Eastern Ky. vs Tarleton State Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026ESPN+

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Eastern Ky. (24-2) at Tarleton St. (11-16), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 6:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Eastern Ky. a 91% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Eastern Ky. won 3-0 on Oct 1.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

E KY 91.2%8.8% TARLET

Eastern Ky. wins

3-0

46.7%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.2%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

E KY break %: 48.8% vs this opp
TARLET break %: 38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.