Mikalah Curran, Helenn Montilla+1.6
94-5MANHATMANHAT×4Attack errDoga Diraz+1.7
104-6MANHATMANHAT×4KillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.9
115-6MANHATSIENAServe errManhattan+1.2
126-6SIENASIENABlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Alison Goldberg, Doga Diraz+1.7
136-7SIENAMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar+1.4
147-7MANHATSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+1.3
158-7SIENASIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+1.7
168-8SIENAMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+1.3
179-8MANHATSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
189-9SIENAMANHATBlockedAlison Goldbergblk Abby Morreale+1.4
1910-9MANHATSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+1.3
2010-10SIENAMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+1.4
2110-11MANHATMANHATAceKatie Powersaced Autumn Willmott+2.1
2211-11MANHATSIENA×6BlockedMikalah Curranblk Mary Claire Deacy, Maggie Seymour+1.5
2312-11SIENASIENA×6BlockedMikalah Curranblk Maggie Seymour, Doga Diraz+2.0
2413-11SIENASIENA×6Attack errAbby Morreale+1.9
2514-11SIENASIENA×6KillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+1.6
2615-11SIENASIENA×6KillMaggie Seymourset Oliwia Majtyka+1.3
2716-11SIENASIENA×6Attack errLyla Auth+1.0
2816-12SIENAMANHATServe errOliwia Majtyka+0.6
2917-12MANHATSIENA×4Attack errLyla Auth+0.7
3018-12SIENASIENA×4KillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.7
3119-12SIENASIENA×4AceBrianna Milleraced Katie Powers+0.4
3220-12SIENASIENA×4Bad setOri Briger+0.2
3320-13SIENAMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Ori Briger+0.1
3420-14MANHATMANHATAceEmilia Kuzniaraced Gabrielle Wire+0.2
3521-14MANHATSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.2
3621-15SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
3722-15MANHATSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.2
3822-16SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.1
3923-16MANHATSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Abby Edwards+0.1
4023-17SIENAMANHATBlockedBrianna Millerblk Abby Morreale, Hanna Kaczynska·
4124-17MANHATSIENAServe errOri Briger+0.1
4224-18SIENAMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger·
4325-18MANHATSIENAKillMaggie Seymourset Abby Edwards·
Set 3
10-1SIENAMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.6
20-2MANHATMANHATAceKatie Powersaced Brooke Malek+0.9
31-2MANHATSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.6
41-3SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan+0.7
52-3MANHATSIENA×3KillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+0.6
63-3SIENASIENA×3Attack errHanna Kaczynska+0.8
74-3SIENASIENA×3BlockedLyla Authblk Brianna Miller, Maggie Seymour+0.8
84-4SIENAMANHATAttack errBrianna Miller+0.6
94-5MANHATMANHATBlockedMaggie Seymourblk Helenn Montilla, Hanna Kaczynska+0.9
105-5MANHATSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.6
115-6SIENAMANHATKillLaura Hernandezset Emilia Kuzniar+0.7
126-6MANHATSIENAKillDoga Dirazset Oliwia Majtyka+0.6
137-6SIENASIENABlockedLaura Hernandezblk Alison Goldberg, Doga Diraz+0.9
147-7SIENAMANHATBlockedDoga Dirazblk Katie Powers, Helenn Montilla+0.7
158-7MANHATSIENAKillGabrielle Wireset Oliwia Majtyka+0.6
168-8SIENAMANHATServe errSiena+0.7
179-8MANHATSIENAAttack errKatie Powers+0.7
189-9SIENAMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.7
199-10MANHATMANHATAttack errBrianna Miller+1.1
2010-10MANHATSIENAKillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.7
2111-10SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Anna Duncan+1.0
2211-11SIENAMANHATServe errSiena+0.8
2311-12MANHATMANHATBlockedBrianna Millerblk Lyla Auth, Helenn Montilla+1.1
2412-12MANHATSIENA×3KillMary Claire Deacyset Abby Edwards+0.8
2513-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errLyla Auth+1.1
2614-12SIENASIENA×3Attack errKatie Powers+1.0
2714-13SIENAMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.7
2815-13MANHATSIENAAttack errKatie Powers+0.8
2915-14SIENAMANHATServe errSiena+0.7
3016-14MANHATSIENAAttack errKatie Powers+0.8
3117-14SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Kaitlyn Doyle+0.9
3217-15SIENAMANHAT×3KillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.6
3317-16MANHATMANHAT×3AceHelenn Montillaaced Brianna Miller+1.1
3417-17MANHATMANHAT×3AceHelenn Montillaaced Gabrielle Wire+1.3
3518-17MANHATSIENAServe errHelenn Montilla+1.0
3618-18SIENAMANHATKillLaura Hernandezset Emilia Kuzniar+1.1
3718-19MANHATMANHATKillKatie Powersset Julia Pfleger+1.7
3819-19MANHATSIENA×4KillAbby Edwardsset Abby Edwards+1.2
3920-19SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Anna Duncan+1.7
4021-19SIENASIENA×4AceSienaaced Kaitlyn Doyle+1.5
4122-19SIENASIENA×4BlockedLyla Authblk Alison Goldberg, Brianna Miller+1.2
4222-20SIENAMANHATBlockedAutumn Willmottblk Abby Morreale+0.6
4322-21MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Abby Morreale+1.3
4423-21MANHATSIENAKillBrianna Millerset Abby Edwards+1.4
4524-21SIENASIENAAceSienaaced Anna Duncan+1.2
4624-22SIENAMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger+0.4
4725-22MANHATSIENAAttack errLyla Auth+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Siena first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).