CSU Bakersfield vs UC Irvine Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

–:–

CSU Bakersfield (13-13) at UC Irvine (9-16), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC Irvine a 70% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UC Irvine won 3-1 on Oct 16.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

CSUBAK 30.1%69.9% UC IRV

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

5.7%

3-1

10.6%

3-2

13.8%

UC Irvine wins

3-0

23.2%

3-1

26.8%

3-2

19.9%

CSUBAK break %: 42.0% vs this opp
UC IRV break %: 46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.