LMU (CA) vs Saint Mary's (CA) Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

–:–

LMU (CA) (19-3) at Saint Mary's (CA) (14-9), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 4:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives LMU (CA) a 66% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, LMU (CA) won 3-0 on Oct 1.

Data through Nov 3, 7:15 PM CT

Match prediction

LMU 66.4%33.6% STMARY

LMU (CA) wins

3-0

20.9%

3-1

25.5%

3-2

20.0%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

6.7%

3-1

12.0%

3-2

14.9%

LMU break %: 43.3% vs this opp
STMARY break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.