ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Xavier at Providence

Xavier (15-10) at Providence (15-10), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 2:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Xavier a 59% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Providence won 3-0 on Oct 16.

Data through

Match prediction

XAVIER 59.3%40.7% PROV

Xavier wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.9%

Providence wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.8%
XAVIER break %
43.8% vs this opp
PROV break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.

Xavier vs Providence

Big East match preview

Where to watchWatch on ESPN+

Head to head this season